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Trading Lens

Fundamental + Technical Analysis


Malaysia | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

KLCI: 1,590.1
MY: Retail Microstrategy KLCI YTD: +9.3%
FBMSCAP: 19,289.8
- Dissecting the DC playbook FBMSCAP YTD: +17.9%

This ‘Trading Lens’ report is intended for educational


purposes only. It represents a preliminary assessment
Data Centre (DC) theme for the Small-Mid Cap space
of the subject company and does not represent initiation • This report explores the narrative surrounding the Data Centre (DC) theme from the
into CGSI's coverage universe. It does not carry perspective of the Small-Mid Cap space and assess “what’s next” for the DC theme in
investment ratings and CGSI does not commit to regular
updates on an ongoing basis. 2H24. We also attempt to address the notion of: 1) whether the DC theme has
somewhat been overplayed, and 2) whether the rise in selected share prices of “DC
KLCI and FBM100 forward P/E beneficiaries” across key sectors is a precursor to a positive spillover effect/trading
opportunities on other underappreciated and upcoming DC beneficiaries.
Simplifying the DC ecosystem
• To simplify, the general Data Centre (DC) ecosystem would be divided into four main
categories: 1) Location – land, 2) Basic infrastructure – construction, materials,
mechanical and electrical (M&E), 3) Hardware – data storage systems and solutions,
and 4) Power and connectivity. In our view, from retail investors/traders perspective,
these are the four key categories that are most relevant for selecting/screening
potential beneficiaries of DC-related contracts and/or services.
DC beneficiaries goes beyond tech companies
Trailing Last close YTD • Based on CGS MY Retail Research’s assessment, beneficiaries of the DC theme goes
Indices P/E (x) YTD % chg
KLCI 15.1 1,590.1 9.3%
beyond the tech names and are distributed across five sectors: 1)
Consumer Products & Services 13.0 585.0 4.5% Technology/hardware, 2) Construction/infrastructure – including engineering services,
Industrial Products & Services 29.5 195.9 13.5% 3) Telco, 4) Utilities and 5) Property. At this juncture, we argue that most Tech-related
Construction 37.5 263.7 37.4%
Technology 63.5 76.4 20.0% DC plays appear overbought (weak Technical Indicators and lofty valuations at current
Financial Services 10.1 17,454.7 5.3% share price levels) and may, to some extent, have run ahead of fundamentals and have
Property 17.8 1,080.9 16.8%
Plantation 17.3 6,982.7 -0.4% largely priced-in short to medium term expectations on DC prospects.
REIT 12.9 826.3 5.6%
Energy 13.4 955.4 13.8% Which sectors are still appealing for DC plays?
Healthcare
Telco & Media
32.9
27.6
2,137.2
595.2
7.4%
1.5%
• In our view, while tech/hardware-related companies will remain as DC beneficiaries
Transport & Logistics 21.3 1,107.2 16.3% over the long-run, the construction and property sectors are the earlier/direct
Utilities
* As of 28 Jun 24
17.6 1,779.7 34.9%
beneficiaries of the DC value chain. Regardless of the types of DC’s (Hyperscale or
Colocation), companies within these sectors are at the forefront of DC contract rollout
and the expansion of DC locations - given the two key requirements in the setting up
of a full-fledged DC facility: 1) Design, construction and engineering expertise for
construction players, and 2) Land/location for property developers (with a larger
proportion of undeveloped industrial land bank).
Exploring the Small-Mid Cap DC playbook
• In the construction and engineering space, we highlight Gadang (Not Rated), AWC
(Not Rated), Jati Tinggi (Not Rated) and HSS Engineers (Add, TP1.31), being those
that have secured DC-type contracts. Going by the size and scale of DC contracts
awarded to larger contractors recently, this trend could trickle down to other smaller
contractors in 2H24 as DC tenders gain momentum. At this juncture, we highlight
Kerjaya Prospek (Not rated), as the group is upbeat on order book growth and is
bidding for DC jobs.
• Within the property sector, recent DC land transactions/deals by more established
property developers provide a base-case for various DC ventures that other property
developers can emulate. Hypothetically, if DC locations expand beyond Klang
Valley/Cyberjaya and Johor (being the DC location hot spots) to a more “greenfield”
location like Negeri Sembilan, we highlight Matrix Concepts (Not Rated) – a major
property developer in the state with sizeable industrial land bank.
• In the tech/HDD and cable support systems space, and purely on Technical Analysis,
Dufu Technology Corp (Not Rated), United U-LI Corp (Not Rated) and Infoline Tec
Group (Not Rated) stack up favorably in terms of potential technical upside – see
Technical Analysis section by Head of Retail Research, Kong Seh Siang.
Gauging new IPO’s with DC prospects
• We highlight Kawan Renergy (Not Rated) and UUE Holdings (Not Rated) as new IPOs
Analyst(s) with potential exposure to the DC space. For Kawan Renergy, DC exposure could
come in the form of alternative energy generation equipment and chilled water tanks
Sharizan ROSELY fabrication which are the pivotal assets in the DC space. Note that, Kawan Renergy
T (60) 3 2635 9252 has expertise/track record in supplying the latter to few data centre projects. On the
E sharizan.rosely@cgsi.com other hand, UUE could benefit from its forte in the Horizontal Directional Drilling (HDD)
method of laying pipes for the distribution of electricity, fibre optic and water to each of
the DC that are related to the DC value chain in Johor.

