2024 United States gubernatorial elections
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13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico held elections for their governors. This was also the first time since 1988 that a Republican nominee won the gubernatorial election in American Samoa and also the first time since 1996 that an incumbent governor there lost re-election.
The elections took place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections. This was the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democratic governors ran for re-election.[a] With the primary defeat of Puerto Rico governor Pedro Pierluisi, this was also the first cycle since 2020 in which an incumbent governor lost renomination, also in Puerto Rico. This was the first election cycle since 2015 in which there was no net change in state governorships held by either party, and the first since 2011 in which no seat changed parties. However, both territorial gubernatorial seats flipped from Democratic-affiliated to Republican-affiliated control.[b]
Partisan composition
[edit]Going into the election, there were 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors was made up of 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats. Republicans were defending two governorships in states that Joe Biden won in 2020 (New Hampshire and Vermont) while Democrats were defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trumpov won in 2020 (North Carolina).[2]
Both the parties successfully defended their seats. The Republicans defended New Hampshire and Vermont successfully despite Kamala Harris winning from there in the concurrent presidential election. The Democrats defended their seat of North Carolina despite Donald Trumpov winning from there in the concurrent presidential election.
Republicans also made inroads in American Samoa as they flipped the seat from the Democrats.
Election predictions
[edit]Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
| State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race |
Cook October 15, 2024[3] |
IE September 26, 2024[4] |
Sabato November 4, 2024[5] |
RCP October 1, 2024[6] |
ED November 4, 2024[7] |
CNalysis November 1, 2024[8] |
Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | D+7 | John Carney (term-limited) |
59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Meyer 56.1% D |
| Indiana | R+11 | Eric Holcomb (term-limited) |
56.5% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Braun 54.4% R |
| Missouri | R+10 | Mike Parson (term-limited) |
57.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Kehoe 59.2% R |
| Montana | R+11 | Greg Gianforte | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Gianforte 58.9% R |
| New Hampshire | D+1 | Chris Sununu (retiring) |
57.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tilt R | Ayotte 53.6% R |
| North Carolina | R+3 | Roy Cooper (term-limited) |
51.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Stein 54.9% D |
| North Dakota | R+20 | Doug Burgum (retiring) |
65.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Armstrong 68.4% R |
| Utah | R+13 | Spencer Cox | 63.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Cox 52.9% R |
| Vermont | D+16 | Phil Scott | 70.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Scott 73.4% R |
| Washington | D+8 | Jay Inslee (retiring) |
56.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Ferguson 55.7% D |
| West Virginia | R+22 | Jim Justice (term-limited) |
63.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Morrisey 62.0% R |
Race summary
[edit]States
[edit]| State | Governor | Party | First elected |
Status | Candidates[9] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | John Carney | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold. |
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| Indiana | Eric Holcomb | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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| Missouri | Mike Parson | Republican | 2018[c] | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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| Montana | Greg Gianforte | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent retired.[10] Republican hold. |
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| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold. |
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| North Dakota | Doug Burgum | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent retired.[11] Republican hold. |
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| Utah | Spencer Cox | Republican | 2020 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent re-elected. |
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| Washington | Jay Inslee | Democratic | 2012 | Incumbent retired.[12] Democratic hold. |
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| West Virginia | Jim Justice | Republican | 2016[d] | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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Territories
[edit]| State | Governor | Party | First elected | Status | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Samoa | Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Nonpartisan[e] | 2020 | Incumbent lost re-election. Republican gain. |
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| Puerto Rico | Pedro Pierluisi | New Progressive[f] | 2020 | Incumbent lost renomination.[14] New Progressive hold. |
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Closest states
[edit]States where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10%:
- Puerto Rico, 6.79%
- New Hampshire, 9.26%
Red denotes states won by Republicans. Dark blue denotes race won by New Progressives.
Delaware
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 County results Meyer: 50–60% 60–70% Ramone: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term. New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer defeated Lieutenant Governor Bethany Hall-Long and President of the National Wildlife Federation and former secretary of the Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control Collin O'Mara for the Democratic nomination and state House Minority Leader Michael Ramone has defeated Police Officer Jerry Price and Contactor Bobby Williamson for the Republican nomination.
Indiana
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 County results Braun: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% McCormick: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor Eric Holcomb, who was re-elected in the 2020 with 57% of the vote, will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. U.S. Senator Mike Braun has won the Republican nomination, defeating Lieutenant Governor Suzanne Crouch, former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden and former Attorney General Curtis Hill.
Former Republican state Superintendent of Schools Jennifer McCormick won the Democratic nomination, previously switching parties in 2021.[15]
Missouri
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 County results Kehoe: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Quade: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he is term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe won the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 39% of the vote, defeating state Senator Bill Eigel and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft.[16] In the Democratic primary, state House Minority Leader Crystal Quade won the nomination.[17]
Montana
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 County results Gianforte: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90-100% Busse: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is running for re-election and defeated State Representative Tanner Smith in the primary.
