Chapter 6
Chapter 6
CHAPTER 6
6-1
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
b) MTTFsystem =
1
+
(1 − p )λ 1 1
− M1
=
1 (1 − p )λ 1 1
+
OP
−
1
M OP
λ1 λ 1 + λ−2 − λ 2 λ 2 λ 1 + λ−2 Q
λ1 λ1 − λ 2 λ 2 λ1 Q
=
1
+
LM
(1 − p )λ 1 λ 1 − λ 2
= +
OP
1 (1 − p ) 1 .995 1
= + = + 199 = 2000
λ1 λ1 − λ 2 N
λ 2λ 1 λ1 λ2 Q λ 1 .005 λ 1
λ 1 = ( 2000 − 199)−1 =.000555 → MTTF = 1 / λ 1 = 1801
6.6
state unit1 unit2 unit3
1 on-line on-line standby
2 failed on-line standby
3 on-line failed standby
4 failed failed on-line
5 failed failed failed
dP1 ( t )
= −2λP1( t ) → P1( t ) = e −2 λt
dt
dP2 ( t )
= λP1( t ) − λP2 ( t ) = λe −2 λt − λP2 ( t )
dt
dP2 ( t )
+ λP2 ( t ) = λe −2 λt
dt
z z
P2 ( t )eλt = e −2 λt eλt dt + C = e − λt dt + C =
e − λt
−λ
+C
e − 2 λt e −2λt 1 − λt 1 − λt
P2 ( t ) = + Ce − λt = + e = e 1 − e − λt
−λ −λ λ λ
1 1
since P2 ( 0) = 0 = + C, C =
−λ λ
dP3 ( t ) 1 − λt
= λP1 ( t ) − λP3 ( t ) = e 1 − e − λt since state 3 is equivalent to state 2
dt λ
6-2
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
dP4 ( t )
= λP2 ( t ) + λP3 ( t ) − λP4 ( t ) = 2e − λt 1 − e − λt − λP4 ( t )
dt
z
P4 ( t )eλt = 2e − λt 1 − e − λt eλt dt + C = 2 t +
LM e OP + C
N λQ
− λt
P4 ( t ) = 2e − λt t +
LM e − λt OP + Ce − λt
= 2 e − λt
LMt + e − 1 OP
− λt
N λ Q N λ λQ
2 2
since P4 ( 0) = 0 = +C→C = −
R( t ) = P1 ( t ) + P2 ( t ) + P3 ( t ) + P4 ( t ) = e −2 λt + 2te − λt
∞ 1 ∞ 1 2
MTTF = ∫ R(t ) dt = + 2∫ te − λt dt = +
0 2 0 2λ λ 2
6.7 Load Sharing System with λ1=λ2=λ=.05 and λ+1 = λ+2 =.2.
2 +
R( t ) = e −2λt + e − λ t − e −2 λt
2λ − λ+
2(.05)
R(5) = e −2(.05)( 5 ) + e −.2( 5) − e2(.05)5 =.6065+.2387 =.8452
2(.05)−.2
1 2λ 1 1 1 LM2(.05) 1 1 OP M OP
MTTF = + −
2λ 2λ − λ+ λ+ 2λ
= +
N Q
− = 10 + ( −1) 5 − 10 = 15 hrs
2(.05) 2(.05)−.2 .2 .1 Q
6.8 Single 1000 gpm pump:
TTF = 700 hrs and t d = − MTTF ln R 700 ln(.80) 156.2 hrs
Load Sharing System: TTF = 600 hrs MTTF=700 is preferred MTTF.
− 2 λt 2 − λ+ t −2 λ t −2 t / 800 2 / 800
R( t ) = e + +
e −e =e + e − t / 200 − e −2t / 800
2λ − λ 2 / 800 − 1 / 200
= e− t / 400 − (1) e− t / 200 − e − t / 400 =.80
By trial and error: t R(t)
200 .8452
225 .8149
235 .8026
236 .8014
237 .8001 tR = 237 hrs is preferred design life.
6.10
6-3
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
MTTF(c) =
1
+
λ1 1
−
1
+
λ2 LM1
−
1 OP M OP
N Q Q
=235.57
λ1 + λ 2 λ1 + λ 2 − λ 2 λ 2 λ1 + λ 2
+ +
λ1 + λ 2 − λ1 λ1 λ1 + λ 2
+ +
F λ λ IJ te
P (t ) = G
FG λ λ IJ e
Hλ −λ K H (λ − λ ) K
− λ st −λat
3
a s
+ a s
2
− e− λ st
a s a s
6-4
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
R( t ) = P1 ( t ) + P2 ( t ) + P3 ( t )
FG λ IJ e FG λ λ IJ te FG λ λ IJ e
= e− λ at +
Hλ −λ K Hλ −λ K H (λ − λ ) K
− λ st
a
− e− λ at + a s − λ st
+ a s
2
− λat
− e − λ st
z z
a s a s a s
∞ 1
2 s 2 a 2 1
MTTF = R( t )dt = + + a
note: te − λ st dt =
0 λ a λ s ( λ a − λ s ) ( λ a − λ s )2 λ2s
6.13
MTTF = z∞
0 z
R( t )dt = 0 e− b λ1 + λ 2 g t +
θ
λ 1 + λ 2 − λ+2
1
z ∞
0
e − λ 2t − e − b λ1 + λ 2 g t
+
+
λ2
z e −e b
∞ − λ+1 t − λ1 +λ 2 t g = 1
+
λ1 1
−
1
+
LM OP
λ 1 + λ 2 − λ+1 0
λ1 + λ 2 λ1 + λ 2 − λ 2 λ 2 λ1 + λ 2
+ +
N Q
+
λ2 LM 1 − 1 OP
λ 1 + λ 2 − λ+1 Nλ λ + λ Q
+
1 1 2
6.15 MTTF = z ∞
0
( λt )i
i=0 i !
