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Prob-Stat - 222 Final

The document describes a final exam for a probability and statistics course. It contains 22 multiple choice and essay questions covering topics like probability distributions, hypothesis testing, ANOVA, regression, and confidence intervals. Students are instructed to show their work and calculations for the essay questions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
47 views

Prob-Stat - 222 Final

The document describes a final exam for a probability and statistics course. It contains 22 multiple choice and essay questions covering topics like probability distributions, hypothesis testing, ANOVA, regression, and confidence intervals. Students are instructed to show their work and calculations for the essay questions.

Uploaded by

uyen.ta1309
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 41

Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date

May 4th , May 4th ,


Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2221
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.19 0.24 0.21 0.17 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.93 B 1.61 C 1.77 D 1.69 E 1.6

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 12 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 2 unqualified parts.
A 0.2062 B 0.2332 C 0.1842 D 0.1072 E 0.1352

3. A random sample of 465 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.1312 B 0.1499 C 0.27 D 0.0643 E 0.1381

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 465 parts is between 1.8
and 2.1. A 0.8925 B 0.7349 C 0.491 D 0.9742 E 0.7608
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.76 inches. A random sample of 9
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 1.73, 2.65, 2.39, 2.38, 1.73,
2.05, 1.56, 1.77, 0.41. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less than
3.4 (inches)? Use a significant level of 0.1.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ = 3.4, H1: µ ̸= 3.4. B H0: µ = 3.4, H1: µ < 3.4. C H0: µ ≤ 3.4, H1: µ > 3.4.
D H0: µ ̸= 3.4, H1: µ = 3.4. E H0: µ > 3.4, H1: µ ≤ 3.4.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 9 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2221 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.0729.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.76.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.6563.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.2533.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 1.8522 and a standard deviation of 0.2533.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -4.8096 B -6.1096 C -6.7096 D -4.9096 E -7.7096

8. Construct a 90% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.4368 , 2.2677]
B [2.9845, 3.8155] C [1.528, 2.1765] D [1.7166, 1.9879] E [1.4983, 2.2061]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 90% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.2 (inches). A 32 B 37 C 48 D 38 E 39
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 7.3 9.7 8.6 10.4
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 -1.1 -1.2 -1.1 -2.6
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 17.4 20.9 16.9 21.1
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 5.6 7.4 8.1 4.6
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.01.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 29.855 B 34.8543 C 864.545 D 22.8549 E 894.4

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 113.8324 B 109.8326 C 121.832 D 115.8325 E 119.8321

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [−∞, 3.67] B [−∞, 5.95] C [7.23, +∞] D [5.95, +∞] E [3.67, +∞]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 3.1514 B 3.4073 C 4.9354 D 4.5239 E 1.6969

14. Construct a 99% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for
type 1 and type 2 medication. A [5.2038, 12.0184] B [9.6478, 16.4624] C [7.0927, 13.9073]
D [7.9813, 14.7959] E [8.5368, 15.3514]

15. Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [9.1458, 13.9644] B [4.1463, 8.9649] C [6.5907, 11.4093] D [5.5927, 12.4073]
E [5.2573, 10.0759]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 21 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 21198.31.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


Sum of observed values ( xP 2 yi )
i or 433 1024.67
Sum of squares ( x2i or
P
yi ) 9079 50052.4659
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = −0.0324; β0 = 39.3516 B β1 = −0.2324; β0 = 38.7516 C β1 = 0.5676; β0 = 40.0516
D β1 = 1.1676; β0 = 39.0516 E β1 = 0.4676; β0 = 39.1516
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2221 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 28 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 57 B 61.5 C 58 D 52 E 58.5

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 1.1528 B 0.8908 C 1.0908 D 1.3438 E 1.3448

19. Construct a 99% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [−0.3124, 1.1977] B [−0.0924, 0.7377] C [0.0476, 1.1377] D [0.2176, 0.7177]
E [−0.2524, 0.7477]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.6011 B 0.0611 C 0.6111 D 0.5011 E 0.5611

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2221 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2222
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.2 0.16 0.22 0.2 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 2.09 B 2.34 C 2.08 D 2.03 E 1.61

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 13 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 2 unqualified parts.
A 0.0431 B 0.0481 C 0.0711 D 0.0311 E 0.1461

