Ec109 Welcome and Term 1 Lecture Notes
Ec109 Welcome and Term 1 Lecture Notes
2019 – 2020
University of Warwick
Department of Economics
Terms 1 and 2
Welcome!!
This is the first part of a 2-year long microeconomics module:
EC109 and EC202
EC109 Module Leader: Professor Elizabeth Jones
Social Sciences S0.79
Elizabeth.H.Jones@warwick.ac.uk
Advice and Feedback Hours: See my personal website
1
Organisation
Lecture times (2 x 1 hour lectures) term 1:
Tuesday 2 – 3pm in R0.21
Thursday 12 – 1pm in OC1.05
Lecture times (2 x 1 hour lectures) term 2:
Tuesday 2 – 3pm in R0.21
Thursday 12 – 1pm in OC1.05
8 x 1 hour Workshops (fortnightly meetings weeks 3 – 10; 17 - 24)
8 x 1 hour classes (fortnightly meetings weeks 3 – 10; 17 - 24)
Sign up to a class time/group: stick to it
Only the UG office can give you permission to switch to
another group (not your tutor)
Class/Workshop materials will be on the module webpage
Assessment
2 x Tests (20% in total)
One covering term 1 topics, worth 10%
One covering term 2 topics, worth 10%
Further details of time/location will be made
available
New format this year – all MCQs
Exam (80%)
Past papers available online
2
The Syllabus
Resources
Lectures and the lecturers
Advice and Feedback hours: lecturers and tutors
Support and Feedback Classes and Class Tutors
Revision Sessions
Textbooks
Online resources
Forum
Tabula
Microeconomics Textbooks
‘Intermediate Microeconomics’ by Varian (WW Norton)
‘Microeconomics' by Perloff (Pearson) - easier
A suite of online resources is available if you purchase a
new textbook with an access code
‘Game Theory: An Introduction’ by Tadelis (Princeton)
There are many other intermediate microeconomics
textbooks that will cover the material – find one that
suits you
3
Module Aims
Across the two years, you will study a range of topics
and learn to
Develop analysis which combines mathematical,
graphical and intuitive skills
Apply theoretical concepts and analytical tools
Understand how theoretical concepts can be applied
to various economic situations
Develop critical analysis skills and an ability to question
rational economic thought
Understand the policy implications of microeconomic
theory
Module Structure
View EC109 as part 1 of your micro modules
Topics are split between years 1 and 2
Aim: by the end of year 2, you can approach:
Mas-Colell’s ‘Microeconomic Theory’ or
Varian’s ‘Microeconomic Analysis’
We start by showing you the final goal: where your
studies of microeconomics can take you
1 lecture by a researcher in an area of applied
microeconomics (8/10/19): Robbie Akerlof
Content is non-examinable, but link to and application of theory
can be examined
4
The 2 year road map
The plan for your 2 years in microeconomics
The core topics; The core skills; The tools of the trade
EC109 EC202
Consumer Theory Choice under
Producer Theory Uncertainty
EC109
CONSUMER THEORY
Elizabeth Jones
10
5
The Topics
Budget Constraints and the feasible set
Preferences
Indifference curves and utility functions
Revealed Preferences
Optimisation
Comparative statics
Changes in welfare
Applications
11
An example
If you and I go shopping in our respective local towns,
why is it unlikely we will each come out of the shop
with the same amount of each good in our baskets?
If I buy more milk than you, what are the possible
explanations?
Differences in behaviour can emerge from
– Different tastes
– Different circumstances
We optimise subject to our constraints
12
6
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
13
Budget constraint I
Income and prices affect the quantity consumers demand
– Income can be determined exogenously as an amount, M
– Or determined endogenously from resources
Assume my weekly income is £200 and I spend money on
food at £5/g and clothes at £10/unit.
M= × if I decide to only consume food.
200 = ×5→ = 40 =
14
7
Budget constraint II
Veggie
Burgers
Given your income, you
40 can afford to buy 40
veggie burgers if you do
not buy any beef burgers.
20 Beef Burgers
15
16
8
The feasible set
Veggie
burgers
40 Given your income, any Plugging in the values for
bundle below the budget
constraint is affordable.
, and allows us to
Any bundle on the budget construct the budget
constraint is just
affordable constraint and determine
the feasible set:
200 = 5 + 10
200 10
= −
20
5 5
Beef Burgers
17
Budget constraint IV
The slope measures the rate the market ‘substitutes’ good
1 for good 2: it’s the opportunity cost of consuming good 1
If we consume more good 1, ∆ , by how much must good
2 change to continue to satisfy the budget constraint?
+ = (1)
( +∆ )+ ( +∆ )= (2)
Subtract (1) from (2) to find: ∆ + ∆ =0
∆
Thus: =−
∆
18
9
Changing prices and income
Veggie
Burgers
Returning in each case to
40
= £200; = £5; = £10
Income falls to £100
Price of beef burgers
falls from £10 to £8
Both prices double
Prices of veggie and
beef burgers rise and
20 Beef Burgers income falls
19
PREFERENCES
20
10
Preferences
We assume consumers choose what they want the most
Specifying preferences tells us something about a
consumer’s choice.
