final22_sol
final22_sol
Spring 2022
Emmanuel Saez
Final Exam
May 13
Exam Instructions:
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1. True/False/Uncertain (20 points, 2 points per question.)
Explain your answer fully based on what was discussed in class, since all the credit is based
on the explanation. Your grade depends entirely on the substance of your justification, not on
whether you are correct in writing “True” or “False”. Note that it is possible to answer each
question for full credit with three sentences or fewer, and answers longer than ten lines long will
not be graded.
(a) Suppose there three options for combatting climate change are put to a vote: L=low
spending, M=medium spending, H=high spending. Suppose that M beats L in majority
voting and that H beats M in majority voting. Does this imply that H beats L in majority
voting?
SOLUTION: No, majority voting can create cycles H > M > L but L > H (see the
example in seen in class for public school spending). If every voter has single peaked
preferences, then such cycles cannot happen (median voter theorem). In the case of
climate change spending, single peaked preferences make sense.
(b) A tax of $1 per unit imposed on producers of good B has exactly the same economic
impact as a tax of $1 per unit imposed on consumers of good B.
SOLUTION: Yes, this is a prediction that holds in the standard competitive economic
model.
(c) There is no need for government to provide retirement benefits as rational individuals can
save for retirement themselves.
SOLUTION: True in the theoretical life-cyle model of savings (Modigliani model). In
practice however, most individuals are not able to save for retirement as predicted by
the life-cycle model and would have to keep working into very old age, be destitute, or
get support from children (as happened before government social security programs were
created). Therefore, in practice, government provided retirement benefits are needed and
are indeed ubiquitous.
(d) More generous unemployment insurance benefits lead to longer unemployment spells,
therefore the government should not provide any unemployment insurance benefits.
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SOLUTION: False. It is true that more generous unemployment insurance benefits lead
to longer unemployment spells (studies for the US or Austria seen in class) and therefore
unemployment insurance benefits create moral hazard. However, unemployment insurance
benefits also provide consumption smoothing benefits. Hence, there is a trade-off and the
optimal unemployment insurance replacement rate should be positive but less than 100%.
(e) Thanks to Obamacare, everybody in the United States can get affordable health care
insurance.
SOLUTION: This was the aim of Obamacare through a combination of Medicaid expan-
sion for people below 138% of the poverty line and then subsidies on Obamacare exchanges
for people above. In practice, this is not perfectly true because a number of states (includ-
ing Texas and Florida) refused to do the Medicaid expansion so that low income people
in these states can find themselves in a gap: not eligible for Medicaid and not eligible for
Obamacare exchange subsidies. Undocumented immigrants are not eligible for Obamacare
and also can’t get affordable health care insurance.
(f) In the life-cycle model where people work and save when young and life off their savings
and returns on savings when old, the government should not tax capital income.
SOLUTION: True, this is the Atkinson-Stiglitz 1976 theorem discussed in class. It says
that the the optimal tax rate on capital income should be zero. Using a labor tax on
earnings is sufficient.
(g) Majoring in economics in college has a large positive causal impact on future earnings.
SOLUTION: True based on the study for UC Santa Cruz that carried out a regression
discontinuity design using a GPA requirement in econ 1-2 to be able to become econ major.
There is a jump in likelihood of being an econ major at the GPA requirement threshold
which then translates into a jump in earnings after graduation. This is very compelling
evidence that majoring in economics in college has a large positive causal impact on future
earnings.
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(h) The spike in retirement hazard at the Early Retirement Age of 62 in the US Social Security
system is evidence that many individuals do not follow the rational model of life-cycle
savings.
SOLUTION: True: There is indeed a spike in retirement hazard at the ERA of 62. A
rational person is not affected by the ERA because somebody who wants to retire earlier
than the ERA would save in advance and live off savings before getting the benefits at
ERA.
(i) It is rational for someone to want the government to tax everyone in order to fund a public
good and then for that person to try to avoid paying the tax herself.
SOLUTION: True. This is an example of the free-rider problem. Public goods are under-
supplied privately and hence it is desirable to have a system (a government in practice)
that forces everybody to contribute to public goods through taxes and government provi-
sion of the public good. From an individual selfish perspective, it makes sense to try and
avoid paying taxes.
(j) The optimal linear tax rate is never above the revenue maximizing tax rate.
