Conflict Analysis Tools and Techniques
Conflict Analysis Tools and Techniques
techniques
What is conflict analysis
• Practical process of examining and
understanding the reality of conflict from
different perspectives
• Understanding will inform strategies for
addressing the conflict and action plans
Why do we analyse conflict
• To understand the background, history and
relate to current events
• Identify all the actors involved not just the main
ones
• Understand the perspectives of each group and
how they relate
• Identify factors and trends that underpin conflict
• Learn from failure s and success
Conflict causation
conflict have multiple causes
• Structural/systemic issues
• historical
• immediate issues
• Triggers
Tools for conflict analysis
• Stages of conflict
• Timelines
• ABC triangle
• Onion /doughnut
• Conflict tree
• Conflict mapping
• ACCP Model
• Force field analysis
• Pillars
• pyramid
Conflict analysis tools
• Tools can be used in combination and do not
follow a particular order
• Have been used in real conflicts and are
adaptable
• Participation of conflict parties in the use of
tools is important
• Tools can be used in different contexts
,languages
Stages of conflict
• Conflict passes through different stages of
activity, intensity, tension and violence
• recognise the conflict stage and their
dynamics
• Pre-conflict-incompatibility of goals, conflict is
hidden, tension in relationships, avoidance of
contact between parties
Stages of conflict
• Confrontation-conflict is open, confrontational
behaviour emerges
• Resource mobilisation for war
• Building alliances
• Polarisation of conflicting groups
stages of conflict-crisis
• Peak of the conflict when tensions and
violence is most intense
• Period of war
• Communication between groups has seized
• Public statements are acusatorial
Stages of conflict- outcome
• Defeat of one group by the other
• Ceasefire
• Surrender
• Negotiations/mediation
• Tensions decrease possibility of settlement
Stages –post conflict
• An end of violent conflict
• Issues and causes have not been resolved
• Possible to revert to pre conflict stage
Timelines
• It is a graphic that shows events plotted against time.
• It lists dates and depict events in chronological order
• People on different sides to a conflict have different
experiences and perceptions of the conflict
• Emphasize and describe events differently
• Aim is to learn about each other and understand
situation through others perspectives
Conflict mapping
• Mapping is a technique used to depict conflict
graphically
• Mapping places parties to conflict in relation to each other and in
relation to the problem
• power asymmetry of all actors in conflict is identified
• Mapping is done at a specific moment in time
• Mapping should not be too complex
• Mapping can be done jointly by parties to conflict
How to map
• Decide what, when and what point of view
• Mapping is dynamic
Symbols of mapping
ABC Triangle
ABC Triangle
Conflicts have 3 major components;
• Context
• Behaviour
• Attitudes
• Draw triangles for each party and list issues
related to attitude, behaviour and context
• Indicate the parties most important needs,
fears in the middle
The onion
• Outer layer contains the positions that we
take publicly
• Interests-what we want to achieve from a
particular situation
• Needs-we require to be satisfied
The onion
Conflict tree
• Is used collectively
• Identifies issues that each group sees as
important and then arrange them into;
• Core problems
• Causes
• effects
Force filed analysis
• Used to identify forces that influence conflict both
positive and negative
• Helps to see where resistance to change is coming from
Steps in analysis of conflict;
• Name objective- intended action
• List all forces that support action on one side
• List forces against on the other side
• Consider which forces you can influence to get desired
change
Force field analysis
Pillars
• Premised on understanding that some
situations are not stable but are held together
by factors-pillars
• Identify and remove the pillars or minimise
their effect
Pyramid
• Analyzing conflict with more than one level
• Identify key parties or actors at each level
• Used to connect resource people vertically
and horizontally
Key aspects of conflict analysis
• Actors
• Context
• Content – causation, dynamics
• Process- options and strategies
Actor analysis