Infrastructure Report IBEF 2021
Infrastructure Report IBEF 2021
January 2021
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Table of Contents
Executive Summary 3
Advantage India 4
Strategies Adopted 13
Appendix 29
2
Executive summary
Note: * prepared by Agility for ranking emerging countries in terms of their logistics performance
Source: Media sources, DPIIT, Equirius Capital, EY, National Infrastructure Pipeline
3
Advantage India
4
Advantage India
3 POLICY SUPPORT
2 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES With initiatives like ‘Housing for All’ and ‘Smart Cities Mission’,
the Government of India is working on reducing bottlenecks and
• Favourable valuation and earnings outlook makes this impeding growth in the infrastructure sector. Rs. 2.05 lakh crore
sector an attractive opportunity. (US$ 31.81 billion) will be invested in the smart cities mission.
• Only 24% of the national highway network in India is 100% FDI is permitted under the automatic route across various
four-lane, therefore there is an immense scope for infrastructure sectors.
improvement. The ‘North Eastern Region for Social and Infrastructure
• The Regional Connectivity Scheme (RCS) gives Development Fund (SIDF)’ projects worth Rs. 586.20 crore (US$
opportunity for development of airports. 80 million) were sanctioned.
4 INCREASING
INVESTMENT
Huge investments in
infrastructure (e.g., Reliance
Digital Fibre Infrastructure Trust
1 ROBUST DEMAND
• India is expected to become the
2 3
Investment of US$ 1 billion)
have provided momentum to
overall PE/VC investments in
third-largest construction market India.
globally by 2022. Construction development sector
• India has a requirement of and
investment worth Rs. 50 trillion infrastructure activities sector
(US$ 777.73 billion) across
infrastructure by 2022 for a 1 4
received FDI
inflows amounting to US$ 25.78
sustainable development in the billion and US$ 17.22 billion,
country. respectively, between April 2000
and September 2020.
5
MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS
MARKET OVERVIEW
6
Performance of eight core infrastructure industries
The eight core infrastructure industries include coal, crude oil, natural
gas, refinery products, fertilisers, steel, cement and electricity. Index of eight core Industries
158.5
(NTPC) announced plans to establish industrial parks inside its
154.1
152.6
140
145.7
power projects and has invited Expression of Interests (EOIs) from
133.6
131.6
Indian firms.
129.4
120
123.3
115
In September 2020, Andhra Pradesh government stated that it is
114.2
113.5
110.2
109.8
108.9
100
conducting a comprehensive survey to provide required
infrastructure to the industries in the state. 80
84.5
80.4
In October 2020, NITI Aayog and Quality Council of India (QCI) 60
65.1
launched the ‘National Program and Project Management Policy
58.4
Framework’ (NPMPF), envisaged to bring radical reforms in the way 40
infrastructure projects are executed in India.
20
Fertilisers
Coal
Natural Gas
Cement
Overall
Crude Oil
Steel
Electricity
Products
Refinery
FY20 FY21*
7
Growth in infrastructure related activities
National highway construction recorded the highest increase of 15% Growth in infrastructure related activities during FY20 (in
in line with government’s increased focus on improving logistics. percent)
18
In March 2020, NHAI accomplished the highest ever highway 15.00
15
construction of 3,979 km of national highways in FY20.
12
Freight earnings in FY20 stood at Rs. 113,480.65 crore (US$ 16.10
9
billion), while its gross revenue stood at Rs. 174,660.52 crore (US$
6
24.99 billion) during the same period.
3 0.82
Cargo traffic handled stood at 707.4 million tonnes (MT) in FY20. 0.26
0
Electricity production in India reached 1,252.61 BU in FY20. -3
major ports
Rail freight
National Highway Construction
Electricity Generation
earnings
Railway
Cargo at
earning
(CCEA) approved three infrastructure proposals worth Rs. 7,725
crore (US$ 1.06 billion) to set up greenfield industrial cities to
enhance connectivity to major transportation corridors such as the
eastern and western dedicated freight corridors, expressways and
national highways.
