Chen 2017
Chen 2017
Modernizing Distribution
System Restoration to Achieve
Grid Resiliency Against
Extreme Weather Events:
An Integrated Solution
By C h e n C h e n , Member IEEE, J i a n h u i Wa ng , Senior Member IEEE, and D a n Ton
ABSTRACT | Recent severe power outages caused by extreme the grid modernization efforts could benefit distribution system
weather hazards have highlighted the importance and urgency restoration, and we propose an integrated solution in the form
of improving the resilience of the electric power grid. As the of a decision support tool to achieve the goal. The advantages
distribution grids still remain vulnerable to natural disasters, the of the solution include improving situational awareness of the
power industry has focused on methods of restoring distribution system damage status and facilitating survivability for customers.
systems after disasters in an effective and quick manner. The The paper provides a comprehensive review of how the existing
current distribution system restoration practice for utilities methodologies in the literature could be leveraged to achieve the
is mainly based on predetermined priorities and tends to be key advantages. The benefits of the developed system restoration
inefficient and suboptimal, and the lack of situational awareness decision support tool include the optimal and efficient allocation
after the hazard significantly delays the restoration process. of repair crews and resources, the expediting of the restoration
As a result, customers may experience an extended blackout, process, and the reduction of outage durations for customers, in
which causes large economic loss. On the other hand, the
response to severe blackouts due to extreme weather hazards.
emerging advanced devices and technologies enabled through
grid modernization efforts have the potential to improve the
KEYWORDS | Automated feeder switch; distributed generator;
distribution system restoration strategy. However, utilizing
distribution system restoration; extreme weather event; grid
these resources to aid the utilities in better distribution system
modernization; microgrid; resiliency; situational awareness;
restoration decision making in response to extreme weather
survivability
events is a challenging task. Therefore, this paper proposes an
integrated solution: a distribution system restoration decision
support tool designed by leveraging resources developed for I. I N T RODUC T ION
grid modernization. First, we review the current distribution
Recent severe power outages caused by extreme weather
restoration practice and discuss why it is inadequate in
hazards have highlighted the importance and urgency of
response to extreme weather events. Then, we describe how
improving the resilience of the electric power grid. People
will never forget that Superstorm Sandy in 2012 left over
Manuscript received September 2, 2016; revised January 10, 2017; accepted
March 11, 2017. This work was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy Office 8 million customers without power across 15 states and
of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability. The submitted manuscript was Washington, DC on the east coast of the United States [1], [2],
created by UChicago Argonne, LLC, Operator of Argonne National Laboratory
(Argonne). Argonne, a U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science laboratory, is and Hurricane Irene in 2011 resulted in more than 6.5 million
operated under Contract No. DE-AC02-06CH11357.
C. Chen is with the Energy Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory,
people loosing power [1]. A recent Congressional Research
Argonne, IL 60439 USA (e-mail: morningchen@anl.gov) Service study estimates that the inflation-adjusted cost of
J. Wang is with the Department of Electrical Engineering, Southern M ethodist
University, Dallas, TX, USA, and the Energy Systems Division, Argonne National
weather-related outages in the United States is $25–70 bil-
Laboratory, Argonne, IL 60439 USA (email: jianhui.wang@ieee.org) lion annually [3]. Besides the United States, large-scale power
D. Ton is with the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Electricity Delivery and
Energy Reliability, Washington, DC 20585 USA (email: Dan.Ton@hq.doe.gov) outages caused by extreme weather events occurred in other
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1109/JPROC.2017.2684780
0018-9219 © 2017 IEEE. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission.
See http://www.ieee.org/publications standards/publications/rights/index.html for more information.
Proceedings of the IEEE 1
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Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
countries over the last decade. For example, the most severe
ice storm seen in the last couple of decades with large-scale
power interruptions following the incident were reported in
China during the ice storm of 2008. More than 200 million
people were left without electricity, and the direct costs of
the event were estimated to be more than $2.2 billion [4].
The Cyclone Dagmar of 2011 left about 570 000 customers
(from a total of 3.2 million electricity customers) experienc-
ing a power outage in Finland [5]. In January 2005, a severe
storm swept across Northern Europe, from Ireland to Russia.
More than 500 000 homes were left without power, with Fig. 1. Weather and climate disaster events with losses exceeding
Denmark and Southern Sweden being hit particularly hard. $1 billion in the United States, 1980–2016. (Source: NOAA’s NCEI [12].)
Five nuclear power plants had to be shut down due to saltwa-
ter seeping into electricity distribution plants [6]. Recently,
in September 2016, fierce storms and lightning strikes in climate disasters since 1980 where overall damages/costs
Australia left the entire state of South Australia with 1.6 mil- reached or exceeded $1 billion with adjustment of consumer
lion people without power overnight [7]. price index (CPI), as shown in Fig. 1. The 1980–2015 annual
Extreme weather is the number one cause of electric average is 5.2 events; the annual average for the most recent
power outages in the United States [1]. According to the five years (2011–2015) is 10.8 events. In 2015, there were
analysis by Hines et al. [8], among 933 events causing power ten weather and climate disaster events with losses exceed-
outages from 1984 to 2006, as shown in Table 1, almost ing $1 billion each across the United States, as shown in
44% were weather related. According to the database of grid Fig. 2. In 2016, there were eight weather and climate disas-
disturbance events maintained by the U.S. Department of ter events with losses exceeding $1 billion (as of July 2016),
Energy (DOE) [9], around 78% of the reported 1333 elec- including two flooding events and six severe storm events.
tric grid disruptions from 1992 to 2011 were weather related The electric distribution grids still remain vulnerable
[3]. Regarding Europe, natural disasters have become the to extreme weather events. Fig. 3 shows examples of dis-
primary threats for the continuity of electricity service. tribution-line and substation damage caused by wind and
After the central European floods of 2002, 2010, and 2013, flooding, respectively, during Superstorm Sandy [1], [13].
