Chapter 4 Aggregate Demand in Closed Economy Eited
Chapter 4 Aggregate Demand in Closed Economy Eited
1
4.1.1. Types of models in the economy
Y = C + I + G ---------------------------------------------------(1.3)
AD = C + I + G -------------------------------------------------(1.4)
2
Cont’d…
In this case the aggregate demand model is given by the sum
AD = C + I + G + NX
-------------------------------------------------------(1.6)
goods and services, rather than the market demand for a particular
good or service.
Other factors remaining constant, the lower the price level, the
greater the aggregate quantity demanded for real goods and services.
4
Cont’d…
An increase in price level reduces the purchasing
capacity of the demanders or consumers of the
goods and services; and reduces the total demand.
Thus, aggregate demand is downward sloping (see
the figure below, figure 4.1). Hence has similar
shape to that simple individual or market demand
for a particular normal good as you might have
seen in microeconomics, the theory of demand.
5
Cont’d…
Figure: 4.1. Aggregate demand curve as function of price
PRICE
LEVEL
P
AD
Y
OUTPUT, INCOME
6
Cont’d…
If substitute other determinants of the
aggregate demand the aggregate
demand curve will be positively
sloped upward (see figure 4.2. below).
7
Cont’d…
AD, C, I, G,
NX
AD
Y
OUTPUT, INCOME
8
Cont’d…
4.2. Foundation of Theory of Aggregate Demand
9
Cont’d…
10
Cont’d…
Because of the interest rate influences both
The more people want to spend, the more goods and services
firms can sell. The more firms can sell, the more output they
choose to hire.
and the level of income that arises in the market for goods
16
Cont’d…
Assuming that the economy is closed, so
that net exports are zero, we write planned
aggregate demand (or planned expenditure)
AD as the sum of consumption (C),
planned investment (I), and government
purchases G.
17
Cont’d…
18
Cont’d…
Figure 4.3: Planned aggregate demand (planned
expenditure)
19
Cont’d…
In the figure above planned expenditure as a function of the
level of income since the other variables are fixed.
20
Cont’d…
21
Cont’d…
Graphically:
Equilibrium Income
450
Y-Income (Output)
Figure 4.4. The Keynesian Cross
22
Cont’d…
How does the economy get to the
equilibrium? In this model, inventories
play an important role in the adjustment
process.
AD Actual Expenditure
Planned Expenditure
Unplanned Inventory Accumulation
causes income to fall
Unplanned drop in inventory
450 causes income to rise
Y2 Y* Y1 Y –Income (Output)
Figure 4.5. Adjustment to Equilibrium in Keynesian Cross
23
Cont’d…
If firms were producing at Y1 then Y > AD
25
Cont’d…
26
Cont’d…
The graph shows that an increase in government
purchases leads to an even greater increase in
income.
That is, dY > dG. The ratio ∆Y/∆G is called the
government purchase multiplier; and it tells how
much income rises in response to a one-unit increase
in government purchases.
An implication of the Keynesian cross is that the
government purchases multiplier is larger than one.
27
Cont’d…
Why does fiscal policy have a multiplied effect on income?
The reason is that, according to the consumption function,
higher income causes higher consumption.
Because an increase in government purchases raises income,
it also raises consumption, which further raises
consumption, and so on.
Therefore, in this model, an increase in government
purchases causes a greater increase in income. Initially, the
increase in G causes an equal increase in Y: Y = G.
28
Cont’d…
But Y C
further Y
further C
further Y
So the final impact on income is much
bigger than the initial G.
29
Cont’d…
MPC* ∆G.
∆𝑌 = ∆𝐶 + ∆𝐼 + ∆𝐺
∆𝑌ሺ1 − 𝑀𝑃𝐶 ሻ = ∆𝐺
∆𝒀 𝟏
= This is the overall effect change in government
∆𝑮 𝟏−𝑴𝑷𝑪
purchase on income
31
Cont’d…
32
Cont’d…
Numerical Example: In the Keynesian cross, assume that the consumption
C = 475 + 0.75(Y-T)
questions:
income?
income of 2600?
33
Cont’d…
Solution:
We know that, AD=C +I +G, where
C=400+0.75Y, I = 150, G = 250. After
summing them together, we get
AD=800+0.75Y.