8
Strong momentum in expansion of roadways
The Government will use plastic waste for the construction of roads. One
10,855
of the roads has been recently constructed with plastic waste near 10,000
Dhaula Kuan (New Delhi), while there are plans to construct Delhi- 9,829
Meerut Expressway and Gurugram-Sohna road. 8,784
8,000
8,231
In January 2021, the Government of India & NDB signed two loan
agreements for US$ 646 million for upgrading state highway network and
district road network in Andhra Pradesh. 6,000
6,061
In December 2020, Mr. Nitin Gadkari, the Union Minister for Road
Transport, Highways and MSMEs, inaugurated 33 highway projects 4,000 4,410
4,260
worth Rs. 11,000 crore (US$ 1.50 billion) in Karnataka.
In December 2020, Mr. Nitin Gadkari, the Union Minister for Road 2,000
Transport, Highways and MSMEs, inaugurated and laid the foundation
stones for 15 Nagaland National Highway (NH) projects. These NH
0
projects have a length of ~266 kms, including costs of ~Rs. 4127 crore
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 (till
(US$ 560.45 million). February
2020)
Note: E - Estimate, Figures are as per latest data available, CAGR until FY19
Source: Ministry of External Affairs, Economic Survey-2019-20
9
Strong revenue growth for Indian railways
Revenue growth has been strong over the years. Indian Railways’
revenue increased at a CAGR of 2.57% during FY16-FY19 and Gross revenue trends over the years (US$ billion)
reached US$ 27.71 billion in FY19. The gross revenue stood at Rs.
174,660.52 crore (US$ 24.99 billion) in FY20. 28.00
The Indian Railways received allocation under Union Budget 2020-21
27.71
at Rs. 72,216 crore (US$ 10.33 billion). 27.50
The Ministry of Railways is working on a plan to earn Rs. 15,000 crore 27.00
(US$ 1.56 billion) over the next 10-20 years through rail display
network (RDN), enabling real-time information to passengers. 26.50
Indian Railways will require investment of Rs. 35.3 trillion (US$ 545.26
billion) by 2032 for capacity addition and modernisation. The capital 26.00
expenditure in the sector is expected to increase by 92% annually.
25.69
25.50
Railways is leading India’s fight against climate challenge and is taking
significant steps towards meeting its ambitious goal of being a net zero
25.00
carbon emissions organisation by 2030 and meeting India’s Intended
25.02
24.99
Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) targets.
24.50
24.64
In November 2020, RailTel announced its highest ever consolidated
income of Rs 1,16,600.50 lakh (US$ 1.56 billion) for the 2019-2020 24.00
fiscal year in its 20th Annual General Meeting.
23.50
In November 2020, the National High Speed Rail Corporation Limited
(NHSRCL) signed a contract with Larsen & Toubro (L&T) to design and
construct a 237 kms long viaduct between Vapi (Maharashtra-Gujarat 23.00
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
border village of Zaroli) and Vadodara (Gujarat). This high-speed rail
corridor implementation agreement is the biggest infrastructure
contract for construction and design in the country.
Note: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate, E - Estimates, P-Provisional, FY - Indian Financial Year (April-March)
Source: Vision 2020, Ministry of Railways
10
Power generation capacity has increased at a healthy pace
374.20
370.11
350
On December 31, 2020, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the
356.10
344.00
Government of India signed a US$ 100 million loan to modernise and
326.84
upgrade the power distribution system to boost the quality and 300
efficiency of electricity supply in Bengaluru, Karnataka.
280.33
On December 30, 2020, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the 250
Government of India signed a US$ 231 million loan to increase
electricity generation capacity in Assam through the construction of a 200
hydroelectric power plant of 120 megawatts (MW) that will boost
availability of household electricity.
150
In December 2020, Oil Minister, Mr. Dharmendra Pradhan stated
that as the government pushes for increased use of cleaner fuels to
100
reduce carbon emissions, India is likely to see a US$ 66 billion
investment in the construction of gas infrastructure.