Consider the bundle ( , ) and compare it with ( , )
to determine the preference ordering:
– Strict preference ≻
– Weak preference ≽
– Indifference ∽
We only care about ordinal relations
21
Properties of Preferences
Completeness
– The consumer can always compare/rank bundles. Either
X≻ , ≻ , ∽
Transitivity
– If ≽ and ≽ then ≽
Continuous
– If X is preferred to Y, and there is a third bundle Z which lies
within a small radius of Y, then X will be preferred to Z.
– Tiny changes in bundles will not change preference ordering
22
11
Well-behaved preferences
Monotonicity (non-satiation)
– We are talking about goods and not bads >> More is better!
– Consider two bundles X and Y. If Y has at least as much of both
goods, and more of one, then ( , ) ≻ ( , )
Convexity
– Averages are better than extremes (or at least not worse)
– An average of two bundles on the same indifference curve will
be (at least weakly) preferred, for any 0 < < 1
=( + 1− , + 1− )≽( , )
23
Veggie
Preference map
Burgers
More is better A E B
D Can we use more
tells us … is better
A property to
15 compare bundles
C A, C, E?
B C
5 Beef Burgers
24
12
Indifference curves I
Veggie Which bundles do
Burgers
you like equally to
E B bundle A?
Connecting these
15 points (bundles A, C
A
C and E) creates an
indifference curve.
Plotting other
D
indifference curves
creates an
indifference map.
5 Beef Burgers
25
Indifference Curves II
Veggie
Burgers
Bundles on I3 are preferred to
bundles on I2 etc.
Indifference curves are
continuous
Indifference curves cannot cross
Most people’s indifference
I3 curves are convex to the origin
I2 Indifference curves are
I1 downward sloping
Beef Burgers
26
13
Indifference curves III
Perfect Substitutes – goods with a constant rate of
substitution
Perfect Complements – goods that are always
consumed together
‘Bads’ – a good that you dislike
Neutral goods – a good that you don’t care about
Satiation – an overall best bundle: too much AND
too little is worse
27
Utility I
Utility Functions describe preferences, assigning
higher numbers to more-preferred bundles
– All combinations of two goods that give an individual the same
level of utility lie on the same indifference curve
The further from the origin, the higher the utility
Bundle , ≻ , iff ( , ) ≻ ( , )
We are interested in ordinal and not cardinal utility
– We care about which bundle is preferred and not by how much
28
14
Utility II
What will the utility functions look like for …
Perfect Substitutes:
Perfect Complements:
Cobb-Douglas
– Between the two extremes: Imperfect Substitutes
– The simplest example of well-behaved preferences
– , = (or , = 2 2 )
– , =
– More generally: , = 2
29
Monotonic transformations
Applying monotonic transformations to a utility function
creates a new function but with the same preferences
– Transforms a set of numbers into another set; preserving the order
– We can’t work back from optimal demands for exact utility function
Consider a utility function ( , ,…, ). Some examples
of monotonic transformations:
– log( , ,…, ) − exp , ,…,
– , ,…, + − ( ( , ,…, ))
– , ,…, n − , ,…,
30
15
31
Behavioural insights I
Which factors affect utility?
Psychological attitudes
Peer group pressures
Personal experiences
The general cultural environment
Ceteris paribus
Only consider choices among quantifiable options
Hold constant other things that affect behaviour
32
16
Behavioural insights II
Do the axioms always hold? Are consumers truly rational?
– Too many choices/much information; how choices are framed: Prospect Theory
– Loss Aversion: the disutility of giving up an object is greater than the utility
associated with acquiring it (cognitive bias)
– What’s the default option? (e.g. buying something online)
Bounded rationality
– Behaviour is influenced by our environment and the information we have
– Poor feedback restricts information
Can behaviour be influenced to become more rational?
33
Revealed Preferences
If an optimising consumer chooses , over , ,
Good 2 when these bundles are different, it must be that:
+ = and + ≤
X1, X2
+ ≥ +
34
17
WARP and SARP
If , ≻ , , then it can’t be that , ≻ ,
– WARP refers to directly revealed preferences
– SARP refers to directly and indirectly revealed preferences
Say that at prices , , bundle , is bought when
, is affordable
This means that if , is purchased at prices , ,
then , must be unaffordable
+ ≥ +
AND NOT + ≥ +
35
36
18
The Marginal Rate of Substitution II
X2, Food
∆
= =
∆
∆x2
∆x1
X1, Clothes
37
∆ = ∆
To keep utility constant (∆U = 0), if ↑, ↓
∆ = ∆ + ∆ =0
∆
We know = and so =
∆
38
19
The Marginal Rate of Substitution IV
We refer to small changes in and and so
( , ) ( , )
= + =0
,
= = MRS
,
39
, = +
– =
What happens to the MRS as
we move down the
indifference curve?
