Statistics and Probability q4 Mod1 Testing Hypothesis V2
Statistics and Probability q4 Mod1 Testing Hypothesis V2
Probability
Quarter 4 – Module 1:
Testing Hypothesis
CO_Q4_Statistics and Probability SHS
Module 1
Statistics and Probability
Alternative Delivery Mode
Quarter 4 – Module 1: Testing Hypothesis
First Edition, 2021
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Statistics and
Probability
Quarter 4 – Module 1:
Testing Hypothesis
Introductory Message
This Self-Learning Module (SLM) is prepared so that you, our dear learners,
can continue your studies and learn while at home. Activities, questions,
directions, exercises, and discussions are carefully stated for you to understand
each lesson.
Each SLM is composed of different parts. Each part shall guide you step-
bystep as you discover and understand the lesson prepared for you.
In addition to the material in the main text, Notes to the Teacher are also
provided to our facilitators and parents for strategies and reminders on how they
can best help you on your home-based learning.
Please use this module with care. Do not put unnecessary marks on any
part of this SLM. Use a separate sheet of paper in answering the exercises and
tests. And read the instructions carefully before performing each task.
If you have any questions in using this SLM or any difficulty in answering the
tasks in this module, do not hesitate to consult your teacher or facilitator.
Thank you.
What I Need to Know
Hypothesis testing can allow us to measure data in samples to learn more about
the data in populations that are often too large or inaccessible. We can measure
a sample mean to learn more about the mean in a population. Here, we can
either accept or reject our assumption using hypothesis testing. This ADM
module in hypothesis testing will help you study the different concepts and steps
in hypothesis testing as well as its application in real-life situations.
Are you ready now to study hypothesis testing using your ADM module? Good
luck and may you find it helpful.
Choose the best answer to the given questions or statements. Write the letter of
your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
5. In a one-tailed test, in which critical value listed below will the computed z
of
a. 1.383 c. 2.228
2.313 fall in the acceptance region?
b. 1.533 d. 2.365
11. Which of the following must be used as the level of significance if we want
a higher possibility of correct decision ?
a. 1% b. 5% c. 10% d. 25%
13. Using a left-tailed test, which of the following value of z falls in the
rejection region where the critical value is – 1.725 ?
a. – 1.700 b. – 1.715 c. – 1.724 d. – 1.728
14. If the computed z-value is 2.015 and the critical value is 1.833, which of
the following statements could be true ?
a. It lies in the rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
b. It lies in the rejection region, we failed to reject 𝐻𝑜.
c. It lies in the non-rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
d. It lies in the non-rejection region, we failed to reject 𝐻𝑜.
15. If the computed z-value is – 1.290 and the critical value is – 2.571, which
of the following statements could be true ?
a. It lies in the rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
Lesso
n 1 Testing Hypothesis
Have you at a certain time asked yourself how you could possibly decide to put a
business in place and gain your expected profit? Or wonder if a judge in a trial
could have given a wrong decision in determining who’s guilty? Or think if your
classmates’ average weights differ significantly among your age? Or imagine
how a newly discovered medicine is being tested for human treatment?
This lesson will help you make sound decisions in dealing with these situations
What’s In
1. 𝑡 = 1.95 ______________________________
2. 𝑡 = 0.15 ______________________________
3. 𝑡 = −1.45 ______________________________
4. 𝑡 = −2.4 ______________________________ 5. 𝑡 = 2.73
______________________________
Answer the following questions.
1. Are you familiar with the shape of the curve used in Activity 1?
2. What is the name of that curve?
3. In what type of distribution is this kind of curve used?
4. How were you able to locate in which region the given value falls?
5. What mathematical concepts did you apply in locating the region?
Notes to the
Teacher
Check the student’s level of readines
s for the next topic. If
she/he did not answer most of the items and the guide questions,
you may provide another review activity about normal curve.
What’s
New
Activity 2: Keep Me Connected!
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Claim A: The average daily usage of social media of her friends is the
same as the global average usage.
Claim B: The average daily usage of social media of her friends is
higher than the global average usage.
2. What is the average daily usage of social media of her friends? Compare it
with the previous average usage.
3. Which of the two claims could probably be true? Why?
5. What is your idea of an average value being significantly higher than the
global average value?