Please read carefully the important disclosures at the end of this publication. Powered by the EFA Platform
Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

Why the DC theme still has upside – Micro points on Malaysia DC’s
• According to Edge Weekly in Mar-24, Malaysia is profiled as a Tier 2 DC market. It offers exponential growth, propelled by a combination
of growing population and internet penetration, which drives the expansion of infrastructure, government support and conducive
business environments for DC investments. Malaysia goes alongside Tier 1 DC markets namely - Singapore, Japan, Taiwan and Hong
Kong, among others.
• Malaysia is one of the Tier 2 markets with untapped potential to be a DC hub. Malaysia is part of Asia-Pacific, which is expected to
contribute 90% to global e-commerce growth between 2021 and 2026.
• Malaysia has one of the highest rates of internet penetration at 96.8%, with more than 33m internet users in 2023.
• Johor is one of the fastest-growing data centre markets in the region, currently with 33MW of live and pipeline capacity - most facilities
are in the planning or construction phase.
• Malaysia received RM76bn (US$16bn) worth of investments from DC’s between 2021 and March 2023 – Malaysia’s DC market is
expected to attract investments of US$2.3bn by 2028.

What is needed to build a full-fledged DC?


• According to Dgtl Infra, DC’s can be broken down into four main categories: i) land and building shell: 15-20%, ii) electrical systems:
40-45%, including electrical backup generator, batteries, power distribution unit (PDU), uninterruptible power supply (UPS), switchgear
/ transformers, iii) HVAC / mechanical / cooling systems: 15-20%, including computer room air conditioner (CRAC), computer room air
handler (CRAH), air cooled chillers, chilled water storage and pipes, and iv) building fit-out: 20-25%, including lobby / entrance, meet-
me room (MMR), shipping & receiving area.

Figure 1: Components of a DC – general rule of thumb

SOURCES: www.dgtlinfra.com

Who’s who in the DC space – dissecting the Small-Mid Caps


• Based on channel checks, newsflow, and company announcements, we introduce our compilation of listed companies with existing
and/or potential exposure to the DC value chain and DC growth areas. We have included YTD share price performance and trailing
P/E as additional indicators – see Figure 2

