CH 08
CH 08
8.1 An estimator is a sample statistic used to estimate a population parameter. The value(s) assigned
to a population parameter based on the value of a sample statistic is called an estimate.
8.3 The sample mean x is the point estimator of the population mean μ. The margin of error is
E = zσ x .
x ± zσ x = 145 ± 1.65(7) = 145 ± 11.55 = $133.45 to $156.55 . The width of this interval is $156.55
– $133.45 = $23.10. If n = 100, but all other values remain the same,
x ± zσ x = 145 ± 1.65(3.50) = 145 ± 5.78 = $139.22 to $150.78 . The width of this interval is
$150.78 – $139.22 = $11.56. Thus, the 90% confidence interval for μ is narrower when n = 100
than when n = 25.
8.7 A confidence interval is an interval constructed around a point estimate. A confidence level
indicates how confident we are that the confidence interval contains the population parameter.
8.9 If we take all possible samples of a given size and construct a 99% confidence interval for μ from
each sample, we can expect about 99% of these confidence intervals will contain μ and 1% will
not.
129
130 Chapter Eight
a. x = 24.5
b. The 99% confidence interval for μ is
x ± zσ x = 24.5 ± 2.58(.69318107) = 24.5 ± 1.79 = 22.71 to 26.29
c. E = zσ x = 2.58(.69318107) = 1.79
a. The 90% confidence interval for μ is x ± zσ x = 74.8 ± 1.65(2.55) = 74.8 ± 4.21 = 70.59 to 79.01
b. The 95% confidence interval for μ is
x ± zσ x = 74.8 ± 1.96(2.55) = 74.8 ± 5.00 = 69.80 to 79.80
c. The 99% confidence interval for μ is
x ± zσ x = 74.8 ± 2.58(2.55) = 74.8 ± 6.58 = 68.22 to 81.38
d. Yes, the width of the confidence intervals increases as the confidence level increases. This
occurs because as the confidence level increases, the value of z increases.
a. x = 38.34
Introductory Statistics, Mann, Seventh Edition - Student’s Solutions Manual 131
c. E = zσ x = 2.33(.44793176) = 1.04
z 2σ 2 (2.58) 2 (12.5) 2
n= = = 166.41 ≈ 167
E2 (2.50) 2
z 2σ 2 (2.05) 2 (12.5) 2
n= = = 64.13 ≈ 65
E2 (3.20) 2
z 2σ 2 (2.58) 2 (15.40) 2
n= = = 298.42 ≈ 299
E2 (2.3) 2
z 2σ 2 (1.96) 2 (23.45) 2
n= = = 125.67 ≈ 126
E2 (4.1) 2
z 2σ 2 (1.65) 2 (122.25) 2
n= 2
= = 60.65 ≈ 61
E (25.9) 2
8.27 n = 25, x = 31.94 ounces, σ = .15 ounce, and σ x = σ n = .15 25 = .03 ounce
8.31 E = .04 ounce, σ = .20 ounce, and z = 2.58 for 99% confidence level
z 2σ 2 (2.58) 2 (.20) 2
n= = = 166.41 ≈ 167
E2 (.04) 2
8.33 E = .75 hour, σ = 2.5 hours, and z = 2.33 for 98% confidence level
z 2σ 2 (2.33) 2 (2.5) 2
n= = = 60.32 ≈ 61
E2 (.75) 2
4. Calculate σ x = σ n.
Introductory Statistics, Mann, Seventh Edition - Student’s Solutions Manual 133
5. Calculate the 95% confidence interval for μ using the formula x ± 1.96σ x .
Section 8.4
8.37 The normal distribution has two parameters: μ and σ. Given the values of these parameters for a
normal distribution, we can find the area under the normal curve between any two points. The t
distribution has only one parameter: the degrees of freedom. The shape of the t distribution
curve is determined by the degrees of freedom.
8.39 The t distribution is used to construct a confidence interval for the population mean μ if the
following assumptions hold true:
Case I:
1. The population standard deviation σ is not known.
2. The sample size is small (i.e., n < 30).
3. The population from which the sample is drawn is (approximately) normally distributed.
Case II:
