I (4 Points) : The Three Drawn Balls Have The Same Colour
I (4 Points) : The Three Drawn Balls Have The Same Colour
xi 10 12 14 14.5 15
yi 20 25 30 35 40
II - (4 points)
An urn contains 9 balls: 3 white, 4 red and 2 black.
A- Three balls are drawn randomly and successively from this urn, without replacement.
1) What is the probability that the three drawn balls are all white ?
2) What is the probability that the third drawn ball is the only white ball among the
three drawn balls.
B- In all what follows, three balls are drawn randomly and simultaneously from the
given urn.
1) Let C be the event : “the three drawn balls have the same colour”.
5
Show that the probability of C is equal to
84
2) Designate by X the random variable that is equal to the number of black
balls obtained .
a- Determine the probability distribution of X
b- Calculate E(X), the expected value of X.
-1-
III - (4 points)
A statistical study of the population of a certain village revealed the following
information :
The population of this village was 6000 at the beginning of the year 2000.
The annual increase in the population of this village is 2 %.
200 persons leave this village permanently every year (moving to the town,
immigrating to other countries, ...)
Designate by U n the number of inhabitants in this village in the year (2000 + n).
1) Let U 0 = 6000, verify that U 1 = 5920.
2) Show that U n+1 = 1.02U n – 200.
3) Consider the sequence (V n ) that is defined by V n = U n – 10 000 ; (n ≥ 0).
a- Prove that (V n ) is a geometric sequence of common ratio 1.02.
b- Calculate V n in terms of n and deduce U n in terms of n.
c- During which year would the number of inhabitants in this village become less
than 3000 for the first time?
IV- (8 points)
A - Let f be the function that is defined, on [0 ; + ∞ [ , by f ( x) = 3( x + 1)e − x and let (C)
→ →
be its representative curve in an orthonormal system ( O ; i , j ) .
1) Calculate lim f ( x) and determine an asymptote of (C).
x→ +∞
2) Show that f ' ( x) = −3xe − x and set up the table of variations of f.
3) Draw the curve (C).
4) Let F be the function that is defined on [0 ; + ∞ [ by F( x) = 3(− x − 2)e − x .
a- Show that F is an antiderivative (a primitive) of f.
b- Calculate the area of the region bounded by the curve (C) , the axis of abscissas
and the lines of equations x = 0 and x = 1 .
B - A factory produces a certain chemical liquid. The demand is modeled by :
f ( p ) = 3( p + 1)e − p ; where p is the unit price expressed in thousands LL
and f(p) is expressed in thousands of liters, for 0.5 ≤ p ≤ 4.
1) Calculate the demand corresponding to a unit price of 1000 LL. f(P)
ep
2) The supply is modeled by g ( p ) = .
3 (T)
The adjacing curve (T) is the representative curve of the
function h defined by h(p) = f(p) – g(p), on [0.5 ; 4 ]. P
a- Verify that the equation h(p) = 0 has a unique root O
α and prove that 1.57 < α < 1.58 .
b-Suppose that α = 1.575.
Give an economical interpretation of this value of α.
3) a-Calculate E(p) , the elasticity of the demand with
respect to the price p .
b- Determine the set of values of p for which the demand
is elastic, and find the corresponding prices.
-2-
SE MATH 1st session 2005
Q Answers M
1 X = 13.1 ; Y = 30 1
G
2 1
5
1
r = 0.953
3 1
There is a strong positive relationship.
4 D Y/X : y = 3.633x – 17.60 1½
5a x = 18 ; y = 3.633 × 18 – 17.60 = 47.794 , thus : 478 cars. 1
5b Profit: (20 000 000 – 15 000 0000) × 478 – 18 000 000 = 2 372 000 000 LL. 1½
3 2 1 1
A1 P(www) = × × = . 1
9 8 7 84
6 5 3 5
A2 The first drawn ball is not white as well as the second one ; p( w ; w ; w) = × × = . 1½
9 8 7 28
C +C
3 3
5
B1 We can draw 3 white balls or 3 black balls ; P(C) = 3 3 4 = 1½
C9 84
II
X(Ω) = { 0 , 1 , 2}
B2 xi 0 1 2
3
C7 5 C 2 × C7 1
1 2
C 2 × C71 1
2 2½
a Pi = = =
C93 12 C93 2 C93 12
B2 1 2 4 2
E(X) = 0 + + = = . ½
b 2 12 6 3
1 U 1 = 6 000 + 6000 × 0.02 – 200 = 5920 1
2 U n+1 = U n + 0.02×U n – 200 = 1.02 × U n – 200 1
Vn+1 U n+1 − 10000 1.02U n − 200 − 10000 1.02U n − 10200 1.02(U n − 10000)
3a = = = = = 1.02 1½
Vn U n − 10000 U n − 10000 U n − 10000 U n − 10000
III V n = V o (1.02)n ; V o = U o – 10 000 = – 4 000 ; V n = – 4000(1.02)n
3b 1½
U n = V n + 10 000 = – 4000(1.02)n + 10 000
7 7
– 4000(1.02)n + 10 000 < 3000 ; (1.02)n > ; n ln(1.02) > ln ; n > 28.25 ; n ≥ 29
3c 4 4 2
In 2029 the population will become for the first time less than 3 000.
3(x + 1) 3
A1 lim f(x) = lim x
= lim x = 0 ; the axis of abscissas is an asymptote of (C). 1
x → +∞ x → +∞ e x → +∞ e
f ’(x) = 3[e–x –(x + 1)e–x] = 3 e–x(1– x – 1) = – 3x e–x.
x 0 +∞
A2 f ’(x) 0 – 2
f(x) 3
0
A3 y
O x
IV