Unit - 12 Notes
Unit - 12 Notes
Learning objectives:
1. Introduction
In this session, we will start by talking about internationalisation and the problems businesses face
when working across countries. Then, we will explain some basic words used in international trade
and how payments are made in these deals. After that, we will learn how foreign exchange rates (the
value of one currency compared to another) are shown and what things can change a country’s
exchange rate. Finally, we will look at how businesses can protect themselves from risks caused by
exchange rate changes by using tools like forwards and options.
2. Challenges of Internationalisation
International trade means buying and selling money, goods, and services between countries.
Because businesses are working more globally now, there is a lot more trading between countries.
One big challenge when trading across countries is the risk that currency values can change, which
can cause problems.
2.1 International Trade Terms
In international trade, there are two main players: the importer and the exporter.
The importer is the buyer who brings goods or services into their country.
The exporter is the seller who sends goods or services to another country.
Goods brought into a country are called imports, and those same goods are called exports in the
country that sent them.
Trade balance is the difference between how much a country sells to other countries (exports) and
how much it buys from them (imports).
If a country sells more than it buys, it has a trade surplus.
If it buys more than it sells, it has a trade deficit.
3. International Trade Finance
3.1 Letter of Credit
In international trade, one big problem is that the buyer (importer) and seller (exporter) often don’t
know each other. Because of this, they may not trust each other to pay or deliver the goods first. For
example, the importer doesn’t want to pay before getting the goods, and the exporter doesn’t want
to send the goods without payment.
To solve this, a bank can help by acting as a middleman. One common tool banks use is called a
Letter of Credit (LC). It is a guarantee from the bank that the exporter will get paid.
a) Step 1:
The importer (buyer) agrees to buy goods from the exporter (seller) and signs a contract.
Then, the importer asks their bank to issue a Letter of Credit (LC) to the exporter.
If the bank trusts that the importer can pay (creditworthy), it agrees and sends the LC to the
exporter.
This means the bank is promising to pay the exporter on the importer’s behalf.
b) Step 2:
Now that the bank has guaranteed payment, the exporter feels safe to send the goods.
The exporter ships the goods using a transport company (called a carrier).
Once the goods are loaded, the carrier gives the exporter a Bill of Lading (BOL) — a
document that proves the goods have been received for shipping.
c) Step 3:
The exporter then gives the BOL to their bank to get paid.
The exporter’s bank works with the importer’s bank (the one that issued the LC) to collect
the money.
At the same time, the importer’s bank gives the BOL to the importer in exchange for
payment.
d) Step 4:
With the BOL in hand, the importer can now show it to the carrier and collect the goods once
they arrive in their country.
This completes the international trade process.
4. Exchange Rate
A foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency when you trade it for another.
For example, let’s look at the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Singapore dollar
(SGD or S$):
US$1.00 = S$1.3644 → This means 1 U.S. dollar is worth 1.3644 Singapore dollars.
S$1.00 = US$0.7329 → This means 1 Singapore dollar is worth 0.7329 U.S. dollars.
In global markets, the exchange rate is usually written like this:
S$1.3644/US$ — meaning 1 U.S. dollar equals 1.3644 Singapore dollars.
For example, if the currency gets weaker or stronger during that time, the business might lose
money.
To protect themselves, companies can use something called hedging.
Hedging means taking another position (using a financial tool) that helps reduce or cancel out the
risk of losing money in the original deal.
How much a company chooses to hedge depends on how much risk it is willing to take:
A company that avoids risk (called risk-averse) may try to hedge most or all of the risk.
But hedging isn’t free — it costs money, so businesses must think carefully about how much
to hedge.
In this module, you will learn about two common hedging methods:
1. Forward Hedge
2. Option Hedge
Conclusion
Using a forward hedge, the company paid S$1,000 more than the earlier rate, but saved S$2,000
compared to what they would have paid at the new spot rate.
Let me know if you want the Option Hedge example explained next!
5.2 Foreign Currency Option Hedge
A foreign currency option is like an insurance policy for a company dealing in foreign money.
It gives the company:
The right to buy or sell a foreign currency at a fixed rate (called the strike price),
But the company is not forced to use it if it doesn’t want to.
This right is valid until a specific date (called the expiration date).
The company pays a premium (a small fee) to buy this option. In return, it gets:
1. Protection — If exchange rates move in a bad way (like becoming more expensive), the
company can use the option and save money.
