Republic of the Philippines

Department of Education
Region I
Schools Division II of Pangasinan
BAUTISTA NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL
Bautista, Pangasinan
S.Y. 2022-2023

A Semi – Detailed Lesson Plan

In Mathematics 10
(Conditional Probability)

Prepared by: Checked:

MILES B. ALAGON PACENCIA A. CASINGAL, PhD.

Student Teacher Cooperating Teacher

Noted:

JAIME U. MANUEL JR.

Head Teacher III Math Department

Date Submitted: May 02, 2023

I. Learning Objectives
At the end of a 60–minute lesson, at least 75% of the students should be able to achieve
the following with at least 75% level of proficiency:
A. Define conditional probability,
B. Identify the formula of Conditional Probability and;
C. Solve problems involving conditional probability.
II. Subject Matter
A. Topic : Grade 10: Conditional Probability
B. Reference : Grade 10: Mathematics Learner’s Module
Mathematics Quarter 3 – Module 32: Conditional
Probability retrieved from https://depedtambayan.net/wp-
content/uploads/2022/01/MATH10-Q3-MODULE32.pdf

C. Materials : Powerpoint presentation, chalkboard, cut-outs

D. Values Integration : Perseverance, Optimism and Cooperation
III. Procedures
A. Preliminary Activities
1. Greetings
2. Prayer
3. Classroom Management
4. Checking of Attendance
B. Review
The teacher will ask the following questions to her students to see if they can still
remember the topic from the previous meeting.
 What is probability?
 How do we define mutually exclusive and mutually inclusive events?
 What are dependent and independent events?
C. Motivation
The teacher will ask students to play a “pick a door” game. The game starts by
choosing a door and each door will have a corresponding problem about probability. The students
will identify if the given problem is independent or dependent on the other situation base on the
conditions given.
D. Presentation of the Lesson
After conducting the activity, the teacher will ask the students what they have
noticed and let them guess what is the next topic to be discussed.
E. Development of the Lesson
 (The teacher will explain the concept of Conditional Probability.)
Conditional Probability - the probability of an event occurring given that another event
has already occurred. The conditional probability of an event B is the probability that the event
will occur given that event A has already occurred.
In general, the conditional probability of B given that A has occurred is 𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =

and the conditional probability of A given that B has occurred is 𝑃(A|B) =

P ( A ∩B) P ( A ∩B)
.
P( A ) P( B)
(The teacher will cite and solve problems involving conditional Probability.)
Example 1. A pair of dice is rolled once, find the probability that: a) one of the dice shows
a 3 if it is known that the sum is 7. b) the sum is 7 if it is known that one of the dice shows a 3.
Solutions:

For letter a) one of the dice shows a 3 if it is known that the sum is 7.
 Let A be the event that the sum of the numbers is 7.
 Let B be the event that a 3 appears on one of the dice.
A = {(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)} n(A) = 6
B = {(1,3), (2,3), (3,3), (4,3), (5,3), (6,3), (3,1), (3,2), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6)} n(B)= 11
A ∩ B = {(3,4), (4,3)}
P(A∩B) = 2
Therefore, the probability that 3 will appear given that the sum is 7, denoted by

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
P ( A ∩B)
P( A )

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
2
6

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
1
3
For letter b) the sum is 7 if it is known that one of the dice shows a 3.
In this case, the events are interchanged so we simply rewrite the formula to denote the
probability that the sum is 7 given that one of the numbers is 3.

𝑃(A|B) =
P ( A ∩B)
.
P( B)

𝑃(A|B) =
2
11
Example 2: Three hundred fifty returning OFW’s were quarantined in two different locations,
Nova Hotel and Diplomat Lodge. After the mandatory 14- day quarantine, they were interviewed
whether they were satisfied or dissatisfied on the services available dwuring the quarantine. The
following table summarizes their responses.

