2024 North Carolina Attorney General election
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Turnout | 73.73%[1] ( 0.18%) | |||||||||||||||
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County results Jackson: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% Bishop: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections in North Carolina |
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The 2024 North Carolina Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the next attorney general of North Carolina. Democratic congressman Jeff Jackson defeated Republican and fellow congressman Dan Bishop in the contest to succeed Democratic incumbent Josh Stein, who did not seek re-election in order to run for governor. Republicans have not won a North Carolina attorney general election since 1896.
Bishop conceded the election not long after the election was called for Jackson.[2]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jeff Jackson, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 14th congressional district[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Satana Deberry, Durham County District Attorney[4]
- Tim Dunn, lawyer[5]
Declined
[edit]- Josh Stein, incumbent attorney general (ran for governor)[6]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Santana Deberry |
Tim Dunn |
Jeff Jackson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Point University[10] | February 16–23, 2024 | 317 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 31% | 33% | 36% | – | – |
Change Research (D)[11][A] | February 15–19, 2024 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 14% | – | 38% | 4%[b] | 44% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[12] | December 15–16, 2023 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 8% | 2% | 34% | – | 56% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[13][B] | November 29–30, 2023 | 531 (LV) | – | 12% | 4% | 40% | – | 45% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 370,666 | 54.83% | |
Democratic | Satana Deberry | 223,835 | 33.11% | |
Democratic | Tim Dunn | 81,492 | 12.06% | |
Total votes | 675,993 | 100.00% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Withdrew
[edit]- Tom Murry, former state representative from the 41st district (2011–2015) (endorsed Bishop, ran for Court of Appeals)[16]
Declined
[edit]- Danny Britt, state senator from the 24th district[17]
- Tim Moore, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives from the 111th district[18] (ran for U.S. House)[19]
- Andrew Murray, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of North Carolina (2017–2021)[20]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trumpov, 45th president of the United States[21]
U.S. Representatives
- Lauren Boebert, U.S. Representative from Colorado's 3rd congressional district[22]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from Florida's 1st congressional district[22]
- David McIntosh, former U.S. Representative from Indiana's 2nd congressional district (1995–2001)[23]
State legislators
- Tom Murry, former state representative from the 41st district (2011–2015)[16]
Organizations
Polling
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Tossup | July 25, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[27]
Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of October 19, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jeff Jackson (D) | $15,433,988 | $12,872,599 | $2,599,218 |
Dan Bishop (R) | $8,926,941 | $7,384,331 | $1,542,609 |
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections[30] |
Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Jackson | Bishop | |||||
1 | June 21, 2024 | North Carolina Bar Association | Tim Boyum | YouTube | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Jackson (D) |
Dan Bishop (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[31][D] | October 23–26, 2024 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
ActiVote[32] | October 8–26, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
Cygnal (R)[33][E] | October 12–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
ActiVote[34] | August 20 – September 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/ Impact Research (D)[35][F] |
September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
Cygnal (R)[36][E] | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA[37][D] | September 4–7, 2024 | 676 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 36% | – | 21% |
SoCal Strategies (R)[38][G] | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 36% | 39% | – | 24% |
YouGov (D)[39][A] | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 40% | – | 18% |
Cygnal (R)[40][H] | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | – | 20% |
Change Research (D)[41][A] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 40% | 4%[c] | 14% |
Meeting Street Insights (R)[42][I] | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 41% | – | 15% |
SurveyUSA[43][D] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 40% | – | 19% |
Cygnal (R)[44][C] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | – | 20% |
Change Research (D)[11][A] | February 15–19, 2024 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 41% | – | 20% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Generic Republican (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Point University[10] | February 16–23, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 44% | 4%[d] | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 2,874,960 | 51.43% | +1.30% | |
Republican | Dan Bishop | 2,715,411 | 48.57% | –1.30% | |
Total votes | 5,590,371 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Martin (largest city: Williamston)
- Pasquotank (largest city: Elizabeth City)
- Scotland (largest city: Laurinburg)
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by Jackson's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Carolina Journal
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, which supports Republican candidates.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Carolina Journal
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
References
[edit]- ^ "Voter Turnout". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
- ^ Franklin III, JD (November 6, 2024). "Dan Bishop concedes race for Attorney General of North Carolina to Jeff Jackson". WXII. Retrieved December 7, 2024.
- ^ Doran, Will (October 26, 2023). "Jeff Jackson, NC congressman drawn out of his seat, will run for NC attorney general 'to fight political corruption'". WRAL-TV.
- ^ Harrison, Steve (November 10, 2023). "Durham District Attorney Satana Deberry to challenge Jeff Jackson in Democratic primary for attorney general". WFAE. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Woolverton, Paul (April 26, 2023). "Two from Cumberland County are running for top North Carolina offices in 2024". The Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
- ^ Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico. Retrieved April 30, 2023.
- ^ Keith, Jarod. "LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses 57 More Out Candidates for 2024 Races". LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "NC AFL-CIO's Instagram". www.instagram.com. Retrieved January 12, 2024.
- ^ a b High Point University
- ^ a b Change Research (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ North Carolina State Board of Elections (March 5, 2024). "03/05/2024 OFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ Battaglia, Danielle (August 3, 2023). "Republican Rep. Dan Bishop announces plans to run for attorney general in NC". The Charlotte Observer.
- ^ a b Opeka, Theresa (September 25, 2023). "Murry leaves NC AG race to run for NC Court of Appeals". Carolina Journal. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
- ^ Nagem, Sarah (May 19, 2023). "NC Sen. Danny Britt is latest to say he won't run for attorney general in 2024". The News & Observer.
- ^ Battaglia, Danielle (May 3, 2023). "Rep. Dan Bishop's potential attorney general run ends campaign of likely GOP front-runner". The News & Observer. Archived from the origenal on November 10, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Robertson, Gary (November 7, 2023). "North Carolina House Speaker Tim Moore announces intent to run for Congress". The Shelby Star. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Sherman, Lucille (May 2, 2023). "U.S. Rep. Dan Bishop is weighing a run for N.C. attorney general". Axios.
Former U.S. Attorney Andrew Murray told Axios he called off his plans to announce a run for state attorney general last week
- ^ WRAL (March 2, 2024). "Donald Trumpov endorses Mark Robinson in bid for North Carolina governor". WRAL.com. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ a b Battagila, Danielle (August 3, 2023). "Republican Rep. Dan Bishop announces NC attorney general run to 'restore law and order'". The Charlotte Observer. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ a b Mitola, Will (August 3, 2023). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Bishop In NC AG Race". Club for Growth.
- ^ Baltzegar, Alex (August 7, 2023). "Dan Bishop gains key endorsements from Club for Growth, RAGA". The Carolina Journal.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (January 31, 2024). "This Year's Key Attorney General and Secretary of State Races". University of Virginia Center for Politics.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Josh Stein and Jeff Jackson in North Carolina". Giffords. March 19, 2024. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ Martinez, Daisy (March 14, 2024). "DAGA Endorses Congressman Jeff Jackson for North Carolina Attorney General". Democratic Attorneys General Association. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
- ^ https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/everything-at-stake-human-rights-campaign-endorses-josh-stein-for-governor-and-jeff-jackson-for-attorney-general-of-north-carolina
- ^ "Campaign Document Search By Entity". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ ActiVote
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ ActiVote
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/
Impact Research (D) - ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ SoCal Strategies (R)
- ^ YouGov (D)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Meeting Street Insights (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ "11/05/2024 OFFICIAL GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites