Eesa10 Risk Assessment
Eesa10 Risk Assessment
RISK ASSESSMENT
What is risk?
-possibility or probability of suffering harm from a hazard
-contaminants receptors and exposure pathways need to be related for risk
Intro
Why risk assessment?
-take action without full scientific understanding of hazard
-sets default procedures for bridging gaps in scientific understanding
-evaluate exposure and toxicity
-integrate info to characterize a health risk
-assessment, characterization, management and then verification
Benefits
-agent suspected of causing disease
-testing new chemicals
-helps rank contribution to overall risk
-identify risks that can be reduced
-clarify what is known or unknown about situation
-provide quantitative info for decision making
2.Identify contaminant
-is it simple compound or complex mixture w few compounds
-soil or air pollution or…
3.Receptor analysis
-organism or species exposed to stressor
Define scenario
-human, who, age, gender etc.
-length of exposure
-incremental or total exposure
-routes of exposure like inhalation
-rate of exposure from each route
-activity pattern that results in exposure
-average and worst case
-sensitive subpopulation
4.Pathway analysis
-determine changes of chemicals in environment that results in exposure
-evaluate route of exposure
-quantify amount of exposure
-you can do measurements or take a sample, how representative is it, modeling
5.Exposure assessment
-multiple routes of exposure
-quantify exposure from air, water, soil, diet etc.
-exposure= concentration x intake rate
-estimated daily intake is estimated dose for each exposure medium
-bioavailability is fraction of chemical available for uptake
Assessment of non-carcinogens
-exposure assessment is measured in mg/kg per day
-hazard identification is establishing a range of non-cancer effects and selects one as basis
-determine dose response relationship
-reference dose is expected to have no adverse effects in sensitive people with lifelong
exposure
-if you have high uncertainty factor then get you get a lower dose
-is hazard quotient is below 1 then there’s potential for harm at actual or estimated dose
7.Uncertainities
Pathway analysis
-insufficient data
-measurement errors
-capturing natural variability
-future predictions
Exposure analysis
-hard to estimate for children
-bioavailability
8.Critique
-best developed for human carcinogens
-based on assumptions and uncertainties
Risk analysis
-comparative risk analysis is ranking risks
-risk management is options and decisions about reducing risks
-risk communication is informing decision makers and the public
Risk management
Individual chemicals
-decisions about goals for standards and feasible standards
Contaminated sites
-complex like many chemicals and media
-consider toxicity, future use of sites, effectiveness of cleanup options and costs