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Intuitively, this means that the ‘decision’ of whether to stop at time t (e.g., to
exercise an option or not) must be based only on information present at time t,
not on any future information.
Stopping times
We fix a probability space (Ω, F, P).
Definition (The discrete case)
Let F = (Ft )t∈N be a filtration. A map τ : Ω → N ∪ {∞} is a stopping time
(w.r.t. F), whenever
{τ = t} ∈ Ft (t ∈ N).
Intuitively, this means that the ‘decision’ of whether to stop at time t (e.g., to
exercise an option or not) must be based only on information present at time t,
not on any future information.
For options, this means that we base our decision on the price fluctuations up to
time t only.
Stopping times
We fix a probability space (Ω, F, P).
Definition (The discrete case)
Let F = (Ft )t∈N be a filtration. A map τ : Ω → N ∪ {∞} is a stopping time
(w.r.t. F), whenever
{τ = t} ∈ Ft (t ∈ N).
Intuitively, this means that the ‘decision’ of whether to stop at time t (e.g., to
exercise an option or not) must be based only on information present at time t,
not on any future information.
For options, this means that we base our decision on the price fluctuations up to
time t only.
Then the issuer of the option locks in a riskless profit, since the value of his
portfolio at time t satisfies
Then the issuer of the option locks in a riskless profit, since the value of his
portfolio at time t satisfies
Thus, the European and American call options are equivalent from the point of view of
arbitrage pricing theory. Both options have the same price and an American call should
never be exercised by its holder before expiry.
Proof, ctd
Then the issuer of the option locks in a riskless profit, since the value of his
portfolio at time t satisfies
Thus, the European and American call options are equivalent from the point of view of
arbitrage pricing theory. Both options have the same price and an American call should
never be exercised by its holder before expiry.
The assumption r ⩾ 0 was necessary.
American options valuation
Consider the American put option on a stock with strike K and expiry T .
American options valuation
Consider the American put option on a stock with strike K and expiry T .
Theorem
The risk-neutral price process (Pta )t∈[0,T ] is given by
Moreover, for t ⩽ T , the stopping time τt∗ realising the maximum is given by
Theorem
The risk-neutral price process (Pta )t∈[0,T ] is given by
Moreover, for t ⩽ T , the stopping time τt∗ realising the maximum is given by
τt∗ is called the rational exercise time of an American put option assuming, the
option is alive at time t.
American options valuation
Consider the American put option on a stock with strike K and expiry T .
Theorem
The risk-neutral price process (Pta )t∈[0,T ] is given by
Moreover, for t ⩽ T , the stopping time τt∗ realising the maximum is given by
τt∗ is called the rational exercise time of an American put option assuming, the
option is alive at time t.
Bellman’s principle (adapted to our setting) can reduce the optimal stopping
problem to an explicit recursive procedure for the value process.
American put/calls pricing
Theorem (Corollary (Bellman’s principle in our setting))
Let us define the process (Ut )t=0,...,T recursively backwards by UT = (K − ST )+ and
The the risk-neutral price Pta of the American put option at t equals Ut and the
rational exercise time after t is given by
τt∗ = min{u ⩾ t : Uu − (K − Su )+ }.
The the risk-neutral price Pta of the American put option at t equals Ut and the
rational exercise time after t is given by
τt∗ = min{u ⩾ t : Uu − (K − Su )+ }.
subject to PTa = (K − ST )+ .
American put/calls valuation
subject to PTa = (K − ST )+ .
In the case of CRR, this formula reduces the valuation problem to the simple
single-period case.
In CRR, the risk-neutral price of the American put reduces to the following
recursive scheme:
subject to PTa = (K − ST )+ .
au , P ad represent the values of the American put in the next step corresponding
Pt+1 t+1
to the upward/downward movements of the stock given from a given note of the
binomial tree.
American put/calls pricing: Example
We consider here the CRR binomial model with the horizon date T = 2 and the
risk-free rate r = 0.2.
The stock price S for t = 0 and t = 1 equals
Let X a be the American call option with maturity date T = 2 and the following
payoff process
g (St , t) = (St − Kt )+ .
K0 = 9, K1 = 9.9, K2 = 12.
American put/calls pricing: example, ctd.
Holder. The rational holder should exercise the American option at time t = 1 if
the stock price rises during the first period. Otherwise, the option should be held
till time 2. Hence τ ∗ : Ω → {0, 1, 2} equals
Issuer. We now take the position of the issuer of the option. At t = 0, we need to
solve
1.2ϕ0 + 13.2ϕ1 = 3.3
If the stock price rises during the first period, the option is exercised and thus we
do not need to compute the strategy at time 1 for ω ∈ {ω1 , ω2 }.
If the stock price falls during the first period, we solve
1.2ϕb0 + 11.664ϕ1 = 0
σ2 √ σ2 √
u = exp((r − )∆t + σ ∆t), d = exp((r − )∆t − σ ∆t).
2 2
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
A solution to a SDE
Z t Z 1
Xt = X0 + a(s, Xs )ds + b(s, Xs ) dWs .
0 0
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
A solution to a SDE
Z t Z 1
Xt = X0 + a(s, Xs )ds + b(s, Xs ) dWs .
0 0
Z t Z 1
Xt = X0 + a(s, Xs )ds + b(s, Xs ) dWs .
0 0
dSt = St µ dt + St σ dWt .
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
A solution to a SDE
Z t Z 1
Xt = X0 + a(s, Xs )ds + b(s, Xs ) dWs .
0 0
dSt = St µ dt + St σ dWt .
Here, a closed to a degree formula exists but often this is not the case
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
T
tn = n · δt = n · .
N
Approximations of solutions to SDEs
Further, due to the properties of the Wiener process we can simulate its values at the
selected points by