Ujian Pra-Pentaksiran STPM Penggal 3

(Pep.Percubaan penggal 3) , 2014

Johor SULTANibrahim MathsT P3 2014 QA SMK SULTAN IBRAHIM KULAIJAYA
Section A [45 marks]
Answer all questions in this section

1. The table below shows the commissions received by a salesman from 30 sales
transactions.
Commission (RM) 0 - 99 100 -199 200-299 300-399 400-499 500-599
Frequency 4 5 8 6 4 3

Calculate the mean and median. [4 marks]

Hence, calculate the Pearson coefficient of skewness and comment on your answer.
( Use standard deviation = 149.07 ) [3 marks]

2. A bag contains 5 golf balls and 3 other balls, whereas a box contains 4 golf balls and 2
other balls. A die is thrown and if a number less than 5 results a ball is drawn from the
bag, otherwise a ball is drawn from the box. Find the probability that
[3 marks]
(a) a ball drawn is a golf ball.
(b) if the ball drawn is a golf ball, it came from a box. [2 marks]

3. A discrete random variable X which takes the values of 1, 4, 9, 16, and 25 has
cumulative distribution function

(a) Tabulate the probability distribution of X. [2 marks]

(b) Calculate and . [5 marks]
(c) Find [3 marks]

4. Out of random sample of 1000 students interviewed, 410 dislike the subject ‘History’.

(a) Calculate an approximate 99% confidence interval for the population who dislike [3 marks]
the subject ‘History’
(b) Estimate the size of a sample that would have provided a 96% confidence interval
of width 0.04 for p. [3 marks]
(c) If 1200 students are surveyed and based on the 99% confidence interval for (a), [1 mark]
state the expected number of students that dislike the subject ‘History’.

5. It is known that the tail lengths of a certain species of squirrel have mean14.0 cm and
standard deviation 3.8 cm. A zoologist takes a random sample of 20 squirrels from the
same species on an island and measure their tail lengths. She carrys out a test, at the 5%
significance level, of whether squirrels on the island have the same mean tail.

(a) State appropriate hypothesis for the test. [1 mark]

(b) Determine the range of , where is the sample mean tail length, which the
null [3 marks]
hypothesis would not be rejected.
(c) State the conclusion of the test in the case where =15.8 [2 marks]
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 Ujian Pra-Pentaksiran STPM Penggal 3
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6. Six hens are observed over a period of 20 days and the number of eggs laid each day is
summarised in the following table.

Number of eggs 3 4 5 6
Number of days 2 2 10 6

It may be assumed that a hen never lays more than one egg in any day. State one other
assumption that needs to be made in order to consider a binomial model, with n = 6 , [1 mark]
for the total number of eggs laid in a day.

Carry out a chi-squared goodness-of -fit test, using a 10% significance level to test the
hypothesis that the above data fit a binomial model with parameter n = 6 and
[9 marks]

Section B [15 marks]

Answer any one question in this section.
7(a) In the production of microchips, it is known that 3 out of every 20 units are
defective. From a consignment of 500 microchips, use a suitable approximation to
find the value of n such that the probability of more than n units are defective is less
than 0.33. [4 marks]

(b) The continuous random variable X has probability density functions given by

Where k is a constant. [2 marks]

(i) Find the value of k.
(ii) Find the cumulative distribution function F(x). Hence, find the value of x such
[5 marks]
that
[4 marks]
(iii) Find E( X + 1), and deduce that E(X) =

8(a) The random variable X has a Poisson distribution with mean 4. The random variable
is the sample mean of 100 random sample of X. By using a suitable
approximation, find P( [4 marks]

(b) In a large population of chickens, the distribution of the mass of a chicken has mean
kg and standard deviation A random sample of 100 chickens is taken
from the population and the sample values are summarized by and
where x kg is the mass of a chicken.