3. A random sample of 600 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.1554 B 0.0095 C 0.1545 D 0.1128 E 0.0582

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 600 parts is between 2 and
2.2. A 0.8279 B 0.8957 C 0.447 D 0.8931 E 0.7146
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.12 inches. A random sample of 9
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 1.96, 2.22, 1.79, 2.01, 2.15,
1.96, 1.97, 1.98, 1.99. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is not equal
to 3.5 (inches)? Use a significant level of 0.05.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ ̸= 3.5, H1: µ = 3.5. B H0: µ = 3.5, H1: µ ̸= 3.5. C H0: µ > 3.5, H1: µ ≤ 3.5.
D H0: µ ≤ 3.5, H1: µ > 3.5. E H0: µ ≥ 3.5, H1: µ < 3.5.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 9 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2222 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 3.5 and a standard deviation of 0.04.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 3.5 and a standard deviation of 0.12.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 3.5 and a standard deviation of 0.0136.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 2.0033 and a standard deviation of 0.04.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 3.5 and a standard deviation of 0.1223.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -37.4167 B -37.7167 C -35.9167 D -38.3167 E -37.8167

8. Construct a 95% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings.
A [1.972, 2.0347] B [3.4216, 3.5784] C [1.9289, 2.0777] D [1.9377, 2.0689] E [1.9249 ,
2.0817]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 95% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.25 (inches). A 6 B 7 C 3 D 1 E 9

Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to


Type 1 2.8 1.1 3.3 1.6
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 8.8 9.1 8.4 6.7
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 15.4 14.8 12.8 15.6
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 -3 2.2 2.9 -0.3
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.05.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 33.03 B 26.0299 C 40.0292 D 498.1075 E 531.1375

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 64.3214 B 60.3218 C 56.3218 D 66.3213 E 58.3217

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [4.47, +∞] B [−∞, 2.48] C [−∞, 3.49] D [2.48, +∞] E [3.49, +∞]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 4.4374 B 1.7584 C 1.6129 D 0.7109 E 2.5563

14. Construct a 95% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for type
1 and type 2 medication. A [−8.6063, −3.4937] B [−8.2732, −3.1606] C [−6.0512, −0.9386]
D [−11.6062, −6.4936] E [−10.4952, −5.3826]

15. Find a 95% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [−0.3563, 4.7563] B [0.7255, 4.3407] C [−0.3855, 3.2297] D [0.3924, 4.0076]
E [1.8365, 5.4517]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 34 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 26699.56.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


P (2 xP
Sum of observed values i or
2
yi ) 696 1297.54
Sum of squares ( xi or yi ) 14694 49574.1644

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2222 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = 0.3094; β0 = 31.8287 B β1 = 0.4094; β0 = 31.6287 C β1 = 0.6094; β0 = 31.5287
D β1 = −0.5906; β0 = 32.6287 E β1 = 0.7094; β0 = 31.9287

17. Consider a worker of 40 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 44 B 52.5 C 49.5 D 52 E 53

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.389 B 0.157 C 0.421 D 0.654 E 0.033

19. Construct a 90% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.2574, 0.3615] B [−0.0526, 0.5515] C [−0.0926, 0.2815] D [0.0974, 0.3215]
E [0.0374, 0.4515]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.5604 B 0.8804 C 0.2204 D 0.3704 E 0.7604

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2222 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2223
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.19 0.21 0.2 0.19 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 2.15 B 2.47 C 1.67 D 2.5 E 2.02

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 11 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 1 unqualified parts.
A 0.0902 B 0.0302 C 0.0672 D 0.0332 E 0.1362

3. A random sample of 354 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.1909 B 0.313 C 0.0752 D 0.2168 E 0.1466

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 354 parts is between 1.9
and 2.2. A 0.9365 B 0.4483 C 0.7386 D 0.7823 E 0.8757
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.7 inches. A random sample of 8 bearings
was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 2.63, 2.27, 3.17, 1.03, 2.42, 2.79, 1.56,
1.94. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less than 3.8 (inches)? Use
a significant level of 0.1.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ = 3.8, H1: µ < 3.8. B H0: µ ̸= 3.8, H1: µ = 3.8. C H0: µ > 3.8, H1: µ ≤ 3.8.
D H0: µ ≤ 3.8, H1: µ > 3.8. E H0: µ = 3.8, H1: µ ̸= 3.8.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 8 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2223 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 3.8 and a standard deviation of 0.6936.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 3.8 and a standard deviation of 0.0867.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 3.8 and a standard deviation of 0.2475.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 2.2263 and a standard deviation of 0.2475.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 3.8 and a standard deviation of 0.7.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -6.3589 B -4.9589 C -5.1589 D -4.4589 E -7.8589