European winter storms and the heavy snow of 2012, and the On the other hand, customers’ expectations for the continu-
northeast European hurricane of 2011, both the European ity of electricity services have increased with the evolution
Union and its member countries started questioning the of modern society’s reliance on electricity, which creates
security level of their electric power supply [10]. pressure on utilities to enhance the grid resiliency against
The number of outages caused by extreme weather is extreme weather events. While system hardening and resil-
expected to rise as climate change increases the frequency ience investments (vegetation management, underground-
and intensity of hurricanes, blizzards, floods, etc. [1], [11]. ing, elevating substations, etc.) at the planning stage are
According to data provided by the National Centers for very important, system restoration in response to the disas-
Environmental Information (NCEI) of the National Oceanic trous event is also indispensable to achieving resilient elec-
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) [12], as of July tric distribution systems.
2016, the United States has sustained 196 weather and
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Successful restoration efforts also include effective com- outages. If the distribution system experiences a complete
munications, both internal and external. The internal com- loss of electricity, or some isolated islands are formed as a
munications are essential to manage and coordinate res- result of the extreme weather event, customers may experi-
toration activities, while the external communications are ence extended outages until the faulted areas are repaired
equally important to create public trust and reinforce the and energized again. This process may take a week or
perception of a successful effort [14]; e.g., providing accu- longer, as actually happened during Superstorm Sandy.
rate estimated time of restoration (ETR) will alleviate the This scenario poses new challenges for utilities to achieve
frustration of the customers experiencing the blackout. survivability for customers, which refers to the ability to
maintain some basic level of electrical functionality to indi-
B. Inadequacy of Current Restoration Practice for vidual consumers or communities in the event of a complete
Extreme Weather Events loss of electrical service from the distribution system [28].
Actually, the concept of assisting customers with surviv-
While the current distribution system restoration ability features is relatively new to the electric industry.
schemes work well for typical power outages, the story may Historically, many customers such as hospitals, banks, and
change for extreme weather events. The challenges come data centers have assumed responsibility for their own sur-
from the unique features of power outages due to extreme vivability, relying on backup generators and uninterruptible
weather events, as shown in Table 2 from our previous work power supplies (UPS) [28]. However, owing to modern soci-
[29]. These features are highly related to the characteristics ety’s high dependence on electricity and the rapid evolution
of the extreme weather event. For example, a storm may of customer expectations regarding electricity supply conti-
topple trees at several locations that snap utility poles to
nuity (e.g., for communications and modern conveniences)
cause multiple faults and cause a widespread outage, and
after an extreme weather event, the utilities are facing pres-
these locations depend on the path of the storm. On the
sure to achieve survivability for customers before the com-
contrary, a typical outage is usually caused by one or a few
pletion of repairs on faulted areas.
random faults. Sometimes even bulk power systems suffer
damage as a result of the disaster, which in turn causes out- 2) Lack of Situational Awareness: Lack of situational
ages that conventional restoration mechanisms may not be awareness after disastrous events is another challenge to
able to deal with in an effective manner. In addition, natural distribution system operators, which largely delays the res-
disasters may destroy other infrastructures which are inter- toration process and causes large economic costs to custom-
dependent with power grids (e.g., transportation network, ers. Unlike the transmission systems, most of the current
communications network, gas pipelines) so that the resto- distribution systems are “blind” in terms of monitoring and
ration process will face even more difficulties. Conversely, control capabilities beyond the distribution substation. Even
a typical power outage usually does not suffer from these with some observability enabled by AMI or DA, data after a
issues. These differences will result in the limitations of natural disaster may be unavailable or questionable, since
the current restoration practices in response to extreme the devices as well as the underlying communications net-
weather events, as discussed below. work may also be damaged. To pinpoint the faulted areas,
the current OMS usually depends on customer trouble calls,
1) Degraded Customers’ Survivability: The distribution
which are slow and inaccurate, or even unavailable owing
system restoration strategies designed for typical outages may
to damaged telecommunication systems. The existence of
not be suitable for recovery from natural-disaster-induced
so-called “nested outages,” i.e., an outage within an outage,
Table 2 Differences Between Typical Outages and Natural-Disaster- which are more common in power outages due to extreme
Induced Outages [29] weather events, creates additional difficulties in identifica-
tion of outage areas.
