STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

Student’s Printed Name: ____________________________ XID:___________________

Instructor: ________________________________ Section # :_________

Read each question very carefully. You are permitted to use a calculator on all portions of this exam. You are NOT
allowed to use any textbook, notes, cellphone, or laptop on either portion of the exam. No part of this exam may be
removed from the examination room.

In order to receive full credit for the free response portion of the exam, you must:
1. Show legible and logical (relevant) justification which supports your final answer.
2. Use complete and correct mathematical notation.
3. Include proper units, if necessary.

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You have 1 hour 30 minutes to complete the entire exam.

On my honor, I have neither given nor received inappropriate or unauthorized information during this exam.

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Student’s Signature: _______________________________________________________________________

Do not write below this line.

Free Response Possible Points

Problem Points Earned
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1a 4

1b 4
1c 4
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2a 6
2b 6
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3a 6

3b 6
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4a 6

4b 6
5 1

Free Response 49

Multiple Choice 51

Test Total 100

 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

Multiple Choice: (Questions 1 - 17) Answer the following questions on the scantron provided using a #2 pencil.
Bubble the response that best answers the question. Each multiple choice correct response is worth 3 points. For
your record, also circle your choice on your exam since the scantron will not be returned to you. Only the
responses recorded on your scantron will be graded.

1. For which of the following will the sample mean tend to differ least from sample to sample?

(A) Random samples of size 10

(B) Random samples of size 20
(C) Random samples of size 30
(D) Random samples of size 50
(E) Random samples of size 100

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2. Ten percent of students at a particular school own a pet. Consider the chance experiment that consists of
selecting a random sample of 20 students from this university. Let X = the number of students in the sample

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who own a pet. The random variable X has which of the following probability distributions?

(A) A poisson distribution

(B) A binomial distribution
(C) A normal distribution
(D) A uniform distribution
(E) None of the above

3. Suppose that 65% of the students at a particular university have a Twitter account. If 100 students are selected
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at random from this university, what are the mean and standard deviation of the random variable x = number
of selected students who have a Twitter account? X is a binomial random variable

(A) Mean = 0.65; standard deviation = 0.35

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(B) Mean = 0.65; standard deviation = 0.0002

(C) Mean = 65, standard deviation = 22.75

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(D) Mean = 65, standard deviation = 0.228

(E) Mean = 65; standard deviation = 4.770

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 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

4. The discrete random variable x = the number of 911 calls in a small town in one day has the following
probability distribution:

x 1 2 3 4 5 6
p (x) 0.20 0.35 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10

Which of the following could be evaluated to compute the mean of this probability distribution?

1+ 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6
(A)
6

0.20 + 0.35 + 0.15 + 0.10 + 0.10 + 0.10

(B)

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6

(C) 1(0.20) + 2(0.35) + 3(0.15) + 4(0.10) + 5(0.10) + 6(0.10)

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1(0.2) + 2(0.35) + 3(0.15) + 4(0.10) + 5(0.10) + 6(0.10)
(D)
6

(E) 1 (0.20) + 2 (0.35) + 3 (0.15) + 4 (0.10) + 5 (0.10) + 6 (0.10)

2 2 2 2 2 2

5. Management at a local home improvement store randomly selected 125 customers and observed their
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shopping habits. Management recorded the number of items each of the customers purchased as well as the
total time the customer spent in the store. Identify the types of variables recorded by the managers of the home
improvement store.

(A) number of items-discrete; total time in store-discrete

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(B) number of items-continuous; total time discrete

(C) number of items-continuous; total time in store-continuous

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(D) number of items-discrete; total time in store- continuous

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6. For a normal distribution with mean 100 and standard deviation 10, the 95th percentile is

(A) -1.645
(B) 1.645
(C) 16.45
(D) 83.55
(E) 116.45

7. For which of the following will the sample proportion tend to differ least from sample to sample?

(A) Random samples of size 30 from a population with p = 0.1

(B) Random samples of size 40 from a population with p = 0.1
(C) Random samples of size 40 from a population with p = 0.4
(D) Random samples of size 50 from a population with p = 0.5
(E) Random samples of size 60 from a population with p = 0.5
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

8. The number of passengers who choose to check luggage on a flight from Los Angeles to San Francisco is a
binomial random variable with n = number of passengers on the flight. If the probability that any individual
passenger checks luggage is 0.3, what is the probability that exactly 40 of the 100 passengers on this flight on
a particular day check luggage?