50
• The government is planning to increase the share of natural gas
in its energy portfolio from the existing 6.3% to 15% by 2030.
0 FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21*
Note: GW - Gigawatt, ^- CAGR until FY20, *- until November 2020
Source: CEA (Central Electricity Authority), News Article
11
Key private players
Major projects: Mumbai-Pune BOT Project, Pune-Nashik BOT Project, Bharuch-Surat BOT
1 Project, Thane-Bhiwandi by-pass 4 Lane Project, Thane Ghodbunder BOT Project, Ahmedabad-
Baroda NH-8, 6 laning of Agra - Etawah bypass, Gandeva-Ena section of Vadodara-Mumbai 8
lane expressway
Major projects: NH6 Dhankuni to Kharagpur, Sambalpur Baragarh, NH4 Belgaum Dharwad,
2 NH-3 Pimpalgaon - Nashik - Gonde Road (JV with L&T), Jaora - Nayagaon Road, Chennai
Outer Ring Road, Modhul - Nippani Road, Indore Edalabad Road, Wainganga Bridge,
Ahmednagar Aurangabad Road
Major projects: Bandra-Worli Sea Link, Badarpur Elevated Highway Project, Delhi Faridabad
3 Elevated Expressway, Breakwater construction for new port at Ennore, Chennai, New
Railway Line Project from Jiribam - Tupul, New Railway Line Project from Rishikesh-
Karnaprayag
4 Corridor—Telangana, Nagpur Mumbai Express Way, Pune Metro Package 1 & 2, Nagpur
Metro, Chennai Metro, Delhi Metro, 4 Lane Elevated Highway Project on NH-7 in
Bangalore City
Major Projects: Hyderabad Metro Rail, Construction of a 6-lane bridge over the Ganges
river, Mechanise Track Laying for India's first 626 km Dedicated Freight Corridor, Monorail in
5 Mumbai, Railway electrification works and Rigid Overhead Contact System for the Delhi
Metro, Kakrapar nuclear power project and Srinagar Hydel Power Project, Uttaranchal, Navi
Mumbai Airport
12
STRATEGIES ADOPTED
13
Strategies adopted
The company has secured strong infrastructure projects to ramp up its presence in the industry.
In January 2021, the construction arm of L&T has secured orders from Metallurgical & Material Handling Business
to construct a metallurgical plant in the domestic market.
L&T’s Power Transmission & Distribution Business has secured an Engineering, Procurement, Construction and
Commissioning (EPCC) Contract to construct a 500kV transmission line in Malaysia.
In November 2020, L&T Construction's transportation infrastructure firm, Larsen & Toubro's construction arm,
secured National High-Speed Rail Corporation Limited (NHSRCL)’s mega contract to build 87,569 kms of
Mumbai-Ahmedabad High-Speed Rail (MAHSR) project.
To expand nuclear energy portfoilo, efforts to increase scope by offering products beyond conventional island in
nuclear business is under way.
BHEL's collaborative initiatives to address the growing demand potential in Railway Transportation including
Metro and Suburban Railways include initiative with Indian Railways for setting up a greenfield Mainline Electrical
Multiple Unit (MEMU) Coach Factory in Rajasthan.
In December 2020, the company secured orders worth Rs. 3,200 crore (US$ 437.31 million) for hydro projects in
Andhra, Telangana.
GMR Airports Limited (GAL) bagged the development and operation rights of the greenfield international airport
proposed at Bhogapuram in Vizianagaram district from the state Government in April 2020.