AD Y= AD
AD=800+0.75Y
800
Y 34
Cont’d…
b. Equilibrium level of income
Equilibrium level of income occurs when:
Y= AD (Pla nned expenditure = Actua l expenditure
Y= AD = 800 + 0.75Y, which implies
Y-0.75Y= 800
0.25Y= 800
Y= 3200
c. New equilibrium income after ΔG↑= 125
35
Cont’d…
Graphically:
AD
Y =AD
AD=925+0.75Y
925
800
36
Cont’d…
d. We know tha t a t equilibrium: Y=AD= C+I+ G
And C=c(Y-T)
In our exa mple: Y=2600
C=475+0.75(Y-T) → C=400+0.75Y, since
T=100, I = 150
Therefore, Y=C+I+G at equilibrium
Y=c(Y-T)+I+ G
2600=400+0.75(2600) +150+G
Which implies G= 100
37
Cont’d…
4.3.3. Fiscal Policy Multiplier: Tax multiplier
A decrease in taxes of ΔT immediately raises
disposable income Y-T by ΔT and, therefore,
consumption by MPC * ΔT.
For any level of income Y, aggregate demand is now
higher. As shown in the figure below, the aggregate
demand schedule shifts upward by MPC*ΔT. The
equilibrium of the economy moves from point A to
point B.
38
Cont’d…
E Actual Expenditure
B Planned Expenditure
E2=Y2 T x MPC
A tax cut shifts
E1=Y1 A planned expenditure upward…
450
Y- Income (Output)
Y
Figure 4.7. A Decrease in Taxes in the Keynesian Cross
39
Cont’d…
Derivation for tax multiplier:
∆𝑌 = ∆𝐶 + ∆𝐼 + ∆𝐺
∆𝑌 = 𝑀𝑃𝐶∆𝑌 − 𝑀𝑃𝐶∆𝑇
∆𝑌 − 𝑀𝑃𝐶∆𝑌 = −𝑀𝑃𝐶∆𝑇
∆𝒀 −𝑴𝑷𝑪
∆𝑻
= 𝟏−𝑴𝑷𝑪
This is overall effect of change in taxes on income
This expression is the tax multiplier, the a mount income cha nges in response to a $1
cha nge in ta xes.
40
Cont’d…
Example: f the marginal propensity to
consume is 0.6, then the tax multiplier is:
Y/T = −0.6/(1 − 0.6) = −1.5.
In this example, a $1.00 cut in taxes raises
equilibrium income by $1.50.
Note: The tax multiplier is a negative effect because
tax increase reduces consumption
which reduces income.
41
Cont’d…
4.3.4. The Interest Rate, Investment Demand, and
Deriving the IS Curve
as: I = I (r).
The IS curve the relationship between the interest rate and the level
Y=c(Y-T)+I(r)+G
43
Cont’d…
Deriving the IS Curve:
Panel (a) shows the investment function: an increase in the interest rate
Panel (c) shows the IS curve summarizing this relationship between the
interest rate and income: the higher the interest rate, the lower the level of
income.
44
Cont’d…
45
Cont’d…
In essence, the IS curve combines the interaction between r
downward.
46
Cont’d…
4.3.5. Determinants of the IS Curve: Fiscal Policy Shifts
The IS curve shows us, for any given interest rate, the level
of income that brings the goods market into equilibrium.
As we learned from the Keynesian cross, the level of
income also depends on fiscal policy. The IS curve is
drawn for a given fiscal policy; that is, when we construct
the IS curve, we hold G and T fixed. When fiscal policy
changes, the IS curve shifts. The Keynesian cross in panel
(a) shows that this change in fiscal policy raises planned
expenditure and thereby increases equilibrium income from
Y1 to Y2. Therefore, in panel (b), the increase in government
purchases shifts the IS curve outward.
47
Cont’d…
E r IS1 IS2
(a) Actual (b)
Planned
Y2
𝒓ത
Y1
450
Y1 Y2 Y Y1 Y2 Y
We can use the Keynesian cross to see how change in fiscal policy shift the IS curve.
Decrease in taxes expands expenditure and income, it too shifts the IS curve outward.
The LM curve plots the relationship between the interest rate and
the level of income that arises in the market for money balances.
To understand this relationship, we begin by looking at a theory
of the interest rate, called the theory of liquidity preference.
50
Cont’d…
That is, the money supply M is an
exogenous policy variable chosen by the
central bank does not depend on the interest
rate.
The price level P is also an exogenous
variable in the IS-LM model considers short
run.
51
Cont’d…
52
Cont’d…
2nd : Consider the demand for real money balances. People hold money because it is
a “liquid” asset- that is, because it is easily used to make transactions. The theory of
liquidity preference postulates that the quantity of real money balances demanded
depends on the interest rate. The theory of liquidity preference suggests that a higher
interest rate, r, lowers the quantity of real money balances demanded, because r is the
When the interest rate rises, people want to hold less of their wealth in the form of
(M/P)d = L(r)
Where the function L( r) denotes the demand for the liquid asset- money.
