WEF Resilience Pulse Check 2025
WEF Resilience Pulse Check 2025
Contents
Foreword 3
Executive summary 4
1.1
Growing complexity and interconnectedness of risks 5
1.2
Preparing for the future in a high-stakes environment 6
2.2
Gaps in resilience preparedness 10
2.3
Balancing priorities 11
2.4
Building resilience leadership within
the organizational dimension 14
2.5
Adapting capabilities at all levels 15
3.1
Enhancing access to capital 19
3.2
Cultivating macroeconomic stability 20
3.3
Accelerating green growth and scaling
up sustainable investments 20
3.4
Adapting human capital
to technological disruption 21
Conclusion 23
Appendix 24
Contributors 25
Endnotes 26
Disclaimer
This document is published by the
World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,
insight area or interaction. The findings, interpretations and
conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative
process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic
Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the
views of the World Economic Forum, nor the entirety of its
Members, Partners or other stakeholders.
© 2025 World Economic Forum. All rights reserved. No part of
this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form
or by any means, including photocopying and recording, or by
any information storage and retrieval system.
Foreword
Børge Brende Bob Sternfels
President and CEO, Global Managing Partner,
World Economic Forum McKinsey & Company
The art of sailing is not in controlling the wind but in acknowledging the need for resilience in their core
skilfully adjusting the sails to navigate through the strategies, many still struggle to translate that
storm. In a world shaped by accelerating change, awareness into tangible capabilities. Strikingly,
resilience has emerged as the key capability 84% of companies report being underprepared for
essential for both survival and success. Today’s current trends and uncertainties.
leaders are increasingly seeing that resilience is not
just about enduring crises, but thriving in the face A resilient approach relies on both defensive and
of them. offensive strategies. Yet, our findings reveal a
predominant focus on short-term actions, reflecting
Since its inception in 2022, the Resilience a tendency towards defensive measures over
Consortium has acted as a catalyst for public- and proactive ones.
private-sector efforts to strengthen resilience. As
global leaders navigate a landscape of compounding Building on survey insights, this paper explores the
risks (from climate instability and geopolitical foundations of resilient leadership and underscores
conflicts to supply chain fragility and technological the importance of public-private collaboration in
disruptions), the Consortium’s mission grows only advancing resilience. The key focus areas identified
more significant. Through coordinated actions, the include: improving access to capital, cultivating
Consortium has sought to boost resilience-building macroeconomic stability, driving sustainable
across industries, sectors and regions. investments and green growth, and preparing the
workforce for technological advancements.
This paper is a continuation of this goal. Drawing
insights from a survey of over 250 private-sector We express our gratitude to the Consortium
leaders, it aims to assess where companies members and Forum initiative leaders for their
currently stand in their resilience journeys. It invaluable contributions. Their insights have been
additionally evaluates companies’ preparedness instrumental in shaping this paper, and we hope
and action in the face of mounting challenges. it serves as a guide and inspiration for leaders
While an increasing number of companies are intending to advance their resilience strategies.
As volatility and compounding risks rise, leaders balanced decision-making. Companies need to
are learning firsthand that the ability to navigate and enhance decision-making speed through forward-
adapt continuously to complex macroeconomic and thinking scenario planning. Teams require trust,
geopolitical dynamics is crucial for shaping resilient autonomy and psychological safety to thrive under
strategies. To build resilient strategies, organizations pressure. At the individual level, leaders must
are channelling greater investments into proactive model resilience, inspire their teams and address
future preparedness (or “offence moves”). This challenges like burnout and shifting workplace
report examines how companies are navigating expectations.
