2012 Investing in Afghanistan's Future Report
2012 Investing in Afghanistan's Future Report
Spring 2012
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Investing in Afghanistans future
CONTENTS
Report 2
List of participants 12
The views expressed in this report are personal opinions of the speakers and not necessarily those of the organisations they
represent, nor of the Security & Defence Agenda, Friends of Europe, Debating Europe, their members or partners.
Reproduction in whole or in part is permitted, providing that full attribution is made to the organisers and to the source(s)
in question, and provided that any such reproduction, whether in full or in part, is not sold unless incorporated in other
works.
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Investing in Afghanistans future
The coming transition in Afghanistan will not begin in Even this scenario may not become reality, as targeted
2014 with the withdrawal of NATO troops, said Paul assassinations and increasing political infighting in
Smith, British Council Country Director, Afghanistan. It Afghanistan appear to suggest that the country will be
has already started and is well underway. facing a serious political crisis in the next few years.
The fact is that the war in
This transition, of which the end The coming transition in Afghanistan will not Afghanistan is escalating,
goal must be to enable the begin in 2014 with the withdrawal of NATO Ayub underlined, adding:
Afghan people to command troops. It has already started and is well There are signs that the
and control their own destiny underway country is slowly sliding
in order to create a secure, towards civil war.
stable and prosperous country, should focus on three
main processes: the withdrawal of international
combat forces, the peace process, and democratic and During her extensive travels in Afghanistan over the
fair elections, said Pedro Serrano, Director for South last year, Nasrine Gross, Founder and President of the
and Southeast Asia at the European External Action Roqia Center for Womens Rights, Studies and
Service (EEAS). Education in Afghanistan, has not heard from one
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Investing in Afghanistans future
single Afghan who is not worried about the Western The panel agreed that the way forward for a stable and
coalition leaving. While it is true that the Afghan sustainable Afghanistan is for the Afghan people with
security forces do not currently have the wherewithal support from the international community to take
to stand alone against the insurgency, she said she was upon themselves the task of creating capable
less concerned about the idea of civil war. The real governance structures while rallying national security
threat continues to be the Taliban and other groups forces and the will of the people around cohesive
who are trained, armed and funded by sources outside Afghan cultural ideals.
of the country.
The conclusion is not that the people do not care
Whether future conflict comes from outside forces or about what happens to their country, said Col. Michel
not, concerns are escalating that Afghanistans Lalumire, Chief of Staff, Combined Joint Interagency
fledgling governance and security structures will be Task Force Shafafiyat, ISAF. There are many entities on
unable to meet the requirements of stability and the ground that have the will but lack the tools and
sustainability as international support from both mechanisms to tackle the issues. Make no mistake;
development aid programs and the International Afghanistan is in a race where the prize is the trust of
Security Assistance Force (ISAF) drops off following the people.
troop withdrawals in 2014.
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Investing in Afghanistans future
The international communitys engagement with while continuing its financial support for police salaries
Afghanistan will be deepened and further defined this through the United Nations Development
year through a set of conferences to be held in Chicago Programmes Law and Order Trust Fund for
in May, Kabul in June and Tokyo in July, Serrano Afghanistan.
informed the participants. These conferences are all
interlinked, addressing different aspects of the
international community's engagement: security and Afghanistans neighbours
development and the regional dimension, respectively.
The second conference, to be held in Kabul in June, will
Afghan security forces involve actors from the region such as India, Pakistan
and China and will reinforce the importance of the
One of the key topics of the Chicago conference will be
regional dimension following the withdrawal of
how to ensure the effectiveness and sustainability of
international combat forces.
the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF). This area
concerns NATO and ISAF to a large degree but the EU
Finally, Serrano noted, the Tokyo conference is
will continue its commitment to supporting the civilian
police, he explained. concerned with ensuring the ownership of Afghanistan
over its own development. International donors are
The aim beyond 2014 is that the ANSF be in the lead already engaged in a number of areas in Afghan
and take over responsibility for security, said development, from the justice sector, through
Lalumire. Already, the capacity that the Afghan electoral reform, governance and human rights, to
forces are demonstrating is impressive. health and rural development. The donors have to
live up to their commitments and Afghanistan to the
Addressing a question about civilian oversight of the
military, Serrano underlined that EU efforts are reforms it has agreed to carry out, he stated.
focussed on developing an accountable police force
In the lead up to 2014, the
able to serve Afghan citizens.
The EU was complementing If we want to be successful in Afghanistan, the EU has three main messages
the se e ffo rts th ro ugh EU must fulfil its commitments, as well as the to impart to Afghanistan
supporting reform of the Afghan authorities and the international and its partners in the
judiciary and penitentiary international community,
systems. community.