8. Construct a 90% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.8761, 2.5764]
B [2.062, 2.3905] C [1.8204 , 2.6321] D [3.3941, 4.2059] E [1.9095, 2.543]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 90% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.2 (inches). A 29 B 31 C 41 D 35 E 33
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 13.9 14.8 15.1 12
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 9 9.7 9.4 12.6
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 10.7 7.9 10.6 7.5
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 0.7 -1 0.4 -1.1
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.01.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 462.5375 B 32.3342 C 30.3343 D 25.335 E 437.2025

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 73.027 B 69.0274 C 67.0273 D 71.0271 E 63.0275

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [−∞, 3.67] B [−∞, 5.95] C [7.23, +∞] D [5.95, +∞] E [3.67, +∞]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 1.1514 B 4.2134 C 3.3744 D 3.1388 E 3.7159

14. Construct a 99% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for
type 1 and type 2 medication. A [2.0803, 8.3579] B [3.1913, 9.4689] C [0.6362, 6.9138]
D [−1.8082, 4.4694] E [−2.3637, 3.9139]

15. Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [13.1746, 17.6136] B [11.7305, 16.1695] C [12.6191, 17.0581] D [10.8112, 17.0888]
E [10.9526, 15.3916]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 23 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 19749.7.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


Sum of observed values ( xP 2 yi )
i or 472 954.76
Sum of squares ( x2i or
P
yi ) 9950 39728.312
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = 0.6929; β0 = 29.8445 B β1 = 1.5929; β0 = 29.1445 C β1 = 0.0929; β0 = 29.0445
D β1 = 0.5929; β0 = 29.3445 E β1 = −0.1071; β0 = 30.1445
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2223 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 37 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 51 B 59 C 61 D 60 E 57

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.3243 B 0.4833 C 0.4383 D 0.1083 E 0.5043

19. Construct a 99% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.2355, 0.5802] B [0.5355, 0.6502] C [0.3255, 0.9402] D [0.2555, 0.8002]
E [0.5255, 0.9302]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.5261 B 0.7961 C 0.4761 D 0.9761 E 0.5161

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2223 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2224
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.25 0.2 0.16 0.19 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.89 B 1.7 C 2.12 D 1.52 E 1.64

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 13 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 3 unqualified parts.
A 0.0947 B 0.1377 C 0.1137 D 0.2407 E 0.1877

3. A random sample of 519 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.0004 B 0.0648 C 0.0255 D 0.2342 E 0.0403

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 519 parts is between 1.8
and 2. A 0.8729 B 0.4998 C 0.4223 D 0.7461 E 0.3891
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.43 inches. A random sample of 10
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 2.27, 1.77, 2.8, 2.1, 1.79,
2.22, 2.26, 2.02, 1.78, 1.29. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less
than 3.4 (inches)? Use a significant level of 0.01.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ = 3.4, H1: µ < 3.4. B H0: µ = 3.4, H1: µ ̸= 3.4. C H0: µ ̸= 3.4, H1: µ = 3.4.
D H0: µ > 3.4, H1: µ ≤ 3.4. E H0: µ ≤ 3.4, H1: µ > 3.4.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 10 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2224 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.43.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.136.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.4055.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 3.4 and a standard deviation of 0.0406.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 2.03 and a standard deviation of 0.136.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -11.1752 B -12.0752 C -9.0752 D -9.4752 E -10.0752

8. Construct a 99% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.6464, 2.4136]
B [1.7132, 2.3468] C [1.8982, 2.1618] D [3.0492, 3.7508] E [1.6792 , 2.3808]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 99% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.25 (inches). A 29 B 26 C 28 D 20 E 13
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 19.6 20.9 20.6 19.2
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 20.7 17.1 19.1 19
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 17.2 22.8 20.4 20.4
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 8.6 9.9 10.9 10.2
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.05.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 27.075 B 294.7025 C 34.0742 D 20.0749 E 321.7775

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 41.5386 B 37.5388 C 43.5387 D 45.5384 E 47.5383

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [−∞, 2.48] B [4.47, +∞] C [2.48, +∞] D [3.49, +∞] E [−∞, 3.49]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 3.9325 B 0.7235 C 2.3144 D 1.918 E 2.77

14. Construct a 95% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for
type 1 and type 2 medication. A [−2.5478, 2.081] B [1.3407, 5.9695] C [−4.2143, 0.4145]
D [−1.2144, 3.4144] E [−3.1033, 1.5255]