SOLUTION: True. If the tax rate were above the maximizing revenue rate, decreasing
the tax rate would make taxpayers happier and increase tax revenue, a win-win situation
[a Pareto improvement].
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2. Local Public Goods (20 points)
Destruction of wildlife due to wildfires is a serious problem in the state of Califirenia. The cities
of Animaley (A) and Birdeley (B) are trying to decide how much they want to contribute to a
joint fire department to provide fire protection services for both cities. The two cities (i = A, B)
have identical preferences:
(a) What are the characteristics of a pure public good? Do fire departments and fire protection
services fit these characteristics? Please explain why or why not in no more than five
sentences. (3 points)
Solution: The two characteristics are non-rivalry and non-excludability. Putting out
fires can be considered non-excludable, since putting out a house fire not only benefits the
directly affected residence, but all neighboring residences threatened by the fire. Also, it
can be non-rival, since one resident’s fire protection doesn’t generally impact a neighbor’s
fire protection. However, it may be considered rival in consumption if constant emergencies
in a particular neighborhood constrain the fire department’s ability to put out new fires.
Also, there are a few cases of fire departments refusing to assist residents who do not pay
required service fees (excludability).
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(b) For the rest of the problem, let’s assume that the fire department is a pure public good.
Write down the budget constraint and determine the private equilibrium level of contri-
butions for each city, fA and fB . Show that total fire services Fprivate are equal to 60% of
the total budget $150 ($150 is the sum of $100 from town A and $50 from town B). (3
points)
Solution: The two cities have identical preferences but different budgets, so their best-
response functions are going to be slightly different. Under private provision, each city
solves M RS = M RT . In addition, note that M RT = 1 because the price of the private
good and an unit of fire protection services are both equal to $1. Animaley’s budget
constraint is 100 = xA + fA . Therefore,
300 − fB
⇒ 300 − 3fA = fA + fB ⇒ fA = .
4
Birdeley’s budget constraint is 50 = xB + fB . Hence, by the same token,
150 − fA
⇒ 150 − 3fB = fA + fB ⇒ fB = .
4
Substituting the expression for Birdeley’s best response function into Animaly’s best re-
sponse function and solving for fA , we get fA = 300 − 41 150 − 14 fA ⇒ 15 f = 1050
4 4 16 A 16
⇒
fA∗ = 16 × 15 = 70. Plugging fA∗ = 70 back into Animaley’s best response function yields
1050 16
fB∗ = 150−70
4
= 20. Therefore, Fprivate = fA + fB = 90 which is 60% of $150.
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∗
(c) Derive the socially optimal contribution to fire services Fsocial and express it as a percentage
of the total budget $150. Why is this percentage higher than in question (b)? Hint: you
don’t need to derive socially optimal fA∗ and fB∗ separately. (2 points)
∗
P
Solution: The social planner sets Fsocial such that M RS = M RT . Recall that
3xA 3xB ∗
M RSA = F and M RSB = F . Therefore, Fsocial is pinned down by the following
equation:
3xA 3xB
+ = 1.
F F
Substituting the budget constraints xA = 100 − fA and xB = 50 − fB , we get:
(d) Governor of Califirenia Gabby Oldsom is aware of the difference in private equilibrium
contributions versus the social optimum level of fire protection for the two cities, and
she proposes a block grant of $30 that is to be distributed proportionally to cities’
existing budgets, i.e., $20 to town A and $10 to town B. Derive the new levels of private
contributions fA and fB in equilibrium. Discuss whether this block grant would help to
achieve socially-optimal level of fire services spending under the free market allocation.
Hint: this last part does not require math and can be done with reasoning.
(3 points)
Solution: The new budget constraints under the grant are xA = 120 − fA and xB =
60 − fB . Paralleling the derivations from (a), you will find that everything is 20% higher
so that fA = 84 and fB = 24 so that F = 108.
360 − fB 1
fA = = 90 − fB
4 4
180 − fA 1
fB = = 45 − fA
4 4
Substituting Animaley’s best response into Birdeley’s best response and solving for fB
yields:
1 1 15 90 90 16
fB = 45 − 90 − fB ⇒ fB = ⇒ fB∗ = × = 24.