today’s resilience challenges based on insights from
a global survey of over 250 private-sector leaders As companies concentrate on addressing
across industries and regions. It reveals the state of immediate risks, long-term resilience often takes
resilience in the private sector, uncovers key gaps in a back seat, revealing a critical gap in sustained
readiness and offers actionable recommendations for preparedness. This gap presents an opportunity
promoting collaboration in resilience-building efforts. for the public sector and international organizations
to step in and support efforts to build enduring
Organizations face an unprecedented risk resilience. Collaborative initiatives can tackle key
landscape, with technology (cybersecurity, artificial challenges, focusing on themes such as:
intelligence), regulatory changes, shifting market
dynamics and macroeconomic factors (inflation, – Access to capital: Using public funds to
trade policies) emerging as the top concerns. As attract private investment, addressing barriers
stakes rise, organizations are increasingly urged to like perceived risks, high capital costs and
improve investment risk management with greater currency volatility
accuracy and foresight. Resilience must become
a central element of long-term strategic planning – Macroeconomic stability: Promoting a
rather than being treated as a standalone issue – supportive environment for private-sector
yet only 13% of companies currently incorporate growth through policy dialogue, long-term
resilience KPIs (key performance indicators) investments and fiscal health improvements
comprehensively into their strategies.
– Sustainable investments: Encouraging green
While resilience awareness is growing, 84% growth and the energy transition by incentivizing
of companies report feeling underprepared for sustainable practices and behaviours
current and future disruptions. Many organizations
remain focused on addressing immediate needs, – Workforce preparedness: Equipping the
favouring short-term defensive actions over workforce with skills for technological and
forward-looking strategies. Across industries, workplace changes to reduce skill gaps and
resilience efforts tend to prioritize financial support long-term growth
and digital strategies, often at the expense
of foundational capabilities like foresight and Resilience-building requires unified leadership from
disruption readiness. This imbalance creates chief executive officers, boards and policy-makers.
vulnerabilities that could hinder organizations’ Effectively addressing these challenges depends
ability to navigate prolonged uncertainty. on collective efforts to mobilize resources, harness
expertise and encourage innovation at scale.
Leadership plays a pivotal role in building resilience, By working together, stakeholders ensure that
and it must be strengthened at every level. Boards resilience becomes a foundation for thriving in an
must embrace diverse perspectives to drive increasingly complex and interconnected world.
1.1
Growing complexity and interconnectedness
of risks
The top 10 short-term risks identified by the Global fuelled by growing cybersecurity concerns and the
Risks Report 20251 align closely with geopolitical, rapid adoption of generative artificial intelligence
environmental, societal and technological themes. (AI). Regulatory changes emerged as the second
Geopolitical concerns, including interstate armed most disruptive challenge, particularly due to rising
conflict and geoeconomic confrontation, are especially compliance costs associated with data protection
prominent in the one-year risks ranking. Societal risks, and environmental regulations. Shifting market
including polarization, lack of economic opportunity, dynamics and evolving customer preferences
unemployment and concerns around human rights ranked third. This was followed by macroeconomic
and civic freedoms are also among the top 10 risks and capital issues such as exchange rate volatility,
identified. Environmental risks, such as extreme changing trade policies and inflation, which are
weather events or critical change to Earth systems, significantly affecting long-term investments and
emphasize the urgent need to develop sustainable business operations.
practices and resilient economies and societies.
Meanwhile, misinformation and disinformation Overall, this global anticipation of disruption across
represent the leading technological risks. regulatory, technological and macroeconomic
vectors reflects a rapidly evolving business landscape
The survey of private-sector leaders conducted for shaped by digital transformation and shifting policy
this paper reveals that not all risks are viewed as environments. The fact that these have been identified
equally disruptive to business operations. Over 250 as being among the most urgent risks underscores
global executives identified technology as the top the growing complexity and interconnectedness of
threat to business continuity. This trend is being global operations.
Share of respondents indicating that a given threat will create major or severe disruption for their organization
1.2
Preparing for the future in a high-
stakes environment
We need to address resilience at the company and country level.