✓ Focus sectors for the DC theme are distributed across 1) Technology/Hard Disk Drive (HDD), M&E solutions, Cooling systems
providers, 2) Construction and engineering services companies, 3) Property developers, 4) Telco, and 5) Utilities.
✓ Share prices of technology/HDD, M&E solutions, Cooling systems providers (those that have secured DC-type contracts and
those with potential to secure DC jobs) have surged +144% YTD on average, at a trailing P/E of 33.4x. Based on technical
charts, we believe most names in these segments are extremely overbought at current levels.
✓ Share prices of construction/engineering services players with exposure to DC construction have risen +56% YTD, at a more
palatable average trailing P/E of 22.4x. We believe new trading opportunities could emerge for Small-Mid Cap names that are
still early in the DC game and may benefit from higher success rates for prevailing DC tenders – Kerjaya Prospek (Not Rated)
✓ Share prices of larger cap property developers have benefitted from the respective DC ventures secured recently, as an added
catalyst to share price – up 71% on average YTD. While there is little visibility as to which other property developers that could
potentially join the DC bandwagon, one alternative could emerge, in our view. We highlight Matrix Concepts (Not Rated) as an
underappreciated and undervalued property developer with a sizeable industrial land bank - IF Negeri Sembilan becomes the
next DC footprint after Klang Valley/Cyberjaya and Johor.
✓ Share prices of larger cap Telco and Utilities/power companies – as a longer-term major beneficiary of DC, has on average,
risen by 34% YTD, at an average trailing P/E of 15.6x. For exposure to fibre route and DC backup power solutions, we highlight
OCK Group (Not Rated).