(i) Find unbiased estimates of and . [4 marks]

(ii) Determine the 90% symmetric confidence interval for . [3 marks]
(iii) Given that, in fact , test, at 1% level of significance, the null
hypothesis against the alternative hypothesis . [4 marks]

SMK SULTAN IBRAHIM KULAIJAYA

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 Ujian Pra-Pentaksiran STPM Penggal 3
(Pep.Percubaan penggal 3) , 2014
SKEMA PERMARKAHAN
MATHEMATICS T
UJIAN PRA-PENTAKSIRAN PENGGAL 3,
OKTOBER, TAHUN 2014
Section A ( 45 marks )
M1A1
1.
M1

= 274.5 A1
Pearson coefficient of skewness =

= M1
= 0.1676 A1
The distribution is skewed to the right. B1 ( Total 7 )

2. A= event of the number of die is less than 5,

M1 (any 1 correct )
M1 ( add 2 prob)

A1
= / 0.6389

(b) P(A’/G) =

=
M1

A1
= / 0.3478 ( Total 7 )
3.(a) B1( all x and
x 1 4 9 16 25 P(X=x)correct )
P(X=x)
B1 (all correct in
table form)
M1
(b) 1( ) + 2( ) + 3( ) + 4( )+5( )
=3 A1

(b) E(X) = 1( ) + 4( ) + 9( ) + 16( ) + 25 ( )

= 11 B1
M1
A1
=2
(c) P(4X-18>9) + P(4X-18<-9)

=
M1
= + + +
M1
=
A1 ( Total 10 )

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(Pep.Percubaan penggal 3) , 2014
M1
4.
M1
(a)

= 0.41 0.04006
= ( 0.36994, 0.45006)
99% confidence interval for the population proportion is ( 0.3699, 0.4501) A1
(b) width = 0.04, estimation error = 0.02
B1

M1
n = 2551.39
sample size, n = 2551. A1
(c) n = 1200 x 0.41 = 492 B1 ( Total 7 )

5 . B1

(b)

For not to be rejected at 5%,

M1 ( for 1.96)

M1 ( for )

12.33 < < 15.67 A1

(c) =15.8 does not lie in the range of 12.33 < < 15.67 , B1
is rejected.
There is sufficient evidence to indicate that the squirrels on the island do not
have the same mean tail. B1 ( Total 6 )
6. Assume that the probability of any hen laying an egg on any day is constant and B1
that hens lay eggs independently of each other.

B1
Significance level : 10 %

x = 0 ,1, 2, … 6

M1 ( at least 3 prob.
Number of eggs P(X=x) correct )
M1( for 4,5,6
0 0.0087 0.1740 correct)
3 2 0.05358 1.0716 0.3037 A1 ( E all correct )
4 2 0.20094 4.0188 M1 (combine E<5)
M1 ( method of
5 10 0.40188 8.0376 0.4791
6 6 0.33490 6.6980 0.0727 getting
Total 20 1.00 20 A1( 0.85< <0.86)

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V = 3-1 = 2 , critical value = 4.605 M1

Conclusion : < 4.605, do not reject , conclude that the data fit a
binomial model at 10% significance level. A1 ( Total 10 )

Section B ( 15 marks)
7 (a)

normal approximation is used.

B1
P(X > n ) < 0.33

M1 ( standardize )

M1 ( > 0.44)
n > 78.01
n = 79 A1

7. (b) (i)

M1
A1

(ii) , M1

A1

, M1

x + 1 = 2, x = 1.
A1

M1
(iii)

E(X+1) =
A1

M1

E(X) = ( shown ) A1
8 (a) X ~
By central limit theorem , for n

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(Pep.Percubaan penggal 3) , 2014
M1
, ,

M1

= P ( Z < -2.5)
= 0.000621
A1
M1A1
(b) (i) Unbiased estimates of

Unbiased estimates of

=
M1
= 0.4460
A1
M1, M1
(ii)

= 1.891
= ( 1.7811, 2.0009 )
90% symmetric confidence interval for is ( 1.7811, 2.0009 ) A1

(iii) .

Significance level : 1 %
Critical value : reject if z > 2.326

M1
Test statistic :

= 1.986 A1
Conclusion : z = 1.986 < 2.326 M1
Insufficient evidence to reject and conclude that the
at 1 % level of significance.
A1

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