2. Flexibility — If exchange rates move in a good way (like becoming cheaper), the company
can ignore the option and use the better rate.
Example (Simple Scenario)
Let’s say:
A Singapore company needs to pay US$10,000 in the future.
It buys a currency option that allows it to buy US$1 at S$1.60 any time before 1st Feb.
It pays a premium of S$200 for this option.
Scenario A: If the spot rate rises to S$1.80
The company uses the option and buys US$10,000 at S$1.60, saving money.
It avoids paying S$18,000 (1.80 × 10,000) and pays only S$16,000.
So, net savings = S$2,000 (but minus S$200 premium = S$1,800 total savings).
Scenario B: If the spot rate drops to S$1.40
The company ignores the option.
It buys at the better rate of S$1.40, paying only S$14,000.
The option cost is lost (S$200), but the company still saves compared to S$16,000.
Illustration 2: Call Option
Original Trade Transaction
A Singapore company buys goods worth US$10,000 from a U.S. company on 1st Jan 20X6.
The spot rate on that day is US$1 = S$1.40.
The payment is due on 1st Feb 20X6, so the company must pay US$10,000 then.
The company faces risk if the US dollar becomes stronger (more expensive).
Hedging Transaction
To protect against this, the company buys a call option on US dollars.
This gives it the right to buy US$10,000 at a fixed rate of S$1.40/US$ (called the strike price).
The company can choose to use this option or ignore it, depending on which is better on the
payment date.
On Settlement Date (1st Feb 20X6)
The company must decide whether to exercise or abandon the option:
(a) Abandon the option
If the spot rate is lower than the strike price (e.g., S$1.30/US$), USD is cheaper.
The company ignores the option and buys USD at the cheaper rate: S$1.30 × 10,000 =
S$13,000.
This means the company saves money compared to the strike price.
Foreign exchange gain = (S$1.40 - S$1.30) × 10,000 = S$1,000
Conclusion
The call option lets the company limit losses while still benefiting if rates move in their Favor.
The company pays a premium for this flexibility.
This is a useful tool if the company wants protection but also a chance to gain from good
rate changes.
Illustration 3: Put Option
Original Trade Transaction
A Singapore exporter sold goods worth US$10,000 to a U.S. company on 1st Jan 20X6 when the spot
rate was US$1 = S$1.40. The payment will be received after one month, on 1st Feb 20X6. This
exposes the Singapore company to the risk of the USD depreciating against SGD during this time.
1st Jan
Spot rate = S$1.40/US$
1st Feb
Would receive US$10,000 for the goods sold
Hedging Transaction
The Singapore company can buy a USD put option from an option writer. The agreed exchange rate
(strike price) is S$1.40/US$, same as the spot rate.
This contract gives the right to sell USD at S$1.40 on 1st Feb 20X6.
This is a put-on USD and a call on SGD, called a USD/SGD PUT by market participants.
1. When goods are brought into a country, they are known as imports, while goods sent to another
country are known as exports.
2. A letter of credit is issued by a bank on behalf of an importer.
3. Exchange rate risk is the risk caused by varying exchange rates between two currencies.
4. The spot exchange rate is the rate of exchange between any two currencies on a given day while
the forward exchange rate is the rate of exchange between two currencies at some specific future
date.
5. The most important factor affecting exchange rates is the differing inflation rates between two
countries, where the currency with the higher rate will decline relative to the country with the
lower rate.
6. A foreign exchange forward contract requires participants to buy or sell a specified currency at a
specified price on a specified date.
7. A/An option provides the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a foreign currency, at a
defined price, on or before a specified date.
8. The importer could hedge the risk of appreciation in the foreign currency by purchasing a foreign
currency call option. The exporter could hedge the risk of depreciation in the foreign currency by
purchasing a foreign currency put option.
Section C: Activities
Solution-
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Solution -
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2. A major risk faced by multinational corporations when dealing with international finance is:
a) Domestic competition
b) Currency exchange fluctuations
c) Regulatory compliance in home country
d) Saturation of domestic markets
4. Which of the following institutions is known for providing short-term financial assistance to
countries facing balance of payments problems?
a) World Bank
b) Asian Development Bank
c) IMF
d) WTO
5. Which financial instrument is commonly used by firms to hedge against foreign exchange
risk?
a) Equity shares
b) Debentures
c) Forward contracts
d) Preference shares
Practical Questions
1. A company based in India expects to receive $500,000 after 3 months. The current exchange
rate is ₹83 per dollar. If the rupee is expected to depreciate to ₹86 per dollar, how much
more (or less) in INR will the company receive if it does not hedge?