GMR Airport’s international partner, Groupe ADP of France, has raised US$ 2.47 billion in bonds in two-parts.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) Ltd. handled 27.2 million tonnes (MT) of cargo in December
2020 through its ten port network, reporting a 47% increase on a YoY basis. The port operating unit of the
infrastructure conglomerate, Adani Group, announced that its flagship plant, the Gujarat Port of Mundra, handled
15.24 MT of freight, with an annual growth rate of 44%.
14
GROWTH DRIVERS AND OPPORTUNITIES
GROWTH DRIVERS
15
Growth drivers for Infrastructure in India
5
1
2 Infrastructure needs
4 4 4 International investment
3 Housing development
16
Government initiatives driving growth in the sector
17
Affordable Housing
10% 35%
36%
10%
34%
34%
30%
32%
9%
9%
8%
30%
8%
8%
8%
8%
25%
6%
26%
20%
22%
4% 5%
15%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
10%
0% 5%
Chennai
Mumbai
Hyderabad
Delhi NCR
Bengaluru
Kolkata
Pune
0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Household Incomes Residential Prices
In Budget 2017-18, affordable housing was given infrastructure status. “Housing for All” programme was launched in June 2015 to build 20 million
urban homes and 30 million rural houses by 2022.
Homes in India are currently most affordable in nearly two decades with overall mortgage payment accounting for 22% of average post-tax
income.
As per Union Budget 2019-20, Government has finalised the model tendency law for promotion of rental housing.
As per Union Budget 2020-21, the total expenditure for the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs is estimated at Rs. 50,040 crore (US$ 6.85
billion)
In October 2020, the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs (MoHUA) launched an affordable rental housing complex portal.
18
Infrastructure development in northeast India
In December 2020, a US$ 4.21 million project readiness financing (PRF) facility was signed today by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the
Government of India to plan infrastructure development projects to boost urban amenities and build tourism infrastructure in Tripura.
The government sanctioned Rs. 586.20 crore (US$ 80 million) for the ‘North Eastern Region for Social and Infrastructure Development Fund
(SIDF)’ projects.
On October 27, 2020, Minister for Road Transport and Highways, Mr. Nitin Gadkari laid the foundation stones for nine National Highway projects in
Tripura worth Rs. 2,752 crore (US$ 369.60 million).
In August 2020, Union Road Transport and Highways Minister, Mr. Nitin Gadkari, laid foundation for 13 highway projects, with construction value
worth Rs. 3,000 crore (US$ 409.52 million) , to improve connectivity in Manipur.
For 2020-21, budgetary allocation for the Ministry of Development of Northeastern Region has been increased to Rs. 3,049 crore (US$ 432.54
million) from Rs. 2,629 crore (US$ 376.16 million) in 2018-19.
Indian Prime Minister launched three transport links in February 2019 - a strategically important region abutting the Chinese border in the
Northeast.
The Civil Aviation Ministry launched UDAAN 3.1 in February 2019 as it invited bids for airlines to fly over 28 to 30 routes to cover northeast.
Mr. Conrad K. Sangma, Chief Ministry of Meghalaya, inaugurated the First Swadesh Darshan Scheme in January 2019. Quality of infrastructure
was aimed in the scheme.
With an eye on China, India is working on a slew of road and bridge projects to improve connectivity with Bangladesh, Nepal and Myanmar.
Government announced plans to invest US$ 6.98 billion across northeast states.
Arunachal Pradesh was brought on the railway map of India with India’s longest rail-cum-road bridge — the 4.94-km long Bogibeel bridge over
Brahmaputra.
Government has also announced plans to convert all meter gauge tracks in northeast to broad gauge tracks.
In FY20, Rs. 53,370 crore (US$ 7.64 billion) was provided for infrastructure and socio-economic development of northeast region.
19
Logistics and warehousing
Logistics and warehousing play an important role in the industrial Logistics market size
advancement of the country. They are a fundamental part of business (US$ billion)
infrastructure and one of the key enablers in the global supply chain.
250
By 2022, market size of logistics sector is expected to reach US$ 215
billion.
215.0
In 2017, the logistics sector was given infrastructure status in India. 200
Logistics market in India stood at US$ 160 billion in 2017. The sector
is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5% to reach US$ 215 billion by
the end of 2020. 150
160.0
Investment in the logistics sector is expected to reach US$ 500 billion
annually by 2025. Warehousing in India is expected to get investment
of Rs. 50,000 crore (US$ 7.12 billion) by the end of 2020. 100
the surge in demand for online shopping for the upcoming festive
season.