z
k −1 λi
∞ ∞
k −1 λi i !
e− λt ∑
dt = ∑ 0 e− λt t i dt = ∑
Rk ( t ) = 0
i= 0 i !
k −1
i=0 i ! λ
i +1
k −1 1
=∑ =
i=0 λ
k
λ
z
z
∞ n − ax
where 0 x e dx =
Γ( n + 1)
a n+1
n!
= n+1 for n positive integer
a
6.16
λ1 λ2
1 2 3
dP1 ( t )
= − λ 1 P1 ( t ) → P1 ( t ) = e − λ1t
dt
6-5
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
dP2 ( t )
= λ 1 P1 ( t ) − λ 2 P2 ( t )
dt
dP2 ( t )
+ λ 2 P2 ( t ) = λ 1 P1 ( t ) = λ 1e − λ1t
dt
z
P2eλ 2t = λ 1e− ( λ1 − λ 2 )t dt =
λ1
−( λ 1 − λ 2 )
e−( λ − λ )t + C 1 2
λ1 λ1 λ1
P2 ( t ) = e− λ t + Ce − λ t =
1
e− λ t − e− λ t , P2 ( 0) = 0 → C =
2 2 1
−( λ 1 − λ 2 ) ( λ1 − λ 2 ) ( λ1 − λ 2 )
MTTF = z∞
R( t )dt = z∞
P ( t )dt + z
∞
P2 ( t )dt =
1
+
λ1
M 1
−
1 OP
0 0 1 0
λ1 λ 1 − λ 2 λ 2 λ1 Q
=
1
+
λ1 LM
λ1 − λ 2
=
1 λ OP
+ 1 =
1
+
1
λ1 N
λ 1 − λ 2 λ 1λ 2 Q
λ 1 λ 1λ 2 λ1 λ 2
6.17
State State Description
1 2 units operating, one in standby
2 1 unit failed, 2 units operating
3 2 units failed, 1 operating (system has failed)
2λ 2λ
1 2 3
dP1 (t ) dP2 (t )
= −2λ P1 (t ) = 2λ P1 (t ) − 2λ P2 ( t ) and R = P1 ( t ) + P2 ( t )
dt dt
(a) λ = .07 + .08 = .15 and λ+ = .27: R = .9664 using eq. 6.19 and MTTF = 7037 using eq. 6.20.
(b) λ = λ1 = λ2 = .27 and λ- = λ-2 = .01 + .02 = .03, and p = .10: R = .9446 using eq. 6.33 and
MTTF = 6703 from 1/λ + (1-p) / (λ + λ-) (eq. 6.30 adjusted for p)
6.19 (a) λ = .08 + .12 = .2, λ- = .01 + .04 = .05; use Eq. 6.29 for R(1) and Eq. 6.30 for MTTF
R(1) = .9761, MTTF = 8.57
(b) λ+ = .08 + .12 = .2, λ = .05 + .09 = .14; use Eq. 6.19 for R(1) and Eq. 6.20 for MTTF
R(1) = .9133, MTTF = 4.167
6.20 λ1 = .01; λ1+ = .02 load-sharing: λ2 = .02, λ2+ = .04 ; standby λ1 = .01, λ2- = .005, λ2 = .04
Load-sharing: R(8) = .978, MTTF = 75hr
Standby: R(8) =.976, MTTF = 70 hr
P{ Layze dig} = P2 (8) = .123
6-6
Ebeling, An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Engineering, 2nd ed.
Waveland Press, Inc., Copyright © 2009
R (t) is the equivalent to finding the probability of no more than N-k failures (the number of
sys
standby or replacement units) during time t. To find the MTTF,
∞ ∞ N −k
k λt ) N −k
k λ ) ∞ − k λt
∫ Rsys (t ) dt = ∫ e ∑ dt = ∑
i ! ∫0
− k λt
te dt
0 0 i=0 i! i=0
=∑
N −k
( kλ ) 1 1 N −k
1 MTTF N −k
1
i =0 i! k λ 2 2
=
kλ
∑ i! =
i =0 k
∑ i!
i =0
where MTTF = 1/ λ
6-8