2

2023-3-SMK Perlis

SECTION A
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS (45 MARKS)
1 The times, in minutes, taken by 22 participants to complete a specific task
in a competition are as follows:

60 65 75 67 80 71 61 64 68 75 66

70 87 65 70 62 66 75 73 68 67 62
(a) Construct a stem-and-leaf diagram for the data. [2]
(b) Determine the mode, median and mean of the data. [4]
(c) Suggest an appropriate measure of central tendency for the above [2]
data. Give a reason for your answer.

1 (a) D1 3 or 6 stems
Stem Leaf At least one stem with
6 0 1 2 2 4 correct leaf
6 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 Uniform stems
7 0 0 1 3
7 5 5 5 D1 All correct
8 0
8 7

Key:6∨5 means 65 minutes

Note: Stem and leaf unit are optional

1 (b) Mode¿ 75minutes B1

Median ¿ 67.5 minutes B1
1517 M1√ ‘his’ sum
Mean ¿
22 22 must
¿ 68.955 /68.95 /69.0 minutes A!
Note: If no working for mean, then NEW-1

1 (c) Median B1
Distribution of the data is skewed to right B1 Depends on 1st B1
or positively

2 Two events, A and B , are such that P ( A )=0.35 , P ( A ∩ B' )=0.14 and
 3

P ( B| A ' )=0.98

Find
(a) P( A ∩ B) [2]
(b) P(B) [3]
(c) P ( A|B ) [2]

2 (a) P ( A ∩B )=P ( A )−P(B' ∩ A )

¿ 0.35−0.14 M1
¿ 0.21 A1

2 (b) P ( A ' ∩ B ) =P ( B∨ A' ) × P( A ' )

¿ 0.98 ×(1−0.35) M1
¿ 0.637
'
P ( B )=P ( A ∩ B )+ P (A ∩ B)
¿ 0.21+0.637 M1
¿ 0.847 A1

2 (c) P ( A ∩B )
P ( A∨B ) =
P(B)
0.21 M1√ ‘his’ value from (a) & (b)
¿
0.847
30 A1
¿ 0.23793∨
121
 4

3 A discrete random variable, X which takes the values, 0 , 1 ,2and 3 , and its
probability distribution is shown in the table below.

x 0 1 2 3
2
P(X =x) a b a 0.15
3

If E ( X )=1.20 , find the values of a and b [4]

Hence, show that X is not a binomial random variable. [2]

3 2 M1
∑ P ( X =x )=1 :a+b + 3 a+0.15=1
5
b+ a=0.85
3
4 M1
E ( X )=1.20 :0+b+ a+0.45=1.20
3
4
b+ a=0.75
3
M1 Solve for either a or b
a=0.3 , b=0.35
A1 Both

E ( X )=1.20 :3 p=1.20 ⟹ p=0.4

Since P ( X=0 )=0.6 3=0.216 (≠ a) M1 Reason

May check P1 , P2 or P3
∴ X is not a binomial random variable A1 Both
 5

4 The time taken, in seconds, for a 200 m race at a state training centre for
50 athletes is recorded and has a mean 29.60 s and a standard deviation
2.50 s.

(a) Find the confidence level, given the confidence interval for the mean [5]
time is between 28.85 s and 30.35 s
(b) Comment the effect on the width of a confidence interval when the
confidence level increases. [1]

4 (a) ^ 2 50 2 M1
σ = ( 2.5 )
49
¿ 6.3776

√
zα
6.3776 M1√
2
=0.75
50
z α =2.10 A1 Accept answer
2 round off to 2.10
α M1√ 0.0179 ( From table)
=0.01786
2

Confidence level=(1−2 ( 0.01786 ) )(100 %)