Pepsi
40
20
The MRS and Perfect Complements
Left Shoes
, = ,
MRS is:
Right Shoes
41
, =
MRS is:
– =
A monotonic transformation
– U , =
– =
42
21
Diminishing Marginal Rate of Substitution
X2, Olives
For strictly convex indifference
curves, what happens to the
∆x2 slope as we move down the
indifference curve?
– The more of a good you have, the
more willing you are to sacrifice it to
∆x2
gain an additional unit of another
∆x2
good
– Diminishing MRS (absolute value)
∆x1 ∆x1 ∆x1
=1 X1, Peanuts
=1 =1
43
Homothetic tastes I
A situation where the consumer’s preferences depend
solely on the ratio of good 1 to good 2
Homothetic tastes give rise to indifference maps where
the MRS is constant along any ray from the origin.
, ≻ ,
, ≻ ,
When income rises, demand rises by the same
proportion
44
22
Homothetic tastes II
Tops The relative quantity of
each good remains
constant along any ray
from the origin
When income is scaled up
or down by t > 0, the
demanded bundle scales
up or down by the same
amount.
– The ratio of trousers to tops
remains constant as income
Trousers changes
45
Quasilinear tastes
Tastes are linear in one good, but may not be in the other
good:
, = +
With quasilinear tastes, indifference curves are vertical
translates of one another.
In this case, the MRS is constant along any vertical line
from the x-axis.
46
23
Coke and all other consumption
At A, MRS = -1: we will
trade $1 for 1 can of coke.
At B, will we value the
50th can of coke the same
as the 25th?
– More likely that the 25th
can is valued the same
regardless of how much in
other consumption we
undertake
47
Elasticity of Substitution I
How does the consumer substitute between and ?
The degree of substitutability measures how responsive the
bundle of goods along an IC is to changes in the MRS
The elasticity of substitution is defined as:
48
24
Elasticity of Substitution II
= 10/2 = 10/2
From A to B,
= 8/4
there is a large
%∆ in x2/x1
From A to B,
there is a smaller
= 4/8 %∆ in x2/x1
49
50
25
OPTIMISATION
51
Good Y Optimisation I
M/Py
Consumers choose the best
bundle within their feasible set
Remember
Slope of budget constraint:
=
Slope of indifference curve:
MRS =
M/Px
Good X
52
26
Optimisation II
Consumers maximise utility subject to a budget constraint
This occurs at a tangency, where
( , )⁄
= = =
( , )⁄
53
Optimisation III
∆
Say: = = = > =
∆
54
27
Optimisation IV: Corner Solutions
Veggie
Burgers, Y A
If the optimal choice involves
40 consuming both goods, then the
tangency condition must hold
– A necessary condition
What happens at A?
20 Beef Burgers, X
55
Optimisation V: non-convexity
The tangency condition is
necessary for optimality, but it
is not sufficient unless
preferences are convex
If we have a tangency, we don’t
always have an optimal choice
– Points A, B and C are all
interior tangency conditions
56
28
Equi-marginal Principle I
We can find the optimum bundle by setting the MRS
equal to the price ratio and using the budget constraint.
The solutions give the Marshallian demands – demand is
dependent on prices and income: ∗ , ,
An example: = , with , ,
Find the MRS and set equal to the price ratio: =
Rearrange to give (say): =
Plug into the budget constraint
57
Equi-marginal Principle II
= + But =
= + >> =2
So, we can find: =
Plug the demand for into the budget constraint:
= + >> 2 = +2
= =
Demand is dependent on prices and income
58
29
Marshallian demands I
What if we have a utility function where there isn’t a
tangency?
Perfect Substitutes
Perfect Complements
– In each case, think about it logically…
– In the diagram, what do we know about how consumers will
allocate their income?
– What do we know about the point at which consumers maximise
their utility?
59
Marshallian demands II
Coca Cola
Perfect Substitutes:
/ <
∗ ∗ =
= 0< < /
0 >
Budget
Constraint Maximise utility on highest IC
subject to BC:
Compare slopes of BC and IC to
Pepsi
determine which good is consumed
60
30
Marshallian demands III
Perfect Substitutes example:
, =5 +3 ; = 4, = 3, = 200
61
Marshallian demands IV
Left Shoes
Perfect complements:
∗
– = /( + )
Consumer will optimise at the
kink, but…
MRS is undefined at kink
Find expression for Indifference
curve at the kink and combine
Right Shoes
this with the Budget constraint
to solve
62
31
Marshallian demands V
Perfect Complements example:
, = min{4 , 3 } ; = 4, = 3, = 200
How many units of do we have at the kink?
(1)
Find an expression for the BC. (2)
Solve: = ; =
63
Marshallian demands VI
Cobb-Douglas: =
∗ ∗
= and =
64
32
COMPARATIVE STATICS
65
120 12
90 8
5 8 10 12 15 20 Fish (Kg/week) 60 5
66
33
The Engel curve
Income
67
12 7
6 15
7 15 22 DVDs 4 22
68
34
The Demand Curve I
Price (P)
DVDs We derive the demand
curve for DVDs from the
price-offer curve
12
– Holding income, other prices
and preferences constant,
how does quantity demanded
6 change following a price
change?