This equation states that the quantity of real balances demanded is a function of the
interest rate.
53
Cont’d…
54
Cont’d…
According to the theory of liquidity
preference, the interest rate adjusts to
equilibrate the money market. The supply
and demand for real money balances
determine the interest rate.
At the equilibrium interest rate, the quantity
of money balances demanded equals the
quantity supplied i.e(L(r) = /).
55
Cont’d…
56
Cont’d…
The adjustment of the interest rate to this equilibrium of money supply
and money demand occurs because people try to adjust their portfolios of
If the interest rate is too high, the quantity of real balances supplied
they offer.
Conversely, if the interest rate is too low, so that the quantity of money
money by making bank withdrawals, which drives the interest rate up.
At the equilibrium interest rate people are content with their portfolios
58
Cont’d…
Figure 4.14: Effect of decreases in the money supply on real money balance
59
4.4.2. Income, Money Demand & Deriving the LM
Curve
Cont’d…
So far we have assumed that only the interest rate
(M/P) d = L(r, Y)
60
Cont’d…
The quantity of real money balances
demanded is negatively related to the interest
rate (because r is the opportunity cost of
holding money) and positively related to
income (because of transactions demand).
Equilibrium in financial markets implies that an
increase in income leads to an increase in the
interest rate. The LM curve is upward-sloping
61
Cont’d…
r r
(a) M (b)
r2 r2
r1 r1
L
Y-Income
ഥ
𝑴
𝑷ഥ
M/P Y1 Y2
Figure 4.15: Deriving the LM Curve (Liquidity-Money curve)
62
Cont’d…
Using the theory of liquidity preference, we
can figure out what happens to the equilibrium
interest rate when the level of income changes.
For example, consider what happens in Figure
a when income increases from Y1 to Y2. As
panel (a) illustrates, this increase in income
shifts the money demand curve to the right.
With the supply of real money balances
unchanged, the interest rate must rise from r1
to r2 to equilibrate the money market.
63
Cont’d…
According to the theory of liquidity
preference, higher income leads to a
higher interest rate. The LM curve plots
this relationship between the level of
income and the interest rate.
The higher the level of income, the
higher the demand for real money
balances, and the higher the equilibrium
interest rate. For this reason, the LM
curve slopes upward, as in panel (b).
64
4.4.3. Determinants of LM Curve: Monetary Policy Shifts
The LM curve tells us the interest rate that equilibrates the money market at any
level of income. Yet, as we saw earlier, the equilibrium interest rate also depends
on the supply of real money balances, M/P. This means that the LM curve is
drawn for a given supply of real money balances. If real money balances change
for example, if the central bank (Federal gov’t) alters the money supply the LM
curve shifts.
We can use the theory of liquidity preference to understand how monetary policy
shifts the LM curve. Suppose that the Fed decreases the money supply from M1 to
M2, which causes the supply of real money balances to fall from M1/P to M2/P.
Figure 4-16 shows what happens. Holding constant the amount of income and
thus the demand curve for real money balances, we see that a reduction in the
supply of real money balances raises the interest rate that equilibrates the money
market. Hence, a decrease in the money supply shifts the LM curve upward.
65
Cont’d…
r r
LM2
LM1
r2 r2
r1 r1
L(r, 𝒀ഥ)
Y
𝑴𝟐 𝑴𝟏
𝒀ഥ
𝑷 𝑷
Figure 4.16. A Reduction in the Money Supply Shifts the LM Curve Upward
66
Cont’d…
In summary, the LM curve shows the combinations of the
balances.
LM curve upward.
LM curve downward.
67
Cont’d…
Finally, remember that the LM curve by itself
economy’s equilibrium.
68
4.5. Short-Run Equilibrium in the Product and Money Markets
69
Cont’d…
The model takes fiscal policy, G and T, monetary
policy M, and the price level P as exogenous. Given
these exogenous variables, the IS curve provides the
combinations of r and Y that satisfy the equation
representing the goods market, and the LM curve
provides the combinations of r and Y that satisfy the
equation representing the money market. These two
curves are shown together in Figure 4-17.
70
Cont’d…
r LM
Equilibrium Point
r*
IS
Y – Income (Output)
Y*
Figure 4.17. Equilibrium in the IS-LM Model
71
Cont’d…
The equilibrium of the economy is the point at
which the IS curve and the LM curve cross. This
point gives the interest rate r and the level of
income Y that satisfy conditions for equilibrium in
both the goods market and the money market.
