GARTNER - AI Trends and Use Cases 2025 - CAIG
GARTNER - AI Trends and Use Cases 2025 - CAIG
cases
Václav Špáňa
Sr.Executive Partner
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AI – What types of capability?
• Machine Learning
– Classification, soft-matching, risk assessments,
anomalies, fraud, diagnosis, voice recognition
– Deep Learning is a subset of Machine Learning
• Predictive Analytics
– Prediction of flow, modelling complex systems,
simulations, protein folding, drug development
• Generative
– Creates outputs that look like they came from an
original dataset
– May be text, voice, video or image
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Use of Data → Analytics and Business Intelligence
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Hype Cycle for Analytics and Business Intelligence, 2023
Insight from Data → Artificial Intelligence
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Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence, 2023
Generating Content and Response → Gen AI
5
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Hype Cycle for Generative AI, 2023
Generating Content and Response → Gen AI
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What does a Large Language Model Do?
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Predicts 2024: CSP Technology and Operations
Strategies
• Through 2027, 30% of CSPs will include a software engineering practice in their
organization, which is an increase from 5% in 3Q23.
• By 2028, a global market for communications equipment will devolve into two or more
regional markets, each with its own technology stack.
• By 2028, 70% of current CSP workforce technical skills will be made obsolete by
automation, augmented intelligence and delayering.
• By 2028, CSPs will adopt cloud-native technologies for 50% of network functions,
compared with fewer than 5% in 2022.
• By 2025, 70% of CSPs will implement optimization tools and practices to reduce cloud
operations cost, compared with 5% in 2022.
Technology
Management Customers
Platforms Applications
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The 4Q23 Risk Meteors
Top Emerging Risks for 4Q23
By Risk Score1
5
1 Overzealous Cost
2 4 2.87 1.76 52%
Cutting
Mass Generative Escalating Market Effects from
AI Availability 5 Higher Borrowing 2.77 1.73 53%
Political
Costs
Polarization
n = 347
Source: 4Q23 Gartner Emerging Risks Survey
1
Risk Score: Risk Score = Cube Root (Impact x Inverse Time Frame x Frequency Selected as a Top 10 Emerging Risk Rescaled)
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The 1Q24 Risk Meteors
Top Emerging Risks for 1Q24
By Risk Score1
n = 345
Source: 1Q24 Gartner Emerging Risks Survey
1
Risk Score: Risk Score = Cube Root (Impact x Inverse Time Frame x Frequency Selected as a Top 10 Emerging Risk Rescaled)
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Tak co s tím
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How Do You Compare With Other Enterprises
in GenAI?
47% of boards are investing in early-stage education on GenAI for the Board Note
board; 45% are encouraging employees to test it.a
Encourage safe experimentation with
GenAI but require outcome-driven
CIOs see the potential value in GenAI, with 90% indicating a moderate intention. Better emails and prettier
or extensive potential value. b slides won’t deliver the deep
productivity and strong growth
organizations need to remain
competitive.
One in five executive leaders are already piloting or producing GenAI.c
Help your executive team manage
the balance between the fear of
missing out on GenAI and ensuring
30% of surveyed CIOs and tech leaders rank AI as a top priority or adequate forward action with
among their top priorities.d appropriate levels of rigor.
Source: a 2024 Gartner Board of Directors Survey; b 2024 Gartner CIO Generative AI Survey; c Gartner Beyond the Hype: Enterprise Impact of ChatGPT and Generative AI; d 2023 Gartner AI Survey
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AI Opportunity
Radar
AI Opportunity Radar
External Customer Facing
Everyday Game-
AI Changing AI
Internal Operations
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AI Opportunity Radar, External Customer-Facing
CSP
Sales and
Marketing
Content Chatbot Creation
Generation Customer
Packaging Engagement
Optimization
Fraud
Detection Pricing
Optimization
Everyday AI Software Development Game-Changing AI
Team Productivity
Data Management Product Development
Productivity
Network
Optimization
Sales, Marketing Productivity Low
Medium
Synthetic Data High
Generation
(Network
Operations)
Feasibility is combination of
• Technical Feasibility
• Internal Readiness
• External Readiness
Source: Use-Case Prism: Generative AI for CSPs
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For each proposed initiative:
Selectively
invest!
Caution!
• Which are feasible?
• Which result in real return?
• Which look nice, but in reality....
Business Value Feasibility
Low
Avoid!?
