5_765_corr
5_765_corr
Keywords
Advanced Manufacturing Technologies, AMTs, Industry 4.0, Machine Learning.
Augmented Reality: Augmented reality (AR) cre- computers are used to monitor and control produc-
ates a new perception by combining real working envi- tion processes (Jonsson, 2000). In literature, there are
ronments with computer-generated elements such as a set of hardware based (e.g., CNC, FSM) and soft-
audio, video, graphics or GPS data, which are en- ware based (e.g., CAD, Barcode) AMTs (Sun, 2000).
hanced and animated with sensory input (Ceruti et This study includes the following AMTs: Computer
al, 2019). AR based systems provide various services, Numerical Control (CNC), Computer Aided De-
such as augmented repair and maintenance services. sign (CAD), Computer Aided Manufacturing (CAM),
Autonomous Robots: Robots having a great range Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS), Group Tech-
of capabilities enable performing complicated tasks. nology, Material Requirements Planning (MRP) and
They will autonomously make decisions and interact Manufacturing Resource Planning (MRP II), Com-
with humans and other devices safely (BCG, 2021). puter Based Barcode and Reader Technology, Elec-
Big Data Analytics: Big data analytics allow us to tronic Data Interchange (EDI), Enterprise Resource
collect and use a tremendous amount of data from var- Planning (ERP) (Sun, 2000; Khanchanapong et al.,
ious sources before, during and after production (Rao 2014; Jonsson, 2000; Meredith, 1987; Udo & Ehie,
et al, 2018). Data mining tools are used to search valu- 1996; Boyer et al., 1997; Raymond, 2005).
able, interesting, or unexpected structures in big data
(Hand, 2007). Continuous data flow may be used for
system improvements and supporting real-time deci- The relationship between AMTs and
sion making. I4.0 technologies
Cloud Computing: Any kind of data and software
can be deployed to the cloud which enables produc- I4.0 is enabled by the implementation of AMTs be-
ers a more data sharing and a more data-driven en- cause AMTs, designed as a set of technologies linked
vironment between different business units as well as to advanced computing technology, are an important
between different companies (BCG, 2021). predecessor of I4.0 (Agostini & Nosella, 2020). An ex-
Cyber Security: In smart factories of future, main- ample is the implementation of ERP systems which
taining the reliability and security of huge amount of can be considered as technological precursor to CPS
data and complex communication systems is one of (Müller et al., 2018) is critical in I4.0 transition. The
the most challenging aspects of Industry 4.0 (BCG, technology pathway to I4.0 proposed by Nakayama
2021). Therefore, cyber security is a vital part of all et al. (2020) is based on the evolution from central-
Industry 4.0 related technologies. ized computer integrated manufacturing technologies
Internet of Things: Devices with embedded systems of Industry 3.0 to distributed product-service archi-
enable communicate and interact with each other via tecture in I4.0. The authors suggested that fitting
internet allowing real-time responses and decentral- AMTs is a good starting point to support next steps
ization of decision making (Xia et al, 2012). towards I4.0 transition in a production facility.
Simulation: In real life, construction of expensive Despite the importance of technology evolution,
and complicated systems and comprehensive changes Qin et al. (2016) highlight the research gap between
in advanced manufacturing environment can be op- AMTs with self-configured and self-optimized Indus-
timized and adapted by using simulation techniques try 4.0 technologies. Aiming this gap, the researchers
(Ferreira et al, 2020). Simulation technology in I4.0 proposed a framework focusing on manufacturing
leverages real-time data and provides a prototype of technologies in which nine intelligence and automa-
the physical production environment by allowing ma- tion levels were defined categorically.
chine operators to make necessary adjustments for the Although the literature highlights the close rela-
next product in assembly line in the cyber environ- tionship between AMTs and I4.0 technologies, the
ment before the real processing. studies mainly limited with the conceptual aspect of
System Integration: The vertical (between different the topic. The aim of this study is to contribute to
business units of a system) and horizontal (between the existing literature by investigating and indicating
the business partners) integration enables data shar- such a relationship based on quantitative data anal-
ing and data integration and hence create automated ysis. It is obvious that, companies need to develop
value chains for customers (BCG, 2021). their own specific strategies for transition from AMTs
to I4.0 technologies and thus reap the benefits of I4.0
AMTs as the precursors of I4.0 technologies revolution. This study tries to help their understand-
ing of I4.0 transition by providing comparative data
AMT (Advanced Manufacturing Technology) is of usage levels of AMTs and I4.0 technologies of com-
a term used to describe a set of technologies in which panies with various sizes.