In other words, at this intersection, actual
expenditure equals planned expenditure, and the
demand for real money balances equals the
supply.
72
Numerical example
1. Consider the closed economy consumption function is given by C= 200 +0.75(Y-T).
The investment function is I = 200- 25r and government purchases and taxes are both
100. The money demand function is (M/P) = Y – 100r and the money supply M is
a. Find the equilibrium level of interest rate r and the equilibrium level of income Y
b. Graph IS and LM curve for interest rate in the vertical axis and income horizontal
c. Suppose the government purchases are raised from 100 to 200. How does the IS
curve shift? What are the new equilibrium interest rate and level of income?
Illustrate graphically.
d. If the price level rises from 2 to 4. What happen on the initial equilibrium level?
Illustrate graphically
73
Solution
a. Equilibrium r and Y are:
Step 1: Find the IS equation
Y= C+I+G
Y= a+(Y – T) +I(r) +G
Y = 200+0.75(Y-100)+200-25r+100
Y= 200+0.75Y-75+200 -25r+100
Y-0.75Y = 425- 25r
Y (1-0.75) = 425-25r
IS equation Y= 1,700 – 100r
74
Cont’d…
Step 2: Find LM equation (M/P)d = Y – 100r
(M/P)s = 1000/2 =500
(M/P)d= (M/P)s
Y – 100r = 500
LM equation/curve Y = 500+100r
IS equation = LM equation
1,200= 200r
Y= 1,100….equilibrium income
76
Cont’d…
b. Graph IS and LM curve for interest rate in
the vertical axis and income horizontal
Interest
LM
rate
r= 6
IS
y =1,100 Income
500 1, 700
77
Cont’d…
c. If government purchases are raised from 100 to 200. How does
the IS curve shift? What are the new equilibrium interest rate and
level of income?
1st find the new IS equation after government purchases are raised
from 100 to 200 since gov't purchase affect only goods and service
market.
Y = 200+0.75(Y-100)+200-25r+200
Y= 200+0.75Y-75+200 -25r+200
Y (1-0.75) = 525-25r
Interest rate
LM
Income
80
Cont’d…
d. If the price level rises from 2 to 4. What happen on the
initial equilibrium level?
Y – 100r = 250
LM equation/curve Y = 250+100r
81
Cont’d…
At equilibrium goods and money market:
IS equation = LM equation
1,450= 200r
82
Cont’d…
Graphically:
7.25
IS
83
Cont’d…
84
Cont’d…
The Liquidity Trap: is a situation in which the interest rate reached at very low level. In
the United States in the 1930s, interest rates reached very low levels. A similar situation
occurred in 2008. In December of that year, the Federal Reserve cut its target for the
federal funds rate to the range of zero to 0.25 percent. Some economists describe this
policy works by reducing interest rates and stimulating investment spending. But if
interest rates have already fallen almost to zero, then perhaps monetary policy is no
longer effective. Nominal interest rates cannot fall below zero: rather than making a
loan at a negative nominal interest rate, a person would just hold cash. In this
environment, expansionary monetary policy raises the supply of money, making the
public’s asset portfolio more liquid, but because interest rates can’t fall any further, the
extra liquidity might not have any effect. Aggregate demand, production, and
fixed. To see how the IS–LM model fits into the model
demand curve.
falls as the price level raises that is, why the aggregate
curve to shift.
87
Cont’d…
To explain why the aggregate demand curve slopes downward, we examine
what happens in the IS–LM model when the price level changes. This is done in
Figure 4-20.
For any given money supply M, a higher price level P reduces the supply of real
money balances M/P. A lower supply of real money balances shifts the LM
curve upward, which raises the equilibrium interest rate and lowers the
equilibrium level of income, as shown in panel (a). Here the price level rises
from P1 to P2, and income falls from Y1 to Y2.The aggregate demand curve in
panel (b) plots this negative relationship between national income and the price
level.
In other words, the aggregate demand curve shows the set of equilibrium points
that arise in the IS–LM model as we vary the price level and see what happens to
income.
88
Cont’d…
LM(P2)
r LM(P1) P
AD
P2
IS P1
Y2 Y1 Y Y2 Y1
Figure 4.18. Deriving the Aggregate Demand Curve with the IS-LM Model
89
Cont’d…
What causes the aggregate demand curve to shift? Because of the aggregate
demand curve is merely a summary results from the IS–LM model, events that
shift the IS curve or the LM curve (for a given price level) cause the aggregate
For instance, an increase in the money supply raises income by shifting the
LM curve to the right in the IS–LM model for any given price level; it thus
income by shifting the IS curve to the right in the IS-LM model for a given
price level; it also shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right.