15. Find a 95% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [15.9941, 19.2671] B [17.6606, 20.9336] C [18.4385, 21.7115] D [17.7606, 22.3894]
E [15.4386, 18.7116]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 29 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 29243.86.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


Sum of observed values ( xP 2 yi )
i or 587 1434.42
Sum of squares ( x2i or
P
yi ) 12171 71114.7876
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = 1.4232; β0 = 35.4248 B β1 = 0.8232; β0 = 35.8248 C β1 = 1.6232; β0 = 34.7248
D β1 = 0.7232; β0 = 34.8248 E β1 = 1.5232; β0 = 34.5248
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2224 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 36 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 61 B 66 C 67.5 D 68 E 67

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.4587 B 0.1437 C 0.8067 D 0.2157 E 0.4857

19. Construct a 90% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.6534, 0.793] B [0.3534, 0.913] C [0.4434, 1.233] D [0.2934, 1.213] E [0.6434, 0.973]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.8002 B 0.9702 C 0.9202 D 0.3902 E 0.8802

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2224 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2225
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.2 0.25 0.21 0.15 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.88 B 2.31 C 1.71 D 1.59 E 1.86

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 8 parts is
selected, find the probability that there are not more than 3 unqualified parts.
A 0.7276 B 0.7986 C 0.7626 D 0.7046 E 0.6356

3. A random sample of 232 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume that
these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.0916 B 0.0636 C 0.2065 D 0.0372 E 0.0264

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 232 parts is between 1.7
and 2. A 0.8803 B 0.808 C 0.3831 D 0.9425 E 0.8549
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.52 inches. A random sample of 10
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 2.76, 1.87, 2.19, 1.52, 2.5,
0.99, 2.09, 1.86, 2.61, 2.26. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less
than 2.9 (inches)? Use a significant level of 0.1.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ = 2.9, H1: µ ̸= 2.9. B H0: µ ≤ 2.9, H1: µ > 2.9. C H0: µ > 2.9, H1: µ ≤ 2.9.
D H0: µ ̸= 2.9, H1: µ = 2.9. E H0: µ = 2.9, H1: µ < 2.9.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 10 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2225 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 2.9 and a standard deviation of 0.1644.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 2.9 and a standard deviation of 0.52.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 2.9 and a standard deviation of 0.0533.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 2.065 and a standard deviation of 0.1644.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 2.9 and a standard deviation of 0.5329.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -3.8779 B -3.6779 C -5.0779 D -4.8779 E -4.1779

8. Construct a 90% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.7953 , 2.3347]
B [1.8376, 2.2924] C [1.9673, 2.1627] D [1.8545, 2.2755] E [2.6303, 3.1697]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 90% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.1 (inches). A 75 B 73 C 69 D 72 E 70
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 9.6 5.3 5.8 4.6 3.5
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 9.5 10 8.6 5.5 12.1
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 5
Type 3 2 0.7 -2 -0.6 -3.4
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 -3.4 -2.7 -2.4 3.2 1.2
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.01.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 88.7439 B 84.7441 C 459.7495 D 364.0055 E 95.744

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 14.2767 B 20.2766 C 18.2765 D 24.2762 E 26.2761

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [3.12, +∞] B [5.29, +∞] C [6.3, +∞] D [−∞, 3.12] E [−∞, 5.29]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 2.8658 B 5.1938 C 4.7098 D 4.5192 E 3.8918

14. Construct a 99% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for type
1 and type 2 medication. A [−6.4551, 2.5833] B [−10.8991, −1.8607] C [−7.8992, 1.1392]
D [−9.7881, −0.7497] E [−10.3436, −1.3052]

15. Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [5.1196, 11.5106] B [1.2408, 10.2792] C [3.4531, 9.8441] D [2.5645, 8.9555]
E [4.5641, 10.9551]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 20 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 15993.02.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


Sum of observed values ( xP 2 yi )
i or 389 819.16
Sum of squares ( x2i or
P
yi ) 7743 33574.8728
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = 0.4411; β0 = 33.6236 B β1 = −0.4589; β0 = 33.8236 C β1 = 0.8411; β0 = 35.2236
D β1 = 0.3411; β0 = 34.3236 E β1 = 0.0411; β0 = 34.9236
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2225 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 40 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 55.5 B 57.5 C 53 D 48 E 58

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.3478 B 0.1428 C 0.4268 D 0.5148 E 0.1738