Odile Renaud-Basso, President, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)
Amid this volatility, leaders are learning firsthand – In the automotive sector, significant funding is
that an ability to adapt continuously and build being allocated towards the electrification of the
resilience is essential. Sectors like energy, industry. For example, the automotive industry
automotive and technology will need to rethink their is spending over $1.2 trillion in electric vehicles
business models entirely to remain future-proofed and batteries through 2030.4
and withstand emerging disruptions. In response to
this, select companies have begun to take a more – Energy companies are currently investing
“offensive” (rather than “defensive”) approach and around $500 billion annually in renewable
are now dedicating greater investments to prepare energy projects, energy efficiency measures
for the future. This is especially true in industries and carbon capture and storage technologies.
undergoing transformation, as illustrated by the While green technologies accounted for only
following examples: around 25% of total investments in 2015, power
renewables and decarbonization technologies
– In technology, generative AI is experiencing are projected to make up around 60%-80% of
accelerated adoption. The share of total investments by 2040.5
organizations that have adopted generative AI
in at least one business function nearly doubled – Across industries, US and European companies
from 33% to 65% between 2023 and early are investing heavily to reshape their supply
2024,2 and is forecasted to further advance chains in response to geopolitical risks. US
over the coming years. By 2030, $500 billion companies are primarily reducing dependence
is expected to be spent on generative AI on China. For instance, Apple and its suppliers
globally across the stack (e.g. software layers, have invested $16 billion since 2018 to diversify
technologies or operational components).3 production beyond China.6 Meanwhile, European
Public-sector support has been vital for maximizing – Saudi Arabia aims to reach net zero by 2060.9
the impact of private-sector investments in future- This ambition is supported by significant energy
proofing key sectors. Strategic government actions, transition investments. One target put forward is
including policy frameworks, subsidies and investment to generate 50% of the country’s energy supply
in critical infrastructure, create the necessary conditions from renewable sources by 2030. Additionally,
for private capital to flow and thrive. This support clean energy is expected to receive $235 billion
accelerates the adoption of sustainable innovations, in public funding to help boost the transition
maximizing the long-term impact of private-sector already initiated by the private sector.10
initiatives and driving systemic transformation across
industries. Here are a few examples from stakeholders – Nigeria is cultivating resilient, diversified
closely engaged in the Resilience Consortium’s work: and inclusive agriculture-based livelihoods
by improving governance for disaster risk
– Egypt is taking significant steps to future-proof its management, adopting data-driven agricultural
economy through the ambitious Nexus of Water, interventions and promoting sustainable,
Food, and Energy (NWFE) programme, designed climate-smart farming practices. These efforts
to strengthen the country’s resilience against aim to address food insecurity, enhance
climate impacts while promoting sustainable productivity and protect vulnerable populations
growth. Via an innovative financing scheme that from recurrent shocks like conflict and climate
blends public, private and international capital, change. The strategy relies on local capacity
Egypt has successfully unlocked $14.7 billion in building, early warning systems and inclusive
funds allocated to projects. This sum is expected support to ensure that agricultural communities
to be allocated in projects focused on renewable can better withstand future disruptions and
energy, sustainable agriculture and efficient grow sustainably.11
water management.8
As the stakes for both the public and private sectors Resilience should not be treated as an isolated
continue to rise, organizations need to shift their concern – rather, it needs to become a core
focus towards managing investment risks with component of long-term strategic thinking. In
greater precision and foresight. This involves a practice, however, this is the exception rather than
careful reassessment of assumptions to ensure their the norm today. According to the survey, resilience-
accuracy, and a closer examination of decision- related KPIs are only partially integrated into
making processes to gauge long-term impacts. strategy for 55% of companies, and nearly 20% of
Granularity, stage-gate processes (or phased respondents do not integrate them at all. This lack
review processes) and adaptability are emerging of strategic alignment suggests that resilience is still
as key approaches in this shift. Granularity enables being treated as a secondary concern rather than a
organizations to break down complex strategies core business priority.
into smaller, more manageable parts, providing a
clearer view of risks and opportunities. Stage-gate Despite resilience being frequently treated as a
processes facilitate periodic evaluations at key secondary concern, some companies stand out
decision points (enabling decision-makers to evaluate as exemplary models prioritizing future-proofing
investments against criteria and decide whether by actively embedding resilience into their broader
to proceed, adjust or stop), ensuring flexibility and strategies. These companies prioritize a proactive,
minimizing exposure to unforeseen risks. Adaptability, offensive approach over reactive, defensive
meanwhile, ensures that companies remain agile measures. IKEA exemplifies this by continually
and can pivot their strategies in response to evolving incorporating sustainability into its strategic vision
market conditions or disruptions. By integrating these as a core enabler of resilience (rather than treating it
methods, organizations can not only mitigate risks as a separate, standalone objective).
more effectively but also position themselves for
sustainable growth in an increasingly uncertain world.