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

Figure 2: Distribution of DC beneficiaries and potential DC exposures


Share px Share px
Stock Sector Market Data Centre (RM/share) (RM/share) YTD Trailing
Company code Classification Cap (RM m) Data Centre (DC) exposure growth area 31-Dec-23 YTD % chg P/E (x)
Technology/HDD/M&E
Powerwell Holdings 0217 Industrial Products 267.0 Data Centre electrical switchboards Johor, Cambodia 0.24 0.46 91.7% 14.6
HE Group 0296 Industrial Products 294.0 Data Centre power distribution system Not specified 0.28 0.68 142.9% 29.3
Infoline Tec Group 0253 Technology 348.0 Data Centre - IT infra/Cyber security Not specified 0.76 0.92 21.1% 21.6
Critical Holdings 0291 Industrial Products/Services 353.2 Data Centre MEP solutions Central region & Johor 0.63 0.95 50.8% 23.4
Cloudpoint Technology 0277 Technology 420.0 Data Centre networking solutions Not specified 0.55 0.80 45.5% 16.6
United U-Li Corp 7133 Industrial Products 442.0 Data Centre - Cable support systems Not specified 1.53 2.03 32.7% 9.6
KJTS Group 0293 Industrial Products 443.0 Data Centre cooling systems Not specified 0.27 0.65 140.7% 65.0
LGMS 0249 Technology 620.0 Data Centre - Cyber security Not specified 0.92 1.36 47.8% 51.8
Notion Vtec 0083 Technology/HDD 1,080.0 Data Centre - Hard Disk Drive (HDD) Not specified 0.29 2.07 613.8% na
SNS Network Technology 0259 Technology 1,210.0 Data Centre fit-out / hardware Johor 0.24 0.75 212.5% 37.8
Dufu Technology Corp 7233 Industrial Products/HDD 1,390.0 Data Centre - Hard Disk Drive (HDD) Not specified 1.90 2.55 34.2% 75.6
Vstecs 5162 Technology 1,490.0 Data Centre enterprise systems/hardware All DC locations 1.32 4.14 213.6% 22.1
JCY International 5161 Technology/HDD 1,500.0 Data Centre - Hard Disk Drive (HDD) Not specified 0.22 0.70 218.2% na
Average 143.5% 33.4
Construction/Engineering
Pasukhas 0177 Industrial Products 33.3 Data Centre M&E and Infra Selangor 0.16 0.18 12.5% 29.5
Jati Tinggi 0292 Construction 215.0 Data Center infrastructure utilities Not specified 0.27 0.57 111.1% 22.4
Gadang 9261 Construction/property 317.0 Data Centre construction Klang Valley 0.34 0.44 29.4% na
AWC 7579 Engineering services 345.0 Data Centre - plumbing works Selangor 0.56 1.08 92.9% 25.9
MN Holdings 0245 Construction 445.0 Data Center infrastructure utilities Johor 0.53 0.96 81.1% na
HSS Engineers 0185 Construction 470.0 Data Centre - Project Management Johor 0.97 0.94 -3.1% 20.4
Binastra Corporation 7195 Construction 1,260.0 Data Centre construction Selangor 0.66 1.16 75.8% 16.6
Kerjaya Prospek 7161 Construction/property 2,290.0 Data Centre construction (tendering) Not specified 1.55 1.81 16.8% 17.8
Sunway Construction 5263 Construction 4,900.0 Data Centre construction Selangor 1.94 3.78 94.8% na
IJM Corp 3336 Construction/property 11,350.0 Data Centre construction Johor 1.88 3.05 62.2% 27.8
Gamuda 5398 Construction/property 18,230.0 Data Centre construction Selangor 4.59 6.65 44.9% 18.6
Average 56.2% 22.4
Property Developer
Crescendo Corporation 6718 Property 1,040.0 Land disposal to Microsoft Payments Johor 2.32 3.70 59.5% 18.2
Mah Sing Group 8583 Property 4,430.0 DC Co-investor (100MW) - Bridge DC Selangor 0.83 1.72 107.2% 19.5
UEM Sunrise 5148 Property 5,310.0 DC Campus (360MW) - LOGOS Johor 0.72 1.05 45.8% 84.2
Sime Darby Property 5288 Property 8,910.0 Hyperscale DC (80MW) - Google Selangor 0.63 1.37 117.5% 19.8
Average 70.8% 35.4
Telco/Utilities
OCK Group 0172 Telco/Telco towers 620.9 DC power management solutions Johor 0.44 0.58 31.8% 16.1
TIME dotCom 5031 Telecommunications 9,300.0 DC solutions/DC provider Domestic/ASEAN 5.40 5.03 -6.9% 21.1
Telekom Malaysia 4863 Telecommunications 26,291.0 DC venture with SingTel (64MW) Johor 5.55 6.85 23.4% 13.4
YTL Power 6742 Utilities 39,290.0 DC partner with Nvidia Johor 2.54 4.76 87.4% 11.9
Average 33.9% 15.6
New IPO
UUE Holdings (IPO: 2 Jul@RM0.24) 0310 Industrial Products 146.0 DC underground utilities Not specified 0.24 na na 8.0
Kawan Renergy 0307 Industrial Products 490.0 DC equipment and fabrication Not specified 0.30 0.89 196.7% 28.5
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS, MEDIA REPORTS

New IPOs with DC angles


• We also highlight Kawan Renergy (Not Rated) and UUE Holdings as new IPOs with potential exposure to the DC space.

✓ Kawan Renergy (Ace market listing on 29 May 24): An ESG-driven business model. Beneficiary of higher demand for
renewable energy (RE) plants arising from RE expansion plans under the National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR), higher
demand for industrial process equipment and rising contribution from recurring income. A net cash company with exposure to
oleochemical and waste recovery industries, power and utilities, food processing, glove and oil & gas sectors. Kawan Renergy
has the capability to tap into the DC projects through its 2 principal activities: 1) Industrial process equipment (54% of
1HFY10/24 revenue) - chilled water tanks and 2) Renewable energy and cogeneration plants (26% of 1HFY10/24 revenue) -
cogeneration plant for chilled water, electricity generation and thermal solution. Two alternative energy sources are required in
most DC such as 1) Renewable energy (i.e. biomass) and 2) Non-renewable energy (i.e. diesel, natural gas). Kawan Renergy
possesses the proficiency to provide the formal solution.