19. Construct a 95% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.2952, 0.777] B [0.2752, 0.407] C [0.1652, 0.617] D [−0.0148, 0.307]
E [−0.1048, 0.537]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.8681 B 0.9281 C 0.7781 D 0.6881 E 0.6481

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2225 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2226
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.2 0.17 0.23 0.19 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.61 B 2.04 C 1.62 D 2.2 E 2.39

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 13 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 3 unqualified parts.
A 0.1366 B 0.0926 C 0.1976 D 0.1686 E 0.2106

3. A random sample of 627 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.3011 B 0.1309 C 0.0565 D 0.1577 E 0.2469

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 627 parts is between 1.9
and 2.1. A 0.8822 B 0.6063 C 0.9147 D 0.915 E 0.8495
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.91 inches. A random sample of 8
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 1.81, 1.84, 2.88, 2.33, 2.49,
2.44, 2.13, 2.42. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less than 4
(inches)? Use a significant level of 0.05.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ ̸= 4, H1: µ = 4. B H0: µ = 4, H1: µ ̸= 4. C H0: µ ≤ 4, H1: µ > 4. D H0:
µ > 4, H1: µ ≤ 4. E H0: µ = 4, H1: µ < 4.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 8 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2226 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 4 and a standard deviation of 0.91.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 4 and a standard deviation of 0.3217.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 4 and a standard deviation of 0.0445.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 4 and a standard deviation of 0.3561.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 2.2925 and a standard deviation of 0.3217.
7. Find the test statistic value.
A -4.2072 B -5.3072 C -4.5072 D -4.6072 E -4.0072
8. Construct a 95% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.6828, 2.9022]
B [1.6619 , 2.9231] C [3.3694, 4.6306] D [2.1872, 2.3978] E [1.7649, 2.8201]
9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 95% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.05 (inches). A 1279 B 1268 C 1280 D 1273
E 1270
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 19.4 20.8 20.9 19.7
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 4.6 4.9 4.3 3.8
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 15.7 19.6 16.8 13.1
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 13.8 11.8 16.2 14
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.05.
10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 33.85 B 26.8499 C 542.2475 D 24.85 E 576.0975
11. Find the test statistic value.
A 68.0761 B 60.0765 C 62.0764 D 70.076 E 64.0765
12. Determine the rejection region.
A [2.48, +∞] B [−∞, 3.49] C [4.47, +∞] D [−∞, 2.48] E [3.49, +∞]
13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 2.5878 B 3.4909 C 2.6709 D 3.1869 E 2.4784
14. Construct a 95% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for type
1 and type 2 medication. A [10.7678, 15.9434] B [13.2122, 18.3878] C [14.1008, 19.2764]
D [13.5453, 18.7209] E [11.8788, 17.0544]
15. Find a 95% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [17.6122, 22.7878] B [18.3701, 22.0299] C [18.7032, 22.363] D [16.4812, 20.141]
E [17.0367, 20.6965]
Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 27 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 15619.98.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


P (2 xP
Sum of observed values i or
2
yi ) 543 770.68
Sum of squares ( xi or yi ) 11243 22045.6528
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = −0.5258; β0 = 20.7177 B β1 = 0.3742; β0 = 21.0177 C β1 = 0.8742; β0 = 21.7177
D β1 = 1.1742; β0 = 20.3177 E β1 = −0.6258; β0 = 20.0177
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2226 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 40 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 42 B 41.5 C 45 D 41 E 36

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.5502 B 0.0962 C 0.3112 D 0.0472 E 0.3282

19. Construct a 95% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.1387, 0.3198] B [0.3387, 0.4098] C [0.0387, 0.7198] D [−0.1613, 0.8298]
E [−0.0213, 0.4698]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.4695 B 0.8895 C 0.7895 D 0.4395 E 0.9495

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2226 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2227
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.24 0.23 0.15 0.15 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.62 B 2.21 C 1.45 D 1.53 E 1.9

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 10 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 1 unqualified parts.
A 0.0598 B 0.0658 C 0.0308 D 0.0908 E 0.1088