CASE STUDY
IKEA’s circular vision – building a resilient supply chain
Circularity impacts every aspect of IKEA’s integrate at least 20% recycled polyurethane
operations – from designing products with foam by 2025.
circular capabilities and responsibly sourcing
materials to redefining how they engage with To strengthen its recycling capabilities and
customers and beyond. IKEA is committed secure access to secondary raw materials,
to reducing reliance on virgin resources, driven IKEA has invested as a minority stakeholder in
not only by environmental considerations but RetourMatras. In 2023, RetourMatras dismantled
also by the need to build a resilient supply over 1 million mattresses, preventing more than
chain. This approach helps lower long-term 76 million kilograms of CO2 emissions compared
costs, ensuring affordability for future generations to incineration. This initiative also recovered
while securing the availability of secondary approximately 16 million kilograms of materials for
raw materials. reuse, effectively replacing fossil-based alternatives.
A standout example is IKEA’s commitment This systemic approach not only mitigates the
to more sustainable mattress production. With risk of resource scarcity and allows IKEA to adapt
annual sales exceeding 12.4 million units, the to evolving regulations but also drives growth
company recognizes both its responsibility and and differentiation, solidifying IKEA’s position
its opportunity to innovate in mattress design as a leader in the competitive marketplace.
and end-of-life disposal. Guided by IKEA’s circular
design principles, the company is redesigning Source: IKEA. (n.d.). A circular IKEA – making the things
mattresses to facilitate recycling and aims to we love last longer; consultations with IKEA.
Despite increased investment and efforts to embed resilience into strategic planning,
many companies still perceive significant gaps in their ability to effectively navigate
uncertainties and emerging threats. The following section delves into the current state
of resilience preparedness, examining where companies stand in their resilience journeys
and identifying opportunities to strengthen their resilience leadership capabilities.
d preparation cap
t an abi
sigh liti
re es
Fo
Financial Operational
resilience resilience
Cr n
isi ti o
sr ta
es
pon r ien
se and re o
s tr a t e g i c
Source: World Economic Forum. (2023). Seizing the Momentum to Build Resilience for a Future of Sustainable Inclusive Growth.
The Private Sector Resilience Framework, The capabilities – crisis response, strategic
introduced in a former publication, Seizing the reorientation, foresight and preparation – are the skills
Momentum to Build Resilience for a Future of and processes that enable an organization to act
Sustainable Inclusive Growth, is an integrated effectively within each dimension. These capabilities
and strategic model designed to strengthen a ensure readiness and adaptability by enabling
company’s capacity to endure, adapt and excel in companies to respond to crises, reorient strategies
the face of disruptions. It consists of six resilience in response to shifts, anticipate future challenges and
dimensions and four resilience capabilities. prepare systematically for potential disruptions.
The resilience dimensions – financial, operational,
market position and demand, societal alignment Together, this set of dimensions and capabilities
and purpose, digital and technological, and forms a cohesive framework, offering a holistic
organizational – represent the key areas where approach that is not only agile and forward-
resilience needs to be embedded. Each dimension thinking, but also adept at transforming crises into
addresses a distinct aspect of business stability, opportunities. The accompanying survey applies this
adaptability and alignment alongside external and framework to assess companies’ readiness as well
internal pressures to promote resilience integration as the concrete measures they have implemented
across an organization’s foundation. related to these dimensions and capabilities.