4 4 16 4 4 15
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Substituting fB∗ = 24 into Animaley’s best response function yields fA∗ = 84. Therefore,
after the block grant is disbursed, the new private equilibrium level of fire services spending
block
is Fprivate = 84 + 24 = 108, which is still less than the socially-optimal level of 112.5 found
in (c). Neither of the two cities increase their fire services spending by the full amount of
the grant. The reason is because the block grant can be interpreted as an upward shift
in the budget constraint equal to the size of the grant. Therefore, we should expect an
increase in consumption of both x and F .
(e) Suppose that Governor Oldsom decides to drop the block grant idea. However, she is still
determined to bring spending on fire services in both cities to the social optimum level. She
approaches a prominent economist at the University of Califirenia at Birdeley (you) and
asks them to design a matching grant proposal that would achieve this goal. A matching
grant at rate g adds g dollars to any dollar of private contributions by Animaley and
Birdeley. Therefore, we now have F = (1 + g) · (fA + fB ). Derive the private equilibrium
level of contributions for each city, fA and fB when the matching grant at rate g is in
place. Derive the matching grant rate g that can deliver the social optimal level of fire
services. (4 points)
Solution: Given the log additivity, log(F ) = log(1 + g) + log(fA + fB ) so that each town
maximization is exactly identical as in (a) so we will get the same solutions fA = 70 and
fB = 20, but now F = (1 + g) · 90. So the subsidy at rate g simply increases the public
good by a factor 1 + g. The optimum level of fire remains 75% of the total budget $150
while private contributions are 60% of the total budget $150. So the matching grant that
delivers the social optimum is 1 + g = 75/60 or g = 15/60 = 25%.
For the rest of the problem, suppose that Animaley and Birdeley do not share
their fire departments. Each city has 2 types of individuals, M and W. Type Ms
want fire department contributions in their city to equal F = 60, while type Ws
want contributions to equal F = 20. The population of Animaley has 60% type Ms,
whereas the population of Birdeley has 60% type Ws.
(f) Explain (without maths) what mechanism for local public good provision could generate
the socially optimal level of fire department services being provided in both cities and
such that all type M and W individuals will be satisfied. (3 points)
Solution: The median voter theorem predicts F = 60 in Animaley, and F = 20 in
Birdeley. Tiebout sorting then predicts that type Ws in Animaley and type Ms in Birdeley
who want their preferred level of re protection can choose to move to the other city.
(g) Why might the mechanism in (f) not work in the real world? In no more than three
sentences, discuss all possible reasons you can think of. (2 points)
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Solution: Moving costs, imperfect information about benefits and taxes in each city,
possible spillovers of public services provided.
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3. Disability Insurance (20 points)
In the country called Communalia, society consists of identical people each earning a wage W
(W > $10) when they are employed. Each worker faces a probability q of sustaining a workplace
injury. If injured, they become disabled, they cannot work and their total income goes down to
$10. All people have the same utility function of consumption C:
U (C) = log(C),
where C equals to worker’s total income.
(a) What is the expression for the expected utility of each worker? (2 points)
Solution:
EU uninsured = (1 − q) log(W ) + q log(10).
(b) Write down the government’s break-even constraint and the expression for each worker’s
expected utility under this program. Hint: t is a dollar tax, not a tax rate. (2 points)
Solution: The government break-even constraint implies that
qb
(1 − q)t = qb ⇒ t=
1−q
Each worker’s expected utility under this program is
(c) What is the optimal worker compensation system? That is, what is the system that,
subject to the government’s break-even constraint, maximizes worker utility? Derive both
the optimal benefit level b∗ and the optimal tax t∗ . (2 points)
Solution: Substituting the government break-even constraint into the expected utility
function and maximizing the resulting objective function with respect to b yields:
qb
EU (b) = (1 − q) log(W − ) + q log(10 + b) → max
1−q b
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The first order condition is:
−q q q
b∗ = (1 − q) W − 10
qb
+ =0 ⇒ 1+ b = W − 10 ⇒
W − 1−q 10 + b 1−q
(d) Without any calculations, can you say if the government compensation program from (c)
beneficial for the workers? Would your answer change if worker preferences were of the
√
U (C) = C form? If preferences were U (C) = C instead, would the optimal program
derived in (c) be the same or different? (3 points)
Solution: Yes, there are welfare gains because the agent is risk averse. If U (C) = C, the
workers are risk-neutral, so there will be no welfare gains from the program. The optimal
program derived in (c) provides perfect insurance because the utility log(C) is concave.