Collecting and analyzing data with advanced tech- The companies are asked about implementation
niques is an essential part of I4.0 adoption. The pre- levels of AMTs and I4.0 technologies on the scale of
dictive models in operations and production manage- 1–7, where 1 means no usage and 7 means advanced
ment area requires sophisticated analysis techniques usage. Table 2 shows the mean implementation levels
such as machine learning algorithms (Choi et al., 2018; of AMTs.
Diez-Olivan et al., 2019).
Today data can be the first in between the most Table 2
valuable assets for companies. However, the increas- Implementation levels of AMTs
ing size and variety of data makes its analysis
AMTs Mean implementation levels
more complex. Compared to the traditional statis-
tical analysis methods, machine learning algorithm BARCODE 4.28
provides a more efficient alternative for acquiring the EDI 3.94
knowledge in data to yield better estimation mod- CAD 3.87
els and data-driven systems with higher performance
CNC 3.85
(Raschka, 2015).
CAM 3.84
In this study supervised machine learning approach
was used in which the dataset is first split as train FMS 3.54
and test and then analyzed. In data analysis by ma- ERP 3.49
chine learning, there are alternative algorithms such MRP & MRPII 3.29
as Bayesian estimation, logistic regression, decision GROUP 2.62
trees, neural networks, and multiple linear regression
Average 3.64
(Mitchell, 1999). Multiple linear regression with ordi-
nary least squares method is used in this study since
it fits the data well. In the analyses, each I4.0 technol- The mean usage levels of AMTs range between 2.62
ogy is defined as dependent variable, while the AMTs and 4.28 and the average of mean values is 3.64 which
are defined as independent variables. shows a medium level of overall usage. The highest
score belongs to barcode technology, while the group the model is expressed well with the remaining vari-
technology has the minimum score. ables. The calculations are based on ordinary least
Next the manufacturers are asked about the imple- squares (OLS).
mentation levels of I4.0 technologies which are listed
in Table 3. Results and discussion
Table 3
Implementation levels of i4.0 technologies The output of OLS regression analysis for “Addi-
Mean implementation
tive Manufacturing” technology is given in Table 4.
Industry 4.0 technologies According to the resulting table of “Additive Man-
levels
ufacturing” analysis, we can say that the model fits
Cloud Computing 2.96
data well since R-square value is 0.994, which is very
Big Data Analytics 2.22
close to 1. The “p” values of each variable are checked
Simulation 2.19 and verified that they all are smaller than 0.05 which
Augmented Reality 2.06 means that, each independent variable in the model
Additive Manufacturing 2.02 has a significant effect on the implementation level
of the “Additive Manufacturing” technology at the
Internet of Things 1.94
5% level of significance. The probability of Jarque–
Autonomous Robots 1.91 Bera (JB) test statistic is 0.000677 which is mean-
Cyber Security 1.72 ingful in the 0.05 significance level. Therefore, it can
System Integration 1.59 be concluded that the data is normally distributed.
Average 2.07
Durbin–Watson test statistic is 1.712 which is accept-
able and shows that there is no autocorrelation be-
tween the variables included in the model (Newbold
Table 3 shows that, I4.0 implementation levels of et al., 2013).
Turkish manufacturers are significantly low with an The Advanced Manufacturing Technologies that
average of 2.07. The most used technology is found affect Additive Manufacturing implementation are
as cloud computing with a score of 2.96, while the found as: CAM, FMS, GROUP, MRP&MRPII, BAR-
least common one is system integration with 1.59. CODE, and ERP. Because of the linear positive re-
The mean implementation level of I4.0 technologies lationship between AMTs and Additive Manufactur-
is lower than that of AMTs as it is expected. ing levels, it can be said that the higher implemen-
In the analyses supervised machine learning is ap- tation level of AMTs will result in a higher imple-
plied to data by using Spyder (Python 3.7) software. mentation level of Additive Manufacturing. The same
For each Industry 4.0 technology, a linear regression model is repeatedly applied for other technologies of
model is constructed. The total data of 424 compa- I4.0 and the results show that, implementation level of
nies are splitted into two group as test and train. The each I4.0 technology is linearly dependent on a set of
machine is trained with 75% of the data and tested AMTs. Table 5 summarizes the results of the analyses.