Despite heightened awareness and increased Detailed findings on the dimensions reveal that,
efforts to build resilience, many companies still overall, respondents feel most confident in their
feel ill-equipped to handle current trends and financial resilience, with 25% considering
uncertainties. According to the survey, 84% of themselves well-prepared, reflecting strong financial
companies feel that they could be better prepared management and adaptability across sectors in
for future disruptions related to the resilience economic downturns. This is closely followed
dimensions. Interestingly, companies feel even less by confidence in their digital capabilities and
prepared in their resilience capabilities, with 90% market positioning, suggesting that companies
stating they could be better prepared. are harnessing technology and maintaining
a competitive edge in a dynamic market
Industry-specific insights reveal further gaps. The landscape. The lower levels of preparedness in
financial, energy, media and multi-industry sectors organizational resilience, disruption readiness
report feeling more prepared across resilience and foresight capabilities, however, indicates
dimensions. This is likely due to the robust potential vulnerabilities in response to unexpected
systems and strategies these industries already disruptions and long-term strategic shifts.
have in place, informed by past crises such as
the 2008 Financial Crisis or the more recent These findings highlight that companies feel most
post-pandemic energy crisis. On the other hand, prepared in the dimensions they expect to be most
sectors like agriculture, logistics, manufacturing, affected by current disruptions (financial, digital and
healthcare and retail show lower levels of market position), reflecting a widespread prioritization
preparedness, revealing vulnerabilities tied to their of short-term risks. This suggests that companies are
reliance on physical assets, supply chains and placing a strategic emphasis on mitigating immediate
workforce stability. This is especially true for the business concerns while neglecting crucial long-term
digital and technology dimension, which shows risk management. To avoid this, it is essential to build
the greatest preparedness variance, reflecting adaptable resilience capabilities and comprehensively
uneven technological readiness across industries. address all dimensions in tandem.
Share of respondents feeling "well" or "somewhat" prepared in the different resilience dimensions
Reference survey question:
How resilient or well prepared do you feel along the following dimensions?
25%
Feel well prepared
19%
Feel well prepared
18%
Feel well prepared
in the financial in the digital and in the market
dimension technological position and
dimension demand dimension
15%
Feel well prepared
13%
Feel well prepared
9%
Feel well prepared
in the societal in the operational in the organizational
alignment and dimension dimension
purpose dimension
Share of respondents feeling "well" or "somewhat" prepared in the different resilience capabilities
Reference survey question:
How resilient or well prepared do you feel along the following capabilities?
16%
Feel well prepared
9%
Feel well prepared in their
in their crisis response disruption preparation
capabilities capabilities
8%
Feel well prepared
7%
Feel well prepared in their
in their foresight strategic reorientation
capabilities capabilities
We shouldn’t wait for a shock to act… If you are going to wait that a
shock just goes away, you’re not going to be prepared.
Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Finance Minister, Saudi Arabia
2.3
Balancing priorities
Share of respondents rating the resilience dimensions and capabilities among the top three to prioritize
Financial 56%
Digital 46%
Operational 41%
Organizational 23%
Foresight 18%
Societal 12%
Pre
pa
ra
ht tio
ig n
s
re
ca
Fo
pa
Financial Operational
bil
resilience resilience
itie
s
Market
Organizational Private sector position and
resilience resilience demand
resilience
on
technological alignment
a ti
Cr
nt
isi
ie
s
or
sp re
re
on ic
se g
ate
Str
All prioritized actions have a shorter-term focus Majority of prioritized actions have a shorter-term focus
Majority of prioritized actions have a longer-term focus All prioritized actions have a longer-term focus
Note: Prioritized actions refers to the three most prioritized actions by respondents in the survey
Resilience dimensions
Organizational resilience Digital and technological resilience Societal alignment and purpose
Retain workforce (63%) Improve cybersecurity, information security Integrate sustainable practices across
Ensure leadership resilience (60%) and data protection (77%) organization (48%)
Attract workforce (56%) Improve data quality and availability (70%) Implement robust ESG reporting
Review core tech infrastructure (64%) frameworks (47%)
Establish mechanisms for stakeholders
engagement in corporate governance (45%)
Resilience capabilities
The organizational dimension – covering agility, responses to emerging challenges. This problem
talent access, workforce churn and role clarity – is is compounded by limited foresight, insufficient
crucial for resilience, but remains the dimension proactive risk monitoring and inadequate focus on
where companies feel least prepared, despite talent and succession planning, which undermines
moderate prioritization. This gap underscores the leadership stability during transitions.14,15
need to strengthen resilience leadership within
organizations. Resilience leadership involves
guiding teams through uncertainty with adaptability, Company-level symptoms
foresight and a focus on sustainable growth. In the
organizational dimension, resilience leadership can
support a culture that embraces change, promotes At the company level, innovation and creative
continuous learning and empowers employees. thinking are hindered by ambiguity in strategy
This, in turn, enhances cohesion, reduces turnover and roles, escalating employee dissatisfaction
and enables agile responses to market shifts, and burnout, stalled transformation efforts (due
reinforcing long-term stability and growth. to fatigue and resistance), and slow, bureaucratic
decision-making processes.