4
– What happens to demand if
income, other prices or
7 15 22 Quantity preferences change?
demanded, DVDs
69
70
35
Marshallian demand elasticities I
When price falls, quantity demanded rises
– By how much?
The price elasticity of demand , measures the
percentage change in quantity demanded in response to
a percentage change in a good’s own price.
Δ / Δ
, = = =
Δ / Δ
71
72
36
CONSUMER THEORY IN PRACTICE
73
74
37
Income and substitution effects
Either (1)
– Utility is the same after the price change as it was before the price change (that
way the consumer is no better off despite the lower price)
Or (2)
– Purchasing power is the same after the price change as it was before the price
change (the consumer has just enough income to buy the original bundle)
(1): Hicksian
(2): Slutsky
Both only consider the substitution effect (the change in demand
purely because the good is cheaper)
75
76
38
The Hicks income and substitution effects:
A normal good
Bananas Bananas
Apples Apples
Total effect
77
Apples Apples
39
Slutsky Substitution
The Hicks substitution compensates the consumer so that
he can remain on the same indifference curve
– It keeps utility constant (following the price change)
The Slutsky substitution compensates the consumer so
that he can still consume his original bundle
– It keeps purchasing power constant (following the price change)
The process is the same as the Hicks substitution effect,
but now the compensated budget line won’t be tangential
to the original indifference curve…
It will pass through the original consumption bundle
79
Apples Apples
Hicksian Slutsky
80
40
Hicksian: The Dual Problem I
Find the initial bundle (at original price ratio)
– Utility maximisation: Consume on highest IC subject to BC
Find the change in demand due to the substitution effect
– Expenditure minimisation: what is the least costly way of
achieving the original level of utility at the new price ratio?
Find the new bundle (at new price ratio)
– Utility maximisation (now also takes into account the income
effect)
81
81
Slutsky substitution
Find the change in income needed to make the original
bundle affordable at new price,
Original Income: = +
New Income: = ′ +
∆ = − = − = ∆
The change in income tells us the new amount of income
the consumer needs such that they can just buy the
original bundle at the new set of prices 82
82
41
Deriving Demand Curves
We have already derived the Marshallian Demand Curve
(taking into account substitution and income effects)
We can also derive a Hicksian demand curve, which just
considers the substitution effect and keeps utility constant
And a Slutsky demand curve, which also just considers the
substitution effect, but this time keeps purchasing power
constant
Consider how the shapes will change if we have (i) a
normal good, (ii) an inferior non-Giffen good (iii) a Giffen
good 83
83
DH = Hicksian Demand
Curve (keeps utility
constant)
84
42
OPTIMISING MATHEMATICALLY
85
86
43
The Lagrange multiplier
Tangency implies:
λ∗ = = =⋯= =⋯=
λ∗ is the marginal utility of an extra £ of expenditure
– The marginal utility of income
– £1 of extra income will increase utility by λ
Price is the consumer’s evaluation of the utility of the last
unit consumed
= for every i
87
88
44
An example
. .
= , ; = 20; = 10; = 200
. .
= + λ( − − )
FOCs
. .
= 0.5 −λ =0
= >> =
. .
= 0.5 −λ =0
∗
= − − =0 >> =2 ≫ =
89
90
45
Hicksian: Expenditure minimisation
For the substitution effect, we want you (the consumer)
to receive a given level of utility, say , at lowest cost
– Minimise your expenditure subject to a given level of utility
Choose , ,…, to solve the following problem:
+ + ⋯+ . . ( , ,…, )≥
91
= 7.071 − . .
=0 = = 7.071
λ
92
Substitution effect: rises from 5 to 7.071
92
46
The Dual Problem IV
Step 4
. .
max , = + ≤
. .
= 0.5 −λ =0
= ≫ =1
. .
= 0.5 −λ =0 =
∗
200
+ = ≫ = = = 10
+ 10 + 10
Income effect: rises from 7.071 to 10 93
93
94
47
Indirect Utility Function
∗ ∗
, , = ( , , , , , )
This is called the indirect utility function, where optimal
level of utility depends indirectly on prices and income
It has the following properties:
– It is non-increasing in every price, decreasing in at least one price
– Increasing in Income
– Homogeneous of degree zero in price and income
95
96
48
Expenditure Function
∗ ∗
= , , = , , + , ,
This is called the Expenditure function, which maps prices
and utility to minimal expenditure
It has the following properties:
– It is non-decreasing in every price, increasing in at least one price
– Increasing in utility
– Homogeneous of degree 1 in all prices p
97
= +λ −
= + λ( − )
98
49
Duality
99
100
50
Slutsky equation I
Find the change in income needed to make the original
bundle (5, 10) affordable at new price,
Original Income: = +
New Income: = ′ +
∆ = − = − = ∆ = 5 10 − 20 = −50
Income must fall by 50, from 200 to 150
This gives consumer just enough income to purchase the
original bundle at the new price ratio 101
101
Slutsky equation II
. .
