SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

School of Business and Law

University of East London

Assessment Guide

Summary

Individual assessment Weighting: 50%

Maximum word count: 2000 Submission deadline:
17:00, 1st August 2022

Submission procedure:
The individual reports should be submitted electronically through the turnitin system
by the deadline date.

Return of feedback and marked work:

Feedbacks of the reports in seminars and the individual reports will be marked in
three weeks.

1
SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

Introduction

Individual Assignment— Business Statistics and Data Analysis

Details of the task

Background:
You are thinking of investing in the stock market, you know that macroeconomic
factors can impact the stock prices and you are particularly interested to find out if
there is a significant relationship between stock prices and the interest rate;, and
stock prices and the exchange rate, so that you can predict the stock prices based on
the movements of these macroeconomic variables.

Use the provided data set, perform appropriate analysis and write a report of 2000
words based on your analysis. To write your report and justify the findings, you are
encouraged to refer to 3 to 5 related academic journal articles as well as text books.

Your report should contain the following:

 Abstract (No more than 50 words) (5 Marks)
 Introduction (10 Marks)
 Main body, which should also be organised under appropriate headings
(75Marks)
 Conclusion (5 Marks)
 References (5 Marks)
Total:100 Marks

In the main body of the report you are required to

a) Report the descriptive statistics (summary statistics) for each variable (stock
price, interest rate, and exchange rate).
(15 Marks)
b) Plot time series graph for each of the variables (stock price, interest rate,
and exchange rate) and provide a summary of the movement of the
variables in the period of the study.
(15 Marks)
c) Plot scatter graphs of stock price against selected macroeconomic variables
(interest rate, and exchange rate), explain the graphs.
(10 Marks)
d) Calculate the correlation between stock price and the selected
macroeconomic variables and report your findings. Justify your results with
the scatter graphs in part c.

2
SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

(15 Marks)
e) Calculate the equation of the regression line between stock price and
interest rate, and stock price and exchange rate and interpret regression
analysis results (P-Values & Coefficients); which variable seems to be a
better predictor for the stock prices.
(20 Marks)

***Note: In the provided data set you have below monthly time series
data for the period of 29/12/2017 to 31/01/2022:

Dependent Variable: Stock prices: FTSE 250 Index (MCX Index)

Independent Variable: Interest rate:3-month LIBOR UK (BP0003M
Index)
Independent Variable: Exchange rate: GBP/USD Currency Exchange
Rate (GBP/USD Currency)

Student Assignment Guidelines

In your report, you should demonstrate your knowledge of and ability to explain and
apply statistics theory. You must justify any conclusion you reach on the basis of
evidence provided by you by reference to, or quotation from, the course notes,
textbooks, other course readings, or any other source you choose to use. As long as
your report gives a good justification and demonstrate your reasoning ability and
your knowledge, you can obtain a good grade.

Presentation
Your work should be word processed in accordance with the following:
 Font style, Lucida Sans, font size 12
 1.5 line spacing.
 The page orientation should be ‘portrait’
 Margins on both sides of the page should be no less than 2.5 cm
 Pages should be numbered
 Your name should not appear on the script.
 Your student number should be included on every page.

3
SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

Skills Advice
Refer to your material provided in your skills modules to make sure that you have
conformed to academic conventions. Pay particular attention to:
 Your introduction,
 Your conclusion,
 The use of headings and/or signpost words
 Paragraph structure

Referencing
The university expects students to use Harvard referencing as specified in the book
Cite them Right.
• Refer to Referencing Information | University of East London (uel.ac.uk) for
further advice and a link to an online version of Cite them Right
• You should be careful to include citations within your work as well as a
reference list at the end.

Word Count
Your word count should not include your title page, table of contents, reference list
or appendices. You should provide your word count at the end of your report.
Exceeding the word count by more than 10% will result in a penalty of 10% of your
marks for your work.
If your work is significantly shorter, then you will probably have failed to provide the
level of detail required.

Submission to Turnitin of Work Submitted for Assessment

Our policy on the use of Turnitin recognises the educational desirability that all of
our students should enjoy the opportunity to self-submit their work to Turnitin
(before submitting for assessment). We also recognise that Turnitin Originality
Reports will sometimes assist in the identification of plagiarised work submitted for
assessment.

Work that is submitted to Turnitin generates a Turnitin originality report, showing

which parts of it have been reproduced from which sources. The system compares
submissions to material that is to be found: on the world-wide web; in its database
of previous submissions; and in its growing number of databases of published
articles. You should not assume that a Turnitin originality report with a low similarity
index is evidence that the piece of work concerned is free from plagiarism.

Our policy provides that a Module Leader may decide, in accordance with the policy
of RDBS, that all student submissions for a particular component of assessment

4
SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

should be submitted to Turnitin, provided that the relevant Module Guide includes a
notice to that effect.

Notice is hereby given that all submissions of reports for this Module must be
submitted to Turnitin. Detailed guidance on how to submit your work to Turnitin will
be made available on this Module’s UEL Plus site.

If you fail to submit your report to Turnitin, in accordance with the guidance on the
UEL Plus site, you will be awarded a mark of 0 for the component.

Submission
The material that you submit to Turnitin will be marked. The deadline applies so you
are advised not to submit after 17:00, because it could take some time for your
submission to upload, and the delay could cause the work to be received after 17:00.

Please be aware that the Turnitin site will advise you that late submissions are
accepted. This is only for the purposes of allowing students who are claiming
extenuation to submit their work.

Please read the material in the submission folder and make sure that you attach the
feedback sheet as requested and save the document using the format for the name
of the document as specified.

Late Submissions Using Turnitin

UEL has permitted students to be able to submit their coursework up to 24 hours
after the deadline. Assessments that are submitted up to 24 hours late are still
marked, but with a 5% deduction. However, you have to be very careful when you
are submitting your assessment. If you submit your work twice, once using the
original deadline link and then again using the late submission link on Turnitin, your
assignment will be graded as late with the 5% deduction.

Assessment criteria

Maximum
Assessment criteria mark
Abstract (No more than 50 words) 5
summarising the contents of the report briefly and
comprehensively
10
Introduction
Providing evidence of background reading (Comprehensively

5
SG4011Business Statistics and Data Analysis

researched)

Main body: Appropriate depth of analysis including 75

a) Descriptive statistics (15 Marks)
b) Time series graph (15 Marks)
c) Scatter graphs (10 Marks)
d) Correlation analysis (15 Marks)
e) Regression analysis (20 Marks)

Demonstrating detailed and concise, coherent and formal

structure, focused and fluent based on the conducted analysis

Conclusion 5
Briefly restating the main points including a final thought or
reflection to highlight the significance of the topic

References 5
Appropriate application of Harvard referencing
Total mark 100

Extenuating Circumstances
Extenuating Circumstances are circumstances which:

 impair your examination performance in assessment or reassessment,

or
 prevent you from attending for assessment or reassessment, or
 prevent you from submitting assessed or reassessed work by the
scheduled date

If you need to apply for extenuating circumstances please find the relevant
information at:
Extenuation Procedures | University of East London (uel.ac.uk)

Student Appeals
Students who wish to appeal against Field and ward Boards decisions can find the
relevant information at:
http://www.uel.ac.uk/qa/qualityass_appeals.htm

6
7