3. A random sample of 855 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.1501 B 0.0831 C 0.0264 D 0.0513 E 0.0621

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 855 parts is between 1.8
and 2. A 0.7003 B 0.7501 C 0.5445 D 0.9396 E 0.9488
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.8 inches. A random sample of 8 bearings
was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 1.64, 2.29, 3.05, 1.38, 1.39, 2.69, 2.58,
2.47. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less than 2.5 (inches)? Use
a significant level of 0.01.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ = 2.5, H1: µ < 2.5. B H0: µ ≤ 2.5, H1: µ > 2.5. C H0: µ > 2.5, H1: µ ≤ 2.5.
D H0: µ ̸= 2.5, H1: µ = 2.5. E H0: µ = 2.5, H1: µ ̸= 2.5.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 8 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2227 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 2.5 and a standard deviation of 0.2828.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 2.5 and a standard deviation of 0.0795.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 2.5 and a standard deviation of 0.6357.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 2.1863 and a standard deviation of 0.2828.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 2.5 and a standard deviation of 0.8.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -2.2093 B -1.7093 C -0.8093 D -3.1093 E -1.1093

8. Construct a 99% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.3383, 3.0342]
B [1.7703, 3.2297] C [1.5272, 2.8453] D [1.4565 , 2.916] E [1.9081, 2.4644]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 99% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.1 (inches).
A 427 B 423 C 435 D 437 E 421

Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to


Type 1 -2.7 -2.3 -2.6 1.5
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 17.3 16.2 10.1 10.7
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 10.1 11.9 10.9 9.2
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 12.7 9.8 7.2 7
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.05.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 78.81 B 83.8093 C 518.1875 D 596.9975 E 87.8091

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 26.3006 B 22.3006 C 30.3002 D 32.3001 E 20.3007

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [3.49, +∞] B [2.48, +∞] C [−∞, 2.48] D [−∞, 3.49] E [4.47, +∞]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 5.3207 B 5.2057 C 2.5722 D 2.2962 E 3.9486

14. Construct a 95% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for type
1 and type 2 medication. A [−16.4935, −8.5963] B [−20.9375, −13.0403] C [−18.16, −10.2628]
D [−19.0486, −11.1514] E [−19.8265, −11.9293]

15. Find a 95% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [−1.762, 3.8222] B [−5.4736, 2.4236] C [−3.984, 1.6002] D [−4.3171, 1.2671]
E [−7.317, −1.7328]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 24 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 15697.48.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


P (2 xP
Sum of observed values i or
2
yi ) 454 820.96
Sum of squares ( xi or yi ) 8832 28201.5172

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2227 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = 0.6876; β0 = 21.2001 B β1 = 1.4876; β0 = 21.3001 C β1 = 1.0876; β0 = 20.9001
D β1 = 0.2876; β0 = 20.3001 E β1 = 1.2876; β0 = 20.5001

17. Consider a worker of 27 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 40 B 49 C 50 D 45.5 E 48.5

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 0.179 B 0.701 C 0.115 D 0.094 E 0.02

19. Construct a 90% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.4711, 1.2041] B [0.4911, 1.0841] C [0.7411, 1.2341] D [0.2511, 1.1341]
E [0.6411, 0.7341]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.967 B 0.877 C 0.577 D 0.507 E 0.747

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2227 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Lecturer: Date Approved by: Date
May 4th , May 4th ,
Dr. Phan Thi Huong 2023 Dr. Nguyen Tien Dung 2023
.....................................................................................................
Academic year 2022-2023 Semester 2
Final Exam Exam date Jun 2nd , 2023
Course title Probability and Statistics Score
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY - VNUHCM Course ID MT2013 Sheet code 2228
Faculty of Applied Science Duration 100 minutes Shift 7:00
Instructions to students:
- You are allowed to use your OWN materials and calculator. Total available score: 10.
- At the beginning of the working time, you MUST fill in your full name and student ID on this question
sheet. There are 22 questions on 4 pages.
- Do not round between steps. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places.
- For multiple choice questions, choose the closest answers, mark your selection on both your multiple-
choice answer sheet and question sheet. Submit your multiple-choice answer sheet after 70 minutes
minutes. For essay questions, show your work with all essential steps of calculations, analyses, and
justifications on the question sheet. Submit your question sheet.

