Do The Math Workbook
Do The Math Workbook
By Karen Sinotte
Winter 2021
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Throughout this course, we will be using the These Key Performance Indicators are used to
following marketing concepts and frameworks measure the success of these marketing decisions.
that can be used to help assess marketing There are measures of Efficiency (doing things right)
strategy decisions. and Effectiveness (doing the right things)
2. In 2012, total market is $1,000,000 with three competitors - Acme, Beta and Delta. The market grows
to $1,200,000 in 2013. By 2014, the market has grown to $1,500,000 which attracted a fourth
competitor to the market. In 2014, Blue Nose generated $100,000 in sales, both Delta and Beta grew
at the same rate in 2014 as they did in the previous year.
a. Fill out the chart below.
($000) 2012 2013 2014
Market Market % Sales Market % Sales
Company Sales Share% Sales Share Change Sales Share % Change
Acme $ 500 23%
Beta $ 300 30% $ 345
Delta $ 200 20% 20%
Blue Nose n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a $100 n/a
Industry Total $ 1,000 100% $ 1,200 100% $1,500 100%
3. Bottled water, consisting of still and sparking unflavoured and flavoured waters, is a hot industry - sales
grew by 8.8% between 2001 and 2006 and are expected to grow another 8.5% by 2011. The bottled
water industry in North America totalled 32.4 Billion litres valued at US $15.6 B in 2006 - that's an
average of $0.48 in revenue per litre. Big players in this industry include Nestle, PepsiCo, and Coca Cola.
Nestle is the market leader, selling 9.58 B litres, followed by PepsiCo's 4.3 B litres and Coca-Cola's 3.74 B
litres
a. Calculate 2006 litres market share for each of
the three major players.
5. The owners of Molly Maid Housekeeping serves homes and condominiums on Toronto's Waterfront.
This area includes approximately 5,500 homes. However, it is estimated that only 35% are potential
customers because they currently engage maid services in their homes or may do so in the future. The
company currently cleans 225 homes. Toronto's Waterfront is currently experiencing a building boom.
There will be 2,500 additional units built in the next 3 years.
a. Calculate market share this year.
For each item, indicate which statement they belong to: Balance sheet (BS) or Income Statement (IS)
and Item Type: Fixed Assets = FA, Current Assets = CA, Intangible Assets = IA, Current Liabilities =CL,
Long Term Liabilities = FL, Equity = EQU, Revenue = R, Variable Expenses = VC or Fixed Expenses = FC.
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d. In order to double quantity of sales, is it better to reduce price or increase advertising? Explain
how you would decide the best marketing strategy?
e. Would your recommendation change if you considered breakeven units and Margin of Safety?
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b. Horizontal
Analysis
c. Ratio Analysis
2. Describe the ratios used to assess these FIVE aspects of financial performance.
a. Liquidity
b. Solvency
c. Efficiency
d. Overall
Effectiveness
e. Marketing
Effectiveness
b. Give 8 ways a
business might
improve Net
Profit
c. Give 8 reasons a
company might
decide to spend
more than
benchmark on
advertising as %
of sales
.enchmark.
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COGS 43,000 6
Net profit 9
Net Margin % 11
Average Inventory 12
Inventory Turnover 13
% Change in Sales 14
% Change in Gross 15
Profit
% Change in Net Profit 16
From Ratio
Analysis
Overall
Assessment
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1. From your reading assignments, explain market demand and the THREE levels of forecasting
a. Market Demand
b. Market Potential
c. Sales Potential
d. Sales Forecast
2. From your reading assignments, define chain ratio analysis for estimations and these
EIGHT Forecasting Methods
a. Chain Ratio Analysis
b. Market Test
c. Trend Analysis
e. Exponential Smoothing
g. Delphi Technique
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Forecasting might involve historical trend data, but for new products and in other situations when historical data
isn’t easily available, you can use market factors to estimate market potential. When estimating market potential,
cite sources (e.g. primary or secondary research, historical trend data, heuristics1, marketing experiences and
common sense), state any assumptions and show all your calculations.
