Poisson Probability Distribution
Poisson Probability Distribution
Objectives:
• I can explain the different concepts related to
Poisson Probability Distribution
• I can use the Poisson Probability Distribution
formula to solve a variety of problems.
Trivia:
The Poisson distribution was first introduced by
Simeon Denis Poisson (1781-1840) and published
it in 1837, along with his probability in his work
Research on the Probability of Judgments in
Criminal and Civil Matters.
Poisson Experiment
- examines the number of times a certain event
occurs during a given interval. (unit of time,
volume, or length.)
- it is commonly encountered in a setting where
random events occur throughout time.
Poisson Probability Distribution
refers to the probability model which can be
used to solve the probability of occurrences of a
singles event that occurs in a given time interval.
P(X = x) =
Where: x = number of success appear
μ = mean value of successes
e = 2.71828
Example 1.
The number of calls received by an office every
30 minutes is a Poisson random variable with the
mean value of 5. Find the probability that:
a. No calls will be received in a given 30-minute
period?
b. Exactly 4 call will received in a given 30-minute
period?
Example 2.
Based on record, a certain busy intersection
has an average of 7 accidents per week. What is
the probability that next week.
a. There will be less than 2 accidents?
b. There will be at least 6 accidents?
EXAMPLE
Let X be a random variable that follows the
Poisson distribution with the mean of 6, find:
a. P(x = 0)
b. P(x = 5)
c. P(x ≤ 4)
d. P(x ≥ 6)
ACTIVITY
1. Professor Renz evaluated a Probability and
Statistics book. He noticed that the number of
typographical errors is Poisson distributed with the
mean of six for every 50 pages. In the next 50
pages, find the probability that:
a. There are 5 or fewer errors?
b. There are at least 7 errors?
2. A shop sells five pieces of shirt everyday, then
what is the probability of selling three shirts today?
3. If three persons, on an average, come to ABC
company for job interview, then find the probability
that less than three people have come for interview
on a given day.