= + (150 − − )
150
= = = 7.5 =
( + ) (10 + 10)
102
51
Slutsky equation III
Substitution effect: ∆ = , − ,
Income effect: ∆ = , − ′, ′
Total effect: ∆ = , − , =∆ +∆
103
Slutsky equation IV
∆ ∆ ∆ ∆
∆
=∆ − ∆
and recall: ∆ = ∆ >> ∆ =
∆ ∆ ∆
Replace denominator in term 3 = −
∆ ∆ ∆
104
52
WELFARE
105
A change in welfare I
In policy debates it is important to be able to quantify how
consumer “welfare” is affected by changing prices.
– How is welfare affected if fuel tax rises, or a carbon tax is introduced?
– A key part of economists’ role in government, regulators, consulting
We can’t look at utility directly (ordinal utility), so we use a
proxy – income or money
There are 3 ways that changes in welfare can be measured
– Consumer Surplus
– Compensating variation
– Equivalent variation
106
53
Consumer Surplus I
We use compensated demand (MWTP) to measure it
MWTP tells us how much each unit of a good is valued
given we are consuming at some bundle A.
TWTP for all qA units is: ∑
– The area under the MWTP curve
The difference between the TWTP and the actual amount
paid gives the consumer surplus
When price changes, we measure the change in welfare
by measuring the change in consumer surplus
107
Consumer surplus II
Willingness
to pay, p TWTPA: +
Consumer Surplus:
A
Market Price = 2
MWTPA
qA Quantity demanded, Q
108
54
Consumer surplus III
Willingness
to pay, p At the higher price, consumer surplus falls to
Welfare loss:
Market Price = 3
Market Price = 2
MWTPA
Quantity demanded, Q
109
Compensating Variation I
Say the price of a good rises …
How much money would the government have to give the
consumer after the price change to make him just as well
off as he was before the price change?
– You should recognise this idea!
How far should we shift the new budget line so that it is
just tangential to the original indifference curve?
110
55
All other Compensating Variation II
goods (£):
Assume is fixed
CV = ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
( , , )= +
∗∗∗
This rises to
= ∗∗ ∗∗ ∗∗ ∗∗
= +
∗∗
∗
∗∗ ∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗
( , , )= +
∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗
Fish (Kg/week):
= −
111
∗∗ ∗
= ( , , )− ( , , )
112
56
Equivalent Variation I
Say the price of a good rises …
How much money would have to be taken away from the
consumer before the price change to make him just as
well off as he would be after the price change?
– What is the maximum amount you are willing to pay to avoid the
price change?
How far must we shift the original budget line so that it is
just tangential to the new indifference curve?
113
Equivalent Variation II
All other
Assume is fixed
goods (£):
= ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
= +
This rises to
= ∗∗ ∗∗ ∗∗ ∗∗
∗∗
= +
∗
∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗
∗∗∗ = +
114
57
A change in welfare II
Consumer surplus, compensating variation and equivalent
variation can give different values
– The same change in price can lead to different changes in welfare,
depending on how we measure it
£1 is worth differing amounts at different prices
CS, CV and EV will only be equal to each other if tastes are
quasilinear
– As here, there is no income effect
115
APPLICATIONS
116
58
Endowments of goods I
An endowment: A bundle of goods owned by a consumer
and tradable for other goods:( , )
Say you have of good 1, but would choose >
– This means you are a net demander/buyer of good 1
– If you would choose < , you are a net supplier/seller of good 1
Income is determined by your endowments and prices
Consumer’s choice set depends on endowments and prices
, , , = , | + ≤ +
117
Endowments of goods II
Say you bought 5 pairs of jeans at £20 each and 10
jumpers ( ) at £10 each from John Lewis for your partner
– But they say that you bought the wrong ones and wrong quantities!
You return to John Lewis, but don’t have the receipt
– You get a Gift Certificate for your goods at the current prices
– = 5 + 10
If prices are unchanged, budget constraint is unchanged
If prices have changed, budget constraint must still pass
through ( , ) but will now have a different slope and
intercepts
118
59
Endowments of goods III
Jumpers X2
Original budget constraint (AB):
20 B
+ =5 + 10
15 B’ Rearranging gives: =5 + 10 −
119
120
60
Slutsky: the endowment income effect I
∆ ∆
= −
∆ ∆ ∆
Substitution effect remains the same
But there are now two income effects to consider
– Previously: say falls. Real income rises and so is affected
(ordinary income effect: money income remains fixed)
– But now when falls, your endowment and thus your money
income is affected (endowment income effect)
∆ ∆
= − + endowment income effect
∆ ∆ ∆
121
∆
We already have an expression for term (ii):
∆
122
61
Slutsky: the endowment income effect III
∆ ∆ ∆
Endowment income effect: =
∆ ∆ ∆
∆ ∆
Revised Slutsky equation: = +( − )
∆ ∆ ∆
Substitution effect is always negative: ↑ → ↓
With a normal good: ordinary income effect > 0
Size of total effect depends on sign of ( − ):
– Net demander: Price of normal good rises, demand must fall
– Net supplier: It depends on the magnitude of the positive combined
income effect, versus negative substitution effect
123
Endowments of goods IV
X2 Original budget constraint (A)
Endowment, E Price of x1 falls
Substitution effect: A-B
Ordinary income effect (holding
money income fixed): B-D
Final Choice
Endowment income effect
(changes value of endowment
Original
and hence income): D-C
Choice – Must go through Endowment, E
A X1
Final budget constraint (C)
B C D
124
62
Intertemporal Choice I
Should you go to university?