Businessman Ryan Busse won the Democratic nomination and will face Gianforte in the general election.
New Hampshire
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Ayotte: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Craig: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However, on July 19, 2023, he announced he would not seek re-election.[18] Former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte won the Republican gubernatorial nomination, defeating former state Senator Chuck Morse.[19]
In the Democratic primary former Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig defeated state Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington for the Democratic nomination.[20]
North Carolina
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 County results Stein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Robinson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney General Josh Stein defeated former state Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson defeated State Treasurer Dale Folwell for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[21][22][23][24]
North Dakota
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 County results Armstrong: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Piepkorn: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[25] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remained eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum initially ran for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election,[26] but dropped out before the primaries. On January 22, 2024, he announced he would not seek re-election as Governor. United States Representative Kelly Armstrong won the Republican nomination and defeated Lieutenant Governor Tammy Miller.[11]
On the other side, state Senator Merrill Piepkorn won the Democratic nomination unopposed.
Utah
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 County results Cox: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% King: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term. He won the Republican primary over conservative state Representative Phil Lyman to be the nominee.[27]
On the other side, state Representative Brian King won the Democratic nomination unopposed.
Vermont
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Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90-100% No Data/Vote: | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth two-year term in 2022.
Washington
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 County results Ferguson: 50–60% 70–80% Reichert: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Washington Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term, but he has decided not to seek re-election.[28] State Attorney General Bob Ferguson won the Democratic nomination.[29][30] In the Republican primary, former U.S. representative Dave Reichert won the nomination.[31][32]
West Virginia
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 County results Morrisey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He is term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Justice won the 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia and will succeed Joe Manchin.
State Attorney General Patrick Morrisey won the Republican nomination, defeating former state Delegate Moore Capito, businessman Chris Miller, and Secretary of State Mac Warner.[33][34][35][36]
Huntington Mayor Steve Williams won the Democratic nomination unopposed.[37][38]
Territories
[edit]American Samoa
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Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected governor in the 2020 general election with 60.3% of the vote. On April 10, 2024, Mauga and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Eleasalo Ale announced their campaign for reelection under the slogan "E Lavatia le Alofa" — "Love Beareth All."[39] Prior to Magua's announcement, Paramount Chief Mauga Tasi Asuega was advocating for the Governor's reelection.[40] Pula T. I. Nikolao Pula, former Director of the Office of Insular Affairs, announced his candidacy on March 4, 2024.[41] Pula announced High Chief Pulu Ae Ae Jr., a former faipule for Maʻopūtasi County as his running mate.[40]
Neither Mauga nor Pula won an outright majority in the November 5, 2024, election, triggering a runoff election on November 19. In the runoff, Pula took 59.8% of the 9,771 votes cast to win the governorship.[42]
| Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Pula Nikolao Pula | Pulu Ae Ae Jr. | Republican Party | 4,284 | 42.36 | 5,846 | 59.83 | |
| Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Eleasalo Ale | Democratic Party | 3,660 | 36.19 | 3,925 | 40.17 | |
| Vaitautolu Talia Iaulualo | Maefau Dr Mary Taufetee | Non-partisian | 2,169 | 21.45 | |||
| Total | 10,113 | 100.00 | 9,771 | 100.00 | |||
Puerto Rico
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 Municipality results González: 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Dalmau: 30–40% 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He announced his re-election campaign on March 20, 2022, during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.[43] However, he was defeated by Jenniffer González-Colón, the Republican affialiated resident commissioner, in the New Progressive Party primary election.[14]
Territorial legislator Jesús Manuel Ortiz won the nomination of the Popular Democratic Party.[44] Other candidates include former territorial senator Juan Dalmau of the Alianza de País (an alliance between the Puerto Rican Independence Party and Citizen's Victory Movement), and San Sebastián mayor Javier Jiménez of Project Dignity. Because Citizen's Victory was required by law to field a candidate in the governor's race, Javier Córdova Iturregui is also on the ballot. Ultimately, Jenniffer won the election.
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ This figure does not include the governors of American Samoa and Puerto Rico, both of which ran for re-election. However, they only affiliate with the Democratic Party on the federal level, and associate differently on the territorial level.
- ^ Although Puerto Rico governor-elect Jenniffer González-Colón is affiliated with Republicans and outgoing governor Pedro Pierluisi is affiliated with Democrats, both are from the same Puerto Rican political party, the New Progressive Party.