1 Estimate the market potential for the new “Bongo Bumpers” toys in Halifax vs. Granby. If you could
hire one additional sales person for this product, which market would you select.
Forecast demand in retail dollars for the new “Bongo Bumpers” toy in Canada for its first year of
launch based on the market research data provided below and use Statistics Canada to look up
population in each city.
Marketing Research Results: Spin Master Toys would like to introduce a new battery powered
adventure toy called “Bongo Bumpers” targeted to boys aged 5-9 in Canada. It is a unique new toy that
is expected to be a Christmas season hit this year. The toy will sell for $25.
• A Spin Master survey estimated that 80% of boys who saw the toy in action would ask their
parents to purchase it for them.
• Past experience with their marketing campaigns estimates that 65 % of boys in Canada would
either see advertising or learn about the toy from friends within its first year of launch.
• Spin Master have learned that in general 50 % of parents or others in the family will purchase a
Spin Master toy that their child requests within a year, as Spin Master has an excellent reputation
for making toys that have lasting play value
Factors to consider (Assumptions/Calculations Halifax, Nova Scotia Granby Quebec
Sources:
2. Compare the cat food market in Winnipeg Manitoba vs. London Ontario. Use Statistics Canada and
secondary research that might be available to identify market factors to estimate the market size in
each market. Which market would be best to open a premium cat food store. Explain your answer.
Cite Sources.
Sources:
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Heuristics: Pertaining to the use of the general knowledge gained by experience to solve problems. Examples of
this method include using a rule of thumb, an educated guess, an intuitive judgment, or common sense
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Sources:
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3. Contribution Margin
5. Fixed Costs
6. Gross Margin
2.
3.
4.
5.
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1. The WeRNuts Manufacturing company, ModelB product. Selling price $5.00 per unit, variable cost
$4.25 per unit, , Total fixed operating costs $750,000. In addition, they plan to increase advertising by
$80,000 and a profit goal of $70,000.
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Part B Practicing the Math of Gross Profit, Mark-ups and Mark –Downs
1. A local clothing store buys a shipment of Oakley sunglasses for $79 per pair, and then resells
them for $115 per pair. Later in the season, the clothing store will put the glasses on sale for
$99.
a. What is mark up ($)?
b. What is Mark Up % (on cost)?
c. Calculate Gross Margin (Mark up on Selling Price)?
d. What is Markdown $?
e. What is Markdown %?
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d. How does mark-up for milk compare with the average mark up for
convenience store (hint: convert gross margin benchmark to mark-
up)
e. Why do convenience stores sell milk if it has such a low gross
margin compared to their other products? (TIP: Use breakeven
with profit target)
4. A cat food manufacturer sells through wholesalers to retailers. A 10kg bag retails for $16.95.
Retail mark-ups are 35% and wholesaler mark-ups are 10%. What is the manufacturers selling
price? HINT: Two step process, first calculate Retailers cost, then Wholesalers cost =
Manufacturers Selling Price
Retail Selling Price
Retail Cost = Wholesaler Selling Price
Wholesaler Cost =Manufacturer Selling Price
Manufacturer Cost
The marketing plan is developed and price is the only thing yet to be decided.
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In May 2011, Canadian Tire bought Sports Chek stores in Canada owned by Forzari Group for $771 MM (500 stores, total
$1.4B in sales annually. [With that information that means about $2.8MM in sales per store. Sporting goods retailers
benchmarks suggest they earn about 38% GM and 1.5% net profit on average (Retailer Owners Institute, 2008), so operating
costs per store about $1.1MM.
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The costs have been estimated. Competitive Comparisons with consumer perception
Competitive Comparisons
Costs for producing Spicy Ketchup Retail Market Consumer perceptions
Brand
price 1L share Texture Taste Value
Raw materials $.48 Heinz
2.99 50 % High High High
Packaging $.50 original
Your task:
Compare financial impact of four pricing strategies and make a When selecting pricing options, consider the following
pricing recommendation supported by financial facts. 1. What factors might Heinz consider in setting the price for this new
product? (Hint: 5 C’s of marketing)
2. How helpful is the market research provided in this case to evaluate
1. Select 4 pricing options that Heinz might consider for this 3.
alternative pricing strategies?