Cultivating organizational resilience has
been increasingly challenging due to recent
technological and workforce disruptions. By 2030, Team-level symptoms
over 30% of EU workers will need to upskill or
reskill due to automation, while evolving societal
expectations – especially among Gen Z – are At the team level, segregated formation,
creating a mismatch in workplace priorities. interpersonal tensions and ineffective debates
Additionally, lingering effects of the pandemic weaken cohesion, while an excessive focus on
have led to widespread burnout, with a McKinsey tasks stifles collective learning. Feelings of being
survey showing that one in four employees globally unvalued or unsafe due to unfair treatment and
reported burnout symptoms in 2022.13 non-inclusive practices further erode team morale
and productivity.
Lack of resilience leadership in the organizational
dimension can be identified through key
symptoms across four levels: board, company, Individual-level symptoms
team and individual.
Building resilience capabilities across all levels Real-time decision-making through a nerve centre
of an organization is crucial for managing risks of leaders, alongside effective meetings and time
and adapting to disruptions in today’s fast- management, ensures swift adaptation to challenges.
changing environment. By equipping boards,
organizations, teams and individuals with the Survey results, however, reveal many organizations
right capabilities, companies can respond more remain reactive, relying on past lessons rather than
effectively to challenges. Below is a summary of proactive strategies like coaching, mentorship
the key resilience capabilities required at each level, and adaptability training (with fewer than 40%
including selected insights from the survey: implementing these critical methods). To cultivate
resilience, organizations must shift focus to
leadership development to ensure leaders are
Board resilience prepared for future uncertainties.
Long-term resilience is crucial for both companies an opportunity to incorporate the perspectives of the
and governments. As such, strong public-private private sector. The private sector plays a vital role in
collaboration is required to address investment driving investment and development in lower-income
gaps and support sustainable growth. Resilience and emerging economies, but often faces unique
is not only the objective of companies navigating challenges that policy-makers need to understand.
their way through a volatile world. Resilience Following up on the 2015 Addis Ababa conference,
is also a common thread running through the this upcoming conference comes at a pivotal
developmental objectives of governments and moment with only five years left to achieve the SDGs.
societies. Buffeted by the shocks of recent years This provides an important window for governments
– from the COVID-19 pandemic to conflict and to actively engage with private-sector insights and
the impacts of climate change – governments address the barriers that prevent greater investment
are increasingly cognizant of the importance of and development progress.
investing to build more resilient societies.
Building resilient economies requires substantial
These objectives have been central in guiding capital investment and technical expertise that
intergovernmental frameworks shaping the neither the public nor private sector can provide
future of the world. From education and health to alone. By working effectively together, governments
sustainable development and growth, resilience and industry can harness their complementary
is a thread running through the 17 Sustainable strengths to address funding gaps, share technical
Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations, knowledge and drive innovation. This collaboration
which set an ambitious agenda to address global is mutually beneficial: it generates investment
challenges by 2030. Similarly, the economic and returns for investors while enabling public projects
social transformation envisioned under the Paris that support long-term resilience.
Agreement on climate change has resilience at its
heart, prioritizing adaptation to the impacts of a The Global Investors for Sustainable Development
changing climate. (GISD) Alliance exemplifies this approach in
action. This UN-led coalition unites leaders from
For some years, it has been recognized that the major financial institutions and corporations to
societal shifts projected under the SDGs and channel private investment towards SDGs through
Paris Agreement will only be achieved through coordinated strategies. While the GISD Alliance
determined action across both the public and demonstrates promising progress, there are still
private sectors. Bridging the significant investment untapped opportunities to deepen public-private
gaps in developing economies will be crucial. collaboration.