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Example Prisms for Government
• Human and Social services • Transport
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Creating an Opportunity Radar
….for Human and Social Services
Low
Medium
High
Feasibility is combination of
• Technical Feasibility
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• External Readiness
Push to implement generative AI is coming primarily from the CEO/
C-suite or a steering committee
Mostly Bottom-Up (organically developing within each siloed business function) vs. Mostly Top-
Down (coming primarily from the CEO/C-suite or a steering committee) Push for Generative AI
Percentage of respondents
Mostly top down Mostly bottom up
0% 50% 100%
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Coding assistance is the most frequently implemented generative AI use
case; forecast and contract review expected in the next 6 months
Finance Use Cases for Generative AI
0% 50% 100%
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IT Leader Plans for Building Software Using GenAI
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Related Gartner Research
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GenAI Use-Case Comparison for Information Technology
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Recommendations
1 2 3 4
Exploit the hype Prioritize Mitigate Risk Develop Capability
to drive policy Initiatives
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GenAI Deployment Options
Quick Win Differentiated Transformative
Off-the-Shelf Tech Adapted Tech Custom Tech
Public +
Public + Your
Public Your Data &
Trained On: Data Data Models
Everyday Game-
AI Changing AI
Cost: $ $$$ $$$$$$
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End
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Backup
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What Is the Likely Path for GenAI Beyond 2024?
Gartner Prediction of GenAI Adoption
40% of enterprise • The top five vendors Over 100 million • Nearly 15% of new • 75% of enterprise
applications will have across all enterprise humans will engage applications will be software engineers will
embedded software categories robocolleagues automatically generated use AI code assistants,
conversational AI, will use GenAI in their (synthetic virtual by AI without a human in up from less than 10% in
up from less than 5% pipeline. colleagues) at work. the loop, up from 0% early 2023.
in 2020. • 30% of enterprises today. • GenAI-enabled tools will
will have implemented • AI-powered innovation reduce electronics design
an AI-augmented teams will deliver projects (e.g., chip manufacturing)
development and that are up to 75% more and test effort and
testing strategy, up successful compared to improve design
from 5% in 2021. traditional human teams. efficiency by five times.
Source: Gartner
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What Are the Top GenAI Risks Boards of Directors
Are Concerned About?
Areas of Concerns/Risks With Generative AI in the Next Two Years
Sum of top 4, coded responses
Board Note
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Which Countries Have a Dedicated Governmental
AI Body and Strategy?
Board Note
Source: Gartner
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What Are the Current GenAI Deployment Options?
Comparison of Generative AI Deployment Approaches
Board Note
For further information on choosing a GenAI deployment approach, use this research.
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What Are the Different Deployment Approaches?
Generative AI Use-Case Categories
Illustrative
Questions to Consider
For further information on assumptions and tools for making cost and return calculations, use this research.
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What Are the Relative Costs of Different
Deployment Approaches?
Costs of GenAI Deployment Approaches
Upfront Cost $100K-$500K $750K-$1M $5M-$20M The cost of all GenAI deployment
approaches is currently in flux.
Additional Monthly Gartner expects vendor prices to
$200-$2K per user $790-$11K per user $8K-$21K per user continue to evolve quickly during the
Costs
next 12 months.
Value Generated
$1,600-$16K per user $4K-$16K per user Use-case-specific
Monthly
For further information on assumptions and tools for making cost and return calculations, use this research.
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How Do You Compare With Other Enterprises
in GenAI?
47% of boards are investing in early-stage education on GenAI for the Board Note
board; 45% are encouraging employees to test it.a
Encourage safe experimentation with
GenAI but require outcome-driven
CIOs see the potential value in GenAI, with 90% indicating a moderate intention. Better emails and prettier
or extensive potential value. b slides won’t deliver the deep
productivity and strong growth
organizations need to remain
competitive.
One in five executive leaders are already piloting or producing GenAI.c
Help your executive team manage
the balance between the fear of
missing out on GenAI and ensuring
30% of surveyed CIOs and tech leaders rank AI as a top priority or adequate forward action with
among their top priorities.d appropriate levels of rigor.
Source: a 2024 Gartner Board of Directors Survey; b 2024 Gartner CIO Generative AI Survey; c Gartner Beyond the Hype: Enterprise Impact of ChatGPT and Generative AI; d 2023 Gartner AI Survey
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Advisory/Governance Structures
AI Assurance
CD/AIO
and Audit
2027?
2025?
Now?
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Recommendations
1 2 3 4
Exploit the hype Prioritize Mitigate Risk Develop Capability
to drive policy Initiatives
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Projected cost, productivity or revenue change in the next 12-18
months
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