On the other hand, the damage status information is
usually captured by field assessors, which is also a very slow
process, and the crews cannot be dispatched until the dam-
age information is collected and analyzed. Furthermore, as
indicated in the white paper by GTM Research [30], the
separation of the damage assessment system from the OMS
during restoration results in data silos for the two processes,
which impact the ability to achieve situational awareness in
a timely manner. In this sense, utilities have little knowl-
edge about what components/networks are damaged and
how severely they are damaged after natural disasters, and
thus it is difficult for utilities to schedule repair crews and
restore the distribution system effectively and efficiently.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
to isolate faults and reconfigure faulted segments of the B. An Integrated Distribution System Restoration
distribution feeder to restore power. Fig. 7(c) shows Decision Support Tool
the IntelliRupter PulseCloser Fault Interrupter designed Although the new devices and technologies discussed in
and manufactured by S&C Electric Company [36], Section III-A could potentially help the utilities to improve
which integrates fault interruption, fault isolation, the restoration process, it will be a challenge to deter-
and circuit restoration in a single, easy-to-install pack- mine how to best utilize these resources, especially during
age, and Fig. 7(d) shows the corresponding automatic extreme weather events. A decision support tool that inte-
switch control system [37]. For example, in the SGIG grates these resources and technologies will be helpful for
project implemented by the Electric Power Board (EPB) decision making by the utilities’ operators during restora-
in Chattanooga, TN, USA, more than 1400 automated tion. The tool leverages weather information/forecasts and
feeder switches have been installed with the correspond- system fragility assessment to improve utilities’ situational
ing communication and information management [17]. awareness during restoration processes. Advanced opti-
In a July 2012 derecho that affected half of EPB’s cus- mization models with user-defined multiobjective metrics
tomers, EPB’s response was up to 17 h faster because of will be developed to schedule repair crews and restoration
the automated feeder switches, which restored power resources and reconfigure the distribution grids in real time.
to 40 000 customers instantly [17]. The tool is adaptive to system variations, as a feedback loop
With the development of grid modernization, the increas- will be designed for decision updates. The structure of the
ing penetration of distributed generation technologies and
proposed decision support tool includes four modules, as
microgrids provides localized power resources, which may
shown in Fig. 8.
provide huge benefits during restoration in response to
extreme weather events. As recommended in the report by • The data fusion module leverages the existing trou-
GridWise Alliance [2], these distributed energy resources ble call systems, weather information/forecasts, sys-
(DERs) can be leveraged to serve critical loads when the util- tem fragility assessment models, and data from dis-
ity grid is down after extreme weather events. The automated tribution field measurements to improve situational
feeder switches and the associated control mechanism make awareness and estimate and predict distribution
it possible to utilize these DERs to ensure the survivability of system damage status after extreme weather events
the customers and reduce outage sizes and durations. The such as a hurricane, flooding, nor’easter, ice storm,
resilience benefits of the DERs was demonstrated by Sendai or wildfire.
Microgrid (SM) in Japan during the 2011 great east Japan • The crew and resource dispatch module captures
earthquake and tsunami. When the earthquake occurred, the key attributes and constraints of repair crews and
Tohoku Electric Power Company stopped supplying power associated restoration resources, and integrates
to the area surrounding SM, resulting in an almost three-day them into restoration models.
outage. Nevertheless, SM was able to continuously supply • The advanced control module utilizes the resources
power to some small critical loads within the campus and enabled by distribution automation, e.g., automated
provided full heat and power service for almost two and a half feeder switches and DERs, to reconfigure distribu-
of the three blackout days [38]. tion grids and pick up loads.
2) Advanced Metering Infrastructure: The smart meters
deployed in the AMI are equipped with outage notification
capabilities that allow the devices to transmit a “last-gasp”
alert when power to the meter is lost [34]. The information
can be integrated into the OMS to provide additional way
to pinpoint the outage area and help to assess the damage.
Smart meters can also transmit “power on” notifications
to operators when power is restored, or even allow utili-
ties to “ping” meters in the affected areas to assess the out-
age boundary and verify the restoration progress, enabling
field crews to be deployed more efficiently, thus reduc-
ing the restoration time. This benefit was shown in the
SGIG project at PECO in Philadelphia, PA, USA, during
Superstorm Sandy, where smart meter operations helped
PECO avoid more than 6000 truck rolls as power restora-
tion was confirmed by pinging meters without having to Fig. 8. The overall structure of the integrated distribution system
send repair crews [17]. restoration decision support tool.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
• The user-defined multiobjective optimization mod- 2) Facilitating survivability for customers in the event
ule exploits advanced optimization models to coor- of a complete loss of electrical service from the util-
dinate repair crew scheduling, resource allocation, ity grid. The advanced control module will integrate
distribution grid reconfiguration, and load pickup the new devices and technologies enabled by smart
according to different metrics specified by users. grids and distribution automation to reconfigure the
The tool is adaptive to system variations, as a feed- distribution grid and pick up load in an optimal way.
back loop of updated information will be integrated As a result, the DERs can be utilized to serve the
into the decision-making process. critical loads after extreme weather events to reduce
the customers’ outage size and duration.
