Prob Stat Exam
Prob Stat Exam
Instructions. Read the problem carefully and solve by showing your complete solution (hand written) and solve using an
excel worksheet (using statistics in excel).
1) In 104 days, 170 oil tankers arrive at a port for unloading. The tankers arrive randomly and independently.
Probabilities are the same for every day of the week. A maximum of two oil tankers can be unloaded each day.
a. What is the probability that no oil tankers will arrive on Tuesday?
b. What is the probability that more than two will arrive on Friday? This will mean that not all can be
unloaded on Friday, even if no oil tankers were left over from Thursday.
c. Assuming that no oil tankers are left over from Tuesday, what is the probability that exactly one oil
tanker will be left over from Wednesday and non will be left over from Thursday?
d. What is the probability that more than three oil tankers will arrive in an interval of two days?
2) Fifteen percent of piglets raised in total confinement under certain conditions will live less than three weeks
after birth. Assume that deaths occur randomly and independently. Consider a group of eight newborn piglets.
a. What probability distribution applies without any approximation to the number of piglets which will live
less than three weeks?
b. What is the expected mean number of deaths?
c. What is the probability that exactly three piglets will die within three weeks of birth? Use the binomial
distribution.
d. Calculate the probability that exactly three piglets will die within three weeks of birth, but now use the
Poisson distribution.
e. Compare the conditions of this problem to the rule of thumb stated in section 5.4(c). Then would we
expect the Poisson distribution to be a good approximation in this case?
f. Use the binomial distribution to calculate the probability that fewer than three piglets will die within
three weeks of birth.
g. Use the Poisson distribution to calculate the probabilities that exactly 0, 1, and 2 piglets will die within
three weeks of birth, and then that fewer than 3 piglets will die within three weeks of birth.