1. The population standard deviation σ is not known.
2. The sample size is large (i.e., n ≥ 30).
( x)
∑ x 2 − ∑n
2
(15.5)2
534.49 −
s= = 11 = 7.15995175
n −1 11 − 1
sx = s n = 7.15995175 11 = 2.15880668
a. x = 1.41
b. df = n – 1 = 11 – 1 = 10, α/2 = .5 – (.95/2) = .025, and t = 2.228
The 95% confidence interval for μ is
x ± ts x = 1.41 ± 2.228(2.15880668) = 1.41 ± 4.81 = −3.40 to 6.22
c. E = ts x = 2.228(2.15880668) = 4.81
c. s x = s n = 4.9 32 = .86620581
df = n – 1 = 32 – 1 = 31, α/2 = .5 – (.95/2) = .025 and t = 2.040
The 95% confidence interval for μ is
x ± ts x = 25.5 ± 2.040(.86620581) = 25.5 ± 1.77 = 23.73 to 27.27
The width of the 95% confidence interval for μ is larger with n = 32 than that of the 95%
confidence interval with n = 47. This is so because the value of the standard deviation of the
sample mean increases as sample size decreases.
8.51 In each of the following parts, since n = 400 is very large, we use the normal distribution to
approximate the t distribution, and construct the confidence interval using x ± zs x .
8.53 n = 20, x = 41.2 bushels per acre, s = 3 bushels per acre, and s x = s n =3 20 = .67082039
bushel per acre
df = n – 1 = 20 – 1 = 19, α/2 = .5 – (.90/2) = .05, and t = 1.729
The 90% confidence interval for μ is
x ± ts x = 41.2 ± 1.729(.67082039) = 41.2 ± 1.16 = 40.04 to 42.36 bushels per acre
8.55 n = 32, x = .34 gram, s = .062 gram, and s x = s n = .062 32 = .01096016 gram
df = n – 1 = 32 – 1 = 31, α/2 = .5 – (.95/2) = .025, and t = 2.040
The 95% confidence interval for μ is x ± ts x = .34 ± 2.040(.01096016) = .34 ± .02 = .32 to .36 gram
2 (∑ x ) 2
(72) 2
∑x − 708 −
s= n = 9 = 4.06201920 hours
n −1 9 −1
(∑ x )2 (115) 2
∑ x2 − n
891.88 −
15 = .85412166 ounce
s= =
n −1 15 − 1
8.65 Since n = 400 is very large, we use the normal distribution to approximate the t distribution, and
construct the confidence interval using x ± zs x .
n = 400, x = 6.18 years, s = 2.87 years, and s x = s n = 2.87 400 = .1435 year
a. x = 6.18 years
8.67 To estimate the mean waiting time, μ (assuming that waiting times are normally distributed):
1. Take a random sample of 45 customers at the bank.
2. Record the waiting time for each of the 45 customers.
3. Calculate the sample mean, the standard deviation, and s x .
4. Choose the confidence level and determine the t value for df = n − 1 = 45 − 1 = 44.
5. Construct the confidence interval for μ using x ± ts x .
Section 8.5
8.71 a. n = 80, p̂ = .85, qˆ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .85 = .15, npˆ = (80)(.85) = 68, and nqˆ = (80)(.15) = 12
Since npˆ > 5 and nqˆ > 5, the sample size is large enough to use the normal distribution.
Since nqˆ < 5, the sample size is not large enough to use the normal distribution.
Since npˆ > 5 and nqˆ > 5, the sample size is large enough to use the normal distribution.
Since npˆ > 5 and nqˆ > 5, the sample size is large enough to use the normal distribution.
The 90% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .36 ± 1.65(.01447255) = .36 ± .024 = .336 to .384
138 Chapter Eight
d. The confidence intervals of parts a and b cover p, but the confidence interval of part c does not.
d. Yes, the width of the confidence intervals decreases as the confidence level decreases. This
occurs because as the confidence level decreases, the value of z decreases.
The 95% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .31 ± 1.96(.01335103) = .31 ± .026 = .284 to .336
The 95% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .31 ± 1.96(.02068333) = .31 ± .041 = .269 to .351
The 95% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .31 ± 1.96(.05170832) = .31 ± .101 = .209 to .411
d. Yes, the width of the confidence intervals increases as the sample size decreases. This occurs
because decreasing the sample size increases the standard deviation of the sample proportion.