The benefits of the proposed integrated distribution
system restoration support tool include the optimal and In Section IV, we will discuss how different sources of
efficient allocation of repair crews and resources, the information can be integrated to estimate the system dam-
expediting of the restoration process, and the reduction age status to improve the situational awareness for utilities.
of outage time for customers in response to severe black- Several existing technical approaches will be described,
outs due to extreme weather hazards. Thus, the economic and a data fusion framework will be proposed to integrate
costs of power outages can be reduced. It will further these sources of information. In Section V, we will describe
benefit the whole electricity industry, including utility how the DERs and automated feeder switches can be lever-
companies, customers, independent system operators/ aged to reconfigure the grid and pick up local loads, which
regional transmission organizations (ISOs/RTOs), regu- provide the potential to reduce customers’ outage duration
latory agencies, and vendors. The anticipated benefits and facilitate survivability. Some case studies are provided
to various entities and stakeholders are summarized as to demonstrate the approaches, and some special technical
follows. considerations will be discussed.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
distribution line exposed to extreme winds is determined by (FEMA) HAZUS Hurricane Model [42]. This method
the failure of at least one of its support structures, i.e., dis- considers substations as a single unit instead of employ-
tribution poles. Based on the observations made by Quanta ing fragility curves for individual substation elements as
Technology [39], the failure probability of an existing distri- approximation.
bution support structure can be approximated by an expo- Flooding is a major concern for substations. Flooding
nential function using historical data, as follows: becomes a problem for substations when the amount of water
exceeds the capacity of the drainage network. Flooding can
λp = a ⋅ exp (b ⋅ ws) (1) cause severe damage to substation equipment, and may lead
to interruptions in service continuity and widespread out-
where λ p is the pole failure rate, w
sis the sustained wind ages. The approach of estimating the impacts of flooding on a
speed, and aand bare tuning parameters based on histori- distribution substation is based on the metric of water depth
cal data. Using historical data from Florida Power & Light in flooding, which dictates whether a substation remains in
results in a = 0 . 0001and b = 0 . 0421 [39]. Besides the operation. The expected loss of functionality for substations
empirical methods using historical data, other methods from inundation is determined on a site-specific basis as a
based on physical models are also available. For example, function of the depth of flooding. The functionality thresh-
Winkler et al. [40] used wind force and maximum rated line olds and damage functions will be obtained from the FEMA
perpendicular stress resistance to approximate the probabil- HAZUS Flood Model for each type of substation [43]; exam-
ity of line failure. The wind force on line k, Fwind,k, is calcu- ple information for low-voltage substations is shown in Fig. 9.
lated with the standard American Society of Civil Engineers The severe weather forecasts can be combined with
(ASCE) design equation using wind gust speed (ws) and line geographic information system (GIS) data on electric dis-
cross-sectional area Ac tribution components to determine the projected weather
conditions at a specific location. Using the damage curves,
Fwind,k = Q kz IFW Cf Ac w 2s
GWRF (2)
the potential damage and availability of these grid compo-
where other parameters in (2) accounting for air density nents would be determined specifically for a given weather
(Q), terrain correction (kz), hazard importance (IFW
), wire threat, coupled with the forecasted weather conditions.
strain (GWRF
), and drag coefficient (Cf) are defined by the The historical and forecasting weather data are available in
ASCE Engineering Practice Report 113 [41]. Line damage shapefile format (a popular geospatial vector data format for
probability is calculated as the ratio of the maximum per- GIS) from the National Weather Service (NWS) [44] and
pendicular force that the line can endure (Fbrk,k) and the NOAA [45] for the following weather metrics:
line wind loading (Fwind,k) for a distribution line k • precipitation;
Fw ind,k (ws) • temperature;
( )
Prwind,k = min γ ________
Fb rk, k
, 1.0 (3) • depth of flood water;
• hurricane and storm surge.
where factor γis used to scale the line fragility estimates to
match recorded failure data. The distribution grid suffers Besides these publicly available weather data, advanced
from significant vulnerability to damage caused by flying weather forecasting models, e.g., the Weather Research
debris, as the distribution lines are close to the ground and and Forecasting (WRF) Model [46], can also be utilized to
often in close proximity to trees. Tree windthrow probabil- obtain weather forecasting with finer granularity.
ity therefore affects the fragility of the distribution lines sig-
nificantly. The study in [40] also discussed the flying debris 2) System-Level Damage Assessment: Unlike the com-
models and how they will affect the distribution line failure ponent-level damage assessment methods that investigate
probability.
The damage probability for substations in terms of wind-
storms can be represented via log-normal fragility curves
[40]. These curves generate the probability of damage for
a given wind gust speed (ws) while taking into account the
local terrain and structural characteristics of the substation
under consideration. The general form of the fragility curves
is shown as
( )dx
2
−∞ − ( ln x − μ)
1 exp _________
Pr(damage| ws=x) =∫ ____
___ (4)
x √ 2π σ 2
2 σ
where parameters μ and σrepresent the logarithmic mean
and standard deviation of the fragility curve, which can be
taken from the Federal Emergency Management Agency Fig. 9. Damage curve for substations in terms of flood water depth.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
the individual component failure risk, system-level damage values at that node. This process is continued until each end
assessment methods use characteristics of the overall sys- node reaches purity (SSE = 0) or until a minimum number
tem, the hazard, and the area to estimate the failure risk. of records are reached at a given node. Another tree-based
Multivariate regression-based statistical models are usually method is Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The
applied for this type of approach. Guikema et al. [47] pre- BART model consists of a large number of small trees with
sent several statistical models developed in previous work each tree constrained by a prior to restrict each tree’s con-
[48]–[51], as well as tree-based data mining models, for esti- tribution to the final model, making each individual tree
mating the number of poles that will need to be replaced for a “weak learner.” Fit and inference in BART are achieved
an approaching hurricane. through a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm [29], [52].
