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14 views30 pages

Ast 1

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jimcorbet420
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© © All Rights Reserved
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IGNOU

AST – 1

ROLL NO.: 177357686

NAME: BISHAL SHAW

ADDRESS: BURDWAN

COURSE CODE: AST-1

COURSE TITLE: STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES

STUDY CENTER: 2810 (MAULANA AZAD COLLEGE)

DATE:27/04/2020
Assignment
Course Code: AST-01
Assignment Code: AST-01/TMA/2020
Maximum Marks: 100

1. State whether the following statements are true or false. Give brief justification. (5×2=10)

a) If two variables are independent, then the coefficient of correlation between them
is 1.

b) The mean of a binomial distribution is 10 and the standard deviation is 4.


c) Simple random sampling is done by using random number where the probability of
drawing a digit is 0.1.
d) The number of six digit telephone numbers generated with distinct digits is (9)6.

e) If 25 is subtracted from each value of X and Y and then divided by 10, the new b′yx is
2.5 times of b yx , where b yx is a regression coefficient of Y on X.

2. a) The mean and standard deviation of a characteristic of 100 items were found
to be 60 and 10, respectively. At the time of calculations, two items were wrongly
taken as 5and 45 instead of 30 and 20. Calculate the corrected mean and standard
deviation. (3)
b) A person speaks the truth 3 out of 4 times. A die is thrown. She reports that there is
five. What the chance that there was five? (3)
c) In a normal distribution, 10% of the items are over 125 and 35% are under 60.
Find the mean and standard deviation of the distribution. (4)

3. a) 500 students selected at random from 1500 students enrolled in a computer crash
programme were classified according to the age and grade points giving the
following data:
Age (in years)
Grade Point Below 20 21-30 Above 30
Up to 5 30 50 20
5.1 to 7.5 80 70 50
7.6 to 10.0 40 80 80
Test at 5% level of significance that age and grade points are independent. (5)
b) An executive makes on an average 5 telephone calls per hour at a cost which may
be taken as Rs. 2 per call. Determine the probability that in any hour, the cost of
the telephonic calls (i) exceeds Rs. 6, (ii) remains less than Rs. 10. (5)

4. a) Of the 200 people selected randomly from a large city, 120 were found to be in
favour of a more liberal traffic laws. Obtain a 95% confidence interval of the
proportion of the people in the city who favour more liberal traffic laws. (3)

b) The following data represents the production (in Kg.) of three varieties of wheat P, Q
and R shown as:

3
P: 14 16 18
Q: 14 13 15 22
R: 18 16 19 15 20

Is there any significant difference among the production of these varieties


at 5% level of significance? (7)

5. a) The number of defects in 20 carpets are given as 2,0,4,1,0,8,0,1,2,0,6,0,2,1,0,3,2,1,


0,2. Find the suitable control limits and plot them on the graph and interpret the
results. (6)

b) The life time of 10 electric bulbs (in thousands of hours) are as follows:
2, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 4, 4, 3, 4
Determine an unbiased estimate of the population mean and standard deviation. (4)

6. a) A sample of size 3 is to be selected from a population of 10 households. List all the


possible samples by:

i) Linear Systematic Sampling


ii) Circular Systematic Sampling

Also compare the two. (3)


b) Given the following bivariate data:

X: -1 5 3 2 1 1 7 3
Y: -6 1 0 0 1 2 1 5

Calculate a regression line of Y on X and use the regression line to find Y,


if X = 10 . (7)

7. a) A manufacturer wishes to determine the effectiveness of four types of machines


A, B, C and D in the production of bolts. For this, the number of defective bolts
produced by each machine on two alternative days are shown in the following table:

Day I Day II
Machine A 24 30
Machine B 41 44
Machine C 32 31
Machine D 28 38

Perform an analysis of variance method to determine whether there is a difference


between machines, at 5% level of significance. (5)

b) The yearly water consumption in a small city for ten years is given below. Determine
the trend values by using a 3-yearly moving average.

Year Water Consumption


(in thousand gallons)
2007 26
2008 27

4
2009 28
2010 30
2011 29
2012 27
2013 30
2014 31
2015 32
2016 31

Plot the values and interpret the result. (5)

8. a) The following contingency table presents the analysis of 300 persons according to
hair colour and eye colour:

Eye Colour
Hair Colour
Blue Grey Brown
Burgundy 30 10 40
Brown 40 20 40
Black 50 30 40

Test the hypothesis that there is an association between hair colour and eye colour at
5% level of significance. (7)

b) The information regarding production of wheat (in thousand kg) in 25 districts is


collected for a particular season. Select a possible systematic random sample of 7
units from the data given below (using appropriate method):

23, 20, 30, 37, 76, 36, 13, 36, 16, 58, 53, 83, 10,
15, 13, 17, 12, 16, 17, 21, 20, 18, 61, 31, 71. (3)

9. a) Both husband and wife appear in an interview for two vacancies for the same post.
2 1
The probabilities of husband’s and wife’s selections are and , respectively.
5 5
Find the probability that
i) exactly one of them is selected,
ii) at least one of them is selected. (4)

b) A company produces electric bulbs. To estimate the average life of the electric
bulbs, the quality inspector of the company selects 80 bulbs randomly.
She finds that the average life of these bulbs is 50 hours. Find the
population average life of the electric bulbs produced by the company
using 95% confidence limits. (4)

c) Give two examples, with justification, of situations where cluster sampling can be
used. (2)

10. a) For the following series of observations, calculate the trend values by the exponential
smoothing method with a 0 = 10,000 and weight = 0.3 :

5
Year Annual Sales
(Rs. ‘000)
2008 2
2009 6
2010 1
2011 5
2012 3
2013 7
2014 2
2015 6
2016 4

Interpret the result. (7)

b) If two dice are thrown, what is the probability that the sum is

i) greater than 9, and


ii) neither 10 nor 12 ? (3)

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