8.79 a. E = .045, p̂ = .53, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .53 = .47, and z = 2.33 for 98% confidence level
Introductory Statistics, Mann, Seventh Edition - Student’s Solutions Manual 139
z 2 pˆ qˆ (2.33) 2 (.53)(.47)
n= 2
= = 667.82 ≈ 668
E (.045) 2
b. E = .045, p = q = .50 for the most conservative sample size, and z = 2.33 for 98% confidence
level
z 2 pq (2.33) 2 (.50)(.50)
n= = = 670.23 ≈ 671
E2 (.045) 2
8.81 a. E = .025, p̂ = .16, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .16 = .84, and z = 2.58 for 99% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ ( 2.58) 2 (.16)(.84)
n= = = 1431.39 ≈ 1432
E2 (.025) 2
b. E = .05, p̂ = .85, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .85 = .15, and z = 1.96 for 95% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ (1.96) 2 (.85)(.15)
n= = = 195.92 ≈ 196
E2 (.05) 2
c. E = .015, p̂ = .97, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .97 = .03, and z = 1.65 for 90% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ (1.65) 2 (.97)(.03)
n= = = 352.11 ≈ 353
E2 (.015) 2
s pˆ = pˆ qˆ / n = (.38)(.62) / 50 = .06864401
s pˆ = pˆ qˆ / n = (.333)(.667 ) / 24 = .09620096
a. pˆ = .333
b. The 99% confidence interval for p is
pˆ ± zs pˆ = .333 ± 2.58(.09620096) = .333 ± .248 = .085 to .581
8.93 E = .02, p̂ = .93, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .93 = .07, and z = 2.58 for 99% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ (2.58) 2 (.93)(.07)
n= = = 1083.33 ≈ 1084
E2 (.02) 2
8.95 E = .03, p = q = .50 for the most conservative sample size, and z = 2.58 for 99% confidence level
z 2 pq (2.58) 2 (.50)(.50)
n= = = 1849
E2 (.03) 2
8.97 To estimate the percentage of students who are satisfied with campus food services:
1. Take a random sample of 30 students who use campus food services.
2. Determine the number of students in this sample who are satisfied with the campus food
services.
3. Calculate pˆ and s pˆ .
4. Choose the confidence level and find the required value of z in the normal distribution table.
5. Construct the confidence interval for p using the formula pˆ ± zs pˆ .
6. Obtain the corresponding interval for the population percentage by multiplying the upper and
lower limits of the confidence interval for p by 100%.
Supplementary Exercises
a. x = $2640
b. The 97% confidence interval for μ is
x ± zσ x = 2640 ± 2.17(57.80) = 2640 ± 125.43 = $2514.57 to $2765.43
8.101 n = 20, x = 3.99 inches, σ = .04 inch, and σ x = σ n = .04 20 = .00894427 inch
(∑ x )2 (637.3) 2
∑ x2 − n
11,038.55 −
44
s= = = 6.48403919 gallons
n −1 44 − 1
8.107 Since n = 300 is very large, we use the normal distribution to approximate the t distribution, and
construct the confidence interval using x ± zs x .
n = 300, x = 4.5 hours, s = .75 hour, and s x = s n = .75 300 = .04330127 hour
The 98% confidence interval for μ is x ± zs x = 4.5 ± 2.33(.04330127) = 4.5 ± .10 = 4.40 to 4.60
hours
2 (∑ x ) 2
(1514) 2
∑x − 229,646 −
s= n = 10 = 6.88315173 calories
n −1 10 − 1
a. p̂ = .033
b. The 95% confidence interval for p is
pˆ ± zs pˆ = .033 ± 1.96(.00861462) = .033 ± .017 = .016 to .050
c. The player’s suspicion seems reasonable since .0526 falls outside the 95% confidence interval.
s pˆ = pˆ qˆ / n = (.313)(.687 ) / 16 = .11592859
The 97% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .313 ± 2.17(.11592859) = .313 ± .252 = .061 to .565
z 2σ 2 (1.65) 2 (31,500) 2
n= = = 220.52 ≈ 221
E2 (3500) 2
8.117 E = .05, p̂ = .63, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .63 = .37, and z = 1.96 for 95% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ (1.96) 2 (.63)(.37)
n= = = 358.19 ≈ 359
E2 (.05) 2
8.119 Let p1 = proportion of the population who “cut back on vacations or entertainment because of their
cost,” p2 = proportion of population who “failed to pay a bill on time,” and p3 = proportion of the
population who “have not gone to a doctor because of the cost.” Note that for n = 1004, n pˆ and
p̂1 = .64, q̂1 = 1 − p̂1 = 1 − .64 = .36, and s pˆ1 = pˆ 1qˆ1 / n = (.64)(.36) / 1004 = .01514867
The 95% confidence interval for p1 is pˆ 1 ± zs pˆ1 = .64 ± 1.96(.01514867) = .64 ± .030 = .610 to .670
The 95% confidence interval for p2 is pˆ 2 ± zs pˆ 2 = .37 ± 1.96(.01523717) = .37 ± .030 = .340 to .400
144 Chapter Eight
p̂3 = .25, q̂3 = 1 − p̂3 = 1 − .25 = .75, and s pˆ 3 = pˆ 3 qˆ3 / n = (.25)(.75) / 1004 = .01366576
The 95% confidence interval for p3 is pˆ 3 ± zs pˆ 3 = .25 ± 1.96(.01366576) = .25 ± .027 = .223 to .277
8.121 E = 1.0 mile, s = 4.1 miles, and z = 1.96 for 95% confidence level; σ may be estimated by s
8.123 a. E = 100 cars, σ = 170 cars, and z = 2.58 for 99% confidence level
z 2σ 2 (2.58) 2 (170) 2
n= 2
= = 19.24 ≈ 20
E (100) 2
Note that since n < 30, we must assume that the number of cars passing each day is approximately
normally distributed, or we may take a larger (n ≥ 30) sample.