The generalized linear model (GLM) is a generaliza- To evaluate the predictive accuracy, a holdout valida-
tion of a standard linear regression that allows regression tion analysis is applied. The data set will be partitioned into
analysis of count data. A GLM consists of three components: training and validation sets (e.g., 80% of the data is the
1) a conditional distribution for the count events given the training set and 20% of the data is the validation set as a
parameter(s) of the distribution; 2) a “link” equation relat- general rule). The mean absolute error (MAE) and mean
ing the distribution parameter(s) to a function of the explan- squared error (MSE) are employed for the validation and
atory variables; and 3) an equation specifying the function comparison
of the explanatory variables to be used in the link function n
[47]. For example, a negative binomial GLM to model dis- n1 ∑ | y î − yi |,
MAE = __ (8)
i=1
tribution system damage in grid cell ican be described as
follows: n
1
MSE = __ 2
−1 n ∑ ( y î − yi) . (9)
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
be upgrading of the system components over time, espe- and circuit breakers to identify the most probable faulted
cially due to the grid modernization efforts. One method to section of the distribution grid, e.g., the methods in [58] and
tackle this issue is to include the power system component [59] based on expert systems, and the method in [60] based
change information in explanatory variables in statistical on overcurrent direction and network structure. Recent work
models, so that the inference results can capture the effects [61] proposed an automatic and fast faulted line section iden-
of system change over time. tification based on the data from fault indicators, which have
The system-level assessment method can also be utilized been widely installed in distribution systems because of their
by utilities to achieve efficient and effective emergency lower cost. The information can be further leveraged to esti-
response planning in advance of an approaching disaster. mate the fault location once the faulted line section is identi-
The assessment can be used to inform the public about the fied, as discussed in, e.g., [62]–[64], and references therein.
estimation of the scale of the outage and duration of the res- In addition, the continuous measurements from field devices
toration, which is also an important task for utilities before can be exploited to identify the faulted segment. For example,
and during restoration. the method in [65] uses current magnitude to identify mul-
tiple faulted segments and further uses voltage sag to reduce
the candidate faulted segments. However, in the event of dis-
B. Other Sources of Information for Damage
asters, the data from these field devices may become unavail-
Assessment
able owing to damage to the devices or the underlying com-
The system damage status can be estimated utilizing munication system (i.e., SCADA), so that fault identification
other sources besides the weather information, includ- by these methods, based on incomplete data, may provide
ing the traditional customer trouble calls, data from fault- ambiguous results. In addition, these methods rely on the
indicating devices enabled by DA for feeder information, electric signature at the time of the fault, so further damage to
and smart meter data enabled via AMI on the customers’ the outage/faulted area cannot be identified or located.
end. Each source of these data will provide information on
system outage, fault, and damage from different temporal 3) Data From Smart Meters in AMI: With the development
and spatial dimensions; thus, integrating them can achieve of AMI, smart meters are capable of outage notifications via
improved situational awareness of the system status after underlying two-way communications systems. These noti-
extreme weather events. fications provide useful information to pinpoint the outage
and damage from the customers’ end. Many studies appear
1) Customer Trouble Calls: Traditionally, distribution grids in the literature on identifying power outages using smart
have little observability and controllability beyond the substa- meters. Chen et al. [66] proposed a fuzzy-petri-nets-based
tions. When a power outage occurs, utilities rely on trouble method to detect outage events using AMI data. Liu and
calls from customers to pinpoint the outage area. The OMS Schulz [67] designed a knowledge-based system to locate
will match the phone number from each call to the specific distribution system outages utilizing wireless automated
customer locations, so that the distribution transformer and meter reading systems. Sridharan and Schulz [68] proposed
protective devices on the corresponding feeder can be identi- probabilistic and fuzzy model-based filter algorithms to pro-
fied. When sufficient trouble calls are collected, the OMS pre- cess outage data from automated metering system. Smart
dicts the tripped protective devices and faulted line sections. meters could also help with identifying the fault location
Through call center automation techniques, including inter- using their voltage measurements [69], and during the res-
active voice response (IVR) and automated callbacks [30], the toration process, smart meters could provide verification
collection of the trouble calls could be expedited. Laverty and and confirmation of the restoration [70]. However, like the
Schulz [57] proposed a topology-based algorithm that associ- distribution SCADA system, the underlying communication
ates trouble calls with each other to provide more accurate network for AMI is vulnerable to natural disasters, leading
information about outages during heat storms. However, the to the availability issue for the smart meter data.
accuracy of the method based on trouble calls relies on the
availability of trouble calls from customers, which is an issue 4) Data From μ PMU: The microphasor measurement units
during natural disasters, since they could also impact the tel- (μPMU), a new synchrophasor measurement device designed
ecommunication systems. for distribution systems and funded by DOE Advanced
Research Project Agency—Energy (ARPA—E) [71], could
2) Data From Fault-Indicating Devices: The data from fault- provide more accurate and finer-granularity measurements to
indicating devices could capture the electric signatures asso- monitor the distribution grid status. Fig. 10 shows the μ PMU
ciated with faults and the control center could get the data developed by the Power Standards Lab (PSL). A scoping study
through the distribution SCADA. The fault-indicating devices by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [72] shows the
generally include circuit breakers (CBs), feeder terminal effectiveness of μPMUs for distribution system restoration.
