Forecasting
Forecasting
INCOME STATEMENT
$ in min 2020 2021 2022
Revenue 2226989 2,546,276 2,851,733
CGS -1627818 -1,701,192 -1,925,157
Gross Profit 599,171 845,084 926,576
Operating Expenses -464867 -464,046 -615,914
EBITDA 134,304 381,038 310,662
D&A -89549 -96041 -99825
EBIT 44,755 284,997 210,837
Interest Expenses -72708 -18854 -6665
EBT -27,953 266,143 204,172
Taxes -16491 -83204 -132832
EAT -44,444 182,939 71,340
Other Income 45961 107351 60632
Net Income 1,517 290,290 131,972
9.25%
73.59%
20.88%
29%
Ba
$ in min Jun-20
Trade Receivables 283707
Inventory 680918
PP&E 335043
Cash Bank Balances 22825
Intangible Assets 1781
Long Term Loans 8743
Long-term Deposits 1309
Deffered tax asset net 173634
Current Assets
Stores and spares 47822
Loans and Advances 61532
Trade Deposits, short term prepayments and other recievables 38124
Taxation 24843
Short term investments 0
Sales tax refundable 0
Assets 1680281
Trade Payables 530407
Provisions 0
Long term Finance 0
Deferred Govt Grant 0
Financial Liabilities 0
Current Liabilities
Current portion of long term finance 0
Current portion of deferred govt grand 0
Short Term loan from a related party 585262
Current portion of lease liability 0
Unclaimed Dividend 3188
Short term running finance 429854
Mark-up accrued 14783
Equity 116787
Liabilities & Equity 1680281
DSO 45.8621573793135
DIO
DPO
Other Assets %
Other Liabilities %
16542 24661 0 0
1794 612 0 0
356550 376150 498075 951390
0 534 1268 11995
3186 1589 1765 1955
0 96062 451183 0
655 1223 22802 16026
500977 712994 697523 675695
1485431 1845908 2288964 2293889
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
1165086.2053928 1426781.725682 1747257.91389 2139717.8 2620329.9
Period 0 1
Payment 3060.47
Interest -2566.2
Principal repayment 494.27
Residual debt 12831 12336.73
Long Term Loans
Payment 1771.95
Interest 1485.6
Principal repayment 286.35
Residual debt 7428 7141.65
Loans and advances
Payment 15432.97
Interest 12939
Principal repayment 2493.97
Residual debt 64695 62201.03
Current portion of lease liability
Payment 2861
Interest 2399
Principal repayment 462
Residual debt 11995 11533
Jun-22 Jun-23 Jun-24 Jun-25
3092 6792 12831
3700 6039
494.27
3092 6792 12831 12336.73
2 3 4 5
3060.47 3060.47 3060.47 3060.47
-2467.346 -2348.7212 -2206.37144 -2035.551728
593.124 711.7488 854.09856 1024.918272
11743.606 11031.8572 10177.75864 9152.840368
59,019
675695 734714.1900899
40%
Forecast
Jun-26 Jun-27 Jun-28 Jun-29
734714.1900899 790756.6182 863751.4919209 954141.606
Forecast
$ in mln 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
EBITDA 191,097 208,776 228,091 249,193 272,247
Interest expenses -2566.2 -2467.346 -2348.721 -2206.371 -2035.552
Taxes -15850 -14506.57 -21295.45 -28258.51 -35551.86
Change in Trade Receivables -155860 -29264.72 -31972.15 -34930.06 -38161.61
Change in Inventory -83916.16 -96504.41 -105433 -115187 -125843
Change in Trade Payables 110691.6 67969.76 74257.98 81127.96 88633.52
Long Term Loans 286.35 343.62 412.344 494.8128 593.7754
Long Term Deposits -554.85 -638.0775 -733.7891 -843.8575 -970.4361
Capex -207522 -143219 -143219 -143219 -143219
Loans and advances 2493.97 2992.764 3591.317 4309.58 5171.496
Trade deposits -5234.55 -6019.732 -6922.692 -7961.096 -9155.261
WACC
30-Jun-25 30-Jun-26
Cash Flows 46,267 248,565
WACC 58.6831% 58.7681%
Terminal Value
PV $187,862.67 $298,106.26
Firm Value
Number of Shares
Share Price
30-Jun-22 30-Jun-23 30-Jun-24 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-26
3092 6792 12831 12336.73 11743.61
712994 697523 675695 734714.1901 790756.6
Average
0.26402754126149 0.25440634976915 0.24654734942 1.28435323
30-Jun-27 30-Jun-28 30-Jun-29
11031.86 10177.76 9152.84
863751.5 954141.6 1062748