What is It
Here are the examples of questions you can answer with a hypothesis test:
• Does the mean height of Grade 12 students differ from 66 inches?
• Do male and female Grade 7 and Grade 12 students differ in height on
average?
• Is the proportion of senior male students’ height significantly higher
than that of senior female students?
Note: You can think of the null hypothesis as the current value of the
population parameter, which you hope to disprove in favor of your
alternative hypothesis.
Let 𝜇 be the population mean score and 𝑥̅ be the mean score of students
Solution:
in
her class.
You may select any of the following statements as your null and
alternative hypothesis as shown in Option 1 and Option 2.
Option 1:
𝐻𝑜: The mean score of the incoming Grade 11 students is 81 or 𝜇 = 81.
𝐻𝑎: The mean score of the incoming Grade 11 students is not 81 or 𝜇 ≠ 81.
Option 2:
𝐻𝑜: The mean score of the incoming Grade 11 students has no significant difference
with the mean score of her students or 𝜇 = 𝑥̅.
𝐻𝑎: The mean score of the incoming Grade 11 students has a significant difference
with the mean score of her students or 𝜇 ≠ 𝑥̅.
𝐻𝑜: _____________________________________________
friends (𝑥̅) on the blanks provided below.
𝐻𝑎: _____________________________________________
You can verify your answer below and start working on the next activity .
𝐻𝑜: The average daily usage of Sofia’s friends is the same as the global average usage.
𝐻𝑎: The average daily usage of Sofia’s friends is not the same as the global average usage.
Do you know that the most common levels of significance used are 1%, 5%, or
10%?
Some statistics books can provide us table of values for these levels of
significance.
𝛼 = 0.05
two-tailed test.
✓ When the given statistics hypothesis assumes a less than or greater
than value, it is called one-tailed test.
2
�
2
�
� �
However, if the school registrar believes that the average number of enrollees
this school year is less than the previous school year, then you will have:
𝐻𝑜: 𝜇 = 𝜇0
𝐻𝑎: 𝜇 < 𝜇0
�
�
<.
On the other hand, if the school registrar believes that the average number of
enrollees this school year is greater than the previous school year, then you will
𝐻𝑜: 𝜇 = 𝜇0
have:
𝐻𝑎: 𝜇 > 𝜇0
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Now back to the two claims of Sofia, what do you think should be the type of test
in her following claims?
Claim A: The average daily usage of social media of her friends is the
same as the global average usage.
Critical Value
11
21 .852
twas discussed
formula in verify
to
9√15
the last � computed
the -
0
chapter. tvalue
� = 6.278
1 .
0
� 7
� = 1.59
� 3
The table-values
of
can
t be found at
last
the part of
modul
this
e.
Now, you can sketch a t distribution curve and label showing the rejection area
(shaded part), the non-rejection region, the critical value, and the computed t-
value. This is how your t distribution curve should look like!
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1.593 1.833
(Computed Value) (Critical Value
)
Illustrative Example 2:
A medical trial is conducted to test whether a certain drug reduces cholesterol
level or not. Upon trial, the computed z-value of 2.715 lies in the rejection area.
Illustrative Example 3:
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Solution:
Draw a t-distribution curve. Since there are two critical values, it is a two
tailed test. Locate the critical values and shade the rejection regions.
Now, locate the computed t-value of –1.52. You can clearly see that it is
not at the rejection region as shown in the following figure. The computed
t-value is at the non-rejection region. Therefore, we fail to reject the null
hypothesis,
𝐻𝑜.
– 1.52
✓ The larger the value of alpha, the smaller is the value of beta.
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α = P [Type I error]
error.
= P [� is true, Reject� ]
� �
𝑜 𝑜
Region where� 𝑜
is true �
𝜷
Region where �𝑜 is
false �
To summarize the difference between the Type I and Type II errors, take
Illustrative Example:
What’s More
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
different from 80%.
𝐻𝑎: ____________________________________________________
4. We want to test if LPIHS students take more than four years to graduate
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
from high school, on the average.
𝐻𝑎: ____________________________________________________
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
or not the complications of dengue fever.
𝐻𝑎: _________________________________________________________
7. The enrolment in high school this school year increases by 10%.. 𝐻𝑜:
____________________________________________________
𝐻𝑎: _________________________________________________________
9. The school want to test if the students in Grade 7 prefer online distance
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
learning as the method of instruction.