Serrano underlined. Firstly,
the political and financial commitment from the EU
We are distinguishing between the civilian police and
the army, he noted. We want to ensure that the remains firm, as well as cooperation in any number of
civilian police are numerous enough and of a high other areas.
enough quality to protect citizens rights and provide a
service to society. To this end, through its EUPOL Secondly, effective engagement with Afghanistan can
Afghanistan mission, the EU provides leadership only be successful if the Afghan Government makes
training and mentoring to the Afghan police forces good on its commitments to addressing governance
The Law and Order Trust Fund for Afghanistan is a multi-lateral Trust Fund set up in 2002 as a mechanism for coordinating contributions as part of the
international communitys support for building the Afghan national police force. For more information: http://www.undp.org.af/whoweare/undpinafghanistan/
Projects/sbgs/prj_lotfa.htm
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The conclusions of the Bonn Conference can be found on the website of the EEAS: http://eeas.europa.eu/afghanistan/docs/2011_11_conclusions_bonn_en.pdf
Investing in Afghanistans future
reforms, while encouraging its civil society to fully play Afghanistan. In order to accomplish this, we must bring
its role. Finally, the continued commitment of the together the various actors and improve a shared
international community is essential to Afghanistans understanding on the common issues at stake.
transition and transformation processes. NATO, the UN
and other, particularly regional, actors must at least While conducting these discussions, the different
maintain, if not increase, their involvement in the dynamics around the region need to be dealt with
processes currently underway in Afghanistan. If we separately, either through bilateral agreements or
want to be successful in Afghanistan, he noted, the through third party interventions, he suggested.
EU must fulfil its commitments, as well as the Afghan On the technical level in some areas, certain regional
authorities and the international community. actors are interested in continuing and expanding
Underlining the importance of her fellow discussants cooperation, noted Lalumire. Security issues are an
analysis, Ayub warned that, for all the discussion easy example but we are also seeing some cooperation
underway, there are not any real economic between regional players on trans-border crime. An
commitments to Afghanistan after 2014. Afghanistan alignment of interest prompts discussion, which is part
is largely aid dependent, she reminded, and the of the natural evolution of stabilisation, he elaborated.
budget is completely skewed, with 40% of revenue Cooperation on a technical level is a good step but it is
currently consumed by security services. Once aid not enough, said Ayub, adding that regional players
levels fall, we must consider what effect the ensuing can only be engaged politically. If we are to engage
economic instability will have. these actors productively, we must continue talking to
them.
What is currently being presented as a political In addition, there is a proliferation and fragmentation
process is in reality only discussion about a political of armed groups throughout the country.
process, she noted, adding that successful
negotiations to end the ongoing conflict must be held In the absence of a commonly-held notion of a state to
between more than just the Americans and the Taliban. provide protection and run the country, against a
The challenge is to include all of the power brokers in backdrop of increasing insecurity as to whether the
Afghanistan in the process and allow them to reach an ANSF will remain cohesive after the withdrawal of ISAF
agreement among themselves. troops, she expressed concerns about the possibility of
a civil war.
An important step in this process is the elections
proposed for 2014, underlined Gross. The 2014 In sum, Ayub said that 2014 will bring one of two
elections must happen and they must be free, fair and possibilities. There will either be recognition on the
transparent. For this to occur we need to effect part of the current Afghan administration that it needs
changes in electoral law and the electoral commission. to hold a productive dialogue in the absence of
The work needed to make support from ISAF, or the
these changes must start The 2014 elections must happen and they power brokers in Afghanistan
now. must be free, fair and transparent. will believe that they can
continue to fight the war, thus
Though she agrees with her co-panellist, Ayub said she prolonging the conflict and perpetuating the hardship
was uncertain that the current conditions on the for the country and its people.
ground in Afghanistan will allow these free and
transparent elections to take place. In the absence of a
fair and democratic transition of political leadership, Integrating equality and justice in the Afghan
she posits, there is a greater risk of a slide towards cultural identity
more armed conflict.
The question of redefining Afghan culture is quite
We need to discuss what a political process looks like pertinent to the process of transition the country is
in Afghanistan, she said. As it stands now, there is no undergoing, panellists said. People often speak about
political framework in place to Afghanistan as a three-legged
manage competing interests. We need to discuss what a political process stool, comprising governance,
This is the point that needs to looks like in Afghanistan. As it stands now, security and socio-economic
be underscored. development. I believe it is a
there is no political framework in place to man-
four-legged chair. Without the
age competing interests. fourth leg of culture to
Powerful families stabilise it, the whole
structure is liable to collapse, noted Smith.
As Ayub sees it, the political pattern currently emerging
in Afghanistan is one where networks of powerful
families control large sectors of the economy.