If one person from the 350 OFW’s is chosen at random, find the probability that the person
a) is not satisfied given that he stayed at Diplomat Lodge.
b) stayed at Nova Hotel given that he is satisfied.
c) is known to have stayed at Diplomat Lodge and was satisfied.
For letter a) probability that the person is not satisfied given that he stayed at Diplomat Lodge.
 Let A be the event that the person is not satisfied.
 Let B be the event that the person stayed at Diplomat Lodge
Then substitute the given values to the formula:

𝑃(A|B) =
P ( A ∩B)
.
P( B)

𝑃(A|B) =
26
153

Therefore, the probability that the person is not satisfied given that he stayed at Diplomat Hotel is
26
.
153
For letter b) probability that the person stayed at Nova Hotel given that he is satisfied.
 Let A be the event that the person stayed at Nova Hotel.
 Let B be the event that the person is satisfied.
Then substitute the given values to the formula:

𝑃(A|B) =
P ( A ∩B)
.
P( B)

𝑃(A|B) =
143
270
143
Therefore, the probability that the person stayed at Nova Hotel given that he is satisfied is .
270
For letter c) probability that the person is known to have stayed at Diplomat Lodge was satisfied.
 Let A be the event that the person stayed at Diplomat Hotel.
 Let B be the event that the person was satisfied.
Then substitute the given values to the formula:

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
P ( A ∩B)
P( A )

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
127
153
Therefore, the probability that the person is known to have stayed at Diplomat Lodge and was
127
satisfied is .
153

GROUP ACTIVITY:
Directions: Solve the problems involving conditional probability and explain it in front of
the class afterwards. (Time allotted: 10 mins)
1. The probability of a student passing in science is ⅘ and the of the student passing in both
science and maths is ½. What is the probability of that student passing in maths knowing
that he passed in science?
2. In a survey among few people, 60% read Hindi newspaper, 40% read English newspaper
and 20% read both. If a person is chosen at random and if he already reads English
newspaper find the probability that he also reads Hindi newspaper.
3. In a class, 40% of the students like Mathematics and 25% of students like Physics and 15%
like both the subjects. One student selects at random, find the probability that he likes
Physics if it is known that he likes Mathematics.

Generalization
1. What is conditional probability?
2. What is the formula use in solving conditional probability?
3. How do we solve conditional probability?
IV. Evaluation
Directions: Answer the following problems involving conditional probability. Show your complet
solutions and encircle your final answer.
1. In a survey among Grade 10 parents, 68% have smartphones. 22% have basic phones and
smart phones. What is the probability that a parent has a basic phone given that he/she has
a smart phone?
2. A mathematics teacher gave her class two tests. Twenty-five percent of the class
passed both test and 42% of the class passed the first test. What percent of those who
passed the first test also passed the second test?

V. Assignment
Directions: On a one whole sheet of paper. Answer the following problems involving conditional
probability.
1. A jar contains black and white marbles. Two marbles are chosen without replacement. The
probability of selecting a black marble and then a white marble is 0.34, and the probability
of selecting a black marble on the first draw is 0.47. What is the probability of selecting a
white marble on the second draw, given that the first marble drawn was black?
2. The probability that it is Friday and that a student is absent is 0.03. Since there are 5 school
days in a week, the probability that it is Friday is 0.2. What is the probability that a student
is absent given that today is Friday?
 APPENDIX A

KEY ANSWERS IN EVALUATION

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
P ( A ∩B)
1.
P( A )

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
0.22
0.68

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
11
∨32.35 %
34
Therefore, the probability that a parent has a basic phone given that he/she has a
smart phone is 32.35%.

2. 𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
P ( A ∩B)
P( A )

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
0.25
0.42

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
25
∨60 %
42
Therefore, the probability that the second test was passed given that the first test
was passed is 60%.

KEY ANSWER IN ASSIGNMENT

1. 𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
P ( A ∩B)
P( A )

𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) =
0.34
0.47
𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) = 72 %

2. 𝑃(A|B) =
P ( A ∩B)
.
P( B)

𝑃(A|B) =
0.03
0.20
𝑃(A|B) = 15 %