SCHOOL CAMP VICENTE LIM IS Grade Level 10

Teacher ANGELA MAE LUMINES Learning MATHEMATICS

Area

March 12, 2023 Quarter QUARTER 3

Time & Dates

I.OBJECTIVES

A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of circles and
Coordinate geometry.

The learner can formulate and find solutions to challenging.

B. Performance Standards
situations involving circles and other related terms in different disciplines
through appropriate and accurate representations.

C. Learning Find the probability of (A U B). (M10SP-IIIg-h-1)

Competencies/Objectives
● Illustrate conditional probability.
(Write the LC code for each) ● Solve problems involving conditional probability.
● Appreciate conditional probability in solving real life problem.
II.CONTENT
Conditional Probability

III.LEARNING RESOURCES
A. References

1.Teacher’s Guide pages 300-306

2. Learner’s Materials pages 346 -352
3.Textbook pages

4.Additional Materials from Learning

Resource (LR) portal

B. Other Learning Resources

Laptop, PowerPoint presentation,

IV.PROCEDURES
Preliminary Activities
● Health and Safety protocol
● Prayer
● Attendance
● Class Rules

Review
A. Reviewing previous lesson or State whether the events are dependent or independent.
presenting the new lesson 1. Rolling a 5 on consecutive turns in a game. Independent
2. Drawing a card from a deck of cards, returning it, and drawing
another card. Independent
3. Getting 6 lotto balls out of 42 balls inside a lottery drum.
Dependent
4. Getting a queen of hearts and a queen of flowers with
replacement. Independent
5. Selecting a pineapple after eating an apple of the 42 fruits.
Dependent

B. Establishing a purpose for the

lesson Conditional Probability

Conditional probability of an event A is the probability that the

event will happen given the knowledge that an event B has already
 happened.
For any two events A and B with P(B) > 0, the conditional
probability of A given that B has occurred is define by
P( A ∩ B)
P ( A|B )=
P (B)
The usual notation for event A occurs given that event B has occurred
is: “A | B” (A and B). The symbol | is a vertical line and does not imply division.

Example 1:

You roll one 6-sided die, what is the probability of getting a 3 given
that you know that the number is odd?

Sample space = {1,2,3,4,5,6}

Let A be the event of getting 3, so A = {3}
3 1
Let B be the event that the number is odd, so B = {1,3,5}; P(B) = =
6 2
1
A and B = {3}, so P(A and B) =
6

Using the formula.

C. Presenting examples/instances
P( A ∩ B)
of the new lesson P ( A|B )=
P (B)

1
6
P ( A|B )=
1
2

2
P ( A|B )=
6

1
P ( A|B )=
3

D. Discussing new concepts and

practicing new skills #1 Example 2.
1. A fair die is thrown twice. Given that the first throw is an odd
number, what is the probability that the sum of the numbers
obtained is 7?

Let A be the event that the sum of the numbers obtained is 7, so, A =
6 1
{(1,6) (6,1) (2,5) (5,2) (3,4) (4,3)} P( A)= =
36 6
Let B be the event that the first throw is an odd number, so, B = {(1,1)
(1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6) (3,1 ) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6) ) (5,1) (5,2)
 18 1
(5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6)} and P( B)= =
36 2
3 1
A and B = {(1,6) (5,2) (3,4)}, so P( A∧B)= =
36 12

Substituting in the formula

P( A ∩ B)
P ( A|B )=
P (B)

1
12
P ( A|B )=
1
2

1
P ( A|B )=
6

Example 3:

The probability that Arnel studies and passes his math test is 0.45. If the
probability that he studies is 0.80, what is the probability that he passes
the math test, given that he studied?

Solution:
Let B be the event that he studies, so P(B) = 0.80
E. Discussing new concepts and P(A and B) = 0.45
practicing new skills #2 Using the formula
P( A ∩ B)
P ( A|B )=
P (B)
0.45
P ( A|B )=
0.80

P ( A|B )=0.5625

F. Developing mastery (Leads to

formative assessment 3) Activity 1: Seatwork
Direction: Consider the problem below then find the following.
A bag contains 4 green and 6 yellow balls. Two balls are
drawn with replacement.

1. Determine if the problem is dependent or independent. Independent

2. Probability of selecting a green ball on the first draw.
4 2
P ( green ) = =
10 5
3. Probability of selecting a yellow ball on the second draw.
6 3
P ( yellow )= =
10 5
4. Probability of selecting a green ball and then a yellow ball.
2 3 10 2
P ( green∧ yellow )= • = =
5 5 25 5
5. Probability of selecting a yellow ball on the second draw given that
 2
5 10 2
the first draw was green. P ( A|B )= = =
3 15 3
5

G. Finding practical applications of

concepts and skills in daily living How can we use statistics and probability to make informed decisions?

H. Generalizing and abstractions

about the lesson What is the formula for Conditional Probability?

I. Evaluating learning Formative Test (Quiz)

Direction: Choose the letter of the correct answer.

1. The probability that an event will happen given that another event
has already happened.
a. Experimental Probability
b. Axiomatic Probability
c. Conditional Probability
d. Theoretical Probability

2. What is the formula for Conditional probability?

P( A ∩ B)
a. P ( A|B )=
P (B)

b. P ( A∧B )=P ( A ) • P ( B )

c. P ( A∧B )=P ( A ) • P ( B after A )

d. P ( A U B )=P ( A ) + P ( B )−P ( A ∩B )

2
3. Suppose A and B are two events. Given that P ( A ∩ B ) = and
3
9
P ( A )= , find P ( B| A ).
13

9
a.
13
26
b.
27
1
c.
39
2
d.
3

4. At a basketball game, 80% of the fans cheered for team A. In the

same crowd, 20% of the fans were waving banners and cheering for
team A. what is the probability that a fan waved a banner given that
the fan cheered for team A?
a. 25%
b. 50 %
c. 75 %
d. 15%

5. The probability that it is Friday and that a student is absent is 3%.

Since there are 5 school days in a week, the probability that it is Friday
 is 20%. What is the probability that a student is absent given that today
is Friday?
a. 25%
b. 50 %
c. 75 %
d. 15%

J. Additional activities for

application or remediation
▪ Assignment/Agreement
▪ Reinforcing/
strengthening the day’s
lesson
▪ Enriching/inspiring the
day’s lesson.
▪ Preparing for the new
lesson

V. REMARKS

VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who earned 80%
on the formative assessment

B. No. of learners who require

additional activities for
remediation

C. Did the remedial lessons work?

No. of learners who have caught
up with the lesson

D. No. of learners who continue to

require remediation

E. Which of my teaching strategies

worked well? Why did this
work?

F. What difficulties did I encounter

which my principal or supervisor
can help me solve?

G. What innovation or localized

materials did I use/discover
which I wish to share with other
teachers?

Prepared by: Checked by:

ANGELA MAE D. LUMINES ANNABETH S. CATIBOG

Teacher III

Verified by: Noted by:

ALMIDA T. CAMITAN MILDRED M. DE LEON
Head Teacher VI - Mathematics Principal III