(A) 0

40
(B) (0.3)

100  100 
(C)  (0.3) (0.7 ) −  (0.3) (0.7 )
40 60 39 61

 40   39 

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100 
(D)  (0.7 ) (0.3)
40 60

 40 

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100 
(E)  (0.3) (0.7 )
40 60

 40 

9. Suppose that x is a random variable that has a uniform distribution over the interval from 0 to 10. Which of
the following probabilities is largest?

(A) P(X >8)

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(B) P(X ≥ 8)
(C) P(X = 10)
(D) P(3 < X < 6)
(E) P(X < 4)
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10. Which of the following is NOT a property of a binomial experiment?

(A) It consists of a fixed number of trials, n

(B) Outcomes of different trials are independent
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(C) Each trial can result in one of several different outcomes.

(D) Observations consist of the number of successes for each trial of the experiment.
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(E) The probability of success is constant for each trial.

11. On average the number of network failures per day is 5.2. Consider a random variable (X) that represents the
number of network failures per day. The random variable X has which of the following probability
distribution?

(A) A poisson distribution

(B) A binomial distribution
(C) A normal distribution
(D) A uniform distribution
(E) None of the above
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

12. Suppose that y is a random variable that has a normal distribution with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation
of 12. What is the probability that Y is equal to 59?

(A) 0.000
(B) 0.0251
(C) 0.2266
(D) 0.7500
(E) 0.7734

13. The annual increase in the height of pine trees is believed to be uniformly distributed between 6 inches and 11
inches. Find the probability that a randomly selected pine tree will grow less than 8 inches in one year.

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(A) 0
(B) 0.20
(C) 0.40

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(D) 0.80
(E) 1.60

14. Find the area under the standard normal curve to the left of z = 1.25.

(A) 0.8944
(B) 0.1056
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(C) 0.7682
(D) 0.2318

15. Choose the correct probability statement for the following exercise:
Thirty percent of all automobiles undergoing an emissions inspection at a certain inspection station fail the
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inspection. Among 15 randomly selected cars, what is the probability that at most 5 fail the inspection? Let X
represent the number of cars that fail inspection.

(A) P(X = 5)
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(B) P (X ≤ 5)
(C) P (X ≥ 5)
(D) P (X < 5)
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(E) Both B and D are correct

16. Commute distances for employees of a large company have a distribution that is quite skewed. Suppose the
mean commute distance is 20 miles and that the standard deviation is 10 miles. What can be said about the
mean commute distance for a random sample of size 4 employees from this plant?

(A) The distribution of x will be approximately normal with mean 20 and standard deviation 10.
(B) The distribution of x will be approximately normal with mean 20 and standard deviation 5.
(C) The mean and standard deviation of x will be 20 and 10, but the sampling distribution of x will not
be approximately normal.
(D) The mean and standard deviation of x will be 20 and 5, but the sampling distribution of x will not be
approximately normal.
(E) x will have a standard normal distribution.
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

17. The histograms shown here are approximate sampling distributions of the sample mean. Each histogram is
based on selecting 500 different samples, each of size n. All three histograms were constructed by sample
from the same population, but the sample sizes were different. Which histogram was based on samples with
the smallest sample size, n?

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Graph (I)

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Graph (II)
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Graph (III)

(A) Graph I
(B) Graph II
(C) Graph III
(D) All three have the same standard deviation
(E) It is not possible to tell from the histogram
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

Free Response: The Free Response questions will count 49% of your total grade. Read each question carefully. In
order to receive full credit you must show legible and logical (relevant) justification which supports your final
answer. You MUST show your work. Answers with no justification will receive no credit.