units (FTUs), fault indicators (FIs), etc. There are some exist- With deployment of more μ PMUs in distribution systems, the
ing studies on how to utilize information on the tripped relay situational awareness could be further improved.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
log (λi ) = β 0 + ∑ βp Xp (10)
p∈
where Xp is the explanatory variable describing the value of
pth weather metric of all weather metrics (by set ). Using Fig. 12. Linear pool data fusion model.
historical weather data, the coefficient β p can be estimated
using regression methods. With the model, the failure rate
data fusion models can be exploited to combine local poste-
in a given area can be estimated using the weather informa-
rior probabilities. For example, the linear pool model [79],
tion/forecasts. The component-level failure probability can
as shown in Fig. 12, applies linear combinations of local pos-
then be computed using the exponential distribution. Note
terior probabilities
that for each type of component in the given area, the failure
M
probability of each component is the same, because the fail- p(y| x (1), x (2), …, x (M)) ∝ ∑ wm
⋅ p(y| x (m)). (11)
ure rate describes the damage properties of this area from m=1
the statistical perspective. The weight wm reflects the significance attached to the
The fault section identification algorithms using meas- th information source. It can be used to model the reli-
m
urement data from fault-indicating devices (described in ability or trustworthiness of an information source if such
Section IV-B2) can yield a unique faulted line section by parameters are available, and we can use equal weights if
assuming each line section is equipped with a fault-indi- such information is not available.
cating device. However, due to the damage sustained from The independent pool model [80] applies the product of
the natural disaster, some devices may also be damaged, local posterior probabilities
or in the case that not all line sections are equipped with a M
fault-indicating device, the algorithm will result in multiple p(y| x (1), x (2), …, x (M)) ∝ ∏ p (y| x (m))
(12)
m=1
faulted line section candidates. We can convert this ambigu-
ity into a probabilistic model to allocate a probability to each which is illustrated in Fig. 13.
instance of line section damage, so that a generic probabilis- We can see that both models have flexibility regarding
tic damage assessment model from fault-indicating devices the number of sources M, i.e., it can tackle any number of
can be derived. For the fault section identification using sources. This feature is very useful as the data fusion frame-
smart meters and other sources of information, the similar work can be easily applied for different electric utilities with
approach can be applied to model the multiple identifica- diverse sources of information. The proposed probabilistic
tion results into a generic probabilistic damage assessment data fusion framework provides an optional solution so that
model. multiple sources of information can be complementary to
Given the probabilistic model of damage estimation each other to improve the accuracy of damage assessment.
using different sources, the objective of data fusion is to Note that there are still several technical challenges in
combine the probabilistic information. We assume that obtaining situational awareness accurately using the exist-
Minformation sources are available and the observations ing approaches and the proposed data fusion framework in
from the mth source are arranged in the vector x (m). Data practice, such as model uncertainty as a result of the extreme
fusion aims to compute the global posterior probability weather, limited amount of historical data, nonstationarity
p(y| x (1), x (2), …, x (M)), given the information contributed feature of the problem, data quality issues of measurements,
by each source, where y indicates the event of damage to a etc., which are still open problems in this research area.
component. Generally, each source of information can con-
tribute two conditional probabilities: a local posterior prob- V. FACI L I TAT I NG SU RV I VA BIL I T Y
ability p (y| x (m))and a likelihood function p (x (m) |y). In this As shown in Table 2, the lack of power availability during
problem, however, the local posterior probability p(y| x (m)) outages due to extreme weather events poses challenges
is what each source of information can contribute, which for conventional restoration strategies, which are based on
is actually the result of the probabilistic model of damage
assessment for each source, while it is intractable to obtain
the likelihood function because the relation between the
damage and the observations is through complicated algo-
rithms (e.g., statistical regression or certain fault section
identification algorithms), and we cannot obtain the reverse
of these algorithms to compute the likelihood function.
With the local posterior probability p(y| x (m)) of the dam-
age from each source of information computed, probabilistic Fig. 13. Independent pool data fusion model.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
to the methods based on fixed-boundary microgrids, it will this microgrid, then line ( i, j)belongs to microgrid k . If line
be adaptable to the different outage and damage scenarios (i, j)belongs to any one of the microgrids in K, the switch on
of natural disasters. However, this scheme also poses chal- this line (if it exists) should be in the closed state. Thus, the
lenges for controlling and coordinating these smart switches branch-node constraints to specify switch state on line (i, j)
without violating the operational constraints. in terms of node clustering variables v ikcan be expressed as
1) MILP Formulation of Microgrid Formation: In our cij = ∑ vh k, h =
ζk (i, j), (i, j) ∈ ℒ (16)
k∈K
previous work [96], a microgrid formation mechanism to
restore critical loads in the absence of a utility grid is pro- where h = ζk (i, j)denotes the children node of line (i, j)
posed. We consider a radial power distribution system con- regarding microgrid k.