with the remaining 25%. The resulting table (Table 5) indicates that, the
Initially, all of the nine independent variables implementation level of each I4.0 technology has pos-
(AMT usage levels) are included in the model. Be- itively and linearly affected by the implementation
fore the regression analyses, correlations between the level of a set of AMTs. The implementation levels
independent variables are investigated. The results in- of four I4.0 technologies; Additive Manufacturing, In-
dicate that there are high correlations between some ternet of Things, Simulation and System Integration
of the variables. Since CNC, CAD and CAM show depend on implementation levels of all six AMTs in-
correlations higher than 0.5, only CAM technology is cluded in the model. FMS variable is eliminated from
included in the model. In addition, it is determined Cyber Security model since it is not meaningful statis-
high correlation between EDI and ERP technologies tically. Therefore, Cyber Security technology is posi-
as well. Therefore, ERP is included in the model while tively associated with CAM, GROUP, MRP&MRPII,
EDI is excluded. BARCODE, and ERP technologies.
As a result, the analyses are performed based In between these six AMTs, MRP and MRP II us-
on the following six AMTs: CAM, FMS, GROUP, age has relatively higher effect on each I4.0 technol-
MRP&MRPII, BARCODE, ERP. The variables ogy with coefficients range between 0.3073 and 0.1115.
which are found as irrelevant (with p > 0.05) is elimi- The only exception is MRP and MRP II effect on
nated from the model and iterations are repeated until Cloud Computing, which is –0.0235. There are three
Table 4
OLS regression results of “additive manufacturing” analysis
Table 5
Summary of OLS regression results
Coefficients of variables
I4.0 Technology R2
CAM FMS GROUP MRP & MRPII BARCODE ERP
Additive Manufacturing 0.994 0.0900 0.0868 0.1331 0.2030 0.0696 0.0663
Augmented Reality 0.994 –0.0222 0.1477 0.2235 0.2145 0.0595 0.0100
Autonomous Robots 0.987 0.0446 0.1132 0.1071 0.2135 0.2793 –0.0566
Big Data Analytics 1.000 –0.0302 0.0880 0.1980 0.1954 0.2409 0.0712
Cloud Computing 0.996 0.1728 0.0361 0.1902 –0.0235 0.2560 0.1964
Cyber Security 0.992 0.0735 – 0.1565 0.3073 0.2855 0.2595
Internet of Things 0.999 0.0608 0.1432 0.1912 0.1115 0.1854 0.1059
Simulation 0.999 0.1029 0.1142 0.2380 0.1996 0.1354 0.0214
System Integration 0.999 0.0518 0.0986 0.1834 0.1799 0.1395 0.1886
more negative coefficients in Table 5, which can be nology has the highest effect on the usages of the
considered as unexpected results. following three technologies: IoT, Augmented Real-
Group technology and Barcode are the two Ad- ity, Simulation and System Integration; Barcode us-
vanced Manufacturing Technologies which have posi- age has the highest effect on Autonomous Robots, Big
tive effect on each I4.0 technology. While Group tech- Data and Cloud Computing technologies.
Conclusions and reliable with increasing the size of the data in the
future studies since the machine (computer) will be
able to learn better with increasing size of the train
The world today is undergoing an evolution from data. Additional variables such as organizational de-
Industry 3.0 to Industry 4.0 which brings formidable sign and skilled workforce may be included in the
changes to the manufacturing industry. It can be said analyses. In addition, the future studies may inves-
that technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution tigate cross country comparisons of AMT and I4.0
are deeply rooted in Advanced Manufacturing Tech- implementations.
nologies of Industry 3.0.
The main benefit of I4.0 is providing high quality
Acknowledgments
and customized products with lower costs by reduc-
ing waste materials, and hence creating a competitive This study is funded by Konya Food and Agricul-
advantage over rivals. However, there are difficulties ture University, Directorate of Technology Transfer
for companies in their transition from AMTs to In- Office.
dustry 4.0 technologies. First, companies need a huge
amount of investment on equipment, machinery, and
personnel to reap the benefits of I4.0. Even if the man- References
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