Scaling up access to capital to enable governments
to build resilience and achieve their development The survey conducted for this report reveals that
and climate objectives will depend on coordinated many concerns facing companies today – such
action across sectors. as uncertainty surrounding access to capital,
macroeconomic stability, energy and technology
The upcoming UN Financing for Development – should be addressed in collaboration with the
conference, scheduled for 2025 in Spain, presents public sector.
We need systemic change to move the needle. A lot can be done jointly
between the public and private sector. The cost is too high to manage
this only from the private side.
Christian Wulff Søndergaard, Vice-President, Global Corporate Affairs, Carlsberg
The Resilience Consortium’s Building a Resilient the survey has highlighted key priority areas and
Tomorrow: Concrete Actions for Global Leaders concerns observed by companies across regions. In
report highlights examples of how public-sector response, the Consortium offers recommendations
engagement can shape conditions that are conducive for cultivating collaboration between the public and
to resilience in the private sector. While resilience private sectors to drive investments that promote
is shaped by numerous context-specific factors, sustainable growth and enhance long-term resilience.
The survey reveals that limited access to capital debt-financing platform Pentagreen, in collaboration
is a significant barrier for companies in all regions, with the Asian Development Bank and Clifford
but is particularly acute in Africa, where capital Capital.19 The goal of this platform is to invest in
costs are considerably higher than in other regions. sustainable infrastructure projects in Southeast
This observation comes as no surprise. The cost Asia that are marginally bankable, exemplifying the
of borrowing for developing countries is often effective application of public-private collaboration
three times as high as for developed countries.16 to address investment gaps in resilience-building.
Changing the perception of risk requires a
multifaceted response. Governments and MDBs can further enhance
access to capital by offering tailored financial
Constraints to capital access underscore the instruments, such as targeted credit lines, to
important role that the public sector can play critical sectors that can contribute to a strong
in supporting long-term resilience. International economy during times of volatility. The World Bank
financial institutions (IFIs), multilateral development Group’s commitment to boosting annual guarantee
banks (MDBs), development finance institutions issuances to $20 billion by 2030 is an important
(DFIs) and regional development banks (RDBs) are contribution to public- and private-sector resilience
key mechanisms harnessing public funds to attract in emerging economies.20 In 2019, the Central
private-sector investment, including to places where Bank of Egypt launched an initiative to enhance
perceived risks crowd out private investors.17 private-sector resilience, providing EGP 100 billion
(Egyptian pounds) (approximately $6.4 billion) in
Multistakeholder initiatives integrating the assurances for access to capital in key national
capabilities of organizations from different sectors sectors including manufacturing and agriculture.21
can facilitate the application of private-sector tools This support, combined with economic reforms
in a wider range of economies. The De-risking, from 2016, helped Egypt achieve positive economic
Inclusion, and Value Enhancement of Pastoral growth during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Economies in the Horn of Africa (DRIVE) project,
implemented by organizations including the World Access to capital for long-term resilience
Bank and Swiss Re, aims to facilitate livestock investments is also impacted by currency
trade and enhance pastoralists’ access to financial exchange risk, which can drive up the cost of
services for drought risk mitigation. By providing capital and prevent investments. There is a need
tailored services such as savings incentives, for more hedging products tailored to long-term
drought index insurance, and digital bank accounts, resilience investments. Insurers can play a vital
DRIVE promotes financial inclusion and mobilizes role in risk mitigation by employing advanced
private investment to strengthen livestock value risk assessment tools to help both public and
chain resilience against the impacts of drought.18 private sectors evaluate project viability and
attract investment more effectively. Additionally,
Blended finance mechanisms – which combine the MDBs and DFIs might consider scaling up
public and private capital – have the potential their foreign exchange risk mitigation instruments,
to provide a return to investors while ensuring which could reduce currency-hedging costs
key development projects can be executed. and potentially unlock up to $1 trillion annually
Such mechanisms were a central pillar of the in foreign private investment for green initiatives
third Financing for Development conference 10 in emerging economies by 2030.22 Programmes
years ago, and will continue to play a key role in like The Currency Exchange Fund (TCX) can