sisting of Nnodes denoted by the set of nodes N : = { 1, …, N}, Additional microgrid load pickup constraints specify the
and Lpower lines represented by the set of edges ℒ : = { (i, j) condition on whether the load at node ican be energized
⊆ N × N}. Let cij ∈ { 0, 1}denote the binary decision vari- by microgrid k ∈ K, which can be represented by satisfy-
ables indicating whether the switch associated with line (i, j) ing the following two conditions simultaneously: 1) node i
is open (cij = 0) or closed (cij = 1), and let si ∈ 0, 1denote the belongs to microgrid k , i.e., vik = 1; and 2) the switch asso-
binary decision variables representing whether the switch ciated with the load is closed so that the load is connected to
connecting the load and node iis open (si = 0) or closed node i, i.e., s i = 1. These two conditions formulated as vik ⋅
(si = 1). By controlling these switches, K self-adequate micro- si = 1, which is a quadratic constraint. To address the non-
grids can be formed to maximize the total prioritized loads linearity issue, we define auxiliary binary decision variables
to be restored. The microgrid formation problem is mod- ∈ { 0, 1} as γik
γik = ⋅ si, ∀ i ∈ N, k ∈ K, and the quad-
vik
eled as an MILP problem. To model node clustering con- ratic equality constraints can be converted to the following
straints that specify which microgrid a node belongs to, we three linear inequality constraints:
define auxiliary binary decision variables vik ∈ { 0, 1}indicat-
ing whether node i ∈ Nbelongs to microgrid k ∈ (vik = 1 ≤
γik vik
, ∀ i ∈ N, k ∈ K (17)
if node ibelongs to microgrid k, and v ik = 0if otherwise),
≤
γik si, ∀ i ∈ N, k ∈ K (18)
and the node clustering constraints can be expressed as
≥
γik + si − 1, ∀ i
vik ∈ N, k ∈ K. (19)
∑ vik = 1, ∀ i ∈ N (13)
k∈
Besides these logical constraints discussed above, other
to represent that if the load at node i ∈ Ncan be energized
operational constraints are modeled, including voltage
by microgrids, this node can only belong to one of the K
range constraints at each node, and real and reactive power
microgrids.
output range constraints for DGs. The objective function
For node iat which the DG k is installed (i.e., i = k),
aims to maximize the total priority weighted load picked up,
node iwill belong to microgrid k, which can be written as
where the weights indicate the importance and priority of
the following equality constraints:
the loads for restoration. The detailed formulation can be
vik = 1, i = k, ∀ i ∈ N, k ∈ K. (14) found in our previous work in [96].
With this scheme, DGs can be utilized to serve critical
The radial topological features are captured in the load locally to facilitate the customers’ survivability after
microgrid connectivity constraints. Specifically, for a radial extreme weather events. Fig. 15 illustrates the formation of
distribution network, each microgrid is a subtree network three microgrids based on the IEEE 37-node test system [96].
with the root node being the node where the DG is installed. Our work in [97] proposed a self-healing strategy by section-
In that sense, one node can belong to microgrid k only if alization of the distribution system into microgrids, with the
its parent node (for this microgrid) belongs to microgrid k, consideration of the uncertainty of renewable generation.
which can be expressed as
2) Multi-Time-Step Sequential Restoration: A feasible
vik ≤
vjk
, ∀ k ∈ K, ∀ i ∈ N\ { k}, j =
θk (i) (15) service restoration plan should include a sequence of con-
trol actions (e.g., switching, DG dispatching) that the sys-
where θk (i)denotes the parent node of node i regarding tem operator can follow to restore the affected customers
microgrid k. step by step. However, the previous work focuses on how
In addition, the microgrid branch-node constraints spec- to generate a “snapshot” of the optimal reconfiguration of
ify the relation between nodes and lines in a microgrid. If the grid (e.g., the microgrid formation scheme in [96]).
both nodes iand jbelong to microgrid k, i.e., vik = vjk
= 1, The snapshot configuration must be verified by switching
then the line connecting nodes iand jshould also belong to order management (SOM) in the control center. If some
microgrid k . Together with (14), we can further derive that if constraints happen to be violated, the solution should be
the children node of ( i, j)(regarding microgrid k ) belongs to updated and verified by SOM again. This iterative process
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Fig. 16. Single line diagram of modified IEEE 13 node test feeder
with three DGs.
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
CLPU curve and used linearization to integrate it into the Fig. 20. The load demand under CLPU conditions.
MILP formulation. Fig. 20 shows a typical delayed expo-
nential CLPU curve. The outage occurs at t0, and the load
microgrids. However, the communication infrastructure
is restored at t1. Due to the loss of diversity, the undiversi-
may also be damaged during extreme weather events, pos-
fied loading factor at t1 is SU . Then, the load starts to gain
ing challenges for restoration. An alternative communica-
diversity at t2 and decreases exponentially. The post-outage tion solution is needed in this case. While satellite commu-
diversified loading factor is SD, which is normally equal to nication will usually not be impacted by extreme weather
the pre-outage loading level. It should be noted that the res- events, its cost is an issue, especially for device-level com-
toration time (i.e., t1) for each load is not predetermined. munications. Another possible solution is to utilize a peer-
Given a CLPU curve, we can calculate the load demand to-peer ad hoc-type communication network, which does
at each sampling time. In this work, we assume that the not rely on infrastructure [114]. In previous work [96], we
CLPU curve is equally sampled, and the sampling interval is designed a distributed information collection scheme using
t, which is the interval used for the restoration. Assuming
Δ
only local communications, which can be achieved by this
total Nsamples are collected from the CLPU curve of load peer-to-peer communication architecture. The proposed
l, denote L l (k)as the load demand at the kth sample, and method employs the average consensus algorithm discussed
Δ Ll (k)as the load difference between two consecutive sam- in [115] to achieve global information discovery by iterative
ples. Δ Ll (k)can be active power Δ Pl (k), reactive power local information update, as shown in (26)
Ql (k), or apparent power Δ Sl (k). Then, Δ Ll (k)can be cal-
Δ
culated as z k+1 z ki + ∑ εij ⋅ (z kj − z ki )
i = (26)
( )
t iteration, with convergence guaranteed. The details of the dis-
P Ll,t =
P Ll S U x Ll,t − ∑ Δ Pl (k) x l,t−k+1
L
(24)
k=1 tributed information collection scheme can be found in [96].