✓ UUE Holdings (upcoming Ace market listing on 2 Jul 24): UUE is an underground utilities engineering specialist based in
Johor. The group’s strength in deploying HDD method of laying pipes, and employ the open cut and micro trenching excavation
methods (90% of FY2/24 revenue) for the connectivity of utilities (i.e. electricity, fibre optic and water) lays a good foundation
for the group in participating in the DC space. Moreover, the group has diversified into high-density polyethylene (HDPE) pipes
manufacturing to complement its drilling engineering solutions (10% of FY2/24 revenue). Key industries served include
electricity and telecommunications in Malaysia and Singapore. UUE's clientele is primarily the main contractors appointed by
the utility companies (ie.Tenaga Nasional) and other telecommunication players in Malaysia and Singapore.

Lee Ching Poh, Analyst – Retail Research

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

CGSI Retail Research’s Actively Managed Portfolio (AMP)


• Actively Managed Portfolio (AMP) is a medium-term investment (portfolio) product that recommends stocks purely based on Technical
Analysis (TA). Most of the stocks recommended in the portfolio are selected based on attractive trading angles and emerging trends.
• The key criterion here is to trade with the trend and cut losses short. The list therefore changes periodically. This portfolio is suited for
investors who have some or little time to monitor the stock market on a daily basis. Investors or traders should be mindful of the risks
involved.
• As of 28 Jun, the AMP list is unchanged and has generated a total return of +36.2% YTD (2023 AMP return: +26.4%). Note: The
portfolio is now in risk-off mode – hence the smaller position size will be applied for new entries (if any). At this juncture, our AMP
does not feature any companies with DC-related themes.

Figure 3: Actively Managed Portfolio (AMP) (as of 28 Jun 2024)

SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH

Lee Ching Poh, Analyst – Retail Research

What’s next? - How should investors/traders play the DC theme


• On the Retail Research side, we anticipate the DC theme to remain relevant and may still spur potential catalysts in 2H24. Going by
the expected rising momentum of DC-related investments, we believe investors’ sentiment/interest should continue to gravitate towards
other potential new DC beneficiaries. While new leads on the setup of new DC facilities, visibility, size and scale of new DC contract
pipeline, and potential expansion of new DC growth areas (beyond the existing DC hotspots in Selangor and Johor) appears limited at
this juncture, we would continue to keep an eye on the DC Small-Mid Cap space – including potential new DC developments relevant
to the construction and property sectors.
• Filtering out the Small-Mid Caps in the DC space. We segregate the Small-Mid Caps (RM3bn market cap and below) from the list
in Figure 2 above and isolate those with less than +50% increase in share prices YTD. We filtered out six names: 1) Dufu Technology
Corp (Not Rated, +34.2% YTD) - HDD, 2) United U-Li Corp (Not Rated, +33% YTD) – Cable support systems, 3) Infoline Tec (Not
Rated, +21% YTD) – IT Infra/Cyber security, 4) LGMS (Not Rated, +48% YTD) – Cyber security, 5) Cloudpoint Technology (Not
Rated, +46% YTD) – Networking solutions, and 6) Kerjaya Prospek (Not Rated, +17% YTD) – construction/property; according to an
article in the Edge Weekly, Kerjaya Prospek is upbeat on its order book growth outlook and is actively pursuing DC-related contracts
– outstanding order book stood at RM4.5bn (30-40% from external jobs).
• Purely on Technical Analysis. Of the six selections, Dufu, United U-LI and Infoline Tec stack up favorably in terms of medium to
longer term potential technical upside – see Technical Analysis section below.

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

Dufu Technology Corp

SOURCES: Bloomberg, CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS

• Technical Outlook: Prices broke out above its 1.5year sideway rectangle pattern and Resistance 1 (RM) 3.00
its 200-week EMA in April. The breakout likely suggests that the consolidation is over Resistance 2 3.12
and further upside beckons, targeting the 50% Fibonacci Retracement levels Resistance 3 3.33
(RM2.98). The psychological RM3.00 levels may act as a magnet to draw prices higher Support 1 2.40
in the short-term. Support 2 2.26
Support 3 2.05
• Short-to-medium term resistances are seen at RM3.00 and RM3.12.