Student’s full name: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Invigilator 1: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Student Id: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Group: . . . . . . ............ Invigilator 2: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Part I: Multiple choice (7 points, 70 minutes)


Question 1 through 4: Assume that an automatic lathe may produce parts with some flaws. The
number of flaws per part is a random variable satisfying the following probability distribution:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.22 0.16 0.22 0.23 c
1. Find the average number of flaws per part produced by this lathe.
A 1.94 B 1.71 C 1.97 D 1.67 E 2.42

2. A part will be labeled “unqualified” if it has more than two flaws. If a random sample of 14 parts
is selected, find the probability that there are not more than 2 unqualified parts.
A 0.0398 B 0.0788 C 0.0548 D 0.0228 E 0.1248

3. A random sample of 884 parts is selected. Let Xi be the number of flaws on i-th part. Assume
that these random variables are independent, find the standard deviation of the sample mean.
A 0.2762 B 0.0552 C 0.1206 D 0.0545 E 0.047

4. Find the probability that the average number of flaws for this sample of 884 parts is between 1.9
and 2. A 0.4974 B 0.9279 C 0.7223 D 0.6791 E 0.6706
Questions 5 through 9. It is assumed that the internal diameters of bearings used in an automotive
sector have a normal distribution with a standard variation of 0.13 inches. A random sample of 9
bearings was chosen and their internal diameters were recorded as follows: 2.08, 1.94, 2.13, 2.04, 1.87,
1.72, 1.92, 2, 2.19. Does the data support the claim that the mean diameter of bearings is less than 2.7
(inches)? Use a significant level of 0.1.

5. Choose the correct hypotheses.


A H0: µ ≤ 2.7, H1: µ > 2.7. B H0: µ > 2.7, H1: µ ≤ 2.7. C H0: µ ̸= 2.7, H1: µ = 2.7.
D H0: µ = 2.7, H1: µ < 2.7. E H0: µ = 2.7, H1: µ ̸= 2.7.

6. What is the distribution of the sample mean for 9 bearings in this test?
Final Exam - MT2013 2228 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

A Normal distribution with a mean of 2.7 and a standard deviation of 0.0433.


B Normal distribution with a mean of 2.7 and a standard deviation of 0.016.
C Normal distribution with a mean of 2.7 and a standard deviation of 0.1436.
D Normal distribution with a mean of 1.9878 and a standard deviation of 0.0433.
E Normal distribution with a mean of 2.7 and a standard deviation of 0.13.

7. Find the test statistic value.


A -16.0359 B -14.8359 C -17.5359 D -15.7359 E -16.4359

8. Construct a 90% confident interval for the mean internal diameter of bearings. A [1.9323, 2.0432]
B [1.9167 , 2.0588] C [1.9581, 2.0175] D [1.9272, 2.0483] E [2.6289, 2.7711]

9. Find the minimum sample size such that the error in a 90% confident interval for the mean internal
diameter of bearings does not exceed 0.05 (inches). A 19 B 20 C 24 D 28 E 16
Questions 10 through 15. Medical researchers want to
Type 1 11.6 7.6 11.1 10.4
know if four different medications lead to different mean
Type 2 3.9 2.8 7.7 6.5
blood pressure reductions in patients. They randomly assign 4
Type 3 18.9 16.9 22.1 20.9
patients to use each medication for one month, then measure
Type 4 8.9 9.1 8.5 8.6
the blood pressure both before and after the patient started
using the medication to find the mean blood pressure reduction for each medication. The recorded data
are given as below. Consider a one-way ANOVA model and use a significance level α = 0.05.

10. Determine the sum of squares that describes the variability of observations from the sample means.
A 458.6719 B 499.5344 C 51.8615 D 40.8625 E 47.8617

11. Find the test statistic value.


A 44.8991 B 42.899 C 38.8992 D 40.8991 E 46.8988

12. Determine the rejection region.


A [−∞, 3.49] B [−∞, 2.48] C [3.49, +∞] D [2.48, +∞] E [4.47, +∞]

13. Calculte the least significant difference (LSD) if the Fisher’s multiple comparisions method is used.
A 3.0133 B 4.8403 C 3.1838 D 2.8432 E 0.9818

14. Construct a 95% confidence interval on the difference in the mean blood pressure reductions for
type 1 and type 2 medication. A [−0.8931, 4.7933] B [2.1068, 7.7932] C [1.3289, 7.0153]
D [2.9954, 8.6818] E [4.1064, 9.7928]

15. Find a 95% confidence interval for the mean of blood pressure reduction of type 1 medication.
A [8.1645, 12.1855] B [5.1646, 9.1856] C [7.3318, 13.0182] D [10.7196, 14.7406]
E [7.3866, 11.4076]

Questions 16 through 20 The below table showsPincome (in thousand dollars) of 33 workers at
different ages (in years) in a big company. Moreover, xi yi = 28918.74.