¿ 96.43 % A1 Accept 96.42%

4 (b) The width of confidence interval increases B1

as the confidence level increases/ wider.
 6

5 The content of a bottle of soy milk has a nominal water volume of 750 ml .
The actual volume of soy milk is not exactly 750 ml and varies from one
bottle to another. The volume of the soy milk in a bottle has a normal
distribution with mean of 755 ml and a standard deviation of 4.8ml . After an
alteration on the setting of the machine, the mean volume of soy milk of a
random sample of 15 bottles is 753.5 ml

(a) Assuming that variance of the distribution remains unchanged, test at [6]
5 % significance level whether there is a reduction of mean volume of
the soy milk.
(b) Find the smallest significance level such that there is sufficient
evidence that the mean volume of the soy milk has reduced. [3]

5 (a) H 0 : μ=755 B1
H 1 : μ <755

( ) or X
2
4.8
X N 755 , N ( 755 ,1.536 )
15

Level of significance ¿ 5 %
For lower-tail test, critical value : z 0.05=−1.645 B1
753.5−755 M1
z=
4.8
√15
¿−1.210 ,−1.211,−1.2103 A1 3-5 sf
Since z=−1.210>−1.645, H 0is not rejected M1

There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance A1

level to conclude that there is no reduction in the
mean volume of soy milk.
 7

5 (b) To reject H 0 , z←1.210

α %=P ( Z ←1.210 ) 100 % B1√

¿ P ( Z >1.210 ) 100 %
¿ [1−P ( Z< 1.210 ) ]100 % M1

¿ [1−0.8869]100 %

¿ 11.31 % A1
 8

6 The Body Mass Index (BMI), in kg m−2, of 100 upper secondary female
students in a particular year are calculated and tabulated as follows:

BMI, x Number of students

x <16.50 14
16.50 ≤ x <18.50 22
18.50 ≤ x <20.50 32
20.50 ≤ x<22.50 14
22.50 ≤ x<24.50 10
24.50 ≤ x<26.50 5
x ≥ 26.50 3

Perform a chi-squared test, at the 1 % significant level, to determine

whether the data has a normal distribution with mean 19.72 and standard
deviation 3.01 .
You may use the probability distribution for a normal random variable with
mean 19.72and standard deviation 3.01 given below.

BMI, x Probability
x <16.50 0.1424
16.50 ≤ x <18.50 0.2003
18.50 ≤ x <20.50 0.2596
20.50 ≤ x<22.50 0.2199
22.50 ≤ x<24.50 0.1217
24.50 ≤ x<26.50 0.0440
x ≥ 26.50 0.0121

[9]
 9

6 H 0 : The data has a normal distribution with B1 Accept in

mean 19.72 and standard deviation of 3.01 symbolic form
2
H 1 : The data does not has a normal distribution X N (19.72 , 3.01 )
with mean 19.72 and standard deviation of
3.01

Oi Ei M1 At least two Ei
BMI, x
correct
x <16.50 14 100∗0.1424=14.24 All correct

16.50 ≤ x <18.50 22 20.03 A1

18.50 ≤ x <20.50 32 25.96

20.50 ≤ x<22.50 14 21.99

22.50 ≤ x<24.50 10 12.17

24.50 ≤ x<26.50 5 4.40

x ≥ 26.50 3 1.21

Test statistics M1√ Combine ‘his’ Ei

( 14−14.24 )2 ( 22−20.03 )2 ( 32−25.96 )2 to get ≥ 5
χ 2= + +
14.24 20.03 25.96
2 2
+ ( 14−21.99 ) ( 10−12.17 ) ( 8−5.61 )
2 M1√ Summation with
+ + correct formula,
21.99 12.17 5.61
at least one
correct.
¿ 5.91to 5.92 A1
2
χ 5 , 0.01 =15.0 9 B1

5.91<15.0 9 . Do not reject H 0 M1√

There is insufficient evidence to reject the claim that A1

the data has a normal distribution with mean of
19.72 and the standard deviation of 3.01 at the 1 %
significance level.

SECTION B [15 MARKS]

 10

Answer one questions only from this section.

