FM Notes
FM Notes
CAPITAL
COST OF CAPITAL: -
Cost of capital is the Cost of Funds Used to finance a business. Typically,
corporate obtain financing through a combination of issuing equity in the form of
shares and by taking a debt through borrowing from banks or issuing bonds.
The people who provide finance to a company also want to earn a return on
their investment combined those factors comprise a company's overall cost of
capital
The overall cost of capital is the Weighted average of company capital sources
also known as the WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC )
Cost of capital is used to discount future cash flow from potential project and
estimate flow from the project and estimate their NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
Companies want an optimal financing Mix. Debt has tax advance over equity
financing, but to much debt results to high leverage leading to high interest rates
to compensate lenders for the risk of higher default.
Cost of capital to analyse whether or not to start with the project. As long the
COC is below the Rate of Return that the company earn by using its capital it’s a
good investment
Cost Of Debt (Kd)
The cost of debt is the total interest amount or effective interest rate a company
owes on debt instruments like bonds and loans. In other words, the cost of debt
is the minimum interest rate debt holders need to offer financing support to
borrowers. The total debt cost can be before or after tax.
FORMULA
Cost of debt = Total interest rate x (1 – total tax rate)
If a company takes out a $100,000 loan with a 7% interest rate, the cost of
capital for the loan is 7%. Because payments on debts are often tax-deductible,
businesses account for the corporate tax rate when calculating the real cost of
debt capital by multiplying the interest rate by the inverse of the corporate tax
rate. Assuming the corporate tax rate is 30%, the loan in the above example
then has a cost of capital of 0.07 X (1 - 0.3) or 4.9%.
Calculation
Regression Approach (statistical)
Bottom-Up Approach (Relative)
Disadvantage
How does an investor know which discount rate to use.
It unforeseen (not anticipated or expected) Variable cost
IRR
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that makes the net present
value (NPV) of a project zero. In other words, it is the expected compound
annual rate of return that will be earned on a project or investment.
The term internal refers to the fact that the calculation excludes external factors,
such as the risk-free rate, inflation, the cost of capital, or financial risk.
WACC
Weight average cost of capital measures a company’s cost to borrow money
given the proportion amount of each type of debt and equity a company taken
on. A company's debt to equity or its capital structure might include Common
stock, Preferred Stock and bonds.
WACC is used internally by a company’s management as part of determining
whether it would be profitable for a company to finance a new project. It is also
used by investors as one way to value the company’s share to decide where to
invest .
The HIGHER the WACC the LESS likely it is the company is creating value
because it has to overcome more expensive borrowing costs in order to make a
profit .
If XYZ had a WACC of 15% it would be destroying $0.05 of the value for every
dollar it invest.
If XYZ had a WACC of 10% the company would neither creating or destroy value
but remaining stagnant.
However, due to the time value of money the terminal value must be translated
or calculated into present value to be meaningful
Two commonly used methods to calculate a terminal value are perpetual growth
(Gordon Growth Model) and exit multiple. The former assumes that a business
will continue to generate cash flows at a constant rate forever. The latter
assumes that a business will be sold for a multiple of some market metric.
Where:
TV = terminal value
FCF = free cash flow
n = year 1 of terminal period or final year
g = perpetual growth rate of FCF
WACC = weighted average cost of capital
Example
For instance, if the cash flow at the end of the initial forecast period is $100 and
the discount rate is 10.0%, the TV comes out to $1,000 ($100 ÷ 10.0%).
But as mentioned earlier, the perpetuity growth method assumes that a
company’s cash flows grow at a constant rate perpetually.
Because of this distinction, the perpetuity formula must account for the fact that
there is going to be growth in cash flows, as well. Hence, the denominator
deducts the growth rate from the discount rate.
If the cash flow at the end of the initial projection period is $100 and the discount
rate is 10.0% but this time around, there is a perpetuity growth rate of 3%, the
terminal value comes out as ~$1,471.
Terminal Value = ([$100 x (1 + 3.0%)] ÷ [10.0% – 3.0%]) = ~$1,471
The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) states that the intrinsic value of a
company is a function of the sum of all the expected dividends, with each
payment discounted to the present date.
DDM is the way of applying Net Present Value Analysis to estimate the
future dividend a stock will pay. those dividends are discounted back to
their present value.
If the
Categories of
Financial risk
Credit risk
Settlement risk
Concentration risk
Sovereign risk
Default risk
Market risk
Liquidity risk
Refinancing risk
Deposit risk
Margining risk
Investment risk
Model risk
Execution risk
Valuation risk
Business risk
Reputational risk
Operational risk
Country risk
Political risk
Legal risk
Moral hazard
Profit risk
Non-financial risk
Stranded asset
DCF
Discounted cash flow (DCF) modeling is a financial model that estimates a
company's value by forecasting and discounting its future cash flows. DCF
models are used to determine the value of an investment today, based on how
much money it's expected to generate in the future.
DCF model is simply a forecast of a company's unlevered free cash flow
discounted back to today's value, which is called the Net Present Value (NPV).
Enterprise Value
Equity Value
The three main components of the DCF formula are: Cash flow (CF), Discount
rate (r), and Number of periods (n).
The main difference between unlevered free cash flow (UFCF) and levered free
cash flow (LFCF) is that UFCF does not account for interest payments and other
financial obligations(Depreciation), while LFCF does:
Unlevered free cash flow
The cash available to all capital providers before interest payments and other
financial obligations are taken into account. UFCF is calculated as EBITDA minus
CapEx minus working capital minus taxes.
Levered free cash flow
The cash available to equity shareholders after interest payments and other
financial obligations are taken into account. LFCF is the cash flow that a
company can use to pay dividends and make investments
What Is Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)?
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) represents the amount of cash flow from
operations available for distribution after accounting for depreciation expenses,
taxes, working capital, and investments. FCFF is a measurement of a company's
profitability after all expenses and reinvestments. What is the Cash flow
available to all the stakeholders (Equity, debtholder,etc )