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Investing in Afghanistans future
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Investing in Afghanistans future
Young people have a key role the outside. Much effort has gone into addressing this
issue in the past and currently there is a lot of positive
Currently, there are numerous initiatives in place that energy on the ground to be harnessed in the fight
are trying to help youth to find their voice and achieve against corruption.
traction on social action, he informed the participants.
In dealing with the younger generations of Afghans, Progress has been made, particularly in the fight
care must be taken to avoid being patronising while at against those who grow, process, and sell narcotics, he
the same time working to empower them. noted. These commendable actions have
demonstrated that, with a concerted effort, the
In my experience, the sector of the population who Afghan justice system can be made to operate against
are the most adamant about democratic and fair the criminal actors who have been enjoying impunity
change in Afghanistan is the youth, Smith said, adding during the past decade.
that we have to find practical means to enable the
youth to put their ideas into action. Future leaders
Smith said it was imperative that the international As a final point, Smith urged the participants to
community invested in helping Afghanistan find its own consider that Afghanistan needs help identifying its
democratic governing structures that are culturally future leaders. Creating a culturally cohesive and equal
relevant. An appropriate area to begin would be the society in Afghanistan is contingent on the next
most oft-cited concern among Afghan youth, namely generation of well-educated professionals that could
the rampant level of corruption in the country, the benefit from an improved Afghan educational system.
panel agreed.
Tackling corruption in Afghanistan is a matter While Afghan school and
of enabling the justice system to evolve and university systems have come
Tackling corruption become more robust. a long way, there is still much
work to be done, he admitted.
The level of corruption in Afghanistan and how it has For example, at the current time only 5% of university
evolved in the last decade has made it totally lecturers in Afghanistan have obtained a PhD, while
disproportionate compared with the existing capacity less than 30% have a post-graduate degree at all.
to tackle it, noted Lalumire. Simply put, the Afghans
are asking for a set of checks and balances to address I believe that, if we are to use international money for
the issue of corruption. There is a lack of suitably any one developmental purpose over any other, we
robust institutions capable of validating allegations of should use it to pay the salaries of the most relevant
corruption and following through with prosecution. sectors for the future stabilisation of the country, such
as schoolteachers, civil servants and doctors, Smith
Tackling corruption in Afghanistan is a matter of concluded.
enabling the justice system to evolve and become more
robust, noted Lalumire. The system should operate
without intimidation, interruption and influence from
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Programme
Ensuring stability in Afghanistan after the planned 2014 draw-down in NATOs presence in the
country requires urgent action on an array of fronts. An improvement in domestic governance
structures is critical. Currently, a lack of commitment to the rule of law, coupled with
widespread corruption and heightened insecurity, hinder human and economic development
in Afghanistan. Stronger civilian institutions are needed. The future of Afghanistan also
depends on the strength and vitality of its people, including the ability of its reformers,
business leaders, civil society groups and women to operate without restrictions. The recent
international conference in Bonn has promised continued support for post-2014 Afghanistan.
But with aid budgets under pressure, can this pledge be fulfilled? How can the international
community best assist in developing human, institutional and regulatory capacities in the
country? What are the key challenges ahead and what role can the EU play in assisting the
transition? Can modern models of education and society survive post 2014 and can an Afghan
identity emerge and co-exist with new models of education? What lesson have we learned
about cultural needs and investment in people? Will Afghanistans civil society structures
remain influential or will they be overtaken by traditional versions?
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Investing in Afghanistans future
List of participants
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List of participants
Cecilia Costa
Geo-coordinator, co-Desk Afghanistan Nathalie Furrer
European Commission, Directorate General for Director
Development and Cooperation - EuropeAid (DEVCO) Friends of Europe
Alexandre Jully
Assistant, Policy and Communication
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List of participants
Michal Kaplan
Head of Unit, EU External Relations Viktorija Laurinaityte
Permanent Representation of the Czech Republic to Project Assistant
the EU Friends of Europe
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The British Council: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow
The British Council celebrates its 78th birthday this year. From modest beginnings we now boast over
220 offices in over 100 countries and territories across the world. Although we receive a core govern-
ment grant to underpin our on-the-ground presence we earn the 72% of our resources by teaching Eng-
lish, winning and delivering education and development contracts and working in partnership with public
bodies, donors and the private sector. In total, for every 1 of government funding received, we earn an
additional 2.65 from other sources.
We have consistently proven successful at turning this investment into impressive impact. Last year
more than 3 million people in the UK were involved in our international programmes and they, in turn,
reached more than 600 million people around the world through direct, indirect or media engagement,
that is one in ten of the worlds population.