– No: You’ll have a low income as a student and will incur huge debts
– Yes: You’ll have a higher income as a graduate and pensioner
We can apply the consumer choice model to consider:
– How much debt should you accumulate as a student?
– How will the amount of debt depend on the interest rate?
– How much should you save for retirement?
This model is crucial to understanding saving decisions
We treat two time periods (t = 1, 2) exactly like two goods
125
Intertemporal Choice II
I can earn £10,000 (m1) this summer and then travel next
summer, earning £0 (m2). Assume r = 10%
– If c1 = 0, I could consume [ 1 + 0.1 + ] next summer.
– For every £1 consumed today, next year’s consumption falls by (1+r)
– The most I have for consumption next summer is what I would have
had if c1 = 0 minus (1+r) times my actual consumption this summer
≤ 1+ + − 1+
126
63
Lenders and Borrowers
X2 X2
(1 + ) +
Future value
m2
X*2 Slope = -(1 + r)
X*2
m2
+
(1 + )
Present value
X*1 m1 X1 m1 X*1 X1
127
128
64
Intertemporal Choice IV
Assume I have an idea about my earning in all periods 1 – n
– This gives n different endowments across n years ( , ,…, )
– Assume constant r across all years
If I consume nothing until the last year, I have plus:
– Penultimate year’s endowment and 1 year’s interest: + (1 + )
– Plus second to last year’s endowment and 2 year’s interest, plus…
So the maximum I could consume in last period is:
= + 1+ + (1 + ) + ⋯ + (1 + ) ( )
129
Intertemporal Choice V
The actual amount I can consume depends on how much I
consumed in the previous periods
=
+ 1+ + (1 + ) + ⋯+ 1 +
− 1+ − 1+ − ⋯ − (1 + )
Or
+ 1+ + 1+ + ⋯ + (1 + )
= + 1+ + (1 + ) + ⋯+ 1 +
130
65
Comparative Statics: Borrowers
X2
What happens to the borrowing
Original decision as ‘r’ changes?
Budget Constraint
A decrease in ‘r’ pivots the
budget constraint
A borrower remains a borrower
m2
By Revealed preference, a
New
borrower will be unambiguously
Consumption better off
Original
Consumption
If ‘r’ increases, a borrower may
remain a borrower or may switch
m1 X1 to become a lender
131
132
66
Applications
We can apply the consumer choice model to many areas
and it can give important insights to policy-makers
– Should taxes be increased on certain goods?
– If interest rates change, how will this affect the behaviour of savers
and borrowers?
– If income tax rises, what happens to the supply of labour?
– If in-work or out-of-work benefits change, how will this affect
people’s incentive to work?
You will look at a further application in seminars
133
67
31/10/2019
EC109
Production Theory
Elizabeth Jones
The Topics
Production functions
Isoquants and MRTS
Returns to scale
Cost functions and cost curves
Cost minimization
Expansion paths
Comparative statics
Short versus long run
Profit functions
Supply functions
1
31/10/2019
Production Functions
2
31/10/2019
Production functions
Firms convert inputs into outputs: the inputs used are the firm’s
factors of production
The amount of goods and services produced is the firm's output (Q)
Certain combination of inputs will produce given amounts of output
3
31/10/2019
Production functions
• B uses 20 labour hours to produce Why does the slope on this production
80 units function initially get steeper and then
• What can we say about C and D? get shallower?
= <0
4
31/10/2019
40
30
From the total product function, we
can derive the marginal and average
20 product of labour curves.
10 Point D: Law of diminishing marginal
returns:
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 As variable input increases, with others
14
held fixed, a point will be reached
Tonnes of wheat per year
12
beyond which the marginal product of
10
the variable input will decrease.