P P Age (x) Income (y)


Sum of observed values ( xP 2 yi )
i or 634 1497.04
Sum of squares ( x2i or
P
yi ) 12504 68019.0744
16. Fit a simple regression model to relate the income and the age of workers. Find the slope β1 and
the y-intercept β0 .
A β1 = −0.1134; β0 = 35.216 B β1 = 0.4866; β0 = 36.016 C β1 = 0.0866; β0 = 36.116
D β1 = 1.4866; β0 = 35.316 E β1 = 1.0866; β0 = 35.916
Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 2 of 4
Final Exam - MT2013 2228 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

17. Consider a worker of 35 years old in this company, find his expected salary.
A 53 B 60 C 60.5 D 59 E 61.5

18. Estimate the variance of the random errors.


A 1.3289 B 0.5889 C 0.9509 D 0.4979 E 0.5109

19. Construct a 95% two-sided confidence interval for the the slope of the regression line.
A [0.046, 0.5272] B [−0.074, 0.7472] C [0.136, 1.0072] D [0.376, 0.5972]
E [−0.034, 0.8472]

20. Determine the coefficient of determination:


A 0.7221 B 0.2221 C 0.2521 D 0.8321 E 0.8121

Part II: Essay (3 points, 30 minutes)

21. Scores of the competency assessment exam of Vietnam National University HCMC in 2023 is a
random variable that follows a normal distribution with a mean score of 639.2 and a standard
deviation of 118.6.
(a) Determine the score such that 70% of the candidates taking the exam have a score greater
than this score.
(b) A random sample of 200 candidates taking the exam was selected. Find the probability that
there are between 100 and 120 candidates whose scores are greater than 650.

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 3 of 4


Final Exam - MT2013 2228 - 7:00 Semester 2 - Jun 2nd , 2023

22. To compare the average producing time of two firms about a specific product in a handicraft
manufacturing company, two random samples from these firms were tested. The random sample
of 70 products produced by firm 1 shows an average producing time of 20.7 hours and a standard
deviation of 5 hours. A total producing time of 195 hours and a sample variance is 7 hours are
recorded for the random sample of 9 products from firm 2. Assume that the producing time of each
firm follows a normal distribution. Can we conclude that firm 1 can produce that specific product
faster than firm 2?
Notes: Below are some upper quantiles for some Student distributions.
Values
Degrees of freedom t0.005 t0.01
79 2.6395 2.3745
78 2.6403 2.3751
77 2.6412 2.3758
10 3.1693 2.3758
9 3.2498 2.8214

Stu. Fullname: Stu. ID: Page 4 of 4


Answers Sheet
Question sheet code 2221:
1 A. 2 E. 3 D. 4 D. 5 A. 6 D. 7 D. 8 B. 9 C. 10 C. 11 E. 12 D. 13 A. 14 D. 15 A.

Question sheet code 2222:


1 C. 2 A. 3 E. 4 B. 5 A. 6 B. 7 E. 8 E. 9 A. 10 D. 11 A. 12 A. 13 C. 14 A. 15 E.

Question sheet code 2223:


1 E. 2 B. 3 C. 4 A. 5 D. 6 B. 7 D. 8 D. 9 C. 10 B. 11 D. 12 A. 13 D. 14 B. 15 D.

Question sheet code 2224:


1 A. 2 E. 3 B. 4 A. 5 A. 6 C. 7 D. 8 C. 9 D. 10 C. 11 D. 12 A. 13 E. 14 A. 15 C.

Question sheet code 2225:


1 A. 2 A. 3 A. 4 A. 5 E. 6 B. 7 B. 8 D. 9 C. 10 D. 11 D. 12 D. 13 E. 14 B. 15 A.

Question sheet code 2226:


1 B. 2 D. 3 C. 4 E. 5 A. 6 E. 7 E. 8 A. 9 B. 10 B. 11 B. 12 E. 13 B. 14 B. 15 E.

Question sheet code 2227:


1 E. 2 A. 3 D. 4 E. 5 A. 6 A. 7 A. 8 E. 9 D. 10 D. 11 A. 12 A. 13 A. 14 E. 15 A.

Question sheet code 2228:


1 C. 2 A. 3 E. 4 E. 5 D. 6 A. 7 C. 8 D. 9 B. 10 A. 11 B. 12 A. 13 C. 14 D. 15 A.
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 1 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 2 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 3 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 4 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 5 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 6 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 7 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP
2 2022-2023
02/06/2023 7:00

2 2 2 8 MT2013
Probability and Statistics
OISP

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