Ficha 4
Ficha 4
Master course
DCF models
Questions
(a) Estimate the value per share, using the Dividend Discount Model.
(b) Estimate the value per share, using the FCFE Model.
(c) How would you explain the difference between the two models, and which one would you use as your
benchmark for comparison to the market price?
(a) Assuming that capital expenditures and depreciation offset each other after 1998, estimate the value
per share.
(b) Assuming that capital expenditures continue to be 200% of depreciation even after 1998, estimate the
value per share.
(c) What would the value per share have been, if the firm had continued to finance new investments with
its old financing mix (5%)? Is it fair to use the same beta for this analysis?
1
million in 1993, and are expected to grow 6% a year from 1994 to 1998 and 4% a year after that. The firm is
expected to finance 10% of its capital expenditures and working capital needs with debt. Dionex had a beta
of 1.20 in 1993, and this beta is expected to drop to 1.10 after 1998. (The treasury bond rate is 7%.)
(a) Estimate the expected free cash flow to equity from 1994 to 1998, assuming that capital expenditures
and depreciation grow at the same rate as earnings.
(b) Estimate the terminal price per share (at the end of 1998). Stable firms in this industry have capital
expenditures which are 150% of depreciation, and maintain working capital at 25% of revenues.
(c) Estimate the value per share today, based upon the FCFE model.
6. Valuing a Division
In the face of disappointing earnings results and increasingly assertive institutional stockholders, Eastman
Kodak was considering a major restructuring in 1993. As part of this restructuring, it was considering the sale
of its health division, which earned $560 million in earnings before interest and taxes in 1993, on revenues
of $5.285 billion. The expected growth in earnings was expected to moderate to 6% between 1994 and
1998, and to 4% after that. Capital expenditures in the health division amounted to $420 million in 1993,
while depreciation was $350 million. Both are expected to grow 4% a year in the long term. Working capital
requirements are negligible.
The average beta of firms competing with Eastman Kodak’s health division is 1.15. While Eastman Kodak
has a debt ratio (D/(D+E)) of 50%, the health division can sustain a debt ratio (D/(D+E)) of only 20%, which
is similar to the average debt ratio of firms competing in the health sector. At this level of debt, the health
division can expect to pay 7.5% on its debt, before taxes. (The tax rate is 40%, and the treasury bond rate is
7%.)
2
(a) Estimate the cost of capital for the division.
(b) Estimate the value of the division.
(c) Why might an acquirer pay more than this estimated value?