8
2
at 5 is the slope of AB
0 at 2 is the slope of OC
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
-2
Number of farm workers (L)
L 12 0 15 48 81 96 75
50
18 0 25 81 137 162 127
24 0 30 96 162 192 150
0
30 0 23 75 127 150 117 30
24
18 30
Thousands of 24
We can now find marginal
12 18
machine Thousands of
6 12
hours/ day 6 man hours/
products of capital and labour 0 day
5
31/10/2019
Isoquants
Isoquants
Isoquants show all combinations of labour and capital that produce a given
level of output (Q0)
, =
K, 000s of machine hour a day
0 6 12 18 24 30 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 0 5 15 25 30 23
L 12 0 15 48 81 96 75
6 18
L, 000s of Labour hours a day
6
31/10/2019
cross
The , (of labour for capital) is the
B
slope of the isoquant
20
= 1000 – How many K must be given up to use 1 more
L, while keeping output constant
– The , diminishes in absolute value as
20 50 we move down the isoquant
L, 000s of labour hours a day Isoquants are convex to the origin.
= · + · = · + ·
Along an isoquant = 0:
· =− ·
, = =
How many units of capital the firm can substitute for one unit of labour
The shape of the isoquant determines the rate of technical substitution
7
31/10/2019
8
31/10/2019
9
31/10/2019
10
31/10/2019
= −1 <0
E
30
20 D = 300
= −1 <0
10
A B
C
If exponents , > 0, the and will
= 200
= 170
= 140
be diminishing iff each exponent < 1 (only
10 20 30
= 100
then is derivative of and negative)
L, units of labour per year
/ / ( , )= / /
( , )=
Diminishing MP Increasing MP
11
31/10/2019
= , = +
H, High capacity computers
10 20
Constant returns to scale
L, Low capacity computers
12
31/10/2019
50
Inputs substitutable in variable proportions
40
along an isoquant
It can exhibit any returns to scale,
30
depending on if ( + ) >, <, = 1
20
=
10
Costs
13
31/10/2019
Economic Costs I
What is the cost of an airline using the planes it owns for scheduled
passenger services?
– Crew salaries, fuel etc.
– Foregone income from not renting the plane to someone else; time
Costs don’t always refer to direct monetary transfers
– Explicit costs refer to those costs needing a direct monetary outlay
– Implicit costs refer to those costs not involving such a monetary outlay
The economic cost of an input is its opportunity cost
– The remuneration the input would receive in its best alternative employment
– It includes both explicit and implicit costs
– A forward looking concept; depends on decision made and current market prices
Accounting costs: all explicit, incurred in the past - on accounting
statements
Economic Costs II
Sunk costs: costs that are already incurred and so cannot be avoided
– They do not (or should not) affect production decisions going forwards
– Behavioural insights?
Say I run a factory which, last year, emitted illegal pollution. I became
aware of this at the start of the year and quietly fixed it. Then I receive
a £10,000 fine for the pollution and am required to fix the problem.
I’ve already fixed it, so now I just have to pay the fine.
– This is a current cost for my business (according to the accountant)
– But, does the size of the fine depend on my current production decisions?
– No: regardless of whether or how much I produce now and in the future, the fine is based
on something that happened in the past. It does not affect economic choices I currently face
– It is not an economic cost of production
14
31/10/2019
Profits:
π= −( + )= , −( + )
Two options to solve the firm’s problem:
a) One Step solution: Choose (Q, K, L) to maximise π
b) Two-step solution:
- Minimise costs for a given output level,
- Choose output to maximise π
Isocost curves
Isocosts: All the combinations of labour and capital that a producer could
afford to purchase at a given set of input prices (w, r) and a total allowable
cost level TC.
K, Capital
15
31/10/2019
Cost Minimisation I
min + : , =
,
– Shift isocost until it is tangential to isoquant
K, Capital
∗ L, Labour , = =
Cost Minimisation II
The firm’s cost minimisation problem is similar to EMP
min + : , =
,
= −λ =0
= = ,
= −λ =0
= − , =0
16
31/10/2019
Rearranging:
= =λ = =λ
The Lagrange multiplier, λ, shows how much the optimal value of the
objective function will change following a change in the constraint
– By how much will costs increase when output constraint is increased marginally
Solving the minimisation problems yields the optimal factor demands:
∗
= ∗ ( , , ); ∗
= ∗( , , )
– These are derived or conditional factor demands, as input demand depends on Q
∗
– Cost function: , , = , , + ∗( , , )
= −λ =0
= ≫ =
= −λ =0
= − =0
∗
Solve for: =
∗
Plug expression for L* into = and solve for: =
Cost function: TC = +
17
31/10/2019
Expansion Path
The set of optimal combinations of L and K
(tangency of isoquants and isocosts)
– How inputs increase with increases in output
The expansion path does not have to be a
straight line or start at the origin
– It depends on the shape of the isoquants
– The use of some inputs may increase faster
than others as output expands
In previous case: =
– MRTS depends on ratio of two inputs: =
– Production function is homothetic and
expansion path is a straight line
Corner solutions
The cost minimizing input combination occurs where the firm uses no Capital:
Tangency condition doesn’t hold at
any point, as the isocost is flatter
K, Capital
> ≫ >
C
B
Every dollar spent on labour is more
productive than every dollar spent
on Capital.