2. Assume a Malaysian company imports equipment from a German supplier for €50,000 on
1/6/20X5. The spot exchange rate on this date is €1 = MYR 5.00.
The settlement date is 1/7/20X5.
To hedge against foreign exchange risk, the Malaysian company enters into a forward
contract on 1/6/20X5 to buy €50,000 at a forward rate of €1 = MYR 5.20, for delivery on
1/7/20X5.
The actual spot rate on 1/7/20X5 is €1 = MYR 4.70.
Required:
3. A Singaporean electronics retailer imports gadget from Europe and is due to pay €750,000
to the supplier on 30th November. The payment is in euros, and the current spot rate is €1
= S$1.45. To hedge against adverse exchange rate movement, the importer buys a call
option with a strike price of S$1.48/€.
Required:
(c) What option strategy has the importer adopted to hedge this risk?
(d) What right does this call option give the importer?
(e) Under what condition will the option not be exercised? What will the importer do?
(Hint: Use spot rate = S$1.40/€ for illustration)
(f) Under what condition will the option be exercised? What will the importer do?
(Hint: Use spot rate = S$1.55/€ for illustration)
QP – 2025 March
Question 4 –
(a) Identify and explain two macroeconomic factors that could influence the exchange rate between
the Euro and the Singapore Dollar (SGD). Indicate clearly how each factor could cause the SGD to
appreciate or depreciate relative to the Euro.
(4 marks)
(b) A Singapore company is evaluating whether to use a forward hedge or an option hedge to
protect against foreign currency risk. Briefly explain two key differences between these two hedging
methods.
(4 marks)
(c) Bright Vision Pte Ltd, based in Singapore, exports optical equipment to Germany. The company
just confirmed a sale of €200,000, with payment expected in 30 days. The current spot rate is €1 =
S$1.55.
FORWARD HEDGE
(i)What is the hedging outcome if Bright Vision enters a forward contract to sell € at S$1.52
for settlement in 30 days?
(4 marks)
(ii) If the company does not hedge, what would be the exchange gain or loss in 30 days if the
spot rate becomes €1 = S$1.50?
(5 marks)
OPTION HEDGE
Bright Vision is also considering a currency option with a strike price of €1 = S$1.54.
(iii) Should the company exercise or let the option expire if the spot rate in 30 days is €1 =
S$1.58? Justify your answer.
(4 marks)
(iv) Should the company exercise or let the option expire if the spot rate in 30 days is €1 =
S$1.50? Justify your answer.
(4 marks)
[25 Marks, Page Number – 5]
Solution –
QP – 2024 November
Question 4 –
(a) Discuss how ‘interest rate differentials’ between countries can impact currency exchange rates.
(4 marks)
(b) A Singapore firm exports handphones to Australia. The firm received an order to export A$50,000
of handphones and will receive payment in A$ in three months’ time. The current spot rate is A$1 =
S$1.05.
(i) To hedge the firm’s currency risk, the firm can purchase an option with a strike
price of A$1 = S$1.06. Should the firm buy A$ Put or A$ Call options? Explain.
(2 marks)
(ii) If the spot rate in three months is A$1 = S$1.08, should the firm exercise the
option? Justify your answer.
(4 marks)
(iii) If the spot rate in three months is A$1 = S$1.03, would you exercise the option?
Justify your answer.
(4 marks)
(c) A Singapore company bought goods from an American firm for US$200,000 on 1 January, when
the spot rate was US$1 = S$1.40. The settlement date is 1 February. To hedge the transaction, the
company entered a forward contract at US$1 = S$1.42 for delivery on 1 February.
(i) Is the Singapore company concerned about an appreciation or depreciation of
the US dollar? Explain.
(2 marks)
(ii) Calculate the cost of hedging.
(4 marks)
(iii) Assume that on 1 February the spot rate is US$1 = S$1.39. If the company did
not hedge, would it experience an exchange rate gain or loss? Calculate the
amount.
(4 marks)