How elastic is the product category? Explain your answer providing
new product. For each pricing option, provide sales at least 4 drivers of elasticity.
4. How might market share forecasts be impacted by various pricing
forecasts and marketing mix assumptions. strategies?
2. Create and compare pro-forma income statements, ratio 5. How might Marketing Budget Estimates be impacted by various
pricing strategies?
and breakeven analysis for first year. Use Pro-forma 6. How might other elements of marketing mix be affected by pricing
decisions?
template provided. 7. This case is for the product manufacturer, so you need to be able to
3. Which retail price do you recommend for this product? calculate manufacturer selling price from the retail selling price
provided in the research.
Justify your recommendation using at least five financial 8. How significant do you think that cannibalization of existing product
might be (i.e. impact on Sales and Gross Profit on Heinz Original
facts from your pro-forma and analysis. Hint: product sales)?
Recommendations will depend on the business objective
that you assume.
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Price Strategy 1
Retail Price 2
Manufacture Price 3
Manufacturers' VC
per Unit 4
Contribution per
unit 5
Market Share
assumption 6
Forecasted units 7
Proforma Income statement
Sales Revenue 8
COGS 9
Gross
Profit/Contribution 10
Advertising Costs 11
Net Profit 14
Analysis
Gross Margin 15
BE Market Share 18
Margin of Safety 19
Advertising as % of
Sales Forecast 20
Cannibalization(high,
medium or low) 21
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1. Flags are Us is a small company producing flags. They are considering entering into this new market
where the maximum market size is estimated at 6,000 flags. The following are the costs for the
company, fixed costs are $4,000 and the variable costs are 8 cents per flag. The company feels they
can sell a flag for $3.00 each.
Show your work in a Proforma income statement format
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a. Sales were much lower than forecasted and he only sold 60 units at the full mark up of 40%.
Because the next version of the game was scheduled for release in February, the retailer
wanted to clear the balance of his inventory of this game, so he marked down the price by
40% and was able to clear all his merchandise by the end of the year. How much profit ($)
did the retailer make on this product in the end? What was the gross margin?
Price 1 Price 2 Total
Selling Price
Quantity
Costs
Contribution Per Unit
Mark up
Mark Down
Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Gross Margin
Note: Average Selling Price is NOT (P1+P2)/2
b. Instead of pricing it at a 40% markup, how much profit would he have made if he has priced
it more accessibly at a more modest 20% mark-up? And because of the price elasticity of the
demand for the product, he would have been able to sell the full quantity of 95 units.
Price 1 Price 2 Total
Selling Price
Quantity
Costs
Contribution Per Unit
Mark up
Mark Down
Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Gross Margin
Note: Average Selling Price is NOT (P1+P2)/2
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MARS is forecasting 300 million ounces of M&M Premium within the first year after introduction with an
increase in fixed costs of $5 MM during the first year of production of the new product.
Half of the forecasted M&M Premium sales will come from buyers who would normally purchase M&M
regular candies (cannibalized sales). The sales of regular M&M Candies are normally 1 billion ounces per year.
See Also: “Chocolate Confectionery in Canada”,Euromonitor International, Oct 2014,
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Product B is a private label and doesn’t have coop associated with it, but Product B is just now becoming very
popular and will benefit significantly from the advertising.
Which Product Line would you focus your marketing investment on? Give at least five financial facts to
support your answer. Use the pro-forma chart below to present your analysis.
Product A Product B
Before After Before After
Sales 160,000 220,000 36,000 120,000
COGS 80,000 110,000 14,400 48,000
Gross Profit/Contribution 80,000 110,000 21,600 72,000
Advertising - 10,000* - 10,000
Net Contribution to Profit 80,000 100,000 21,600 62,000
*Manufacturer for Line A offers $10,000 in coop advertising
$ change in Sales
% Change in Sales
Gross Margin %
Increase in Net Contribution$
% Change in Contribution
Return on Marketing Investment
Breakeven ($)
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Agreement between a manufacturer and a member of distribution chain (distributor, wholesaler, or retailer)
where the manufacturer shares the partner's advertising and promotion costs, either as a percentage of sales or
as a fixed sum.