• Downside support can be found near the RM2.20-2.26 levels i.e. the breakout
levels. As long as prices stay above the 50-week EMA (RM2.05), the odds would
continue to favour the bulls in the short-medium term.

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

United U-Li Corporation

SOURCES: Bloomberg, CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS

• Technical Outlook: Prices are trading at a 6-year high, signalling that momentum is Resistance 1 (RM) 2.38
still strong. The breakout above the 2023 high of RM1.80 gives the bulls a big boost Resistance 2 2.53
that the longer-term uptrend is continuing. Resistance 3 2.63
Support 1 1.80
• Short-to-medium term resistances are seen at RM2.38 and RM2.53. The higher Support 2 1.69
highs and higher lows structure from the RM0.845 lows ought to keep the current Support 3 1.50
uptrend going.

• Downside support is seen at the 2023 highs and together with the 20-week EMA
(RM1.69) are likely to provide support in the short term. Falling below the 50-week
EMA (RM1.50) is negative for the stock.

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

Infoline Tec

SOURCES: Bloomberg, CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS

• Technical Outlook: Prices appear to be on the verge of hitting a fresh all-time weekly Resistance 1 (RM) 1.04
close if prices finish week at current levels. The strong close signals that the bulls are Resistance 2 1.19
in charge and further upside is likely to follow in the coming weeks. The 4 white Resistance 3 1.28
candles, supported by the rising EMAs. are also supportive of higher prices in the short Support 1 0.87
term. Support 2 0.82
Support 3 0.77
• The immediate resistance is seen at RM1.04, which is the intra-week high. A push
beyond that may see prices climb to test its Fibonacci targets at RM1.19 (1.382x) and
RM1.28 (1.618x) thereafter.

• Downside support are set at RM0.87, RM0.82 and RM0.77 (critical). Any close
below the 50-week EMA warns that further consolidation is needed before the bulls
are push the stock higher.

Kong Seh Siang – Head of Retail Research

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

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8
Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

(a) Section 34 of the FAA (obligation to disclose product information);


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Score Range: 90 - 100 80 – 89 70 - 79 Below 70 No Survey Result
Description: Excellent Very Good Good N/A N/A

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Investor or Major Institutional Investor must not rely on this communication. The delivery of this research report to any person in the United States of America is not a

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Malaysia | Trading Lens | Retail Research | June 30, 2024

recommendation to effect any transactions in the securities discussed herein, or an endorsement of any opinion expressed herein. CGS International Securities USA,
Inc. (“CGS US”), is a FINRA/SIPC member and takes responsibility for the content of this report. For further information or to place an order in any of the above-
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The delivery of this report to any person in the U.S. is not a recommendation to effect any transactions in the securities discussed herein, or an endorsement of any
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https://raymondjames.com/InternationalEquityDisclosures
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Distribution of stock ratings and investment banking clients for quarter ended on 31 March 2024
634 companies under coverage for quarter ended on 31 March 2024
Rating Distribution (%) Investment Banking clients (%)
Add 65.5% 1.3%
Hold 24.1% 0.2%
Reduce 10.4% 0.3%

Recommendation Framework
Stock Ratings Definition:
Add The stock’s total return is expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months.
Hold The stock’s total return is expected to be between 0% and positive 10% over the next 12 months.
Reduce The stock’s total return is expected to fall below 0% or more over the next 12 months.
The total expected return of a stock is defined as the sum of the: (i) percentage difference between the target price and the current price and (ii) the forward net
dividend yields of the stock. Stock price targets have an investment horizon of 12 months.
Sector Ratings Definition:
Overweight An Overweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a positive absolute recommendation.
Neutral A Neutral rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a neutral absolute recommendation.
Underweight An Underweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a negative absolute recommendation.
Country Ratings Definition:
Overweight An Overweight rating means investors should be positioned with an above-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.
Neutral A Neutral rating means investors should be positioned with a neutral weight in this country relative to benchmark.
Underweight An Underweight rating means investors should be positioned with a below-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.

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