INDICATOR
INDICATOR
Relative Strength Index
Average
• When the MACD Line crosses the centerline from
the negative territory to positive territory, it means
there is a divergence between the two averages. This
STOCHASTIC
• When the stochastic lines are above 80, the
indicator signals that the instrument is
overbought. When the stochastic lines are
below 20, it signals that the instrument is
oversold.
• Overbought and oversold levels are useful for
predicting trend reversals.
• If the stochastic indicator falls from above 80 to
below 50, it indicates that the price is moving
lower. If the indicator moves from below 20 to
above 50, it signals the price is moving higher.
• We can also look for divergence.
• The Bollinger band captures the
volatility. It has a 20-day average, a
+2 SD, and a -2 SD
• One can short when the current
The
price is at +2 SD with an expectation
that the price reverts to the average
• One can go long when the current
The
• Divide any number in the series by the previous number; the ratio is always approximately 1.618.
• For example:
610/377 = 1.618, 377/233 = 1.618, 233/144 = 1.618
Bollinger
• when a number is in the Fibonacci series is divided by its immediate succeeding number.
• For example:
89/144 = 0.618, 144/233 = 0.618, 377/610 = 0.618
At this stage, 0.618, in percentage 61.8%.
Bands
• Similar consistency can be found when any number in the Fibonacci series is divided by a number two
places higher.
• For example:
13/34 = 0.382, 21/55 = 0.382, 34/89 = 0.382
0.382, when expressed in percentage terms, is 38.2%
• Also, consistency is when a number in the Fibonacci series is divided by a number 3 place higher.
• For example:
13/55 = 0.236, 21/89 = 0.236, 34/144 = 0.236, 55/233 = 0.236
0.236, when expressed in percentage terms, is 23.6%.
• It was introduced to the world by Charles
H. Dow. During his time, he wrote a series
of articles starting from the 1900s which in
the later years was referred to as ‘The Dow
Theory’.
Dow
• Dow Theory works on 9 basic tenets.
• The market can be viewed in 3 basic phases
– accumulation, mark up, and distribution
Theory
phase.
• The accumulation phase is when the
institutional investor (smart money) enters
the market, mark up phase is when traders
make an entry. The final distribution phase
is when the larger public enter the market.
• What follows the distribution phase is the
markdown phase, following which the
accumulation phase will complete the circle.
No. Principles What does it mean?
If a sudden and unexpected event occurs, the stock market indices quickly recalibrate itself to
1 Indices discounts everything
reflect the accurate value
2 There are 3 market trends. Primary Trend, Secondary Trend, and Minor Trends
This is the major trend of the market that lasts from a year to several years. It indicates the
3 The Primary Trend
multiyear direction of the market. The primary trend could be a primary uptrend or a downtrend.
These are corrections to the primary trend. Example – corrections in the bull market, rallies &
4 The Secondary Trend recoveries in the bear market. The counter-trend can last anywhere between a few weeks to several
months.
5 Minor Trends/Daily fluctuations These are daily fluctuations in the market; traders prefer to call them market noise
We cannot confirm a trend based on just one index. For example, the market is bullish only if CNX
All Indices must confirm with each
6 Nifty, CNX Nifty Midcap, CNX Nifty Smallcap etc. all move in the same upward direction. It
other.
would not be possible to classify markets as bullish, just by the action of CNX Nifty alone.
7 Volumes must confirm The volumes must confirm along with the price & should be supported by volume.
The close is the most important price level as it represents the final evaluation of the stock during
9 The closing price is the most sacred.
the day.
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