1. The student copy machine in the library requires a maintenance call an average of three times per month. Let X
represent the number of maintenance calls required in the next month. X is a Poisson Random Variable.

a. (4 pts) What is the probability that exactly 4 maintenance calls were required in the next month? Give the
appropriate probability statement, show your work, and calculate probability to 4 decimal places.

34 𝑒𝑒 −3 34 𝑒𝑒 −3
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 = 4) = = = 0.1680

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4! 4×3×2×1

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Point Credits: Deductions:
1 pt – correct probability statement -3 for correctly calculating wrong probability
2 pts – showing correct work (by hand) -0.5 rounding error
1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0002 -0.5 for minor errors maximum of -1

b. (4pts) What is the probability that less than 4 maintenance calls were required in the next TWO months? Give
the appropriate probability statement, show your work, and calculate probability to 4 decimal places.
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Y = number of maintenance calls within TWO months [Do not have to put this to receive full credit]
𝑃𝑃(𝑌𝑌 < 4) = 𝑃𝑃(𝑌𝑌 ≤ 3) = 𝑃𝑃(0) + 𝑃𝑃(1) + 𝑃𝑃(2) + 𝑃𝑃(3)
60 𝑒𝑒 −6 61 𝑒𝑒 −6 62 𝑒𝑒 −6 63 𝑒𝑒 −6
= + + + = 0.1512
0! 1! 2! 3!
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Point Credits: Deductions:
1 pt – correct probability statement -1 for < or >
2 pts – showing correct work (by hand) -2 for not adjusting lambda
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1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0002 -2 adjust lambda but problem not set up correctly
-1 for including P(x=4)
-0.5 rounding error
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-0.5 for minor errors maximum of -1

c. (4pts) What is the probability that at least 3 maintenance calls were required in the next TWO months? Give the
appropriate probability statement, show your work, and calculate probability to 4 decimal places.

𝑃𝑃(𝑌𝑌 ≥ 3) = 1 − [𝑃𝑃(0) + 𝑃𝑃(1) + 𝑃𝑃(2)]

60 𝑒𝑒 −6 61 𝑒𝑒 −6 62 𝑒𝑒 −6
=1−� + + � = 1 − 0.0619 = 0.9380
0! 1! 2!

Point Credits: Deductions:

1 pt – correct probability statement -1 for < or >
2 pts – showing correct work (by hand) -2 for not adjusting lambda
1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0002 -2 for including P(x=3)
-1 for not subtracting from 1
-0.5 rounding error
-0.5 for minor errors maximum of -1
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

2. According to the most recent Labor Department data, 10.5% of engineers (electrical, mechanical, civil, and industrial)
were women. Suppose a random sample of 50 engineers is selected.
a. (6pts) Based on what you know about the sampling distribution of p̂ . What is the probability that the
random sample of 50 engineers will contain 8 or more women in these positions? Give the appropriate
probability statement, show your work, and calculate probability to 4 decimal places.

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𝑝𝑝̂ = = 0.16
50

0.16 − 0.105 0.16 − 0.105

𝑃𝑃(𝑝𝑝̂ > 0.16) = 𝑃𝑃 ⎛𝑧𝑧 > ⎞ = 𝑃𝑃 �𝑧𝑧 > � = 𝑃𝑃(𝑧𝑧 > 1.27) = 0.1020
(0.105)(0.895) 0.04335
�
⎝ 50 ⎠

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Point Credits: Deductions:

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2 pts – correct probability statement (note: ≥ also -0.5 for not having 4 decimal places
correct)
3 pts – showing correct work (by hand)
1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0003
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b. (6pts) If the random sample included 200 engineers (instead of 50), how would this change your answer to
part (a). Explain/Justify your answer.
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8
𝑝𝑝̂ = = 0.04
200
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0.04 − 0.105 0.04 − 0.105

𝑃𝑃(𝑝𝑝̂ > 0.04) = 𝑃𝑃 ⎛𝑧𝑧 > ⎞ = 𝑃𝑃 �𝑧𝑧 >
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� = 𝑃𝑃(𝑧𝑧 > −2.99) = 0.9986

(0.105)(0.895) 0.021677
�
⎝ 200 ⎠

The probability would increase greatly (from 0.1020 to 0.9986), it is much less likely to have 8 out of 50 that
are women selected (with a population proportion of 10.5%) than 8 out of 200 are women.