𝐻𝑎: _________________________________________________________
10.The school librarian wants to find out if there was an increase in the
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
number of students accessing the school library.
𝐻𝑎: _________________________________________________________
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19
20
Situation 1:
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Situation 2:
The owner closes the pool when it The owner does not close the
needs to be closed. pool when it needs to be closed.
The owner does not close the pool The owner does not close the pool
when it does not need to be closed. when it needs to be closed.
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8. When the given statistics hypothesis assumes a less than or greater than
value, it is called ______________________________.
9. The rejection region (or critical region) is the set of all values of the test
statistic that causes us to ________________________________
What I Can Do
Cite five (5) situations in your community where you can apply hypothesis
testing. Then, just choose one situation and:
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Choose the best answer to the given questions or statements. Write the letter of
your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
a. 𝐻0: 𝜇 = 𝜇0 c. 𝐻0: 𝜇 ≥ 𝜇0
5. Which of the following describes a null hypothesis using two-tailed test?
b. 𝐻0: 𝜇 ≠ 𝜇0 d. 𝐻0: 𝜇 ≤ 𝜇0
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d. 2.354
2.312 falls in the non-rejection region?
a. 1.383 b. 1.533 c. 2.228
13. If the computed z-value is 1.286 and the critical value is 1.383, which of
the following statements could be true?
a. It lies in the rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
b. It lies in the rejection region, hence we fail to reject𝐻𝑜.
c. We fail to reject a null hypothesis that is true.
d. We fail to reject a null hypothesis that is false.
14. Using a left-tailed test, which of the following value of z will not fall in the
rejection region where the critical value is – 1.638?
a. – 1.637 b. – 1.639 c. – 1.641 d. – 1.706
15. If the computed z-value is 1.915 and the critical value is 1.812, which of
the following statements could be true?
a. It lies in the rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
b. It lies in the rejection region, hence we fail to reject𝐻𝑜.
c. It lies in the non-rejection region, 𝐻𝑜 must be rejected.
d. It lies in the non-rejection region, hence we fail to reject𝐻𝑜
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A medical trial is conducted to test to test whether a certain drug can treat
a certain allergy or not. Upon trial, the t-value is computed as 1.311. The
critical value is shown in the figure. Locate the t-value and complete the
table below to discuss the findings of the medical trial.
𝐻𝑜:
-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
𝐻𝑎:
t-value is at the
___________
region.
Justify your decision by writing an explanation in 5-10 sentences.
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Textbooks
Albacea, Zita, Mark John Ayaay, Imelda Demesa, and Isidro David. Teaching
Guide for Senior High School: Statistics and Probability. Quezon City:
Commission on Higher Education, 2016.
Caraan, Avelino. Introduction to Statistics & Probability. Mandaluyong City: Jose
Rizal University Press, 2011.
Chan Shio, Christian Paul, and Maria Angeli Reyes. Statistics and Probability for
Senior High School. Quezon City: C & E Publishing Inc., 2017.
De Guzman, Danilo. Statistics and Probability. Quezon City: C & E Publishing Inc.,
2017.
Jaggia, Sanjiv, and Alison Kelly. Business Statistics: Communicating with
Numbers. 2nd Ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education, 2016.
Sirug, Winston. Statistics and Probability for Senior High School CORE Subject A
Comprehensive Approach K to 12 Curriculum Compliant. Manila: Minshapers
Co., Inc., 2017.
Online Resources
Khan Academy. “Consequences of Errors and Significance.” Accessed February 2,
2019. https://www.khanacademy.org/math/ap-statistics/tests-
significanceap/error-probabilities-power/a/consequences-errors-significance
Minitab.com. “About the Null and Alternative Hypotheses.” Accessed February 4,
2019.
https://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/18/help-and-howto/statistics/
basic-statistics/supporting-topics/basics/null-and-alternativehypotheses/
Minitab. com. “What are Type I and Type II Errors?” Accessed February 4, 2019.
https://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/18/help-and-howto/statistics/basic-
statistics/supporting-topics/basics/type-i-and-type-iierror/
Zaiontz, Charles. “Null and Alternative Hypothesis.” Accessed February 2, 2018.
http://www.real-statistics.com/hypothesis-testing/null-hypothesis/
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