√
Any concave utility, including U (C) = C would also lead to an optimum with perfect
insurance (as we derived in class).
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(e) Suppose now that the government of Communalia wants to maximize its expected profit
from the program instead of just breaking-even. Assuming the government decides to
keep the benefits at the same level as b∗ you found in (c) and assuming the workers would
choose to stay in the program if they are indifferent, what is the highest possible amount
of the tax, tmax , the government can charge? Simplify the resulting expression as much as
you can. Hint: you are asked to derive the worker individual rationality aka participation
constraint. (4 points)
Solution: Assuming that b∗ = (1 − q) W − 10 , we want to find such level of t for which
workers would be indifferent between staying in the program and remaining uninsured.
Specifically, we need to find all t for which the following inequality holds (and turns into
equality at t = tmax ):
EU program ≥ EU uninsured
(1 − q) log(W − t) + q log 10 + (1 − q) W − 10 ≥ (1 − q) log(W ) + q log(10)
W −t 10
(1 − q) log ≥ q log
W 10 + (1 − q) W − 10
1−q W −t 10
log ≥ log
q W 10 + (1 − q) W − 10
1−q !
W −t q 10
log ≥ log
W 10 + (1 − q) W − 10
1−q
W −t q 10
≥
W 10 + (1 − q) W − 10
q
1−q
t 10
1− ≥
W 10 + (1 − q) W − 10
" q #
1−q
10
⇒ tmax = W × 1 − .
10 + (1 − q) W − 10
(f) For this question only, assume that the wage is W = $90 and the probability of
becoming disabled is q = 21 . Using your answer in (e), calculate the tmax that a profit-
maximizing government would set. What would be its expected per-worker profit from
this program assuming it still pays out the disability benefit b∗ that you found in (c)?
(2 points)
Solution: Plugging the numbers into the expressions for b∗ and tmax we found in (c) and
(e), respectively, yields:
1
b∗ = × (90 − 10) = 40,
2
13
" #
max 10 1 4
t = 90 × 1 − = 90 × 1 − = 90 × = 72.
10 + 12 × 80 5 5
Therefore, the government’s expected per-worker profit is:
1 1
Eπ = (1 − q)tmax − qb∗ = × 72 − × 40 = 36 − 20 = 16.
2 2
(g) The workers of Communalia, astonished by the overt rent-seeking behavior of their gov-
ernment, overthrow it. The new government lifts the ban on private disability insurance
and soon the country’s insurance market becomes perfectly competitive, with private in-
surers offering disability plans at actuarially fair price. Assuming that workers cannot
simultaneously own private insurance and participate in the government program, will
the new government be able to continue running its worker compensation program at a
positive profit? Explain using no more than three sentences. (2 points)
Solution: No. Under the profit-maximizing government’s regime, workers enrolled in the
program were receiving the same utility as in the case of no insurance. Since workers
are risk-averse and private insurance premiums are actuarially fair, workers will be able
to receive higher expected utility if they buy private insurance. Therefore, everyone will
leave the government disability compensation program.
(h) Suppose that the new government of Communalia decides to keep its worker compensation
program and switches back to the break-even regime. Show that under actuarially fair
price of private insurance plans, the workers will be indifferent between staying in the
government program and buying private insurance. Hint: under actuarially fair price, the
expected utility of being privately insured is EU insurance = U (W − p), where p is the price
of insurance, and the optimal private insurance benefit is b∗ = W − 10 (full insurance).
(3 points)
Solution: We want to show that under actuarially fair price of private insurance and
break-even tax level of the government program, EU program = EU insurance . Recall that
the break-even level of tax is t∗ = q(W − 10) and b∗ = (1 − q)(W − 10). Therefore, we
want to show that:
?
EU program = EU insurance
?
(1 − q) log(W − q(W − 10)) + q log(10 + (1 − q)(W − 10)) = log(W − q(W − 10))
?
q log(10 + (1 − q)(W − 10)) = q log(W − q(W − 10))
?
log(10 + (1 − q)(W − 10)) = log(W − q(W − 10))
?
10 + (1 − q)(W − 10) = W − q(W − 10)
W − 10 + 10 − q(W − 10) = W − q(W − 10)
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Indeed, given our assumptions on t and p, the workers will be indifferent between the two
options for all possible values of W and q.
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