Point Credits: Deductions:

2 pts – correct probability statement (note: ≥ also -2 for wrong p-hat
correct)
2 pts – showing correct work/justification (by hand)
2 pt – correct answer with justification in context of
problem

Note: Student did not HAVE to calculate probability

to answer question correctly as long as explanation is
well thought out and complete.
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

3. A sign in the elevator of a college library indicates a limit of 16 persons. In addition, there is a weight limit of 2,500
pounds. Assume that the average weight of students, faculty, and staff at this college is 150 pounds, that the standard
deviation is 27 pounds, and that the distribution of weights of individuals on campus is approximately normal.

a. (6pts) What is the probability that a randomly selected student weighs more than 156 pounds? Give the
appropriate probability statement, show work, and give probability to 4 decimal places.

X represents weight of individuals on campus (NOTE: This statement is not necessary for full credit)

156 − 150
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 > 156) = 𝑃𝑃 �𝑧𝑧 > � = 𝑃𝑃(𝑧𝑧 > 0.22) = 0.4129
27

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Point Credits: Deductions:

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2 pts – correct probability statement
3 pts – showing correct work/justification (by hand)
1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0003er
A random sample of 16 persons from the campus will be selected.
b. (6pts) What is the probability that a random sample of 16 people will have a sample mean that exceeds
156.25 pounds? Give the appropriate probability statement, show work, and give probability to 4 decimal
places.
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156.25 − 150
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋� > 156.25) = 𝑃𝑃 �𝑧𝑧 > � = 𝑃𝑃(𝑧𝑧 > 0.93) = 0.1772
27/√16
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Point Credits: Deductions:

2 pts – correct probability statement
3 pts – showing correct work/justification (by hand)
1 pt – correct answer +/- 0.0003
 STAT 3090 Test 2 - Version A Spring 2015

4. The number of pages printed before replacing the cartridge in a laser printer is normally distributed with a mean of
11,500 pages and a standard deviation of 800 pages. A new cartridge has just been installed.
a. (6pts) What is the probability that the printer produces more than 12,000 pages before this cartridge must be
replaced? Give the appropriate probability statement, show work, and give probability to 4 decimal places.

X represents the number of pages printed before replacing the cartridge in a laser printer
(NOTE: This statement is not necessary for full credit)

12,000 − 11,500
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 > 12,000) = 𝑃𝑃 �𝑧𝑧 > � = 𝑃𝑃(𝑧𝑧 > 0.63) = 0.2643
800

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Point Credits: Deductions:
2 pts – correct probability statement -1 for 0.7357

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3 pts – showing correct work/justification (by hand) -1 stating the complement rule incorrectly
1 pt – correct answer +/- see work by student -1 not changing x to z, while using the converted
value
-2 for using the z value for the probability
-1 for having prob statement equal to z calculation
-0.5 for rounding errors
-2 for using normalcdf (-3 if also missing z value
calc.)
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b. (6pts) The manufacturer wants to provide guidelines to potential customers advising them of the minimum
number of pages they can expect from each cartridge. How many pages should it advertise if the company
wants to be correct 99% of the time?
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𝑋𝑋 − 11500
−2.33 =
800
𝑋𝑋 = 9,636 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
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Point Credits: Deductions:

MUST show clear CORRECT work (they may draw a -1 for using 2.33 rather than -2.33
picture, give calculator input [invNorm(0.01)], etc;
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-2 for using completely incorrect z value but

make sure there are no incorrect math statements (ie everything else correct.
0.01=-2.33) -5 for invnorm not standardized
-1 for showing both max and min, but not specifying
2 pts finding correct z (-2.33) which answers the question
3 points for correct algebra -0.5 rounding errors
1 point for units

5. (1 pt) If your scantron is correctly bubbled with a #2 pencil, with your correct XID (with a 0 bubbled in as the
“C”), your correct test version, AND the front of your test is completed with your signature on the academic
integrity statement, you earn 1 point. END OF TEST