z 2σ 2 E n 100 20
b. Since n = , z= = = 1.64 which corresponds to a confidence level of
E 2 σ 272
approximately 90%.
z 2σ 2 zσ (2.58)(130)
c. Since n = 2
, E= = = 75 .
E n 20
Thus, they can be 99% confident that their point estimate is within 75 cars of the true average.
8.125 When the sample size is doubled, the margin of error is reduced by a factor of 2 2 . When the
sample size is quadrupled, the margin of error is reduced by a factor of 1/2. This relationship does
Introductory Statistics, Mann, Seventh Edition - Student’s Solutions Manual 145
not hold true when calculating a confidence interval for the population mean with an unknown
population standard deviation for the following reasons:
1) While σ is constant, the sample standard deviation, s, is not. The sample standard deviation
will change with each sample.
2) If σ is unknown, the confidence interval is calculated with a t value. This value will change as
the sample size changes because the degrees of freedom will change.
8.127 Answers will vary. The following provide one possible example for each case.
a. n = 200, p̂ = .01, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .01 = .99, and
The value of the lower limit in the first interval is less than 0, and the value of the upper limit in
the second interval is greater than 1. These are not possible values for proportions.
1. a. Estimation means assigning values to a population parameter based on the value of a sample
statistic.
b. An estimator is the sample statistic used to estimate a population parameter.
c. The value of a sample statistic is called the point estimate of the corresponding population
parameter.
2. b 3. a 4. a 5. c 6. b
146 Chapter Eight
a. x = $159,000
b. The 99% confidence interval for μ is
x ± zσ x = 159,000 ± 2.58(4500) = 159,000 ± 11,610 = $147,390 to $170,610
E = zσ x = 2.58(4500) = $11,610
a. pˆ = .55
b. The 99% confidence interval for p is pˆ ± zs pˆ = .55 ± 2.58(.02345208) = .55 ± .061 = .489 to .611
10. E = 1.25 degrees, σ = 5.78 degrees, and z = 1.96 for 95% confidence level
z 2σ 2 (1.96) 2 (5.78) 2
n= = = 82.14 ≈ 83
E2 (1.25) 2
11. E = .05, p = q = .50 for the most conservative sample size, and z = 1.65 for 90% confidence level
z 2 pq (1.65) 2 (.50)(.50)
n= = = 272.25 ≈ 273.
E2 (.05) 2
12. E = .05, p̂ = .70, q̂ = 1 − p̂ = 1 − .70 = .30, and z = 1.65 for 90% confidence level
z 2 pˆ qˆ (1.65) 2 (.70)(.30)
n= = = 228.69 ≈ 229.
E2 (.05) 2
The second alternative is better because lowering the confidence level results in a less reliable
estimate for μ.
14. To estimate the mean number of hours that all students at your college work per week:
1. Take a random sample of 12 students from your college. (Note that if you want to estimate the
mean number of hours that all students at your college who hold jobs work per week, you would
limit your sample to students who hold jobs.)
2. Record the number of hours each of these students worked last week.
3. Calculate x , s and s x from these data.
4. After choosing the confidence level, find the value for the t distribution with 11 df and for an area
of α/2 in the right tail.
5. Construct the confidence interval for μ by using the formula x ± ts x .
You are assuming that the hours worked by all students at your college have a normal distribution.
15. To estimate the proportion of people who are happy with their current jobs:
1. Take a random sample of 35 workers.
2. Determine whether or not each worker is happy with his or her job.
3. Calculate pˆ , qˆ , and s p) .
4. Choose the confidence level and find the required value of z from the normal distribution table.
5. Construct the confidence interval for p by using the formula pˆ ± zs p) .
148 Chapter Eight