0
In October 2020, Flipkart acquired a 140-acre land at Rs. 432 crore 2017 2020E
(US$ 58.87 million) to establish their largest fulfilling centre in Asia, in
Manesar, Gurgaon, in a bid to scale their fulfilment infrastructure to
cater to increased demand post COVID-19.
20
Airports infrastructure investment
1
Metro airports
The Airports Authority of India (AAI) aims to bring around 250 airports under operation across the country by the end of 2020.
AAI has developed and upgraded over 23 metro airports in the last 5 years.
AAI plans to develop city-side infrastructure at 13 regional airports across India with help from private players for building of hotels,
car parks and other facilities, and thereby boosting its non-aeronautical revenues.
Airport housing will also have height restrictions to avoid interference with flight paths. They will also have to be far from the runway
and 45m above a defined level of the airport, which will allow 4-5 floors to be built.
The development of Navi Mumbai airport has been approved. The project will be developed on 74:26% partnership between
Mumbai International Airport Limited (MIAL) and City & Industrial Development Corporation of Maharashtra (CIDCO) and airport’s
phase I with annual handling capacity of 10 million passengers each year rephrasing it from the origin.
2
Non-metro airports
AAI plans to spend over Rs. 21,000 crore (US$ 3.2 billion) between 2018-22 to build new terminal and expand capacity of existing ones.
Upfront subsidy has been proposed through which non-metro airports would be funded by imposing 2% levy on both domestic and
international airfares.
About 22 airports will be connected under regional connectivity scheme of AAI.
Over 30 airport development projects are under progress across various regions in northeast India.
AAI plans to develop over 20 airports in tier II and tier III cities in the next 5 years.
To boost air connectivity, 100 new airports will be developed in the country by 2024.
In October 2020, the Airports Authority of India (AAI) announced a plan to upgrade runways at seven airports across the country by
March 2022. The seven airports included are at Jammu (Jammu and Kashmir), Kolhapur (Maharashtra), Jabalpur (Madhya Pradesh),
Barapani (Meghalaya), Kadapa (Andhra Pradesh), Tirupati (Andhra Pradesh) and Tuticorin (Tamil Nadu).
21
Metro rail and monorail infrastructure investment
1
Metro rail
At least 10 Indian cities are working on metro railway projects and the Government initiated a plan in 2012 to study the feasibility of
such networks in all cities with a population of more than 2 million.
Metro rail projects worth over Rs. 500 billion ($7.7 billion) is underway.
Metro rail network reached 637.2 kms as of September 2020.
A new Metro Rail Policy was announced in August 2017, to give boost to private investments by mandating PPP component in new
projects. A new committee to lay down standards for metro rail systems was approved in June 2018.
In June 2020, A&M Development Group, a European infrastructure development company, announced its plans to invest Rs. 100
crore (US$ 14.19 million) in Mumbai metro project along with RCC Infra Ventures through its recently formed Indian arm, Oberoi-
A&M Infra-Consortium.
In November 2020, Alstom announced that it has successfully completed production of its 500th metro car at its ‘SriCity’ factory in
Andhra Pradesh that manufactures ‘Rolling Stock’ (metro trains) for urban metro projects.
2
Monorail
Monorail has made its beginning in India with Mumbai being the first city in the country to have this transport system in place.
It took more than six years from the date of inviting Request for Qualification for MMRDA (Mumbai Metropolitan Region
Development Authority) to complete a part of the project, involving a stretch of 8.26 km.
Monorail Projects are being developed in Chennai, Pune, Thiruvananthpuram, Bengaluru, Thane, Delhi, Port Blair, Dehradun,
Chandigarh etc.
22
Increasing investments in Indian infrastructure
In December 2020, the US International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) announced plan to invest US$ 54 million in equity for the
National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) in India to support the development of critical infrastructure projects.