7 Among 30 male patients in a hospital, some have diabetes and some have
hypertension. Let D be the event that a patient has diabetes and H be the
event that a patient has hypertension. It is known that
1 1 3
P ( D|H )= , P ( H|D )= and P ( D ∩ H ) =
' '
3 4 5

(a) 2 [2]
Show that P ( D∪ H )=
5
(b) Determine whether D and H are independent. [7]
(c) Find the probability that
(i) a patient has only diabetes or hypertension [3]
(ii) a patient has no hypertension, given that he does not have
diabetes. [3]

7 (a) 3 M1 Any equivalent

P( D ∪ H )=1−
5 method

2 A1
¿
5

7 (b) P(D∩H) 1 P ( H ∩ D) 1 M1 Either one

= =
P(H ) 3 P ( D) 4

P ( H )=3 P(D ∩ H ) P ( D )=4 P(D ∩ H ) A1 Both

2 B1
P ( D ) + P ( H )−P(D ∩ H )=
5
2 M1√ Attempt to find
3 P ( D ∩ H )+ 4 P ( D∩ H )−P( D ∩ H )=
5 P(D ∩ H ) or P(D) or
P(H) using correct
formula
1 4 1 A1
P(D ∩ H )= or P ( D )= or P ( H )=
15 15 15
Since P ( D ) × P ( H ) ≠ P ( D ∩ H )or M1 Indication of
Since P ( D∨H ) ≠ P ( D) or comparing ‘his’
Since P ( H∨D ) ≠ P ( H ) value(s)

∴ Events D and H are not independent A1

 11

7 (c) (i) P(D ∪ H )−P ( D∩ H ) or B1 Can be implied

P ( D ∩ H ')+ P ( D ' ∩ H )
2 1 M1√ ‘his’ P(D ∩ H )
¿ −
5 15

1 A!
¿
3

7 (c) (ii ' ' P ( H ' ∩ D' ) B1 Correct conditional

) P(H ∨D )∨ probability
P ( D' )
Can be implied
3 M1√ Using ‘his’ P( D' )
5
¿
4
1−
15

9 A!
¿
11
 12

8 A school management plans to install a water dispenser in the school to

encourage the students to drink water. A teacher was assigned to conduct
a survey to find the proportion of students who bring drinking water to
school. In a random sample pf 40 0 students survey, 236 students brought
drinking water to school.

(a) Find the unbiased estimate for the population proportion of the [1]
students who brought drinking water to school.
(b) Obtain a 95 % confidence interval for the population proportion of the
students who brought drinking water to school. [4]
(c) The school management will install a water dispenser if less than60 %
students bring drinking water to school. Perform a test, at
5 % significance level, to determine whether the school management
should install a water dispenser. [6]
(d) Determine the smallest sample size which should be taken in order to
obtain 95 % confidence that the difference of the sample proportion
and population proportion is within 0.04 . [4]

8 (a) 59 B1 Accept in word (unbiased estimate for the

^p= or ^p=0.59 population proportion)
100

8 (b) z 0.025 =1.960 B1

√ 0.59 × 0.41 M1√ ‘his’ std error

^p=0.59± 1.960
400 M1√ Correct formula

¿(0.54180 , 063820) A1 3,4,5 s.f.

8 (c) H 0 : p=0.60 H 0 : p ≥ 0.60 B1 Both

H 1 : p< 0.60 H 1 : p< 0.60

For the lower-tail test, z 0.05=−1.645 B1 Accept 1.645

0.59−0.60 M1
z=

√ 0.60 × 0.40
400
¿−0.408 A1
Since −0.408>−1.645 , do not reject H 0 M1

There is insufficient evidence to conclude A1

that the school management should install
the water cooler at 5 % significance level.
 13

8 (d) P(| ^p − p|≤ 0.40 )=0.95 M1√

√ 0.59 × 0.41 ≤ 0.04 M1√ LHS with his ^p

1.960
n
n ≥ 580.8 M1√ Attempt to solve
The smallest sample size needed is 581 A1