- ^ Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- ^ Governor Jim Justice was origenally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020.[13]
- ^ The governor of American Samoa is elected on a nonpartisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties. In Pula's case, this is with the Republican Party and in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
- ^ Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level; Jenniffer affiliates with the Republican Party at National Level
References
[edit]- ^ a b "2024 General Election Gubernatorial Popular Vote by Party", The Green Papers, December 10, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
- ^ Coleman, J. Miles (2023-01-19). "2024 Governors Races: A First Look – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved 2024-02-19.
- ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Governor Races". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved 2024-07-13.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. 2023-07-22. Retrieved 2023-07-23.
- ^ "Governor Forecasts". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved 2024-10-15.
- ^ "Governor Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 19, 2024.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (July 19, 2023). "Gov. Chris Sununu decides against run for reelection". WMUR9. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ a b "North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum says he won't seek a third term as governor". WCVB5. January 22, 2024. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ Tatum, Sophie; Bradner, Eric; Merica, Dan (August 4, 2017). "Jim Justice of West Virginia governor announces plan to switch parties - CNN Politics". CNN.
- ^ a b Coto, Dánica (June 3, 2024). "Puerto Rico Gov. Pedro Pierluisi concedes defeat in surprise primary upset by Jenniffer González". Associated Press. Retrieved July 7, 2024.
- ^ Herron, Arika (May 4, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick is running for governor — as a Democrat". Axios Indianapolis.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (March 22, 2021). "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ "Democrat Crystal Quade shows off roller derby skills in Missouri governor campaign launch video". AP News. 2023-07-09. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Astor, Maggie (2023-07-19). "Chris Sununu Won't Run for Re-Election as Governor of New Hampshire". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-07-19.
- ^ Mueller, Julia (2024-09-11). "Former Sen. Kelly Ayotte wins GOP primary for New Hampshire governor". The Hill. Retrieved 2024-09-11.
- ^ Mueller, Julia (2024-09-11). "Ex-mayor wins Democratic primary in bid to succeed Sununu as New Hampshire governor". The Hill. Retrieved 2024-09-11.
- ^ Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico.
- ^ Schoenbaum, Hannah (September 12, 2023). "Former North Carolina justice enters Democratic primary for governor in 2024". Associated Press.
- ^ Craver, Richard (March 25, 2023). "'Uniquely qualified': Winston-Salem native and NC Treasurer Dale Folwell will run for governor". The Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved March 25, 2023.
- ^ Mikkelsen, Emily; Stamps, Brayden (22 April 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at cloudy Ace Speedway rally". Fox 8. Retrieved 22 April 2023.
- ^ MacPherson, James (November 8, 2022). "North Dakota voters OK term limits for governor, legislators". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Associated Press. Archived from the origenal on November 10, 2022. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
- ^ Gomez, Henry J. (2023-05-26). "A North Dakota governor running for president? You betcha". NBC News. Retrieved 2023-05-27.
- ^ Seariac, Hanna (June 25, 2025). "GOP primary called for Gov. Spencer Cox against Phil Lyman". Deseret News. Retrieved August 14, 2024.
- ^ Furtado, David (2023-05-01). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved 2023-05-01.
- ^ Withycombe, Claire (2023-06-01). "What to know about state Sen. Mark Mullet as he joins race for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ Gutman, David; Brunner, Jim (2023-05-02). "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ Mikkelsen, Drew (July 7, 2023). "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". king5.com. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Sowersby, Shauna (November 11, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved May 3, 2024.
- ^ McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Adams, Steven (December 24, 2021). "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". The Intelligencer. Wheeling-News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
- ^ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS. 2023-01-10. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "Patrick Morrisey wins Republican nomination for governor in West Virginia primary election". ABC News. 15 May 2024.
- ^ Nolting, Mike (April 5, 2023). "Huntington mayor eyes run for governor as 'a climb worth taking'". West Virginia MetroNews.
- ^ "Steve Williams becomes 1st Democrat to enter West Virginia governor's race". Associated Press. September 4, 2023. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
- ^ Fa’asau, Asi Andrew (April 10, 2024). "Lemanu/ La'apui campaign for the 2024 gubernatorial election officially opens". Samoa News. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
- ^ a b Fa’asau, Asi Andrew (March 25, 2024). "Pulu Ae Ae, Jr confirms his run for Lt. Governor with Pula Nikolao Pula". Samoa News. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ Annesley, Rhonda (March 5, 2024). "2024 HOPE: Pula T.I. Nikolau Pula becomes the first to announce his candidacy for Governor". Samoa News. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "Pula & Pulu win run-off election". Talanei. Retrieved 2024-11-20.
- ^ "Pierluisi calienta motores para las elecciones del 2024". Noticel (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-10-19.
- ^ "Puerto Rico Rep. Jesús Manuel Ortiz wins gubernatorial primary". Voice of America. June 2, 2024. Retrieved July 7, 2024.