( )
t
Q Ll,t =
Q Ll S U x Ll,t − ∑ Δ Ql (k) x l,t−k+1
L
(25) V I. CONCLUSION A N D DISC US SION
k=1
where x Ll,t is
the binary decision variable indicating whether The increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather
the load lis energized at time step t in the MILP formulation events, the vulnerability of distribution grids to natural dis-
of the sequential restoration model in [101]. P Ll and Q Ll are asters, and the higher expectations of customers regarding
pre-outage active and reactive power of load l, respectively. electricity service continuity during disasters are the main
With (23) and (24), the time sequence of load demand motivating forces for utilities to improve their restoration
considering CLPU can be integrated in the multi-time- strategies in response to extreme weather events. This paper
step sequential restoration optimization as discussed in describes the current distribution system restoration prac-
Section V-C2. tices and discusses their inadequacy for power outages during
extreme weather events. To leverage the grid modernization
3) Distributed Information Collection: Collecting infor- development initiated by DOE, this paper presents an inte-
mation on grid status, e.g., load information and switch grated solution based on a decision support tool that could
states, is a prerequisite for conducting restoration using assist utilities with decision making for distribution system
Chen et al .: Modernizing Distribution System Restoration to Achieve Grid Resiliency Against Extreme Weather Events
restoration in response to extreme weather events. The solu- are needed to facilitate vital investments and upgrades in
tion features two advantages: 1) improving situational aware- grid modernization technologies [2]. Proper rate structures
ness of system damage status; and 2) facilitating survivability and incentives should be designed to encourage DGs and
of customers. Many existing methodologies in the literature grid modernization investments.
can be utilized to achieve these two advantages, and this
paper provides a detailed review of these studies. B. Technical Challenges
There still exist many challenges, from both regulatory
and technical perspectives, for modernizing distribution The damage caused by extreme weather events will
system restoration to cope with extreme weather events. affect not only electric power systems, but also other infra-
Here we give a brief discussion based on our observations. structure, such as communications networks, natural gas
pipelines, transportation networks, etc. The interdepend-
ence between these infrastructures and electric power sys-
A. Regulatory Challenges tems will have significant impacts on the utilities’ restora-
Although DGs could have the potential to enhance tion process. For example, damage to the transportation
supply continuity and customers’ survivability during the network may result in delayed repair-crew dispatch; the
outages after disasters, current interconnection standards operations of certain DGs (e.g., internal combustion engine
(primarily the IEEE Standard 1547 [116]) require customer- generators or microturbines) heavily rely on the availability
owned DGs to be disconnected during disturbances, to of fuel; and situational awareness and damage assessment
guarantee the safety of utility crews and the power quality will be highly degraded if the underlying communications
of the grids. These requirements were developed when the networks experience failures. Analysis and quantification of
penetration of distributed resources was low; now, how- this interdependence and how it can be integrated into the
ever, with the ever-increasing penetration of distributed distribution system restoration process is challenging and
resources, these requirements in the standard will underuti- needs further R&D efforts.
lize these local resources during restoration due to extreme Utilizing DERs to enhance supply continuity during
weather events. In this sense, there is a need to adjust the restoration changes the way traditional distribution sys-
standard to accommodate scenarios in which the benefits tems operate. For example, frequency and voltage need
of the local resources can be leveraged during restoration in to be regulated by these local resources rather than from
response to extreme weather events. bulk power systems, so the coordination and control
Investments in grid modernization technologies could schemes need to be carefully designed. The lower iner-
provide the potential to enhance grid resiliency and improve tia compared to the bulk power system will pose chal-
system restoration; however, current efforts are still heavily lenges for control schemes to guarantee system stability
dependent on government investment, as the resilience and and dynamic performance. In addition, the protective
reliability benefits of these investments are not reflected devices and the corresponding control logic need sub-
in the electricity tariff. In addition, there is no scheme to stantial modifications to avoid serious problems as result
compensate for the DG owners for providing service dur- of power injection from DERs. Tackling these challenges
ing blackouts resulting from extreme weather events. In in a cost-effective way is not an easy task and requires
this sense, government policy makers and electric utili- R&D efforts with interdisciplinary expertise, including
ties should consider the societal benefits when performing power systems operation and control, power system pro-
cost-benefit analyses of grid modernization investments. tection, power electronics, communications, operation
Appropriate changes in policy and regulatory environments research, etc.
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