A
L, Labour
18
31/10/2019
in output
B
– As w rises (r falls) optimisation moves from A to
A C B
– As quantity of output changes (keeping w and r
L, Labour
constant) the isoquant (and isocost) shift out
The bottom diagram summarises the
, dollar per unit of Labour
19
31/10/2019
Cost Functions I
We have already seen that the firm’s TC is a function of output and
input prices
∗
Total Cost function: C , , = , , + ∗ , ,
– With fixed prices, we often note C
Average Cost (AC) reflects costs per unit of output
( , , )
AC , , =
20
31/10/2019
21
31/10/2019
22
31/10/2019
> ( )
When AC is increasing in Q,
,
unit
A’ •
£30
B’ < ( )
A’’
• When AC is at a minimum,
£10
= ( )
50 Q, units per year
23
31/10/2019
24
31/10/2019
Relationship between the long run and short run total cost
curves
K, Capital
= 1 million
TVs Isoquant
£50
A corresponds to a different level of
C
fixed capital.
£35 Point A is optimal for the firm to
B
produce 1 million TVs per year, with
fixed level of capital .
25
31/10/2019
Profit Maximisation
If revenue from last unit exceeds cost from last unit, then produce more
( )
As ≥0 MC must slope upwards at the optimum
∗
Solving yields optimal output: , ,
∗ ∗
And Profit: ( , , )= − ( , , )
26
31/10/2019
/ /
Two Step problem: , =
We already know the cost function for , =
TC = + Now set = =1 3
TC = + =2 ( )
: = ≫ =3 ( )
∗ ∗
, , = , , =
9 27
= −λ =0
= ≫ =
= −λ =0
= − =0
∗
Solve for: =
Cost function: = +
27
31/10/2019
/ /
Same problem: One-Step: , =
= − − = − −
FOCS:
1 1
= = 1 = = 2
3 3
Use (1) to find expression for K: = 27 (3)
∗
Plug (3) into (2) to find optimal :
1 1
= ≫ [27 ] = ≫
3 3
∗
= (4)
27
28
31/10/2019
/ /
One step problem: , =
∗
To find optimal , plug equation (4) into equation (3)
= 27 = 27
27
∗
= (5)
27
To find optimal ∗ : plug optimal inputs (4), (5) into production function
/ / ∗
= = ≫ = (6)
27 27 9
This is the supply function
– Compare it with optimal Q from two step problem
– They are identical
/ /
One step problem: , =
Use (4), (5) and (6) to find Profit function
∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
= − − = − −
9 27 27
∗
( , , )=
27
Compare this with the profit function derived from two-step solutions
– Again, it is identical
Once we know the price of labour and capital, we can then solve to find
how much will be supplied at each price and how much profit the firm
will make
29
31/10/2019
TC(Q)
TR=PQ
Profit function
Costs
Profit is maximised at Q* where:
=
Profits are given by:
∗ ∗
= −
Total profit on top diagram is:
Q* Quantity
= −
Tπ
Price AC(Q)
Total profit on bottom diagram is:
MC(Q)
∗ ∗
= −
P AR = MR
, , increases in p and
decreases in w, r
AC
, , is homogeneous of
degree 1 in , ,
Q* Quantity
30
31/10/2019
Isoprofit curves I
When more of one input is used, ∆ , output rises by ∆ = ∆
The value of this extra output is p ∆ (where p = price of output)
The cost of this additional output is: w∆ (where w = price of labour)
If the value of using one extra L is greater than its cost, profits rise if
one more L is used
When profits are at a maximum, any change in how much L is used
will cause profits to fall.
At a profit maximising choice of inputs, the value of the marginal
product of labour should equal the price of labour
p ( ∗, ) =
Isoprofit curves II
Assume K is held fixed and x Profits are: = − −
denotes firm’s output Solving yields: = + +
which describes the isoprofit lines
– All combinations of the input goods and output
good that give the same level of profit
– A bit like a firm’s indifference curves
– Slope = Vertical intercept = +
Which measures profits plus fixed costs
– As fixed costs are fixed, the only thing that
changes as we move between isoprofit curves is
the level of profit (higher profit, higher isoprofit
curve)
Profit maximisation: point on production
function with highest isoprofit curve
31
31/10/2019
Supply I
We assume firms aim to
maximise profits (MC = MR = P) : P> ≫ = ≫ >0
Price
: P> ≫ = ≫ >0
MC(Q) S(Q)
P1 : P= ≫ = ≫ =0
P2
AC(Q)
: P< ≫
– Firm doesn’t respond by producing
P3
– When < 0 the firm produces Q = 0
P4
MC curve shows how much will be
produced at any given price
But if:
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
Output < < ; =0
32
31/10/2019
Supply II
Long run Supply (MC above AC)
Short run Supply (MC above AVC) - only needs to cover variable costs
Shape of supply depends on: shape of MC and whether there are FC
The supply function is homogeneous of degree 0 (in p, r, w)
– If prices double, profit equation scales up, so optimal output is unaffected
Supply will slope upwards
Long run supply will be flatter than short run supply, due to fixed
input, capital
33