This brief outlines the challenges that the British Council has confronted in the past, is engaging with
today and our expected areas of focus in the future.
Yesterday
We were established in 1934, with the support of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, as The British
Committee for Relations with other Countries, to actively promote an understanding of Britain across
the world through our lan1448 Copenhagenand increasing aggressive competition between European
powers. The 2nd World War provided impetus for cultural relations to become a tool to strengthen rela-
tionships with allies, heal political tensions with foes, and identify with those seeking refuge in the UK
all of whom would shape our post war future.
Throughout the Cold War when links between Whitehall and the Kremlin were frozen, the British Council
continued to develop relations with the people of the USSR. Through cultural activities such as opera
exchanges, music tours and educational visits we kept the communications channel between civil sec-
tors open. This cultural foundation was a firm basis on which the UK could build relations once the politi-
cal ice began to thaw in the 1980s.
The chaotic break up of Yugoslavia, tensions in the Middle East and the conflicts in Iraq and Afghani-
stan have all been opportunities for the British Council to build trust and mutual understanding between
peoples of different cultures, and to prepare the ground for a return to normality once conflict subsides.
Thus, people to people engagement through cultural relations, particularly in times of conflict and when
there has been a deficit of political trust between countries, has been a constant thread to our work
throughout our history. Of course, we dont need to be at war to witness conflict. We are constantly sur-
rounded by threats to our social cohesion and these societal rifts are our day-to-day battle ground.
The British Council continues to engage in the challenges of today.
The British Council creates international opportunities for the people of the UK and other countries and builds trust between them worldwide.
A registered charity: 209131 (England and Wales) SC037733 (Scotland).
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Today
We engage in cultural activities in support of UKs strategic endeavours to enhance prosperity and in-
crease stability. In peaceful times and times of crisis we develop relationships with communities around
the world. Where international relations create temporary barriers between countries, we seek to swiftly
re-establish cultural relations and create a channel for peaceful cooperation and for the development of
opportunities and solutions to shared problems.
We increase opportunities for the UK in the big emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil.
We support security and stabilisation in countries such as Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya. We help to bring
international opportunities to people living in isolated countries such as Zimbabwe and Burma. We de-
liver sustainable international development by improving skills and education systems and helping to
secure good governance, and promote anti-corruption and social inclusion.
We also have a long-term track record in building people-to-people relationships, as well as linking
schools, universities and arts bodies among the UKs traditional trading partners and historic friends: the
US, the Commonwealth and European countries.
Focusing much of our attention on the next generation tomorrows decision-makers we provide op-
portunities for them to interact and engage on through our programmes, implemented on the ground all
over the world. These programmes are inspired from our core activities the arts, education (including
science), communication (including English language teaching) and society a broad term embracing
governance, migration and social cohesion.
Tomorrow
We will remain a cultural business. We will continue to earn a large and increasing portion of our in-
come through our worldwide English language teaching programmes and exams, sponsorships and
partnerships.
We will constantly shape our activities and structures to ensure that we remain relevant, and that we in-
crease our impact as an asset for the UK.
We will continue to work with UK educators, artists, language specialists, scientists, sports people, pol-
icy-makers and young people to create international opportunities and connect them with their peers in-
ternationally.
We seek co-funding and service contract opportunities from the European Commission and we align
our work with other like-minded institutions. Of special note is our leading role in EUNIC the European
Union National Institutes for Culture a network with increasing significance for the EU and the Euro-
pean External Action Service in its potential to provide cohesive and informed advice in shaping the cul-
tural component to EU foreign policy structures and developments.
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List of participants
Giulia Pasquinelli
Stanislava Mladenova Programme Assistant
Business Analyst European Peacebuilding Liaison Office (EPLO)
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
Lt. Col. Jean-Claude Payssan
Giulia Vittoria Monti Strategic Operations Centre ISAF Team
Project Assistant North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Security & Defence Agenda (SDA)
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List of participants
Giovanni Salici
Official Ian Smith
European Commission, Directorate General for SME
Interpretation - Conference Organisation North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
Ren Steiner
Anne Savey
Administrator
Assistant, Africa Programme
European Commission, Directorate General Human
Search for Common Ground
Resources and Security
Bart Schelfhout Homayoun Tandar
Senior Manager European Affairs Ambassador
Philips International Embassy of Afghanistan to Belgium
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List of participants
Alba Xhixha
Consultant
Aspect Consulting
Muzaffer Yksel
First Secretary
Delegation of Turkey to NATO
Renata Zaleska
Consultant
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
Jessica Zimerman
Coordinator, Parliamentarians Network for Conflict
Prevention
EastWest Institute
Michael Zumot
Program Coordinator
EastWest Institute
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SECURITY & DEFENCE
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