global development finance discussions at the further support access to capital by mitigating
fourth Financing for Development conference in currency risk for investors in developing countries
2025. Temasek – a Singaporean state-owned and boosting financial resources available for
multinational investment organization – and sustainable development, allowing investors to
HSBC have partnered to establish the blended build resilience in unpredictable landscapes.23
The survey reveals that companies in Africa and in emerging economies. These resources should be
Latin America have the greatest concern about concessional, long-term and inclusive to ensure that
macroeconomic stability. countries have access to affordable finance for key
resilience projects. Strengthening the MDBs in line
Governments and central banks, with the support with the G20 Roadmap will increase their lending
of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), have a capacity and make them more agile and effective,
responsibility to maintain macroeconomic stability. increasing their capacity to bridge financing gaps
This can be achieved through robust policy-making towards climate and development goals.25
and strategic investments (which can help to
cultivate a favourable environment for the private Debt swaps are an innovative financing mechanism
sector to flourish in). The private sector also has an that allow countries to redirect financial resources
important role to play in supporting macroeconomic towards long-term resilience-building initiatives. By
stability by collaborating with government, engaging restructuring existing debt obligations with more
in open dialogue, helping to shape effective policy favourable terms, governments can free up fiscal
and committing to long-term investment. space to invest in key development projects. In 2024,
the Inter-American Development Bank and European
Industrial policy, which promotes specific sectors, Investment Bank approved $300 million in guarantees
can be an important tool for enhancing long-term for a debt-for-climate operation in Barbados, enabling
resilience and sustainable growth. Nigeria has the country to invest in climate-resilient infrastructure.26
adopted a resilience-building strategy that focuses The Paris Club has recognized the importance of debt
on strengthening vital sectors including agriculture, restructuring in enhancing fiscal sustainability and the
manufacturing and electricity.24 This aims to Group of 20 (G20) has highlighted innovative financing
stabilize prices, enhance food security and reduce solutions as important tools for mobilizing resources
import dependency, which can support economic for tackling climate change.27,28 Financial instruments
growth during times of uncertainty. like debt swaps not only strengthen a country’s
fiscal health but also enhance its investment climate,
Additionally, scaling innovative resources from helping to attract additional private investment for
MDBs is important for improving economic stability long-term resilience projects.
3.3
Accelerating green growth and scaling
up sustainable investments
The survey reveals significant concerns among The urgency of climate action for companies and
global companies regarding their preparedness for governments is illustrated by projections from
the transformations required by climate change the International Labour Organization, which
and energy transitions. African companies are states that under a 1.5°C warming scenario, heat
particularly worried about increasing energy prices, stress could result in the loss of working hours
while European companies share a heightened equivalent to 80 million full-time jobs globally by
concern about the impacts of climate change. 2030.29 Furthermore, insufficient foresight on
and responses to climate change hinder robust
3.4
Adapting human capital
to technological disruption
The survey highlights that technology and To thrive in this evolving landscape, governments
digital disruption are critical challenges faced by must invest in upskilling and the private sector must
companies across regions. Over the next five years, proactively identify and address skill gaps within
23% of global jobs will be transformed due to the workforce. For example, under its Vision 2030
industry changes driven by AI and advancements in plan, Saudi Arabia has emphasized the necessity
text-, image- and voice-processing technologies.34 of upskilling and reskilling its workforce to prepare
The scale of this challenge is significant. The World citizens for future job opportunities.36 A key initiative
Economic Forum estimates that approximately is the Saudi Digital Academy, established in 2019,
$34 billion is needed in the US alone to upskill which offers a variety of training programmes in digital
workers affected by technological change.35 This skills, including data science and AI. This initiative
skills deficit is not merely a financial issue – it poses will help attract investment and generate new job
a substantial barrier to long-term resilience of opportunities in high-growth economic sectors,
economies and societies. bolstering resilience and providing individuals with
Acknowledgements