The government and New Development Bank (NDB) signed a loan agreement worth US$ 1 billion to support rural infrastructure-related activities,
natural resource management (NRM) and rural employment generation under MGNREGS (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment
Guarantee Scheme). The loan agreement spans a contract period of 30 years, including a 5-year grace period.
To build four transmission projects in the country, electricity transmission infrastructure company Sterlite Power formed a 50:50 partnership with
global investment manager AMP Capital in December 2020. For constructing 1,800 km of transmission lines, AMP Capital and Sterlite Power will
likely invest US$ 150 million each.
In November 2020, Warburg Pincus-backed logistics real estate firm, ESR India signed an agreement with the Maharashtra government to invest
Rs. 4,310 crore (US$ 578.88 million) to set up 11 industrial and logistics parks around Mumbai and Pune.
In October 2020, Hughes India partnered with Bharat Broadband Nigam Limited (BBNL) and Telecommunications Consultants India Ltd.(TCIL) to
provide high-speed satellite connectivity to 5,000 remote gram panchayats.
In November 2020, the Union Cabinet approved Rs. 2,480 crore (US$ 337.35 million) foreign direct investments (FDIs) in ATC Telecom Infra Pvt.
Ltd.
Construction development sector and infrastructure activities sector received FDI inflows amounting to US$ 25.78 billion and US$ 17.22 billion,
respectively, between April 2000 and September 2020.
Under Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY-Urban), over 8.1 million houses with an investment of about Rs. 483,000 crore (US$ 69.10 bullion)
were sanctioned, out of which, construction started on around 4.7 million houses. Over 2.6 million houses were completed, of which, nearly 2.4
million houses were delivered to respective beneficiaries.
Brookfield’s US$ 1.9 billion acquisition of Pipeline Infrastructure India in first quarter of 2019 was the largest PE investment in the sector.
23
New investments in Indian infrastructure
24
Key highlights of union budget 2020-21
The Government of India has given a massive push to the infrastructure sector by allocating Rs. 1.69 lakh crore (US$ 24.27 billion) for the
transport sector.
Communication sector allocated Rs. 38,637.46 crore (US$ 5.36 billion) to the development of post and telecommunications departments.
Indian railways received Rs. 72,216 crore (US$ 10.33 billion), of which, Rs. 64.587 billion (US$ 8.95 billion) is capital expenditure.
Rs. 91,823 crore (US$ 13.14 billion) has been allocated towards road transport and highway.
Allocation of Rs. 888.00 crore (US$ 110.88 million) for the upgradation of state Government medical colleges (PG seats) at district hospitals and
Rs. 1,361.00 crore (US$ 188.63 million) for Government medical colleges (UG seats) and Government health institutions.
The Government has suggested the investment of Rs. 5,000,000 crore (US$ 750 billion) for railways infrastructure between 2018-2030.
To upgrade 1,25,000 km of road length over the next five years, the estimated cost of Rs. 80,250 crore (US$ 12.03 billion) is envisaged under
Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana 3 (PMGSY)
30,000 km of PMGSY roads have been built using Green Technology, Waste Plastic and Cold Mix Technology.
Government has ensured power availability to states at affordable rates through model - One Nation, One Grid.
Government has proposed to permit investments made by Foreign Institutional Investor’s (FIIs)/Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs) in debt
securities issued by Infrastructure Debt Fund.
Government proposed National Mission on Quantum Technologies and Applications with an outlay of Rs. 8,000 crore (US$ 1.14 billion) over a
period of five years.
25
Opportunities in Infrastructure
Source: Media sources, Ministry of Finance, M-SIPS - Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme, EDF - Electronics Development Funds
26
Key Industry Contacts
27
Key industry contacts
28
Appendix
29
Glossary
FY: Indian Financial Year (April to March) - So, FY11 implies April 2010 to March 2011
BOT: Build-Operate-Transfer
PPP: Public-Private-Partnership
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
30
Exchange rates
Year Rs. Equivalent of one US$ Year Rs. Equivalent of one US$
2004-05 44.95 2005 44.11
31
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32