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Use pro-forma income statement and breakeven analysis to compare the financial impacts of these two
options against a "base case" without any promotions. [Make your own chart this time!]
1. How much is their gross profit if they sell all 500 pairs of jeans without using a sales
promotion?
2. Which of the two sales promotion options would make them the most gross profit if they
sold all 500 pairs of jeans during the promotion? Explain.
3. Which of the types of sales promotion would allow them to make the most gross profit if
they sold only 100 pairs of jeans during the promotion? Explain.
4. Which sales promotion type would you recommend to them? Explain your answer
considering risk/reward trade-offs.
5. Which one of these do you think would drive the highest consumer interest and hence
sales? Explain.
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An analysis of the competition suggests that the average retail selling price of an electronic game is
$89.00. Games Galore store has an opportunity to purchase 5 dozen of these games at a delivered
price of $55.00 per unit. Their normal mark-up on games is 45%.
a. Should they make the purchase? Why or why not? (Give reasons to support your decision)
b. How does their normal markup and the “deal” mark-up compare against industry benchmark?
c. If you were the marketing manager for Games Galore, what pricing strategy would you
recommend? Explain your answer comparing the financial impact of alternatives. A template is
provided.
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Scenario 1.
Widgets Manufacturing Ltd is thinking of investing $100,000 into R&D. This would lead to a new
product offering and would lead to 20,000 units being sold at $8.50 per unit in addition to existing
sales. The variable cost per unit of this new product is $3,00. This This would also increase
distribution costs by an estimated 5% to get the additional new product to market. Additional
advertising would be required for the new product and thus advertising expense would have to
increase by 20%. Should Widgets Manufacturing Ltd undertake the investment?
Scenario 2.
Widgets Manufacturing Ltd is thinking of investing $150,000 into R&D. This would lead to a new
product offering and would lead to 22,000 units being sold at $7.85 per unit in addition to existing
sales. The variable cost per unit of this new product is $3,00. This would also increase distribution
costs by an estimated 7% to get the additional new product to market. Additional advertising would
be required for the new product and thus advertising expense would have to increase by 25%.
Should Widgets Manufacturing Ltd undertake the investment?
NOTE:
Please use the attached Income and Expense Statement as your base.
2014
Sales 765,000
COGS 260,000
Gross Profit 505,000
Wages and Salaries 118,000
Delivery Costs 6,500
Legal fees 5,000
Advertising 25,000
Rent 12,000
R&D 50,000
Repairs and Maintenance 4,500
Insurance 2,300
Total Operating Expenses 223,300
Net Operating Profit 281,700
Depreciation 4,700
Tax 5,500
Net Profit 271,500
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10. Complete an estimation question using market factors using the chain 4
ratio analysis format.
11. Estimate the profit impact of a marketing strategy given a sales target 5,6,7
and a change in marketing mix. Report in Proforma Income statement
format.
12. Estimate the profit impact of a pricing strategy. Report in Proforma 6
Income statement format.
13. Assess the risk of a marketing strategy using breakeven and Margin of 5, 6, 7
Safety.
14. Names the five Cs of pricing and use these to inform pricing decisions. 6
15. Assess the likely elasticity of demand for a given product category. 6
16. Describe various pricing strategies and the objective that might be 6
achieved by using these pricing strategies
17. Describe and implement the 5 step case process Case
worksheets
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Quantity 1
Selling Price 2
VC/Unit 3
Contribution/per 4
unit
5
COGS 7
Gross Profit 8
Advertising 9
Costs
Other Fixed 10
costs
Total Fixed 11
Costs
Net Profit 12
Analysis
Gross Margin 13
Advertising as % 15
of sales
% Change in 16
Sales
% Change in 17
COGS
% Change in 18
Advertising
% Change in 19
Net Profit
Breakeven 20
Margin of Safety 21
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Winston Churchill
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